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PolyScalping

tradetosurvive1

Dabei seit Juni 2026

Gesamteinnahmen

134.860,77 $
1T
−3.295 $
7T
1.395 $
30T
12.803 $
90T
97.476 $
Gesamtvolumen
9,47 Mio. $
Prognosen
39.702
Wert der Positionen
69.822 $
Performance
−236.919 $
+351.024 $
+20.834 $
+1,57 $
+10,00 $
−89,76 $
Gesamt
#1.306
von 3,3 Mio. Wallets
Volumen
#2.978
von 3,3 Mio. Wallets
Gewinn
#3.248.623
von 3,3 Mio. Wallets
LP-Belohnungen
#10
von 189.210 Empfängern
Maker-Rebates
#385
von 161.367 Empfängern
Taker-Rebates
#53.383
von 72.390 Empfängern
Rendite
#40.025
von 352.046 Empfängern
Gezahlte Gebühren
#129.077
von 1,5 Mio. Zahlern
Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?
Ja 98,7¢527,2 Anteile
520,03 $
+71,32 $ (+15,9%)
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
Nein 93,5¢546,2 Anteile
510,69 $
+89,31 $ (+21,2%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 4?
Ja 99,8¢474,2 Anteile
473,02 $
+297,56 $ (+169,6%)
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Nein 68,8¢617,1 Anteile
424,56 $
−105,87 $ (-20,0%)
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Nein 98,5¢429 Anteile
422,38 $
+262,49 $ (+164,2%)
Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Ja 94¢446,6 Anteile
419,8 $
+298,76 $ (+246,8%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
Nein 92,5¢443,2 Anteile
409,96 $
+72,79 $ (+21,6%)
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
Nein 89,3¢437,8 Anteile
391,21 $
+37,06 $ (+10,5%)
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?
Nein 100,0¢351,2 Anteile
351,07 $
+13,25 $ (+3,9%)
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
Nein 70¢500 Anteile
350 $
+50 $ (+16,7%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?
Ja 96,2¢347,6 Anteile
334,41 $
+43,58 $ (+15,0%)
Viktor Orbán arrested by...?
Nein 87,1¢381,1 Anteile
331,97 $
+45,37 $ (+15,8%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Nein 75¢441,7 Anteile
331,28 $
+42,12 $ (+14,6%)
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
Ja 98,5¢318,1 Anteile
313,18 $
+80,85 $ (+34,8%)
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Ja 99,5¢305,6 Anteile
303,92 $
+55,62 $ (+22,4%)
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Ja 71¢424,8 Anteile
301,57 $
+78,04 $ (+34,9%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on November 5?
Nein 48,5¢619,5 Anteile
300,44 $
−40,27 $ (-11,8%)
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 73¢394,5 Anteile
287,97 $
+50,92 $ (+21,5%)
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and US gas hit $3.50 by the end of 2026?
Nein 93,8¢306,3 Anteile
287,33 $
+5,36 $ (+1,9%)
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
Nein 65,5¢436 Anteile
285,56 $
+24 $ (+9,2%)
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Nein 100,0¢283,3 Anteile
283,11 $
+33,4 $ (+13,4%)
Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?
Nein 100,0¢280,1 Anteile
279,92 $
+63,97 $ (+29,6%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
Nein 86¢318,2 Anteile
273,66 $
+194,61 $ (+246,2%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
Nein 87¢295 Anteile
256,65 $
+120,45 $ (+88,4%)
Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 50,5¢503,9 Anteile
254,46 $
+51,14 $ (+25,2%)
Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?
Ja 97,3¢255 Anteile
248,12 $
+160,24 $ (+182,3%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Nein 53¢457,1 Anteile
242,27 $
−14,6 $ (-5,7%)
F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship?
Nein 74¢325 Anteile
240,5 $
+116,25 $ (+93,6%)
Will "Wuthering Heights" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
Nein 56,0¢426,7 Anteile
238,96 $
−54,94 $ (-18,7%)
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?
Ja 46,8¢506,3 Anteile
236,69 $
−5,57 $ (-2,3%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ja 46,5¢509 Anteile
236,67 $
+65,55 $ (+38,3%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?
Nein 96,2¢245 Anteile
235,69 $
+1,72 $ (+0,7%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 5?
Ja 37¢636,8 Anteile
235,63 $
−57,31 $ (-19,6%)
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
Nein 53,5¢427,8 Anteile
228,86 $
−6,92 $ (-2,9%)
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?
Nein 55,3¢411,1 Anteile
227,31 $
−7,46 $ (-3,2%)
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
Nein 71,0¢319,7 Anteile
227,18 $
+47,17 $ (+26,2%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 5?
Ja 61,5¢351,9 Anteile
216,44 $
+26,39 $ (+13,9%)
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 52,5¢412 Anteile
216,3 $
−1,16 $ (-0,5%)
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
Nein 80,5¢265,8 Anteile
214,01 $
+43,93 $ (+25,8%)
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
Nein 85,5¢250,2 Anteile
213,94 $
+56,01 $ (+35,5%)
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?
Nein 47¢452,3 Anteile
212,6 $
+15,6 $ (+7,9%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?
Nein 82¢258,7 Anteile
212,12 $
+31,33 $ (+17,3%)
Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?
Nein 60¢350 Anteile
210 $
+113 $ (+116,5%)
Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?
Nein 71,5¢292,4 Anteile
209,07 $
+83,39 $ (+66,4%)
Will "I Love Boosters" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 41,5¢500 Anteile
207,5 $
−74,5 $ (-26,4%)
Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
Nein 89¢230 Anteile
204,69 $
+47,11 $ (+29,9%)
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
Ja 57,0¢355 Anteile
202,35 $
+11,04 $ (+5,8%)
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
Nein 100,0¢200 Anteile
199,9 $
+7,5 $ (+3,9%)
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
Nein 100,0¢200 Anteile
199,9 $
+55,7 $ (+38,6%)
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Nein 100,0¢200 Anteile
199,9 $
+4,9 $ (+2,5%)
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?
Ja 64,5¢302,9 Anteile
195,39 $
−20,4 $ (-9,5%)
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?
Nein 97,3¢196,6 Anteile
191,19 $
+62,24 $ (+48,3%)
Will "Magan's Fare" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 37,5¢500 Anteile
187,5 $
+45,5 $ (+32,0%)
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Nein 93¢200 Anteile
186 $
+30 $ (+19,2%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Nein 41¢446,7 Anteile
183,16 $
+2,53 $ (+1,4%)
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
Ja 39¢466,6 Anteile
181,99 $
−56,32 $ (-23,6%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Nein 53,5¢337 Anteile
180,3 $
−22,45 $ (-11,1%)
Will "The Tuners" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 36¢500 Anteile
180 $
−34 $ (-15,9%)
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
Nein 81,5¢219,4 Anteile
178,83 $
+12,5 $ (+7,5%)
Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?
Ja 98,5¢181 Anteile
178,19 $
+120,65 $ (+209,7%)
Will "Agapito" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Nein 69¢255,1 Anteile
176,01 $
−5,81 $ (-3,2%)
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?
Nein 84,5¢208,3 Anteile
175,98 $
+41,72 $ (+31,1%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?
Ja 46¢381,9 Anteile
175,69 $
+34,05 $ (+24,0%)
Will "Mary is Missing" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 35¢500 Anteile
175 $
−37 $ (-17,5%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
Ja 31,5¢554,9 Anteile
174,8 $
+37,89 $ (+27,7%)
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
Ja 41¢417 Anteile
170,96 $
+15,25 $ (+9,8%)
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?
Ja 62¢273,6 Anteile
169,63 $
+9,71 $ (+6,1%)
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 37¢454,7 Anteile
168,23 $
−37,81 $ (-18,4%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of November 2026?
Nein 86,3¢194,4 Anteile
167,74 $
−18,27 $ (-9,8%)
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
Ja 40¢414,1 Anteile
165,64 $
+13,84 $ (+9,1%)
Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds hit 25% by December 31?
Ja 67,5¢245 Anteile
165,37 $
+19,52 $ (+13,4%)
Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Nein 55,0¢300 Anteile
165 $
−23 $ (-12,2%)
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
Nein 77,5¢209,7 Anteile
162,55 $
+26,05 $ (+19,1%)
Will "Listen" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 28,0¢576,5 Anteile
161,42 $
−60,18 $ (-27,2%)
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Nein 36,5¢435,3 Anteile
158,87 $
+108,85 $ (+217,6%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Nein 29,5¢538,3 Anteile
158,8 $
−83,68 $ (-34,5%)
Will November be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?
Nein 94,7¢167,7 Anteile
158,77 $
+16,29 $ (+11,4%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 4?
Ja 98,9¢158,6 Anteile
156,9 $
+88,68 $ (+130,0%)
Will "Water Girl" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Nein 73,5¢209 Anteile
153,62 $
+14,67 $ (+10,6%)
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?
Ja 62¢247,3 Anteile
153,33 $
+46,71 $ (+43,8%)
Will "Madden" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 30¢500 Anteile
150 $
+20 $ (+15,4%)
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 75¢199,1 Anteile
149,35 $
+16,84 $ (+12,7%)
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?
Ja 90,5¢163,9 Anteile
148,31 $
+18,86 $ (+14,6%)
U.S. enacts Protect College Sports Act before 2027?
Ja 57,0¢256,8 Anteile
146,39 $
+73,71 $ (+101,4%)
Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 29,0¢500 Anteile
145 $
+18 $ (+14,2%)
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?
Ja 71¢204 Anteile
144,84 $
−6,79 $ (-4,5%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026?
Ja 64,5¢223,4 Anteile
144,08 $
+43,06 $ (+42,6%)
Will "Minotaur" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Nein 48¢300,1 Anteile
144,06 $
−3,81 $ (-2,6%)
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?
Nein 33,3¢430,6 Anteile
143,18 $
+40,93 $ (+40,0%)
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 62,5¢228,9 Anteile
143,06 $
+17,08 $ (+13,6%)
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
Nein 50,9¢278 Anteile
141,5 $
−11,11 $ (-7,3%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?
Nein 76,5¢184,9 Anteile
141,47 $
+25,93 $ (+22,4%)
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Nein 90¢156,7 Anteile
141 $
+28,26 $ (+25,1%)
Will "Paper Trail" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 44¢318,9 Anteile
140,34 $
−36 $ (-20,4%)
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
Nein 32¢438,3 Anteile
140,26 $
+16,52 $ (+13,3%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?
Nein 84¢166,2 Anteile
139,62 $
−0,93 $ (-0,7%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 4?
Nein 49¢284,6 Anteile
139,43 $
−2,85 $ (-2,0%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
Ja 29,3¢474,5 Anteile
139,26 $
−270,27 $ (-66,0%)
Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 84,3¢163,9 Anteile
138,18 $
+30,87 $ (+28,8%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Nein 59,8¢230,1 Anteile
137,51 $
+5,94 $ (+4,5%)