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PolyScalping

HolyMoses7

Dabei seit Dezember 2024

Gesamteinnahmen

208.216,18 $
1T
−525,13 $
7T
8.728 $
30T
19.768 $
90T
47.852 $
Gesamtvolumen
24,85 Mio. $
Prognosen
4.151
Wert der Positionen
224.497 $
Performance
+199.178 $
+1.695,11 $
+282,07 $
+5.521,01 $
+1.190,22 $
+349,70 $
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Nein 80,6¢155.000 Anteile
124.930 $
+47.430 $ (+61,2%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ja 19,4¢155.000 Anteile
30.070 $
−47.430 $ (-61,2%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ja 97,5¢8.770 Anteile
8.546 $
+85,3 $ (+1,0%)
Israeli Knesset election annulled?
Nein 97,0¢5.499 Anteile
5.332 $
+766,83 $ (+16,8%)
Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 6?
Nein 99,8¢3.655 Anteile
3.646 $
+87,95 $ (+2,5%)
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
Nein 76¢4.182 Anteile
3.178 $
−241,98 $ (-7,1%)
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?
Nein 99,0¢3.000 Anteile
2.969 $
+40,5 $ (+1,4%)
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ja 0,7¢410.506 Anteile
2.874 $
+2.209 $ (+332,4%)
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Nein 77,5¢3.617 Anteile
2.803 $
−151,58 $ (-5,1%)
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Ja 77¢3.170 Anteile
2.441 $
+1.406 $ (+135,8%)
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
Nein 56,5¢4.233 Anteile
2.392 $
+571 $ (+31,4%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Nein 54,5¢3.709 Anteile
2.021 $
−64,54 $ (-3,1%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Ja 20,5¢8.511 Anteile
1.745 $
+443,41 $ (+34,1%)
Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?
Ja 55,5¢2.737 Anteile
1.519 $
+387,21 $ (+34,2%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Ja 44,5¢3.362 Anteile
1.496 $
+5,5 $ (+0,4%)
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Nein 94¢1.522 Anteile
1.431 $
+209,68 $ (+17,2%)
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?
Ja 56,5¢2.350 Anteile
1.328 $
−106,78 $ (-7,4%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Ja 51,5¢2.167 Anteile
1.116 $
+231,86 $ (+26,2%)
Will parties below the electoral threshold receive 8% or higher of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Nein 99,8¢974 Anteile
971,6 $
+0,67 $ (+0,1%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Ja 47,5¢1.800 Anteile
855,08 $
+95,45 $ (+12,6%)
Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Nein 99,9¢811,8 Anteile
810,57 $
+40,49 $ (+5,3%)
Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government?
Nein 88,6¢854,7 Anteile
757,3 $
−5,5 $ (-0,7%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Ja 45,5¢1.605 Anteile
730,48 $
+59,99 $ (+8,9%)
Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ja 97,3¢691 Anteile
671,96 $
+8,37 $ (+1,3%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ja 54,9¢1.138 Anteile
624,73 $
+238,56 $ (+61,8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-09 House election by 12% or more?
Nein 99,0¢586 Anteile
579,86 $
+3,26 $ (+0,6%)
Will Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Nein 95,9¢554,3 Anteile
531,3 $
−13,47 $ (-2,5%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Nein 90,3¢584,7 Anteile
528,24 $
+53,21 $ (+11,2%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-07 House election by 10%-15%?
Ja 97,5¢505,9 Anteile
492,95 $
+83,67 $ (+20,4%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 0%-3%?
Ja 97,4¢491,8 Anteile
478,72 $
+216,39 $ (+82,5%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 0%-5%?
Ja 93,5¢502,6 Anteile
469,92 $
+223,81 $ (+90,9%)
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?
Ja 38,5¢1.219 Anteile
469,29 $
+167,65 $ (+55,6%)
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Nein 29,0¢1.522 Anteile
441,38 $
−297,65 $ (-40,3%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Nein 98,8¢404 Anteile
398,95 $
+4,24 $ (+1,1%)
Will Yuli Edelstein be the next Speaker of the Knesset?
Nein 97,8¢401 Anteile
392,18 $
+0,72 $ (+0,2%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-03 House election by 10%-15%?
Ja 98,8¢350,5 Anteile
346,08 $
+47,46 $ (+15,9%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ja 27,7¢1.138 Anteile
315,21 $
+274,57 $ (+675,6%)
Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?
Nein 97,2¢318,4 Anteile
309,33 $
+14,19 $ (+4,8%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 0%-3%?
Ja 96,5¢319,8 Anteile
308,57 $
+46,11 $ (+17,6%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%?
Ja 97,2¢300,7 Anteile
292,29 $
+222,44 $ (+318,5%)
Will voter turnout be 76% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ja 99,4¢281,2 Anteile
279,39 $
+3,92 $ (+1,4%)
Will Nir Barkat be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Nein 98,7¢281 Anteile
277,19 $
+24,44 $ (+9,7%)
Will Elazar Stern be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?
Nein 99,8¢274,9 Anteile
274,17 $
+30,21 $ (+12,4%)
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Ja 73,6¢369 Anteile
271,58 $
+83,35 $ (+44,3%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%?
Ja 94,5¢273,4 Anteile
258,52 $
+62,16 $ (+31,7%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 15%-20%?
Ja 88¢291,3 Anteile
256,32 $
+57,01 $ (+28,6%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 35%-40%?
Ja 96,3¢256,7 Anteile
247,08 $
+36,5 $ (+17,3%)
Will voter turnout be 75% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ja 99,5¢246,6 Anteile
245,32 $
+1,64 $ (+0,7%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Ja 95,8¢251,8 Anteile
241,26 $
+238,73 $ (+9413,9%)
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?
Nein 93¢257,9 Anteile
239,84 $
+24,62 $ (+11,4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?
Ja 99,3¢238 Anteile
236,22 $
+183,86 $ (+351,1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 0%-5%?
Ja 99,4¢231,4 Anteile
229,89 $
+0,92 $ (+0,4%)
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Nein 23¢963,5 Anteile
221,6 $
+9,64 $ (+4,5%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election by 5%-10%?
Ja 95,5¢229,8 Anteile
219,45 $
+114,41 $ (+108,9%)
Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Nein 81,5¢258 Anteile
210,27 $
+24,51 $ (+13,2%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 21% or more?
Nein 99,8¢208,6 Anteile
208,2 $
+0,21 $ (+0,1%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 25%-30%?
Ja 97,6¢210,6 Anteile
205,5 $
+66,18 $ (+47,5%)
Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?
Nein 67,5¢302,9 Anteile
204,44 $
+34,34 $ (+20,2%)
Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ja 65,6¢302,2 Anteile
198,26 $
+38,06 $ (+23,8%)
Will Moshe Arbel be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?
Nein 91,6¢211,4 Anteile
193,64 $
−5,33 $ (-2,7%)
Will Gilad Kariv be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Nein 96,0¢197,1 Anteile
189,3 $
+20,09 $ (+11,9%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 0%-3%?
Ja 66,1¢274 Anteile
181,26 $
+99,51 $ (+121,7%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 0%-3%?
Ja 56,5¢286,8 Anteile
162,01 $
−38,83 $ (-19,3%)
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Nein 91,5¢173,4 Anteile
158,62 $
+12,75 $ (+8,7%)
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?
Ja 35,5¢440 Anteile
156,2 $
+26,63 $ (+20,5%)
Will Yair Lapid be the next Speaker of the Knesset?
Nein 46,5¢331,1 Anteile
153,95 $
−85,26 $ (-35,6%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 0%-3%?
Ja 87,9¢170,7 Anteile
150,08 $
+136,58 $ (+1011,4%)
Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats?
Nein 59,5¢249,7 Anteile
148,58 $
−9,18 $ (-5,8%)
Will no Israeli government be formed after the 2026 Knesset election?
Ja 42,5¢346,2 Anteile
147,13 $
−0,22 $ (-0,1%)
Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?
Nein 61¢240 Anteile
146,4 $
+49,8 $ (+51,6%)
Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?
Ja 40,5¢354,4 Anteile
143,55 $
−33,36 $ (-18,9%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 20%-25%?
Ja 66,5¢206,7 Anteile
137,44 $
+56,93 $ (+70,7%)
Will Gilad Kariv be the next Speaker of the Knesset?
Nein 93¢143,8 Anteile
133,77 $
+1,41 $ (+1,1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 9%-12%?
Ja 43,9¢288,8 Anteile
126,77 $
+103,46 $ (+443,8%)
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Ja 0,8¢16.819 Anteile
126,14 $
−2.997 $ (-96,0%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 0%-5%?
Ja 59,1¢212,9 Anteile
125,7 $
−59,74 $ (-32,2%)
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?
Nein 96,6¢125,6 Anteile
121,35 $
+9,24 $ (+8,2%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 0%-5%?
Ja 98,4¢122,8 Anteile
120,72 $
+61,19 $ (+102,8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 18% or more?
Nein 98,7¢120 Anteile
118,44 $
+1,08 $ (+0,9%)
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Ja 1¢11.563 Anteile
115,63 $
−450,96 $ (-79,6%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 12% or more?
Ja 59,2¢194,4 Anteile
114,97 $
−29,83 $ (-20,6%)
Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?
Nein 96,7¢116,3 Anteile
112,39 $
+4,26 $ (+3,9%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 0%-3%?
Ja 47,9¢224,9 Anteile
107,73 $
+89,03 $ (+476,1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 6%-9%?
Ja 36¢288,8 Anteile
103,95 $
+80,64 $ (+346,0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 0%-3%?
Ja 46,1¢224,9 Anteile
103,68 $
+84,98 $ (+454,5%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 0%-3%?
Ja 54,0¢191 Anteile
103,26 $
+87,5 $ (+555,2%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 50%-55%?
Ja 89,4¢115,4 Anteile
103,13 $
+93,61 $ (+983,7%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ja 100,0¢100 Anteile
99,95 $
+76,2 $ (+320,8%)
Will Yoav Ben-Tzur be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?
Nein 87,5¢111,9 Anteile
97,89 $
+7,43 $ (+8,2%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 5%-10%?
Ja 49,0¢194 Anteile
95,14 $
+75,87 $ (+393,6%)
Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
Nein 75,5¢122,5 Anteile
92,5 $
+6,39 $ (+7,4%)
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Nein 90,5¢100 Anteile
90,5 $
+1,5 $ (+1,7%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Ja 13¢664,3 Anteile
86,36 $
+75,98 $ (+731,8%)
Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?
Ja 94,5¢90 Anteile
85,04 $
+4,95 $ (+6,2%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 12% or more?
Ja 28,5¢288,8 Anteile
82,3 $
+58,99 $ (+253,1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 60%-65%?
Ja 51,5¢159,6 Anteile
82,27 $
−26,96 $ (-24,7%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 3%-6%?
Ja 43¢191 Anteile
82,15 $
+66,39 $ (+421,2%)
Next Israeli government a minority government?
Ja 32,5¢250 Anteile
81,25 $
+22,75 $ (+38,9%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 0%-3%?
Ja 41,4¢191 Anteile
79,19 $
+63,43 $ (+402,4%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 60% or more?
Ja 51,6¢140,5 Anteile
72,55 $
+42,97 $ (+145,2%)