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2024년 1월 가입
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캘린더
주소 복사
프로필 공유
Polymarket
Polymarket에서 확인
총수익
$113,906.46
1일
−$2.61만
7일
−$5.43만
30일
−$1.36만
90일
−$6.99만
총 거래량
$9789.27만
예측 수
20,896
포지션 가치
$16.03만
성과
전체 기간 성과
1일
1주
1개월
올해
전체
거래
−$35.79만
LP
+$45.62만
메이커
+$1.48만
홀딩 보상
+$772.61
테이커
+$17.21
포지션
활동
댓글
보유 중
종료
시장
평균가 → 현재가
거래 금액
정산 시 지급액
가치
공유
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
No 100.0¢
1.6만셰어
공유
75.3¢
→
100.0¢
$1.22만
$1.62만
$1.62만
+$3,992.83
(+32.7%)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
No 15.4¢
5.1만셰어
공유
68.6¢
→
15.4¢
$3.5만
$5.1만
$7,881.23
−$2.71만
(-77.5%)
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
No 100.0¢
4,902.8셰어
공유
93.2¢
→
100.0¢
$4,570.07
$4,902.75
$4,900.3
+$330.23
(+7.2%)
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Yes 98.9¢
4,789.8셰어
공유
59.7¢
→
98.9¢
$2,859.46
$4,789.79
$4,734.7
+$1,875.24
(+65.6%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No 100.0¢
4,051.6셰어
공유
94.5¢
→
100.0¢
$3,828.45
$4,051.55
$4,049.52
+$221.07
(+5.8%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
No 79.5¢
4,913.8셰어
공유
76.2¢
→
79.5¢
$3,745.19
$4,913.8
$3,906.47
+$161.29
(+4.3%)
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 95.3¢
4,068.2셰어
공유
94.8¢
→
95.3¢
$3,856.67
$4,068.22
$3,879.05
+$22.38
(+0.6%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 97.5¢
2,987.8셰어
공유
35.6¢
→
97.5¢
$1,064.77
$2,987.8
$2,911.61
+$1,846.85
(+173.5%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 52.5¢
5,117.9셰어
공유
34.0¢
→
52.5¢
$1,738.51
$5,117.89
$2,689.45
+$950.94
(+54.7%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
No 91.5¢
2,624.5셰어
공유
92¢
→
91.5¢
$2,414.58
$2,624.54
$2,401.45
−$13.12
(-0.5%)
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?
No 86¢
2,422.5셰어
공유
88.1¢
→
86¢
$2,135.32
$2,422.49
$2,083.34
−$51.97
(-2.4%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
No 78.5¢
2,461.9셰어
공유
78¢
→
78.5¢
$1,920.3
$2,461.92
$1,932.61
+$12.31
(+0.6%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 30.6¢
6,051.1셰어
공유
43.9¢
→
30.6¢
$2,658.43
$6,051.08
$1,854.66
−$803.77
(-30.2%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
No 92.5¢
1,917.4셰어
공유
74.5¢
→
92.5¢
$1,428.87
$1,917.42
$1,773.61
+$344.74
(+24.1%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No 21.5¢
8,174.3셰어
공유
24.4¢
→
21.5¢
$1,996.92
$8,174.32
$1,757.48
−$239.44
(-12.0%)
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 98.8¢
1,613.2셰어
공유
98.9¢
→
98.8¢
$1,594.83
$1,613.16
$1,593.8
−$1.03
(-0.1%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
No 99.8¢
1,560.3셰어
공유
33.0¢
→
99.8¢
$514.89
$1,560.34
$1,557.21
+$1,042.33
(+202.4%)
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
No 100.0¢
1,513셰어
공유
95.6¢
→
100.0¢
$1,446.97
$1,512.95
$1,512.19
+$65.23
(+4.5%)
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
No 100.0¢
1,474.4셰어
공유
89.5¢
→
100.0¢
$1,319.73
$1,474.45
$1,473.71
+$153.98
(+11.7%)
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Yes 98.8¢
1,362.4셰어
공유
65.8¢
→
98.8¢
$896.38
$1,362.38
$1,345.35
+$448.97
(+50.1%)
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
No 100.0¢
1,294.3셰어
공유
96.8¢
→
100.0¢
$1,253.15
$1,294.27
$1,293.63
+$40.47
(+3.2%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
No 98.5¢
1,305.7셰어
공유
42¢
→
98.5¢
$548.39
$1,305.69
$1,286.11
+$737.72
(+134.5%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 39.9¢
3,125.1셰어
공유
42.9¢
→
39.9¢
$1,339.73
$3,125.15
$1,245.37
−$94.36
(-7.0%)
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
No 80.5¢
1,378.7셰어
공유
85.3¢
→
80.5¢
$1,176.53
$1,378.73
$1,109.88
−$66.65
(-5.7%)
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
No 87.8¢
1,226.9셰어
공유
84.8¢
→
87.8¢
$1,040.85
$1,226.91
$1,077.84
+$37
(+3.6%)
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No 89.5¢
1,095.7셰어
공유
92¢
→
89.5¢
$1,008.01
$1,095.66
$980.61
−$27.39
(-2.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?
No 98.7¢
938.9셰어
공유
34.3¢
→
98.7¢
$322.38
$938.9
$926.7
+$604.32
(+187.5%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?
No 58.5¢
1,527.4셰어
공유
59.1¢
→
58.5¢
$902.19
$1,527.44
$893.55
−$8.64
(-1.0%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
No 64.5¢
1,375.7셰어
공유
64.6¢
→
64.5¢
$888.5
$1,375.66
$887.3
−$1.2
(-0.1%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 98.4¢
901.6셰어
공유
79.7¢
→
98.4¢
$718.41
$901.55
$886.68
+$168.27
(+23.4%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?
No 99.6¢
879.8셰어
공유
56.8¢
→
99.6¢
$499.76
$879.84
$876.32
+$376.56
(+75.3%)
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
No 77.5¢
1,129.6셰어
공유
81.6¢
→
77.5¢
$922.23
$1,129.63
$875.47
−$46.77
(-5.1%)
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
No 98.7¢
872셰어
공유
31.5¢
→
98.7¢
$274.46
$871.98
$860.21
+$585.75
(+213.4%)
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No 29.5¢
2,899.1셰어
공유
31.6¢
→
29.5¢
$916.19
$2,899.08
$855.23
−$60.96
(-6.7%)
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?
No 92.5¢
907.9셰어
공유
82.3¢
→
92.5¢
$747.14
$907.91
$839.82
+$92.67
(+12.4%)
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 3.4¢
2.4만셰어
공유
2.8¢
→
3.4¢
$669.32
$2.41만
$807.22
+$137.9
(+20.6%)
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No 70.3¢
1,039.3셰어
공유
67.9¢
→
70.3¢
$705.33
$1,039.28
$730.61
+$25.28
(+3.6%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No 64¢
1,119.5셰어
공유
55.7¢
→
64¢
$623.96
$1,119.46
$716.45
+$92.49
(+14.8%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Yes 99.8¢
702.7셰어
공유
96.4¢
→
99.8¢
$677.39
$702.69
$700.93
+$23.54
(+3.5%)
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
No 79.5¢
826.3셰어
공유
85¢
→
79.5¢
$702.34
$826.29
$656.9
−$45.45
(-6.5%)
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
No 89.4¢
712.5셰어
공유
93.3¢
→
89.4¢
$664.76
$712.46
$636.94
−$27.82
(-4.2%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
No 94.5¢
658.5셰어
공유
86.6¢
→
94.5¢
$570.39
$658.46
$622.25
+$51.86
(+9.1%)
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
Yes 97.5¢
628.6셰어
공유
65.2¢
→
97.5¢
$409.72
$628.64
$612.93
+$203.21
(+49.6%)
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 2 and November 8, 2026?
No 91.5¢
668.2셰어
공유
89.8¢
→
91.5¢
$600
$668.24
$611.44
+$11.44
(+1.9%)
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
Yes 23¢
2,410.9셰어
공유
28.0¢
→
23¢
$675.06
$2,410.93
$554.51
−$120.54
(-17.9%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No 84.9¢
645.3셰어
공유
72.3¢
→
84.9¢
$466.61
$645.32
$547.55
+$80.94
(+17.3%)
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?
No 100.0¢
541.8셰어
공유
96.5¢
→
100.0¢
$522.83
$541.76
$541.49
+$18.66
(+3.6%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 68.8¢
777.4셰어
공유
68.6¢
→
68.8¢
$533.63
$777.43
$534.48
+$0.85
(+0.2%)
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
No 88.5¢
580.4셰어
공유
83.1¢
→
88.5¢
$482.48
$580.41
$513.66
+$31.18
(+6.5%)
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 80% by March 31?
No 92.5¢
554.6셰어
공유
94¢
→
92.5¢
$521.36
$554.64
$513.04
−$8.32
(-1.6%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?
No 47.5¢
1,077.8셰어
공유
48.0¢
→
47.5¢
$517.17
$1,077.82
$511.96
−$5.21
(-1.0%)
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Yes 100.0¢
507셰어
공유
93.0¢
→
100.0¢
$471.41
$507.01
$506.76
+$35.35
(+7.5%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?
No 42.5¢
1,173셰어
공유
44.3¢
→
42.5¢
$519.54
$1,173.04
$498.54
−$21
(-4.0%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?
No 97.9¢
509.1셰어
공유
93.8¢
→
97.9¢
$477.38
$509.13
$498.18
+$20.8
(+4.4%)
Will Euphoria be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
No 69.0¢
721.5셰어
공유
83.5¢
→
69.0¢
$602.41
$721.45
$498.16
−$104.25
(-17.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?
No 91.4¢
544.1셰어
공유
56.9¢
→
91.4¢
$309.74
$544.06
$497.27
+$187.53
(+60.5%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 15.2¢
3,279.7셰어
공유
20.8¢
→
15.2¢
$680.99
$3,279.7
$496.88
−$184.12
(-27.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?
No 99.4¢
500셰어
공유
83¢
→
99.4¢
$415
$500
$496.75
+$81.75
(+19.7%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 60.2¢
822.9셰어
공유
54.1¢
→
60.2¢
$445.28
$822.87
$494.96
+$49.68
(+11.2%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No 98.0¢
500셰어
공유
65¢
→
98.0¢
$325
$500
$489.75
+$164.75
(+50.7%)
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?
No 89.8¢
539셰어
공유
80.5¢
→
89.8¢
$433.97
$539.04
$483.79
+$49.82
(+11.5%)
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 40.5¢
1,190.4셰어
공유
49.0¢
→
40.5¢
$583.5
$1,190.38
$482.1
−$101.4
(-17.4%)
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Yes 29.7¢
1,581.6셰어
공유
30.4¢
→
29.7¢
$480.21
$1,581.62
$469.74
−$10.47
(-2.2%)
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
No 100.0¢
465.6셰어
공유
95.8¢
→
100.0¢
$446.07
$465.64
$465.4
+$19.34
(+4.3%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No 43.5¢
1,043.5셰어
공유
56.3¢
→
43.5¢
$587.62
$1,043.51
$453.93
−$133.69
(-22.8%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?
No 99.3¢
449.1셰어
공유
74.0¢
→
99.3¢
$332.44
$449.14
$445.77
+$113.33
(+34.1%)
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
No 85.0¢
522.6셰어
공유
87.9¢
→
85.0¢
$459.67
$522.64
$443.98
−$15.69
(-3.4%)
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?
No 87.4¢
504.2셰어
공유
88.4¢
→
87.4¢
$445.84
$504.21
$440.43
−$5.41
(-1.2%)
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
No 96.8¢
451.9셰어
공유
78.4¢
→
96.8¢
$354.46
$451.9
$437.44
+$82.98
(+23.4%)
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 62¢
668.4셰어
공유
60.1¢
→
62¢
$401.76
$668.45
$414.44
+$12.68
(+3.2%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 69.5¢
578.8셰어
공유
73.7¢
→
69.5¢
$426.74
$578.76
$402.24
−$24.51
(-5.7%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 88.5¢
447.4셰어
공유
47.1¢
→
88.5¢
$210.56
$447.42
$395.96
+$185.41
(+88.1%)
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No 97.2¢
403.5셰어
공유
71.9¢
→
97.2¢
$290.27
$403.45
$391.96
+$101.69
(+35.0%)
Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit 8% by December 31?
No 86.5¢
448.7셰어
공유
87.2¢
→
86.5¢
$391.43
$448.73
$388.15
−$3.28
(-0.8%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
No 76.3¢
499.4셰어
공유
80.8¢
→
76.3¢
$403.4
$499.37
$381.27
−$22.14
(-5.5%)
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
No 99.9¢
380.5셰어
공유
70.2¢
→
99.9¢
$267.14
$380.49
$380.11
+$112.98
(+42.3%)
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
No 95.7¢
397.1셰어
공유
76¢
→
95.7¢
$301.82
$397.13
$380.05
+$78.23
(+25.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?
No 99.9¢
380.3셰어
공유
34.1¢
→
99.9¢
$129.75
$380.33
$379.95
+$250.2
(+192.8%)
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
No 68¢
558.3셰어
공유
79.8¢
→
68¢
$445.67
$558.29
$379.63
−$66.04
(-14.8%)
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 97.9¢
380.9셰어
공유
58.8¢
→
97.9¢
$223.98
$380.86
$372.67
+$148.69
(+66.4%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 1.3¢
3만셰어
공유
20¢
→
1.3¢
$5,933.16
$2.97만
$370.82
−$5,562.34
(-93.8%)
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 83¢
444.2셰어
공유
72.2¢
→
83¢
$320.91
$444.24
$368.72
+$47.81
(+14.9%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2027 meeting?
No 44.5¢
817.2셰어
공유
48.5¢
→
44.5¢
$396.69
$817.23
$363.67
−$33.03
(-8.3%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
No 98.4¢
368.7셰어
공유
63¢
→
98.4¢
$232.31
$368.74
$362.66
+$130.35
(+56.1%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
No 75.5¢
479.2셰어
공유
67.2¢
→
75.5¢
$321.82
$479.2
$361.8
+$39.98
(+12.4%)
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
No 97.3¢
371.6셰어
공유
82¢
→
97.3¢
$304.7
$371.59
$361.37
+$56.67
(+18.6%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 80.8¢
442.5셰어
공유
79.9¢
→
80.8¢
$353.47
$442.51
$357.55
+$4.08
(+1.2%)
Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?
No 97.1¢
356.2셰어
공유
93¢
→
97.1¢
$331.23
$356.16
$345.83
+$14.6
(+4.4%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 85.9¢
400셰어
공유
87.9¢
→
85.9¢
$351.6
$400
$343.4
−$8.2
(-2.3%)
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?
Yes 98.5¢
341.6셰어
공유
93¢
→
98.5¢
$317.7
$341.61
$336.31
+$18.62
(+5.9%)
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
No 54.5¢
612.8셰어
공유
51.5¢
→
54.5¢
$315.69
$612.82
$333.99
+$18.3
(+5.8%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?
No 77.5¢
423.7셰어
공유
76.4¢
→
77.5¢
$323.79
$423.67
$328.35
+$4.55
(+1.4%)
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 30, 2026?
No 60¢
523.7셰어
공유
58.1¢
→
60¢
$304
$523.68
$314.21
+$10.21
(+3.4%)
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?
No 100.0¢
311.9셰어
공유
88.6¢
→
100.0¢
$276.49
$311.92
$311.76
+$35.27
(+12.8%)
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?
Yes 73.5¢
421.5셰어
공유
73.8¢
→
73.5¢
$311.12
$421.49
$309.8
−$1.32
(-0.4%)
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?
No 44.0¢
695.8셰어
공유
50.6¢
→
44.0¢
$352.3
$695.81
$305.81
−$46.49
(-13.2%)
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
No 97.0¢
313.6셰어
공유
30.4¢
→
97.0¢
$95.32
$313.63
$304.06
+$208.74
(+219.0%)
Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?
No 99.0¢
301.1셰어
공유
59¢
→
99.0¢
$177.64
$301.09
$297.93
+$120.29
(+67.7%)
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
Yes 28.9¢
1,018.7셰어
공유
45.2¢
→
28.9¢
$460.46
$1,018.71
$294.92
−$165.54
(-36.0%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 98.5¢
286셰어
공유
35.1¢
→
98.5¢
$100.55
$285.98
$281.69
+$181.14
(+180.2%)
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