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PolyScalping

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Dabei seit Januar 2025

Gesamteinnahmen

1.609.008,34 $
1T
31.018 $
7T
48.272 $
30T
54.480 $
90T
851.364 $
Gesamtvolumen
530,08 Mio. $
Prognosen
50.821
Wert der Positionen
747.310 $
Performance
+353.018 $
+1,19 Mio. $
+83.427 $
+10.775 $
+2.193,10 $
−30.366 $
Gesamt
#106
von 3,3 Mio. Wallets
Volumen
#11
von 3,3 Mio. Wallets
Gewinn
#669
von 3,3 Mio. Wallets
LP-Belohnungen
#2
von 189.210 Empfängern
Maker-Rebates
#65
von 161.367 Empfängern
Taker-Rebates
#1.176
von 72.390 Empfängern
Rendite
#41
von 352.046 Empfängern
Gezahlte Gebühren
#1.019
von 1,5 Mio. Zahlern
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Nein 100¢181.849 Anteile
Gewonnen
181.849 $
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Ja 100,0¢48.872 Anteile
48.848 $
+1.572 $ (+3,3%)
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
Nein 83¢51.752 Anteile
42.954 $
+332,35 $ (+0,8%)
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ja 100¢34.988 Anteile
Gewonnen
34.988 $
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
Nein 93,5¢26.096 Anteile
24.400 $
+2.707 $ (+12,5%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
Nein 88,9¢25.834 Anteile
22.967 $
+1.821 $ (+8,6%)
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Nein 91,5¢24.565 Anteile
22.477 $
+7.454 $ (+49,6%)
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ja 100¢20.000 Anteile
Gewonnen
20.000 $
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Nein 100,0¢15.000 Anteile
14.992 $
+356,28 $ (+2,4%)
Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?
Ja 89¢15.630 Anteile
13.911 $
+207,29 $ (+1,5%)
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
Nein 87¢13.372 Anteile
11.633 $
−80,98 $ (-0,7%)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Ja 87,3¢13.000 Anteile
11.349 $
+5.550 $ (+95,7%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?
Nein 87,1¢12.384 Anteile
10.787 $
−633,34 $ (-5,5%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Nein 93,5¢8.060 Anteile
7.536 $
+7,33 $ (+0,1%)
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Nein 84,5¢8.468 Anteile
7.155 $
−271,17 $ (-3,7%)
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Ja 99,7¢7.145 Anteile
7.124 $
+181,57 $ (+2,6%)
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Ja 99,8¢7.000 Anteile
6.983 $
+188,17 $ (+2,8%)
Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the next Tainan Mayor election?
Nein 95,8¢6.974 Anteile
6.681 $
+274,86 $ (+4,3%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?
Ja 100,0¢6.440 Anteile
6.437 $
+49,32 $ (+0,8%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?
Nein 87,5¢6.632 Anteile
5.803 $
+276,08 $ (+5,0%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Ja 99,8¢5.738 Anteile
5.723 $
+119,99 $ (+2,1%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Nein 86¢6.567 Anteile
5.648 $
+333,84 $ (+6,3%)
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Ja 76¢7.076 Anteile
5.378 $
−782,97 $ (-12,7%)
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ja 86,6¢6.000 Anteile
5.196 $
−4 $ (-0,1%)
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Ja 100,0¢5.000 Anteile
4.998 $
+155,16 $ (+3,2%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?
Nein 81,5¢5.945 Anteile
4.845 $
−489,78 $ (-9,2%)
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Nein 86,5¢5.452 Anteile
4.716 $
−12,4 $ (-0,3%)
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Nein 86,5¢5.181 Anteile
4.482 $
−199,48 $ (-4,3%)
Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?
Ja 91¢4.789 Anteile
4.358 $
+32,38 $ (+0,7%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ja 90,0¢4.500 Anteile
4.052 $
−60,54 $ (-1,5%)
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Nein 81,5¢4.921 Anteile
4.010 $
−336,04 $ (-7,7%)
Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election?
Ja 78,5¢5.062 Anteile
3.973 $
−118,07 $ (-2,9%)
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
Nein 85¢4.262 Anteile
3.623 $
+167,28 $ (+4,8%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Nein 87,5¢4.000 Anteile
3.500 $
+40,01 $ (+1,2%)
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Ja 98,7¢3.458 Anteile
3.413 $
+816,94 $ (+31,5%)
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ja 40,5¢7.613 Anteile
3.083 $
−2.315 $ (-42,9%)
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Ja 98,2¢3.010 Anteile
2.955 $
+906,13 $ (+44,2%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?
Nein 76¢3.593 Anteile
2.730 $
−261,98 $ (-8,8%)
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
Nein 82¢3.094 Anteile
2.537 $
−91,53 $ (-3,5%)
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?
Nein 75,5¢2.980 Anteile
2.250 $
−129,13 $ (-5,4%)
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?
Nein 94,5¢2.353 Anteile
2.223 $
+357,51 $ (+19,2%)
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Nein 82¢2.667 Anteile
2.187 $
−180,66 $ (-7,6%)
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
Nein 100,0¢2.167 Anteile
2.166 $
+50,23 $ (+2,4%)
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
Ja 99,4¢2.167 Anteile
2.154 $
+262,06 $ (+13,8%)
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Ja 100,0¢2.146 Anteile
2.145 $
+170,92 $ (+8,7%)
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Nein 86,5¢2.468 Anteile
2.135 $
−130,42 $ (-5,8%)
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?
Nein 83¢2.500 Anteile
2.075 $
+150,02 $ (+7,8%)
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?
Nein 94,5¢2.154 Anteile
2.034 $
+238,88 $ (+13,3%)
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Nein 100¢2.000 Anteile
Gewonnen
2.000 $
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ja 100,0¢2.000 Anteile
1.999 $
+84,49 $ (+4,4%)
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
Ja 100,0¢2.000 Anteile
1.999 $
+95,94 $ (+5,0%)
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?
Ja 100,0¢2.000 Anteile
1.999 $
+91 $ (+4,8%)
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Nein 100,0¢2.000 Anteile
1.999 $
+111 $ (+5,9%)
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Ja 100,0¢2.000 Anteile
1.999 $
+93 $ (+4,9%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Ja 85¢2.284 Anteile
1.941 $
−30,8 $ (-1,6%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Nein 96,5¢2.000 Anteile
1.931 $
+42,15 $ (+2,2%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Nein 96,3¢2.000 Anteile
1.926 $
+436,01 $ (+29,3%)
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Nein 95,5¢2.000 Anteile
1.909 $
−4 $ (-0,2%)
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Nein 71¢2.674 Anteile
1.898 $
−218,77 $ (-10,3%)
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Nein 94¢2.000 Anteile
1.880 $
−2 $ (-0,1%)
Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?
Nein 76¢2.465 Anteile
1.873 $
−117,91 $ (-5,9%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Nein 91¢1.994 Anteile
1.814 $
+83,47 $ (+4,8%)
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
Nein 84¢2.131 Anteile
1.790 $
−42,03 $ (-2,3%)
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Nein 94¢1.898 Anteile
1.784 $
+143,06 $ (+8,7%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?
Nein 80,3¢2.200 Anteile
1.766 $
−190,4 $ (-9,7%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Nein 80,5¢2.132 Anteile
1.716 $
−215,89 $ (-11,2%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Ja 41,1¢4.013 Anteile
1.651 $
−929,01 $ (-36,0%)
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
Ja 100¢1.516 Anteile
Gewonnen
1.516 $
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?
Ja 48,5¢3.022 Anteile
1.466 $
+120,66 $ (+9,0%)
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Nein 89,5¢1.637 Anteile
1.465 $
−9,85 $ (-0,7%)
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
Ja 88,5¢1.574 Anteile
1.393 $
+15,33 $ (+1,1%)
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?
Nein 99,3¢1.396 Anteile
1.387 $
+130,94 $ (+10,4%)
Will Chuang Ching-cheng win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?
Nein 89,0¢1.542 Anteile
1.373 $
+0,59 $ (+0,0%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
Ja 89,5¢1.514 Anteile
1.355 $
−12,63 $ (-0,9%)
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Ja 100¢1.348 Anteile
Gewonnen
1.348 $
Will Chang Chia-chun win the next Yunlin County Magistrate election?
Ja 84¢1.600 Anteile
1.344 $
−88,99 $ (-6,2%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ja 62,5¢2.134 Anteile
1.334 $
−439,85 $ (-24,8%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?
Nein 85,7¢1.543 Anteile
1.322 $
−68,34 $ (-4,9%)
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?
Nein 65¢2.000 Anteile
1.300 $
−290 $ (-18,2%)
Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election?
Nein 64¢2.000 Anteile
1.280 $
−249,99 $ (-16,3%)
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Nein 87,5¢1.360 Anteile
1.190 $
−54,38 $ (-4,4%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ja 31,3¢3.762 Anteile
1.176 $
−705,36 $ (-37,5%)
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Ja 11,6¢10.000 Anteile
1.155 $
+1.005 $ (+670,0%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Ja 55,5¢2.022 Anteile
1.122 $
+103,79 $ (+10,2%)
Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?
Nein 72,9¢1.500 Anteile
1.094 $
−198,5 $ (-15,4%)
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
Nein 100,0¢1.066 Anteile
1.066 $
+89,86 $ (+9,2%)
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Nein 79,5¢1.326 Anteile
1.054 $
−18,04 $ (-1,7%)
Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?
Ja 66¢1.592 Anteile
1.051 $
−269,6 $ (-20,4%)
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Nein 85,5¢1.220 Anteile
1.043 $
−39,05 $ (-3,6%)
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?
Nein 82¢1.241 Anteile
1.018 $
−95,14 $ (-8,5%)
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
Nein 89¢1.139 Anteile
1.014 $
+0 $ (+0,0%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting?
Ja 47,5¢2.122 Anteile
1.008 $
+38,62 $ (+4,0%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
Nein 75,5¢1.331 Anteile
1.005 $
+32,7 $ (+3,4%)
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
Nein 46,5¢2.159 Anteile
1.004 $
−412,79 $ (-29,1%)
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
Ja 100,0¢1.000 Anteile
999,51 $
+77,7 $ (+8,4%)
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Nein 99,9¢1.000 Anteile
998,51 $
+15,51 $ (+1,6%)
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?
Nein 86,5¢1.101 Anteile
952,8 $
+22,64 $ (+2,4%)
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
Ja 47¢2.000 Anteile
940 $
−130 $ (-12,1%)
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-07 House seat?
Nein 100¢938 Anteile
Gewonnen
937,99 $
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?
Ja 100¢930 Anteile
Gewonnen
929,98 $