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PolyScalping

SPLPB

Dabei seit Juni 2026

Gesamteinnahmen

67.893,20 $
1T
2.422 $
7T
22.215 $
30T
35.224 $
90T
68.421 $
Gesamtvolumen
4,89 Mio. $
Prognosen
5.304
Wert der Positionen
2.803 $
Performance
−14.623 $
+79.706 $
+3.939,02 $
+1,82 $
+19,76 $
−1.149,61 $
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Nein 82,2¢551 Anteile
452,65 $
−10,74 $ (-2,3%)
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
Ja 68,5¢498,5 Anteile
341,49 $
−2,49 $ (-0,7%)
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ja 62,3¢399,4 Anteile
248,85 $
−47,93 $ (-16,2%)
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Nein 86,5¢199,7 Anteile
172,71 $
−8,98 $ (-4,9%)
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
Ja 20,5¢450 Anteile
92,25 $
−6,75 $ (-6,8%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ja 18,1¢475 Anteile
86,21 $
+38,71 $ (+81,5%)
Will "I Play Rocky" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 42,5¢191 Anteile
81,18 $
−14,33 $ (-15,0%)
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?
Ja 89¢87 Anteile
77,43 $
−1,74 $ (-2,2%)
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Nein 67,3¢103 Anteile
69,27 $
−10,98 $ (-13,7%)
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?
Nein 78,0¢88 Anteile
68,68 $
−9,64 $ (-12,3%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
Ja 9,5¢671 Anteile
63,75 $
−144,27 $ (-69,4%)
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,062,000 on December 31?
Nein 24,3¢260 Anteile
63,18 $
−40,82 $ (-39,3%)
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?
Nein 53,8¢111 Anteile
59,77 $
−6,72 $ (-10,1%)
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Nein 57,5¢76 Anteile
43,7 $
−19,38 $ (-30,7%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ja 3,9¢918 Anteile
35,34 $
−12,39 $ (-26,0%)
Will "Forgotten Island" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 29,0¢120 Anteile
34,8 $
−22,8 $ (-39,6%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 40%-45%?
Ja 43¢72,1 Anteile
30,99 $
+10,81 $ (+53,6%)
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and Israel and Hamas not agree to ceasefire Phase II by the end of 2027?
Nein 20,4¢139 Anteile
28,43 $
−31,9 $ (-52,9%)
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
Nein 54¢51 Anteile
27,55 $
−1,53 $ (-5,3%)
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
Ja 13,5¢200 Anteile
27 $
−5 $ (-15,6%)
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 400m?
Ja 27,5¢96 Anteile
26,4 $
−5,28 $ (-16,7%)
Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 37,5¢70 Anteile
26,25 $
−14,7 $ (-35,9%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ja 5,5¢475 Anteile
26,13 $
−21,37 $ (-45,0%)
Will PP win the most seats in Ciudad Real in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Nein 7,0¢361 Anteile
25,27 $
−28,88 $ (-53,3%)
Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
Nein 31,5¢79 Anteile
24,88 $
−23,3 $ (-48,4%)
Will "Runway" from The Devil Wears Prada 2 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 20,5¢116 Anteile
23,78 $
−14,5 $ (-37,9%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ja 9,2¢248 Anteile
22,82 $
+1,49 $ (+7,0%)
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?
Nein 44,0¢47,8 Anteile
21,07 $
−0,84 $ (-3,8%)
US imports Russian diesel by January 31?
Ja 21¢99 Anteile
20,79 $
−38,61 $ (-65,0%)
Will "Sense and Sensibility" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 6,5¢307,8 Anteile
20,01 $
−53,87 $ (-72,9%)
Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 46,5¢42,2 Anteile
19,64 $
−3,59 $ (-15,5%)
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?
Nein 31,5¢62 Anteile
19,53 $
−2,88 $ (-12,8%)
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?
Nein 34,5¢56 Anteile
19,32 $
−9,24 $ (-32,4%)
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?
Ja 20¢84 Anteile
16,8 $
−11,76 $ (-41,2%)
Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?
Nein 14,5¢112,9 Anteile
16,37 $
−5,08 $ (-23,7%)
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?
Ja 25¢65 Anteile
16,25 $
−35,75 $ (-68,8%)
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Nein 23,5¢69 Anteile
16,22 $
−8,63 $ (-34,7%)
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by November 30, 2026?
Nein 79,5¢17,8 Anteile
14,11 $
−0,27 $ (-1,9%)
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?
Ja 11,5¢115 Anteile
13,23 $
−53,48 $ (-80,2%)
Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 40% by December 31?
Ja 22,5¢55 Anteile
12,38 $
−10,18 $ (-45,1%)
Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?
Ja 87,2¢13,9 Anteile
12,13 $
−0,69 $ (-5,4%)
Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 55% by March 31?
Ja 19,5¢61 Anteile
11,9 $
−3,97 $ (-25,0%)
Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 11,5¢100 Anteile
11,5 $
−7,5 $ (-39,5%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ja 1,3¢839 Anteile
10,49 $
−73,41 $ (-87,5%)
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?
Ja 6,3¢163,8 Anteile
10,24 $
−6,8 $ (-39,9%)
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2027?
Ja 11,5¢80 Anteile
9,2 $
−9,2 $ (-50,0%)
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
Ja 7,5¢116,9 Anteile
8,77 $
−4,09 $ (-31,8%)
Will the Republicans win Florida in the 2028 Presidential Election?
Nein 21,5¢39 Anteile
8,39 $
−2,93 $ (-25,9%)
Will Iran target Syria by December 31, 2026?
Ja 11¢75 Anteile
8,25 $
−15,75 $ (-65,6%)
Manchester City punishment announced by November 6?
Ja 0,8¢1.081 Anteile
8,11 $
−57,83 $ (-87,7%)
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?
Nein 64¢12,5 Anteile
7,97 $
−0,25 $ (-3,0%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 30%-35%?
Ja 8,3¢95,5 Anteile
7,93 $
−8,31 $ (-51,2%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?
Ja 1,6¢475 Anteile
7,6 $
−39,9 $ (-84,0%)
Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
Nein 84,5¢8,3 Anteile
7 $
+0,04 $ (+0,6%)
Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31?
Nein 48,3¢13 Anteile
6,28 $
−1,65 $ (-20,8%)
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ja 20,5¢30 Anteile
6,17 $
−3,62 $ (-37,0%)
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
Ja 10,8¢48,8 Anteile
5,3 $
−14,03 $ (-72,6%)
Will Nightfaces win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Ja 3,5¢129 Anteile
4,45 $
−18,51 $ (-80,6%)
Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
Ja 5,2¢79,4 Anteile
4,13 $
−1,11 $ (-21,2%)
Buttigieg's Democratic nomination odds hit 8% by December 31?
Ja 20,5¢20 Anteile
4,1 $
−4,7 $ (-53,4%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ja 0,9¢475 Anteile
4,04 $
−43,46 $ (-91,5%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-28 House election by 10%-15%?
Ja 4¢90 Anteile
3,6 $
−21,6 $ (-85,7%)
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?
Ja 4¢82 Anteile
3,28 $
−9,02 $ (-73,3%)
Will Jamilu Isyaku Gwamna win the 2027 Gombe State gubernatorial election?
Nein 32,5¢10 Anteile
3,25 $
−0,05 $ (-1,5%)
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?
Nein 100,0¢2,8 Anteile
2,84 $
+1,02 $ (+56,2%)
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?
Ja 89,5¢2,8 Anteile
2,48 $
+0,29 $ (+13,3%)
Will Tesla deliver between 525000 and 550000 vehicles in Q4 2026
Ja 2,8¢86 Anteile
2,41 $
−11,87 $ (-83,1%)
Will Jayson Tatum win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
Ja 2,9¢72,2 Anteile
2,06 $
+0,85 $ (+71,0%)
Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?
Nein 5,0¢40 Anteile
1,98 $
−1,62 $ (-45,0%)
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
Nein 1,9¢91,7 Anteile
1,79 $
−17,34 $ (-90,6%)
Will Folarin Balogun (Monaco) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?
Ja 1,1¢170 Anteile
1,79 $
−13,86 $ (-88,6%)
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.525 Anteile
1,76 $
−115,75 $ (-98,5%)
Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will Jessica Faircloth win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will Gregg Brelsford win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will Destry J. Payne Sr. win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢3.100 Anteile
1,55 $
−75,95 $ (-98,0%)
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
Ja 2,1¢72,2 Anteile
1,52 $
+0,31 $ (+26,0%)
Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ja 0,1¢2.852 Anteile
1,43 $
−69,86 $ (-98,0%)
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00 and $2.10 in October?
Ja 1,8¢77 Anteile
1,39 $
−6,31 $ (-82,0%)
Luke Campbell arrested by December 31?
Ja 3,1¢44 Anteile
1,36 $
−8,32 $ (-85,9%)
Will the Republicans win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Nein 28,5¢4,4 Anteile
1,27 $
+0,47 $ (+58,3%)
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?
Ja 0,1¢833,4 Anteile
1,25 $
−165,42 $ (-99,3%)
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Ja 0,1¢2.021 Anteile
1,01 $
−403,19 $ (-99,8%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ja 0,1¢2.021 Anteile
1,01 $
−403,19 $ (-99,8%)
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
Ja 2,1¢44,9 Anteile
0,97 $
+0,22 $ (+29,0%)