PolyScalping
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스캐너
리더보드
트래커
LP 대시보드
통계
도구
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포인트
tradetosurvive1
2026년 6월 가입
플렉스 카드
캘린더
주소 복사
프로필 공유
Polymarket
Polymarket에서 확인
총수익
$134,860.77
1일
−$3,295.02
7일
$1,395.16
30일
$1.28만
90일
$9.75만
총 거래량
$947.13만
예측 수
39,702
포지션 가치
$6.98만
성과
전체 기간 성과
1일
1주
1개월
올해
전체
거래
−$23.69만
LP
+$35.1만
메이커
+$2.08만
홀딩 보상
+$1.57
테이커
+$10.00
수수료
−$89.76
순위 요약
종합
#1,306
지갑 330.2만개 중
거래량
#2,978
지갑 330.2만개 중
수익
#3,248,623
지갑 330.2만개 중
LP 보상
#10
수령 지갑 18.9만개 중
메이커 리베이트
#385
수령 지갑 16.1만개 중
테이커 리베이트
#53,383
수령 지갑 7.2만개 중
홀딩 보상
#40,025
수령 지갑 35.2만개 중
지불 수수료
#129,077
납부 지갑 153.5만개 중
포지션
활동
댓글
보유 중
종료
시장
평균가 → 현재가
거래 금액
정산 시 지급액
가치
공유
Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?
Yes 98.7¢
527.2셰어
공유
85.1¢
→
98.7¢
$448.71
$527.15
$520.03
+$71.32
(+15.9%)
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
No 93.5¢
546.2셰어
공유
77.1¢
→
93.5¢
$421.38
$546.19
$510.69
+$89.31
(+21.2%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 4?
Yes 99.8¢
474.2셰어
공유
37¢
→
99.8¢
$175.45
$474.2
$473.02
+$297.56
(+169.6%)
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 68.8¢
617.1셰어
공유
86.0¢
→
68.8¢
$530.44
$617.1
$424.56
−$105.87
(-20.0%)
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
No 98.5¢
429셰어
공유
37.3¢
→
98.5¢
$159.9
$429.03
$422.38
+$262.49
(+164.2%)
Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Yes 94¢
446.6셰어
공유
27.1¢
→
94¢
$121.04
$446.6
$419.8
+$298.76
(+246.8%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
No 92.5¢
443.2셰어
공유
76.1¢
→
92.5¢
$337.16
$443.2
$409.96
+$72.79
(+21.6%)
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
No 89.3¢
437.8셰어
공유
80.9¢
→
89.3¢
$354.15
$437.84
$391.21
+$37.06
(+10.5%)
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?
No 100.0¢
351.2셰어
공유
96.2¢
→
100.0¢
$337.82
$351.24
$351.07
+$13.25
(+3.9%)
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 70¢
500셰어
공유
60¢
→
70¢
$300
$500
$350
+$50
(+16.7%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?
Yes 96.2¢
347.6셰어
공유
83.7¢
→
96.2¢
$290.82
$347.62
$334.41
+$43.58
(+15.0%)
Viktor Orbán arrested by...?
No 87.1¢
381.1셰어
공유
75.2¢
→
87.1¢
$286.6
$381.14
$331.97
+$45.37
(+15.8%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No 75¢
441.7셰어
공유
65.5¢
→
75¢
$289.16
$441.7
$331.28
+$42.12
(+14.6%)
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
Yes 98.5¢
318.1셰어
공유
73.0¢
→
98.5¢
$232.34
$318.11
$313.18
+$80.85
(+34.8%)
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Yes 99.5¢
305.6셰어
공유
81.3¢
→
99.5¢
$248.31
$305.6
$303.92
+$55.62
(+22.4%)
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Yes 71¢
424.8셰어
공유
52.6¢
→
71¢
$223.53
$424.75
$301.57
+$78.04
(+34.9%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on November 5?
No 48.5¢
619.5셰어
공유
55.0¢
→
48.5¢
$340.71
$619.47
$300.44
−$40.27
(-11.8%)
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 73¢
394.5셰어
공유
60.1¢
→
73¢
$237.05
$394.48
$287.97
+$50.92
(+21.5%)
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and US gas hit $3.50 by the end of 2026?
No 93.8¢
306.3셰어
공유
92.0¢
→
93.8¢
$281.97
$306.32
$287.33
+$5.36
(+1.9%)
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
No 65.5¢
436셰어
공유
60.0¢
→
65.5¢
$261.56
$435.98
$285.56
+$24
(+9.2%)
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
No 100.0¢
283.3셰어
공유
88.1¢
→
100.0¢
$249.71
$283.25
$283.11
+$33.4
(+13.4%)
Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?
No 100.0¢
280.1셰어
공유
77.1¢
→
100.0¢
$215.95
$280.06
$279.92
+$63.97
(+29.6%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
No 86¢
318.2셰어
공유
24.8¢
→
86¢
$79.05
$318.21
$273.66
+$194.61
(+246.2%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
No 87¢
295셰어
공유
46.2¢
→
87¢
$136.2
$295
$256.65
+$120.45
(+88.4%)
Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 50.5¢
503.9셰어
공유
40.4¢
→
50.5¢
$203.33
$503.89
$254.46
+$51.14
(+25.2%)
Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?
Yes 97.3¢
255셰어
공유
34.5¢
→
97.3¢
$87.88
$255
$248.12
+$160.24
(+182.3%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 53¢
457.1셰어
공유
56.2¢
→
53¢
$256.87
$457.12
$242.27
−$14.6
(-5.7%)
F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship?
No 74¢
325셰어
공유
38.2¢
→
74¢
$124.25
$325
$240.5
+$116.25
(+93.6%)
Will "Wuthering Heights" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 56.0¢
426.7셰어
공유
68.9¢
→
56.0¢
$293.9
$426.72
$238.96
−$54.94
(-18.7%)
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?
Yes 46.8¢
506.3셰어
공유
47.9¢
→
46.8¢
$242.27
$506.3
$236.69
−$5.57
(-2.3%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes 46.5¢
509셰어
공유
33.6¢
→
46.5¢
$171.12
$508.97
$236.67
+$65.55
(+38.3%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?
No 96.2¢
245셰어
공유
95.5¢
→
96.2¢
$233.98
$245
$235.69
+$1.72
(+0.7%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 5?
Yes 37¢
636.8셰어
공유
46¢
→
37¢
$292.94
$636.83
$235.63
−$57.31
(-19.6%)
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 53.5¢
427.8셰어
공유
55.1¢
→
53.5¢
$235.78
$427.78
$228.86
−$6.92
(-2.9%)
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?
No 55.3¢
411.1셰어
공유
57.1¢
→
55.3¢
$234.77
$411.05
$227.31
−$7.46
(-3.2%)
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
No 71.0¢
319.7셰어
공유
56.3¢
→
71.0¢
$180.02
$319.75
$227.18
+$47.17
(+26.2%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 5?
Yes 61.5¢
351.9셰어
공유
54¢
→
61.5¢
$190.04
$351.93
$216.44
+$26.39
(+13.9%)
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 52.5¢
412셰어
공유
52.8¢
→
52.5¢
$217.46
$412
$216.3
−$1.16
(-0.5%)
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 80.5¢
265.8셰어
공유
64.0¢
→
80.5¢
$170.08
$265.85
$214.01
+$43.93
(+25.8%)
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
No 85.5¢
250.2셰어
공유
63.1¢
→
85.5¢
$157.93
$250.22
$213.94
+$56.01
(+35.5%)
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?
No 47¢
452.3셰어
공유
43.5¢
→
47¢
$196.99
$452.34
$212.6
+$15.6
(+7.9%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?
No 82¢
258.7셰어
공유
69.9¢
→
82¢
$180.79
$258.68
$212.12
+$31.33
(+17.3%)
Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?
No 60¢
350셰어
공유
27.7¢
→
60¢
$97
$350
$210
+$113
(+116.5%)
Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?
No 71.5¢
292.4셰어
공유
43.0¢
→
71.5¢
$125.68
$292.4
$209.07
+$83.39
(+66.4%)
Will "I Love Boosters" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 41.5¢
500셰어
공유
56.4¢
→
41.5¢
$282
$500
$207.5
−$74.5
(-26.4%)
Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
No 89¢
230셰어
공유
68.5¢
→
89¢
$157.58
$229.99
$204.69
+$47.11
(+29.9%)
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
Yes 57.0¢
355셰어
공유
53.9¢
→
57.0¢
$191.31
$355
$202.35
+$11.04
(+5.8%)
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
No 100.0¢
200셰어
공유
96.2¢
→
100.0¢
$192.4
$200
$199.9
+$7.5
(+3.9%)
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
No 100.0¢
200셰어
공유
72.1¢
→
100.0¢
$144.2
$200
$199.9
+$55.7
(+38.6%)
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
No 100.0¢
200셰어
공유
97.5¢
→
100.0¢
$195
$200
$199.9
+$4.9
(+2.5%)
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?
Yes 64.5¢
302.9셰어
공유
71.2¢
→
64.5¢
$215.79
$302.92
$195.39
−$20.4
(-9.5%)
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?
No 97.3¢
196.6셰어
공유
65.6¢
→
97.3¢
$128.94
$196.59
$191.19
+$62.24
(+48.3%)
Will "Magan's Fare" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 37.5¢
500셰어
공유
28.4¢
→
37.5¢
$142
$500
$187.5
+$45.5
(+32.0%)
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
No 93¢
200셰어
공유
78¢
→
93¢
$156
$200
$186
+$30
(+19.2%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No 41¢
446.7셰어
공유
40.4¢
→
41¢
$180.62
$446.72
$183.16
+$2.53
(+1.4%)
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
Yes 39¢
466.6셰어
공유
51.1¢
→
39¢
$238.31
$466.65
$181.99
−$56.32
(-23.6%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 53.5¢
337셰어
공유
60.2¢
→
53.5¢
$202.74
$337
$180.3
−$22.45
(-11.1%)
Will "The Tuners" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 36¢
500셰어
공유
42.8¢
→
36¢
$214
$500
$180
−$34
(-15.9%)
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No 81.5¢
219.4셰어
공유
75.8¢
→
81.5¢
$166.32
$219.42
$178.83
+$12.5
(+7.5%)
Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 98.5¢
181셰어
공유
31.8¢
→
98.5¢
$57.54
$181
$178.19
+$120.65
(+209.7%)
Will "Agapito" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 69¢
255.1셰어
공유
71.3¢
→
69¢
$181.82
$255.09
$176.01
−$5.81
(-3.2%)
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?
No 84.5¢
208.3셰어
공유
64.5¢
→
84.5¢
$134.27
$208.26
$175.98
+$41.72
(+31.1%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?
Yes 46¢
381.9셰어
공유
37.1¢
→
46¢
$141.65
$381.94
$175.69
+$34.05
(+24.0%)
Will "Mary is Missing" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 35¢
500셰어
공유
42.4¢
→
35¢
$212
$500
$175
−$37
(-17.5%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
Yes 31.5¢
554.9셰어
공유
24.7¢
→
31.5¢
$136.91
$554.92
$174.8
+$37.89
(+27.7%)
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
Yes 41¢
417셰어
공유
37.3¢
→
41¢
$155.7
$416.97
$170.96
+$15.25
(+9.8%)
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?
Yes 62¢
273.6셰어
공유
58.5¢
→
62¢
$159.92
$273.6
$169.63
+$9.71
(+6.1%)
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 37¢
454.7셰어
공유
45.3¢
→
37¢
$206.04
$454.67
$168.23
−$37.81
(-18.4%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of November 2026?
No 86.3¢
194.4셰어
공유
95.7¢
→
86.3¢
$186.02
$194.37
$167.74
−$18.27
(-9.8%)
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
Yes 40¢
414.1셰어
공유
36.6¢
→
40¢
$151.8
$414.1
$165.64
+$13.84
(+9.1%)
Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds hit 25% by December 31?
Yes 67.5¢
245셰어
공유
59.5¢
→
67.5¢
$145.85
$244.99
$165.37
+$19.52
(+13.4%)
Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 55.0¢
300셰어
공유
62.7¢
→
55.0¢
$188
$300
$165
−$23
(-12.2%)
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 77.5¢
209.7셰어
공유
65.1¢
→
77.5¢
$136.5
$209.74
$162.55
+$26.05
(+19.1%)
Will "Listen" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 28.0¢
576.5셰어
공유
38.4¢
→
28.0¢
$221.6
$576.5
$161.42
−$60.18
(-27.2%)
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 36.5¢
435.3셰어
공유
11.5¢
→
36.5¢
$50.03
$435.27
$158.87
+$108.85
(+217.6%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No 29.5¢
538.3셰어
공유
45.0¢
→
29.5¢
$242.48
$538.31
$158.8
−$83.68
(-34.5%)
Will November be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?
No 94.7¢
167.7셰어
공유
85.0¢
→
94.7¢
$142.48
$167.65
$158.77
+$16.29
(+11.4%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 4?
Yes 98.9¢
158.6셰어
공유
43¢
→
98.9¢
$68.22
$158.64
$156.9
+$88.68
(+130.0%)
Will "Water Girl" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 73.5¢
209셰어
공유
66.5¢
→
73.5¢
$138.95
$209
$153.62
+$14.67
(+10.6%)
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?
Yes 62¢
247.3셰어
공유
43.1¢
→
62¢
$106.62
$247.31
$153.33
+$46.71
(+43.8%)
Will "Madden" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 30¢
500셰어
공유
26¢
→
30¢
$130
$500
$150
+$20
(+15.4%)
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 75¢
199.1셰어
공유
66.5¢
→
75¢
$132.5
$199.13
$149.35
+$16.84
(+12.7%)
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?
Yes 90.5¢
163.9셰어
공유
79.0¢
→
90.5¢
$129.44
$163.87
$148.31
+$18.86
(+14.6%)
U.S. enacts Protect College Sports Act before 2027?
Yes 57.0¢
256.8셰어
공유
28.3¢
→
57.0¢
$72.68
$256.82
$146.39
+$73.71
(+101.4%)
Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 29.0¢
500셰어
공유
25.4¢
→
29.0¢
$127
$500
$145
+$18
(+14.2%)
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?
Yes 71¢
204셰어
공유
74.3¢
→
71¢
$151.63
$204
$144.84
−$6.79
(-4.5%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026?
Yes 64.5¢
223.4셰어
공유
45.2¢
→
64.5¢
$101.02
$223.38
$144.08
+$43.06
(+42.6%)
Will "Minotaur" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 48¢
300.1셰어
공유
49.3¢
→
48¢
$147.87
$300.13
$144.06
−$3.81
(-2.6%)
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?
No 33.3¢
430.6셰어
공유
23.7¢
→
33.3¢
$102.26
$430.63
$143.18
+$40.93
(+40.0%)
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 62.5¢
228.9셰어
공유
55.0¢
→
62.5¢
$125.98
$228.89
$143.06
+$17.08
(+13.6%)
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
No 50.9¢
278셰어
공유
54.9¢
→
50.9¢
$152.61
$278
$141.5
−$11.11
(-7.3%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?
No 76.5¢
184.9셰어
공유
62.5¢
→
76.5¢
$115.54
$184.93
$141.47
+$25.93
(+22.4%)
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
No 90¢
156.7셰어
공유
72.0¢
→
90¢
$112.74
$156.67
$141
+$28.26
(+25.1%)
Will "Paper Trail" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 44¢
318.9셰어
공유
55.3¢
→
44¢
$176.33
$318.95
$140.34
−$36
(-20.4%)
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
No 32¢
438.3셰어
공유
28.2¢
→
32¢
$123.74
$438.31
$140.26
+$16.52
(+13.3%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?
No 84¢
166.2셰어
공유
84.5¢
→
84¢
$140.55
$166.22
$139.62
−$0.93
(-0.7%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on November 4?
No 49¢
284.6셰어
공유
50¢
→
49¢
$142.28
$284.56
$139.43
−$2.85
(-2.0%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
Yes 29.3¢
474.5셰어
공유
86.3¢
→
29.3¢
$409.53
$474.48
$139.26
−$270.27
(-66.0%)
Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 84.3¢
163.9셰어
공유
65.5¢
→
84.3¢
$107.31
$163.91
$138.18
+$30.87
(+28.8%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No 59.8¢
230.1셰어
공유
57.2¢
→
59.8¢
$131.57
$230.14
$137.51
+$5.94
(+4.5%)
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