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AMAM13
2024년 10월 가입
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캘린더
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프로필 공유
Polymarket
Polymarket에서 확인
총수익
$99,673.29
1일
−$462.16
7일
$345.72
30일
−$1,068.88
90일
$1.41만
총 거래량
$918.42만
예측 수
28,211
포지션 가치
$2.11만
성과
전체 기간 성과
1일
1주
1개월
올해
전체
거래
−$12.91만
LP
+$21.88만
메이커
+$9,913.15
홀딩 보상
+$16.73
테이커
+$48.60
포지션
활동
댓글
보유 중
종료
시장
평균가 → 현재가
거래 금액
정산 시 지급액
가치
공유
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Yes 4.5¢
1.5만셰어
공유
8.2¢
→
4.5¢
$1,254.77
$1.54만
$691.14
−$563.63
(-44.9%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
Yes 70.5¢
674.3셰어
공유
70¢
→
70.5¢
$472
$674.29
$475.37
+$3.37
(+0.7%)
Will Zendaya and Robert Pattinson star in another film together announced in 2026?
No 87¢
473셰어
공유
84¢
→
87¢
$397.32
$473
$411.51
+$14.19
(+3.6%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?
No 74.7¢
400셰어
공유
42.0¢
→
74.7¢
$168
$400
$298.8
+$130.8
(+77.9%)
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
No 61¢
466.1셰어
공유
63.1¢
→
61¢
$294.12
$466.14
$284.35
−$9.77
(-3.3%)
Will Nicolás Castro (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Liga MX season?
No 69.5¢
392셰어
공유
91¢
→
69.5¢
$356.7
$391.98
$272.62
−$84.08
(-23.6%)
Will the All Progressives Congress (APC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian House of Representatives election?
Yes 73.5¢
340셰어
공유
76¢
→
73.5¢
$258.4
$340
$249.9
−$8.5
(-3.3%)
Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
No 99.4¢
246.2셰어
공유
66.6¢
→
99.4¢
$163.92
$246.21
$244.73
+$80.81
(+49.3%)
Will Bridget Phillipson be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
No 96.0¢
240셰어
공유
92¢
→
96.0¢
$220.8
$240
$230.28
+$9.48
(+4.3%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
No 67.5¢
312.6셰어
공유
67.8¢
→
67.5¢
$212
$312.62
$211.02
−$0.99
(-0.5%)
Maduro guilty of all counts?
Yes 34¢
545셰어
공유
18.6¢
→
34¢
$101.5
$544.95
$185.28
+$83.78
(+82.5%)
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 65¢
259.1셰어
공유
82¢
→
65¢
$212.45
$259.08
$168.4
−$44.04
(-20.7%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
Yes 39.5¢
418.6셰어
공유
40¢
→
39.5¢
$167.42
$418.55
$165.33
−$2.09
(-1.3%)
Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?
No 69.2¢
224셰어
공유
76.4¢
→
69.2¢
$171.11
$224
$154.9
−$16.22
(-9.5%)
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes 1.4¢
1.1만셰어
공유
3.5¢
→
1.4¢
$367.1
$1.06만
$142.7
−$224.4
(-61.1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 40%-45%?
No 89.6¢
156셰어
공유
80.6¢
→
89.6¢
$125.69
$155.96
$139.82
+$14.13
(+11.2%)
Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?
No 67.5¢
205셰어
공유
74¢
→
67.5¢
$151.7
$205
$138.38
−$13.33
(-8.8%)
Will Xavier Becerra win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?
No 56.0¢
247셰어
공유
68¢
→
56.0¢
$167.97
$247.01
$138.33
−$29.64
(-17.6%)
Will Joel Ronal Parimango Álvarez win the next Maynas mayoral elections?
No 74.9¢
177셰어
공유
86¢
→
74.9¢
$152.22
$177
$132.48
−$19.74
(-13.0%)
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 12¢
1,088.5셰어
공유
17.0¢
→
12¢
$184.75
$1,088.49
$130.62
−$54.14
(-29.3%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 25%-30%?
No 90.8¢
143.2셰어
공유
78.9¢
→
90.8¢
$112.95
$143.19
$130.02
+$17.07
(+15.1%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
No 95¢
128.8셰어
공유
83.9¢
→
95¢
$108.11
$128.79
$122.35
+$14.24
(+13.2%)
Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?
No 46.5¢
253.8셰어
공유
60.9¢
→
46.5¢
$154.46
$253.81
$118.02
−$36.44
(-23.6%)
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?
No 70.5¢
167.3셰어
공유
72.3¢
→
70.5¢
$120.93
$167.33
$117.97
−$2.96
(-2.4%)
Will Donyell Malen (Roma) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Serie A season?
Yes 38.3¢
284셰어
공유
36¢
→
38.3¢
$102.24
$284
$108.63
+$6.39
(+6.3%)
Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?
Yes 88.4¢
121.9셰어
공유
48¢
→
88.4¢
$58.53
$121.94
$107.79
+$49.26
(+84.2%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 700,000 and 750,000?
No 60.5¢
177.5셰어
공유
82¢
→
60.5¢
$145.59
$177.55
$107.42
−$38.17
(-26.2%)
Will Babalwa Lobishe be the next mayor of Nelson Mandela Bay?
No 81.3¢
129셰어
공유
90¢
→
81.3¢
$116.1
$129
$104.81
−$11.29
(-9.7%)
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 2.3¢
4,507.2셰어
공유
3.0¢
→
2.3¢
$137.09
$4,507.17
$103.66
−$33.42
(-24.4%)
Will Memphis Grizzlies advance to the Western Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
Yes 25.9¢
400셰어
공유
6¢
→
25.9¢
$24
$400
$103.4
+$79.4
(+330.8%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-02 House election by 35%-40%?
No 99.4¢
103셰어
공유
83.0¢
→
99.4¢
$85.5
$103.02
$102.41
+$16.9
(+19.8%)
Will the Rams win the season series against the Seahawks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Yes 36.5¢
272.9셰어
공유
35.5¢
→
36.5¢
$96.91
$272.94
$99.62
+$2.72
(+2.8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?
No 85¢
114셰어
공유
81.5¢
→
85¢
$92.93
$114
$96.9
+$3.97
(+4.3%)
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Yes 2.8¢
3,463.1셰어
공유
3.4¢
→
2.8¢
$118.64
$3,463.06
$95.23
−$23.4
(-19.7%)
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 1.7¢
5,385.5셰어
공유
1.8¢
→
1.7¢
$95.13
$5,385.47
$88.86
−$6.27
(-6.6%)
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
No 31.5¢
264셰어
공유
30¢
→
31.5¢
$79.2
$264
$83.16
+$3.96
(+5.0%)
Will the season series between the Ravens and Bengals end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Yes 51.5¢
156.1셰어
공유
55.0¢
→
51.5¢
$85.92
$156.06
$80.37
−$5.55
(-6.5%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 50%-55%?
No 81¢
97셰어
공유
77.3¢
→
81¢
$74.99
$97.01
$78.58
+$3.59
(+4.8%)
Will MFK Ružomberok be relegated from the 2026-27 Slovak Niké Liga?
No 62¢
126셰어
공유
74.2¢
→
62¢
$93.45
$126
$78.12
−$15.33
(-16.4%)
Will Shakhtar Donetsk reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?
No 95.3¢
80셰어
공유
87¢
→
95.3¢
$69.6
$80
$76.2
+$6.6
(+9.5%)
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
Yes 10.2¢
740.9셰어
공유
7.4¢
→
10.2¢
$54.81
$740.86
$75.57
+$20.76
(+37.9%)
Will Saquon Barkley have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Yes 56.0¢
129.5셰어
공유
84.9¢
→
56.0¢
$109.95
$129.5
$72.52
−$37.43
(-34.0%)
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No 70.3¢
102.8셰어
공유
73.0¢
→
70.3¢
$75.04
$102.8
$72.27
−$2.78
(-3.7%)
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?
Yes 35.5¢
201셰어
공유
35¢
→
35.5¢
$70.35
$201
$71.36
+$1.01
(+1.4%)
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Yes 9.5¢
750셰어
공유
9.8¢
→
9.5¢
$73.32
$750
$71.25
−$2.07
(-2.8%)
Will CDU be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
No 84.5¢
84셰어
공유
90¢
→
84.5¢
$75.6
$84
$70.98
−$4.62
(-6.1%)
Next Israeli government a minority government?
No 67.5¢
104.8셰어
공유
74.1¢
→
67.5¢
$77.6
$104.79
$70.73
−$6.86
(-8.8%)
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?
No 53.5¢
130셰어
공유
58.0¢
→
53.5¢
$75.4
$130
$69.55
−$5.85
(-7.8%)
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?
Yes 41.5¢
166셰어
공유
44¢
→
41.5¢
$73.04
$166
$68.89
−$4.15
(-5.7%)
Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?
No 48¢
142셰어
공유
56.4¢
→
48¢
$80.14
$142
$68.16
−$11.98
(-14.9%)
Will the 2027 UEFA Champions League winner come from Germany?
No 86.5¢
77.9셰어
공유
86¢
→
86.5¢
$66.98
$77.88
$67.37
+$0.39
(+0.6%)
Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?
No 32.3¢
208셰어
공유
68¢
→
32.3¢
$141.44
$208
$67.18
−$74.26
(-52.5%)
Will SC Austria Lustenau be relegated from the 2026-27 Austrian Bundesliga?
No 62.5¢
105셰어
공유
76¢
→
62.5¢
$79.8
$105
$65.63
−$14.18
(-17.8%)
Will Luka Doncic win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
No 65.3¢
100셰어
공유
72¢
→
65.3¢
$72.02
$100.03
$65.27
−$6.75
(-9.4%)
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window?
Yes 61.5¢
105셰어
공유
69¢
→
61.5¢
$72.45
$105
$64.58
−$7.88
(-10.9%)
Will Kristiansund be relegated from the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?
No 61¢
105셰어
공유
91¢
→
61¢
$95.55
$105
$64.05
−$31.5
(-33.0%)
Will the Giants win the season series against the Eagles during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Yes 45.6¢
138셰어
공유
23.4¢
→
45.6¢
$32.28
$138
$62.86
+$30.58
(+94.7%)
Will ERC win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?
No 66¢
94셰어
공유
69¢
→
66¢
$64.86
$94
$62.04
−$2.82
(-4.3%)
Will Rutgers have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Yes 21.5¢
288셰어
공유
40.3¢
→
21.5¢
$116
$288
$61.92
−$54.08
(-46.6%)
Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
No 89¢
68.6셰어
공유
87¢
→
89¢
$59.7
$68.62
$61.07
+$1.37
(+2.3%)
Will Washington have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
U 8.5 91¢
67셰어
공유
62¢
→
91¢
$41.54
$67
$60.97
+$19.43
(+46.8%)
Will the Cowboys win the season series against the Commanders during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Yes 57.0¢
105셰어
공유
41¢
→
57.0¢
$43.05
$105
$59.85
+$16.8
(+39.0%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 20%-25%?
No 99.6¢
60셰어
공유
82¢
→
99.6¢
$49.2
$60
$59.76
+$10.56
(+21.5%)
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
No 99.4¢
60셰어
공유
93¢
→
99.4¢
$55.8
$60
$59.64
+$3.84
(+6.9%)
Will Trey McBride have 599.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Yes 83.5¢
71셰어
공유
91¢
→
83.5¢
$64.61
$71
$59.29
−$5.33
(-8.2%)
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
Yes 2.6¢
2,140셰어
공유
13.0¢
→
2.6¢
$278.04
$2,140
$56.71
−$221.33
(-79.6%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?
No 86.5¢
65셰어
공유
75.5¢
→
86.5¢
$49.1
$65
$56.23
+$7.13
(+14.5%)
Will Jahmyr Gibbs be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?
Yes 60.5¢
92.2셰어
공유
61.0¢
→
60.5¢
$56.2
$92.2
$55.78
−$0.42
(-0.7%)
Will Vanderbilt have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
No 95.5¢
58.2셰어
공유
70.2¢
→
95.5¢
$40.89
$58.23
$55.61
+$14.72
(+36.0%)
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?
Yes 60.5¢
91.1셰어
공유
65.7¢
→
60.5¢
$59.84
$91.12
$55.13
−$4.71
(-7.9%)
Will Aalesund be relegated from the 2026 Norway Eliteserien?
No 52¢
105셰어
공유
82¢
→
52¢
$86.09
$104.99
$54.59
−$31.5
(-36.6%)
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Yes 2.7¢
2,000셰어
공유
9¢
→
2.7¢
$180
$1,999.98
$54
−$126
(-70.0%)
Will Arsenal reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?
No 42¢
126셰어
공유
55.7¢
→
42¢
$70.14
$126
$52.92
−$17.22
(-24.6%)
Will the season series between the Rams and 49ers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Yes 50¢
105셰어
공유
56.0¢
→
50¢
$58.8
$105
$52.5
−$6.3
(-10.7%)
Will the Democrats win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election?
No 77¢
67.4셰어
공유
87.0¢
→
77¢
$58.62
$67.36
$51.87
−$6.75
(-11.5%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?
No 55.0¢
92.9셰어
공유
79.6¢
→
55.0¢
$73.96
$92.94
$51.12
−$22.84
(-30.9%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 9%-12%?
No 99.1¢
51셰어
공유
82¢
→
99.1¢
$41.82
$51
$50.52
+$8.7
(+20.8%)
Will Michael Wilson have 924.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No 40¢
125셰어
공유
78¢
→
40¢
$97.5
$125
$50
−$47.5
(-48.7%)
Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?
No 50.0¢
100셰어
공유
80¢
→
50.0¢
$80
$100
$49.95
−$30.05
(-37.6%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?
No 91¢
54.8셰어
공유
67¢
→
91¢
$36.7
$54.77
$49.84
+$13.14
(+35.8%)
Will Jonathan Truong qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?
No 82¢
60셰어
공유
74¢
→
82¢
$44.4
$60
$49.2
+$4.8
(+10.8%)
Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 15, 2026?
No 61.5¢
80셰어
공유
44¢
→
61.5¢
$35.2
$80
$49.2
+$14
(+39.8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?
No 94.6¢
51셰어
공유
80¢
→
94.6¢
$40.8
$51
$48.25
+$7.45
(+18.3%)
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?
Yes 28.5¢
169.2셰어
공유
38¢
→
28.5¢
$64.3
$169.22
$48.23
−$16.08
(-25.0%)
Will T1 make a roster change by December?
No 50¢
96셰어
공유
64¢
→
50¢
$61.44
$96
$48
−$13.44
(-21.9%)
Will Richards Bay be relegated from the 2026-27 South Africa Premiership?
Yes 49.9¢
94셰어
공유
50¢
→
49.9¢
$47
$94
$46.91
−$0.09
(-0.2%)
Will Lyngby be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?
Yes 39¢
120셰어
공유
52¢
→
39¢
$62.4
$120
$46.8
−$15.6
(-25.0%)
Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson?
No 86¢
53.9셰어
공유
45.4¢
→
86¢
$24.45
$53.86
$46.32
+$21.86
(+89.4%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 750,000 and 800,000?
No 77¢
60셰어
공유
87¢
→
77¢
$52.2
$60
$46.2
−$6
(-11.5%)
Will the season series between the Bears and Packers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No 44¢
105셰어
공유
61¢
→
44¢
$64.05
$105
$46.2
−$17.85
(-27.9%)
Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?
No 28.5¢
159.7셰어
공유
28.0¢
→
28.5¢
$44.73
$159.74
$45.53
+$0.8
(+1.8%)
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?
No 89¢
51셰어
공유
90¢
→
89¢
$45.9
$51
$45.39
−$0.51
(-1.1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?
No 87¢
51셰어
공유
79¢
→
87¢
$40.29
$51
$44.37
+$4.08
(+10.1%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,050,000 and 4,200,000?
No 98.6¢
45셰어
공유
90¢
→
98.6¢
$40.51
$45.01
$44.36
+$3.85
(+9.5%)
Will Shimizu S-Pulse be relegated from the 2026-27 Japan J. League?
Yes 52¢
85셰어
공유
20¢
→
52¢
$17
$85
$44.2
+$27.2
(+160.0%)
Benedict Wong as Wong?
No 29.0¢
152.2셰어
공유
36.6¢
→
29.0¢
$55.74
$152.2
$44.14
−$11.6
(-20.8%)
Will Noe Khlif reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?
No 42¢
105셰어
공유
90¢
→
42¢
$94.5
$105
$44.1
−$50.4
(-53.3%)
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.4¢
3,249.9셰어
공유
1.1¢
→
1.4¢
$37.47
$3,249.95
$43.87
+$6.4
(+17.1%)
Will the Republicans win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election?
Yes 73¢
60셰어
공유
87¢
→
73¢
$52.2
$60
$43.8
−$8.4
(-16.1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
No 99.6¢
44셰어
공유
79¢
→
99.6¢
$34.75
$43.99
$43.79
+$9.04
(+26.0%)
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