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PolyScalping

Tenebrus7

Dabei seit Juni 2024

Gesamteinnahmen

268.235,20 $
1T
22.480 $
7T
15.565 $
30T
33.343 $
90T
53.284 $
Gesamtvolumen
84,55 Mio. $
Prognosen
5.141
Wert der Positionen
324.894 $
Performance
+179.794 $
+76.749 $
+10.864 $
+641,30 $
+187,33 $
Gesamt
#861
von 3,3 Mio. Wallets
Volumen
#257
von 3,3 Mio. Wallets
Gewinn
#1.224
von 3,3 Mio. Wallets
LP-Belohnungen
#76
von 189.210 Empfängern
Maker-Rebates
#767
von 161.367 Empfängern
Taker-Rebates
#6.828
von 72.390 Empfängern
Rendite
#759
von 352.046 Empfängern
Gezahlte Gebühren
#7.304
von 1,5 Mio. Zahlern
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ja 67,5¢130.010 Anteile
87.757 $
+22.741 $ (+35,0%)
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Nein 32,5¢130.000 Anteile
42.250 $
−22.750 $ (-35,0%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Nein 100,0¢35.500 Anteile
35.482 $
+1.463 $ (+4,3%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Nein 96,8¢18.100 Anteile
17.512 $
+3.985 $ (+29,5%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?
Ja 97¢12.843 Anteile
12.457 $
+840,06 $ (+7,2%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ja 100,0¢9.506 Anteile
9.502 $
+947,09 $ (+11,1%)
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
Nein 69,5¢13.414 Anteile
9.322 $
−1.193 $ (-11,3%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
Nein 77,5¢10.132 Anteile
7.852 $
+529,09 $ (+7,2%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?
Ja 93,5¢5.738 Anteile
5.365 $
+387,53 $ (+7,8%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ja 97,5¢4.997 Anteile
4.872 $
+45,99 $ (+1,0%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Nein 21,5¢20.000 Anteile
4.300 $
−955,26 $ (-18,2%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?
Ja 87,5¢4.725 Anteile
4.134 $
+247,38 $ (+6,4%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
Nein 60¢5.751 Anteile
3.451 $
+83,36 $ (+2,5%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Nein 60,8¢5.259 Anteile
3.195 $
+190,78 $ (+6,4%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Ja 51,5¢6.177 Anteile
3.181 $
−343,94 $ (-9,8%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Nein 91,8¢3.363 Anteile
3.086 $
−35,96 $ (-1,2%)
Israeli Knesset election annulled?
Nein 97,0¢3.005 Anteile
2.913 $
+28,24 $ (+1,0%)
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Nein 95¢2.545 Anteile
2.418 $
+56,36 $ (+2,4%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Nein 81¢2.899 Anteile
2.349 $
+97,95 $ (+4,4%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?
Nein 58,0¢3.770 Anteile
2.187 $
+38,31 $ (+1,8%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?
Ja 98,9¢2.000 Anteile
1.977 $
+1.127 $ (+132,6%)
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Nein 96,2¢2.044 Anteile
1.965 $
+36,13 $ (+1,9%)
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Nein 91,1¢1.915 Anteile
1.746 $
−13,45 $ (-0,8%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?
Ja 57,5¢2.474 Anteile
1.423 $
+9,13 $ (+0,6%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ja 90,5¢1.500 Anteile
1.357 $
+3,75 $ (+0,3%)
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
Nein 95,3¢1.421 Anteile
1.354 $
+234,49 $ (+21,0%)
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Nein 95,5¢1.385 Anteile
1.324 $
+115,5 $ (+9,6%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ja 28,2¢4.403 Anteile
1.242 $
+44,03 $ (+3,7%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Ja 96,2¢1.232 Anteile
1.186 $
+28,44 $ (+2,5%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
Nein 64,5¢1.768 Anteile
1.140 $
−15,95 $ (-1,4%)
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Nein 97,2¢1.166 Anteile
1.133 $
+97,96 $ (+9,5%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ja 57,5¢1.967 Anteile
1.131 $
+145,31 $ (+14,7%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Nein 96,4¢1.133 Anteile
1.091 $
+27,95 $ (+2,6%)
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Ja 70,5¢1.519 Anteile
1.071 $
+63,62 $ (+6,3%)
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
Nein 96¢1.086 Anteile
1.042 $
−2,17 $ (-0,2%)
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Nein 69,4¢1.500 Anteile
1.041 $
+21,38 $ (+2,1%)
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Nein 100,0¢1.000 Anteile
999,51 $
+121,5 $ (+13,8%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Nein 100,0¢1.000 Anteile
999,5 $
+4,5 $ (+0,5%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?
Nein 99,9¢1.000 Anteile
999 $
+569 $ (+132,3%)
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Nein 70,4¢1.409 Anteile
991,84 $
−32,2 $ (-3,1%)
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Nein 87,5¢1.128 Anteile
986,95 $
−16,61 $ (-1,7%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Ja 83¢1.137 Anteile
943,72 $
+13,22 $ (+1,4%)
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Nein 89,5¢1.000 Anteile
894,99 $
+40 $ (+4,7%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ja 89,4¢1.000 Anteile
893,99 $
+44,25 $ (+5,2%)
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
Nein 62¢1.437 Anteile
891,17 $
−67,12 $ (-7,0%)
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Nein 35,5¢2.497 Anteile
886,43 $
+68,97 $ (+8,4%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Nein 87,5¢1.000 Anteile
875 $
+58,05 $ (+7,1%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Nein 87,5¢1.000 Anteile
875 $
+40 $ (+4,8%)
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
Nein 96,4¢890,2 Anteile
858,19 $
+87,28 $ (+11,3%)
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
Nein 67,5¢1.253 Anteile
845,81 $
−59,46 $ (-6,6%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ja 47¢1.781 Anteile
836,87 $
−40,4 $ (-4,6%)
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Nein 89¢900 Anteile
800,99 $
+30 $ (+3,9%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ja 35,5¢2.159 Anteile
766,29 $
−426,64 $ (-35,8%)
US recession by end of 2026?
Nein 94,5¢800 Anteile
756 $
+4 $ (+0,5%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
Nein 87¢839,4 Anteile
730,27 $
+445,65 $ (+156,6%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ja 98,4¢700 Anteile
688,45 $
+14,75 $ (+2,2%)
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?
Ja 97,3¢631,6 Anteile
614,58 $
−4,76 $ (-0,8%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Nein 39,4¢1.500 Anteile
591 $
−59,5 $ (-9,1%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?
Nein 58,5¢991 Anteile
579,72 $
−26,11 $ (-4,3%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ja 15,3¢3.726 Anteile
568,2 $
−993,09 $ (-63,6%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Nein 46,5¢1.218 Anteile
566,29 $
+3,27 $ (+0,6%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
Nein 92,5¢600 Anteile
555 $
+75 $ (+15,6%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?
Ja 99,7¢532 Anteile
530,12 $
+22,06 $ (+4,3%)
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Ja 98,7¢533,1 Anteile
526,19 $
+198,02 $ (+60,3%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Ja 59,5¢871 Anteile
518,27 $
+45 $ (+9,5%)
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Nein 81,5¢635,8 Anteile
518,19 $
+47,69 $ (+10,1%)
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
Nein 95,3¢536,4 Anteile
511,47 $
+123,39 $ (+31,8%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026?
Nein 91,5¢556,5 Anteile
509,2 $
+9,48 $ (+1,9%)
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
Nein 100,0¢500 Anteile
499,75 $
+4,75 $ (+1,0%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
Ja 98,7¢500 Anteile
493,25 $
+29,82 $ (+6,4%)
GTA VI released by November 30?
Ja 98,7¢499,7 Anteile
493,17 $
+6,5 $ (+1,3%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Nein 98,3¢500 Anteile
491,26 $
+13,75 $ (+2,9%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?
Nein 92,3¢500 Anteile
461,75 $
+1,75 $ (+0,4%)
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
Ja 23¢2.000 Anteile
460 $
−80 $ (-14,8%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
Nein 98,9¢444 Anteile
439,12 $
+7,99 $ (+1,9%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Nein 86,9¢502,4 Anteile
436,32 $
+76,19 $ (+21,2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ja 43,5¢1.000 Anteile
435 $
−55 $ (-11,2%)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Ja 84,5¢500 Anteile
422,75 $
+2,25 $ (+0,5%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of December 2026?
Nein 88,5¢449,3 Anteile
397,59 $
−7,7 $ (-1,9%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
Nein 78¢500 Anteile
390,01 $
+13,33 $ (+3,5%)
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
Nein 83,5¢465,3 Anteile
388,52 $
−11,63 $ (-2,9%)
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?
Nein 91,7¢416,7 Anteile
382,13 $
+61,26 $ (+19,1%)
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?
Nein 74¢503,9 Anteile
372,92 $
−4,96 $ (-1,3%)
Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026?
Ja 85¢420,8 Anteile
357,64 $
+48,39 $ (+15,6%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Nein 49¢685,4 Anteile
335,82 $
−8,96 $ (-2,6%)
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 2027?
Nein 97,5¢344,4 Anteile
335,62 $
−0,7 $ (-0,2%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Ja 67¢500 Anteile
334,99 $
+0 $ (+0,0%)
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?
Nein 31,5¢959,2 Anteile
302,13 $
−38,37 $ (-11,3%)
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
Nein 95,2¢314,6 Anteile
299,33 $
+33,11 $ (+12,4%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ja 8,4¢3.523 Anteile
295,92 $
−96,35 $ (-24,6%)
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
Nein 65,5¢435,9 Anteile
285,48 $
+2,18 $ (+0,8%)
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Nein 91,5¢311 Anteile
284,57 $
−1,56 $ (-0,5%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of December 2026?
Nein 57,0¢380,3 Anteile
216,76 $
−85,56 $ (-28,3%)
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Nein 100,0¢200 Anteile
199,9 $
+3,5 $ (+1,8%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026?
Nein 34,5¢572 Anteile
197,33 $
−197,33 $ (-50,0%)
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Nein 94,5¢208,7 Anteile
197,3 $
+2,97 $ (+1,5%)
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
Nein 95,0¢200,2 Anteile
190,05 $
+1,1 $ (+0,6%)
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Nein 56,5¢335,1 Anteile
189,33 $
−57,47 $ (-23,3%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Ja 37,5¢500 Anteile
187,5 $
+5,83 $ (+3,2%)
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?
Nein 65¢280 Anteile
182 $
−56 $ (-23,5%)