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anoin123
anoin123
2025년 12월 가입
플렉스 카드
캘린더
주소 복사
프로필 공유
Polymarket
Polymarket에서 확인
총수익
−$4,732,984.08
1일
−$29.83만
7일
−$34.92만
30일
$11.7만
90일
$57.39만
총 거래량
$1.29억
예측 수
1,449
포지션 가치
$74.39만
성과
전체 기간 성과
1일
1주
1개월
올해
전체
거래
−$484.96만
LP
+$9.5만
메이커
+$2.03만
홀딩 보상
+$1,072.35
테이커
+$240.03
순위 요약
종합
#3,301,659
지갑 330.2만개 중
거래량
#154
지갑 330.2만개 중
수익
#3,249,529
지갑 330.2만개 중
LP 보상
#56
수령 지갑 18.9만개 중
메이커 리베이트
#402
수령 지갑 16.1만개 중
테이커 리베이트
#5,622
수령 지갑 7.2만개 중
홀딩 보상
#503
수령 지갑 35.2만개 중
지불 수수료
#5,832
납부 지갑 153.5만개 중
포지션
활동
댓글
보유 중
종료
시장
평균가 → 현재가
거래 금액
정산 시 지급액
가치
공유
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes 100.0¢
27.5만셰어
공유
84.1¢
→
100.0¢
$23.1만
$27.47만
$27.45만
+$4.35만
(+18.8%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 98.5¢
4.2만셰어
공유
93.1¢
→
98.5¢
$3.9만
$4.19만
$4.12만
+$2,269.25
(+5.8%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
No 91.5¢
4.4만셰어
공유
75.9¢
→
91.5¢
$3.37만
$4.43만
$4.06만
+$6,908.26
(+20.5%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 80.5¢
4만셰어
공유
50.8¢
→
80.5¢
$2.05만
$4.03만
$3.25만
+$1.2만
(+58.4%)
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No 91¢
3.2만셰어
공유
61.5¢
→
91¢
$1.97만
$3.2만
$2.91만
+$9,444.35
(+48.0%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No 98.7¢
2.9만셰어
공유
93.7¢
→
98.7¢
$2.74만
$2.92만
$2.88만
+$1,441.83
(+5.3%)
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?
No 91¢
2.7만셰어
공유
88.1¢
→
91¢
$2.37만
$2.69만
$2.45만
+$768.44
(+3.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?
No 95.6¢
2.2만셰어
공유
76.8¢
→
95.6¢
$1.7만
$2.22만
$2.12만
+$4,158.52
(+24.4%)
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?
Yes 94.5¢
2.1만셰어
공유
74.7¢
→
94.5¢
$1.57만
$2.1만
$1.99만
+$4,165.55
(+26.5%)
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
No 99.6¢
1.8만셰어
공유
82.9¢
→
99.6¢
$1.47만
$1.78만
$1.77만
+$2,964.69
(+20.1%)
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?
No 99.6¢
1.8만셰어
공유
76.2¢
→
99.6¢
$1.34만
$1.75만
$1.75만
+$4,091.27
(+30.6%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No 64¢
1.9만셰어
공유
38.0¢
→
64¢
$7,284.21
$1.91만
$1.23만
+$4,968.81
(+68.2%)
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
No 98.5¢
9,429.6셰어
공유
29.2¢
→
98.5¢
$2,754.64
$9,429.59
$9,283.43
+$6,528.79
(+237.0%)
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 68.7¢
1.4만셰어
공유
83.7¢
→
68.7¢
$1.13만
$1.35만
$9,277.09
−$2,025.88
(-17.9%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 56.5¢
1.6만셰어
공유
28.4¢
→
56.5¢
$4,622.39
$1.63만
$9,182.8
+$4,560.41
(+98.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?
Yes 91.0¢
9,983.5셰어
공유
62.7¢
→
91.0¢
$6,264.91
$9,983.53
$9,090
+$2,825.1
(+45.1%)
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?
No 99.4¢
8,005.1셰어
공유
68.2¢
→
99.4¢
$5,461.46
$8,005.05
$7,957.02
+$2,495.56
(+45.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?
Yes 98.7¢
6,138.6셰어
공유
36.7¢
→
98.7¢
$2,251.44
$6,138.56
$6,055.69
+$3,804.25
(+169.0%)
No one announced as next James Bond?
Yes 14.3¢
4만셰어
공유
23.2¢
→
14.3¢
$9,284.1
$4만
$5,714.33
−$3,569.77
(-38.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?
Yes 93.8¢
5,986.5셰어
공유
82.1¢
→
93.8¢
$4,915.26
$5,986.53
$5,612.37
+$697.11
(+14.2%)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
No 15.3¢
3.5만셰어
공유
69.1¢
→
15.3¢
$2.43만
$3.51만
$5,391
−$1.89만
(-77.8%)
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
No 75.1¢
6,916셰어
공유
83¢
→
75.1¢
$5,740.26
$6,915.98
$5,197.36
−$542.9
(-9.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?
Yes 99¢
4,986셰어
공유
83.0¢
→
99¢
$4,137.86
$4,985.99
$4,936.13
+$798.27
(+19.3%)
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?
Yes 99.4¢
4,249.1셰어
공유
83¢
→
99.4¢
$3,526.75
$4,249.1
$4,221.48
+$694.73
(+19.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?
No 89.5¢
4,309.7셰어
공유
62.4¢
→
89.5¢
$2,687.65
$4,309.71
$3,859.35
+$1,171.7
(+43.6%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No 60.8¢
5,759.2셰어
공유
35.3¢
→
60.8¢
$2,032.19
$5,759.19
$3,501.59
+$1,469.39
(+72.3%)
Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?
Yes 67.5¢
4,459.5셰어
공유
58.9¢
→
67.5¢
$2,624.54
$4,459.5
$3,010.16
+$385.63
(+14.7%)
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
No 91.5¢
3,183셰어
공유
83¢
→
91.5¢
$2,641.88
$3,182.99
$2,912.43
+$270.55
(+10.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?
Yes 90.5¢
3,213.9셰어
공유
52.9¢
→
90.5¢
$1,700.75
$3,213.92
$2,906.99
+$1,206.24
(+70.9%)
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
No 81.5¢
3,549.2셰어
공유
56.7¢
→
81.5¢
$2,011.4
$3,549.18
$2,892.58
+$881.18
(+43.8%)
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
No 52.5¢
5,311.6셰어
공유
34.6¢
→
52.5¢
$1,840.7
$5,311.59
$2,788.58
+$947.89
(+51.5%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Yes 6¢
4.4만셰어
공유
19.3¢
→
6¢
$8,484.39
$4.4만
$2,637.27
−$5,847.13
(-68.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?
Yes 96.4¢
2,710셰어
공유
84¢
→
96.4¢
$2,276.39
$2,709.99
$2,612.43
+$336.04
(+14.8%)
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?
No 46.5¢
5,544셰어
공유
47¢
→
46.5¢
$2,605.67
$5,543.98
$2,577.95
−$27.72
(-1.1%)
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 65.5¢
3,910.9셰어
공유
56.2¢
→
65.5¢
$2,197.26
$3,910.87
$2,561.62
+$364.36
(+16.6%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No 75.5¢
3,381.7셰어
공유
55.9¢
→
75.5¢
$1,888.82
$3,381.72
$2,553.2
+$664.38
(+35.2%)
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
No 87¢
2,856.7셰어
공유
83¢
→
87¢
$2,371.04
$2,856.67
$2,485.3
+$114.27
(+4.8%)
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
No 12.8¢
1.9만셰어
공유
87¢
→
12.8¢
$1.67만
$1.92만
$2,452.09
−$1.42만
(-85.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?
No 94.3¢
2,567.5셰어
공유
79.4¢
→
94.3¢
$2,039.84
$2,567.47
$2,419.84
+$380
(+18.6%)
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?
No 80.5¢
2,901.7셰어
공유
55.9¢
→
80.5¢
$1,622.03
$2,901.67
$2,337.29
+$715.26
(+44.1%)
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?
No 100.0¢
2,302.5셰어
공유
46¢
→
100.0¢
$1,059.13
$2,302.46
$2,301.31
+$1,242.18
(+117.3%)
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No 70.3¢
3,191.1셰어
공유
63.3¢
→
70.3¢
$2,019.96
$3,191.09
$2,243.33
+$223.38
(+11.1%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No 99.9¢
2,229.2셰어
공유
85¢
→
99.9¢
$1,894.79
$2,229.17
$2,225.82
+$331.03
(+17.5%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
No 44.4¢
4,834.5셰어
공유
56.2¢
→
44.4¢
$2,718.48
$4,834.53
$2,144.12
−$574.36
(-21.1%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
Yes 98.6¢
2,161셰어
공유
83¢
→
98.6¢
$1,793.61
$2,160.97
$2,130.72
+$337.11
(+18.8%)
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
No 43¢
4,869.6셰어
공유
55.0¢
→
43¢
$2,678.29
$4,869.62
$2,093.93
−$584.35
(-21.8%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 20.5¢
1만셰어
공유
30.9¢
→
20.5¢
$3,156.89
$1.02만
$2,091.47
−$1,065.42
(-33.7%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?
Yes 43¢
4,690.1셰어
공유
57.3¢
→
43¢
$2,685.67
$4,690.15
$2,016.76
−$668.91
(-24.9%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes 13.4¢
1.5만셰어
공유
86¢
→
13.4¢
$1.27만
$1.48만
$1,977.01
−$1.07만
(-84.4%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
No 10.6¢
1.8만셰어
공유
16.7¢
→
10.6¢
$3,084.63
$1.85만
$1,960.46
−$1,124.18
(-36.4%)
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Yes 76¢
2,491.4셰어
공유
83¢
→
76¢
$2,067.9
$2,491.45
$1,893.5
−$174.4
(-8.4%)
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
No 84.5¢
2,183.3셰어
공유
55.7¢
→
84.5¢
$1,215.52
$2,183.32
$1,846
+$630.47
(+51.9%)
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
No 87.5¢
2,007.1셰어
공유
60.5¢
→
87.5¢
$1,214.73
$2,007.07
$1,756.19
+$541.46
(+44.6%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?
Yes 96.5¢
1,789.4셰어
공유
86¢
→
96.5¢
$1,538.93
$1,789.45
$1,726.82
+$187.89
(+12.2%)
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 63.5¢
2,457.6셰어
공유
87¢
→
63.5¢
$2,138.14
$2,457.63
$1,560.6
−$577.54
(-27.0%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Yes 50¢
3,037셰어
공유
46.9¢
→
50¢
$1,424.27
$3,036.99
$1,518.49
+$94.22
(+6.6%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?
No 99.3¢
1,509.8셰어
공유
74.3¢
→
99.3¢
$1,121.77
$1,509.77
$1,498.45
+$376.67
(+33.6%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?
No 100.0¢
1,380.2셰어
공유
83.0¢
→
100.0¢
$1,145.54
$1,380.17
$1,379.48
+$233.94
(+20.4%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?
No 85.5¢
1,595.6셰어
공유
13¢
→
85.5¢
$207.42
$1,595.56
$1,364.2
+$1,156.78
(+557.7%)
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
No 28.1¢
3,773.4셰어
공유
19.8¢
→
28.1¢
$748.44
$3,773.45
$1,062.23
+$313.78
(+41.9%)
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
No 86.1¢
1,018.2셰어
공유
73¢
→
86.1¢
$743.31
$1,018.24
$876.19
+$132.88
(+17.9%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%?
No 77.5¢
980.8셰어
공유
74¢
→
77.5¢
$725.78
$980.78
$760.11
+$34.33
(+4.7%)
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
No 40.3¢
1,867.8셰어
공유
81.4¢
→
40.3¢
$1,521.15
$1,867.78
$752.71
−$768.43
(-50.5%)
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
No 12.5¢
5,767.5셰어
공유
20.9¢
→
12.5¢
$1,207.21
$5,767.45
$720.93
−$486.28
(-40.3%)
Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?
No 95.3¢
698.6셰어
공유
77.0¢
→
95.3¢
$537.9
$698.57
$665.74
+$127.84
(+23.8%)
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
No 10¢
6,483.1셰어
공유
16.3¢
→
10¢
$1,053.51
$6,483.14
$648.31
−$405.2
(-38.5%)
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?
No 99.2¢
572.5셰어
공유
89.3¢
→
99.2¢
$511.02
$572.5
$567.92
+$56.9
(+11.1%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes 37¢
1,369.1셰어
공유
40.5¢
→
37¢
$553.94
$1,369.08
$506.56
−$47.38
(-8.6%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?
No 100.0¢
500.8셰어
공유
94¢
→
100.0¢
$470.78
$500.83
$500.58
+$29.8
(+6.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?
No 91.4¢
545셰어
공유
72.2¢
→
91.4¢
$393.25
$545.04
$498.17
+$104.92
(+26.7%)
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
Yes 26.5¢
1,807.8셰어
공유
27¢
→
26.5¢
$488.1
$1,807.78
$479.06
−$9.04
(-1.9%)
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?
No 17¢
2,759.9셰어
공유
18.9¢
→
17¢
$520.36
$2,759.86
$469.18
−$51.19
(-9.8%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
No 73.6¢
570셰어
공유
72¢
→
73.6¢
$410.39
$569.99
$419.23
+$8.83
(+2.2%)
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?
No 19¢
2,183.7셰어
공유
22¢
→
19¢
$480.41
$2,183.69
$414.9
−$65.51
(-13.6%)
Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?
No 99.4¢
403.8셰어
공유
91¢
→
99.4¢
$367.42
$403.76
$401.34
+$33.92
(+9.2%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%?
Yes 48.5¢
802.4셰어
공유
29.0¢
→
48.5¢
$232.84
$802.4
$389.16
+$156.32
(+67.1%)
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?
Yes 5.4¢
6,465셰어
공유
70.3¢
→
5.4¢
$4,544.93
$6,464.95
$349.11
−$4,195.83
(-92.3%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 47¢
679.6셰어
공유
51.9¢
→
47¢
$352.88
$679.59
$319.41
−$33.48
(-9.5%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Yes 5¢
6,333.9셰어
공유
6.3¢
→
5¢
$402.04
$6,333.9
$316.7
−$85.34
(-21.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?
Yes 96.1¢
323셰어
공유
65¢
→
96.1¢
$209.95
$323
$310.4
+$100.45
(+47.8%)
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?
Yes 96.4¢
309.2셰어
공유
50¢
→
96.4¢
$154.59
$309.18
$298.05
+$143.46
(+92.8%)
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 6¢
4,787.3셰어
공유
67.0¢
→
6¢
$3,206.57
$4,787.32
$287.24
−$2,919.33
(-91.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?
No 5.1¢
5,602.4셰어
공유
70.0¢
→
5.1¢
$3,920.87
$5,602.45
$285.72
−$3,635.15
(-92.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?
Yes 24.8¢
1,154.4셰어
공유
59.7¢
→
24.8¢
$688.77
$1,154.39
$285.71
−$403.06
(-58.5%)
Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 16.2¢
1,688.2셰어
공유
11.1¢
→
16.2¢
$187.38
$1,688.15
$273.48
+$86.1
(+45.9%)
Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?
Yes 3.1¢
8,496.2셰어
공유
40¢
→
3.1¢
$3,398.47
$8,496.17
$267.63
−$3,130.84
(-92.1%)
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Yes 26.5¢
980.8셰어
공유
35.1¢
→
26.5¢
$344.01
$980.75
$259.9
−$84.11
(-24.5%)
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
No 47¢
544셰어
공유
36¢
→
47¢
$195.83
$543.96
$255.66
+$59.84
(+30.6%)
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes 20¢
1,224.6셰어
공유
22¢
→
20¢
$269.41
$1,224.58
$244.92
−$24.49
(-9.1%)
Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?
No 3.1¢
7,534셰어
공유
6¢
→
3.1¢
$452.04
$7,533.98
$237.32
−$214.72
(-47.5%)
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
No 77.5¢
290.4셰어
공유
78¢
→
77.5¢
$226.49
$290.38
$225.04
−$1.45
(-0.6%)
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
Yes 77¢
291.4셰어
공유
29.7¢
→
77¢
$86.54
$291.38
$224.36
+$137.82
(+159.3%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Yes 71.5¢
306셰어
공유
48.6¢
→
71.5¢
$148.86
$306.04
$218.82
+$69.96
(+47.0%)
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No 29.5¢
713.5셰어
공유
31¢
→
29.5¢
$221.17
$713.46
$210.47
−$10.7
(-4.8%)
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
Yes 38.5¢
541.2셰어
공유
50¢
→
38.5¢
$270.61
$541.22
$208.37
−$62.24
(-23.0%)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
No 10.5¢
1,974셰어
공유
46.9¢
→
10.5¢
$924.86
$1,973.96
$207.27
−$717.59
(-77.6%)
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?
No 99.4¢
202.1셰어
공유
77¢
→
99.4¢
$155.65
$202.14
$200.93
+$45.28
(+29.1%)
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
No 56.5¢
336.4셰어
공유
27¢
→
56.5¢
$90.82
$336.37
$190.05
+$99.23
(+109.3%)
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?
Yes 94.9¢
200셰어
공유
90¢
→
94.9¢
$180
$200
$189.8
+$9.8
(+5.4%)
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
No 55.0¢
332.9셰어
공유
34.8¢
→
55.0¢
$115.81
$332.89
$183.09
+$67.28
(+58.1%)
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