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HolyMoses7
HolyMoses7
2024년 12월 가입
플렉스 카드
캘린더
주소 복사
프로필 공유
Polymarket
Polymarket에서 확인
총수익
$202,705.84
1일
$23.19
7일
$8,646.28
30일
$1.87만
90일
$4.48만
총 거래량
$2486.57만
예측 수
4,151
포지션 가치
$22.53만
성과
전체 기간 성과
1일
1주
1개월
올해
전체
거래
+$19.91만
LP
+$1,695.11
메이커
+$282.07
홀딩 보상
+$5,521.01
추천
+$1,190.22
테이커
+$349.70
수수료
−$5,477.27
순위 요약
종합
#1,083
지갑 330.2만개 중
거래량
#1,151
지갑 330.2만개 중
수익
#1,045
지갑 330.2만개 중
LP 보상
#2,495
수령 지갑 18.9만개 중
메이커 리베이트
#11,055
수령 지갑 16.1만개 중
테이커 리베이트
#4,201
수령 지갑 7.2만개 중
추천 보상
#921
수령 지갑 1만개 중
홀딩 보상
#91
수령 지갑 35.2만개 중
지불 수수료
#5,447
납부 지갑 153.5만개 중
포지션
활동
댓글
보유 중
종료
시장
평균가 → 현재가
거래 금액
정산 시 지급액
가치
공유
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 80.6¢
15.5만셰어
공유
50¢
→
80.6¢
$7.75만
$15.5만
$12.49만
+$4.74만
(+61.2%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 19.4¢
15.5만셰어
공유
50.0¢
→
19.4¢
$7.75만
$15.5만
$3.01만
−$4.74만
(-61.2%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 97.5¢
8,769.7셰어
공유
96.5¢
→
97.5¢
$8,460.75
$8,769.68
$8,546.05
+$85.3
(+1.0%)
Israeli Knesset election annulled?
No 97.0¢
5,499.3셰어
공유
83¢
→
97.0¢
$4,564.73
$5,499.28
$5,331.55
+$766.83
(+16.8%)
Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 6?
No 99.8¢
3,654.8셰어
공유
97.3¢
→
99.8¢
$3,557.74
$3,654.83
$3,645.69
+$87.95
(+2.5%)
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
No 76.5¢
4,182셰어
공유
81.8¢
→
76.5¢
$3,420.29
$4,181.99
$3,199.22
−$221.07
(-6.5%)
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?
No 99.0¢
3,000셰어
공유
97.6¢
→
99.0¢
$2,928
$3,000
$2,968.5
+$40.5
(+1.4%)
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 0.7¢
41.1만셰어
공유
0.2¢
→
0.7¢
$664.61
$41.05만
$2,873.54
+$2,208.93
(+332.4%)
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
No 77.5¢
3,616.8셰어
공유
81.7¢
→
77.5¢
$2,954.63
$3,616.85
$2,803.06
−$151.58
(-5.1%)
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Yes 77¢
3,170셰어
공유
32.6¢
→
77¢
$1,034.99
$3,169.99
$2,440.89
+$1,405.9
(+135.8%)
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
No 57.0¢
4,233.3셰어
공유
43.0¢
→
57.0¢
$1,820.81
$4,233.29
$2,412.98
+$592.17
(+32.5%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?
No 54.5¢
3,708.8셰어
공유
56.2¢
→
54.5¢
$2,085.81
$3,708.76
$2,021.27
−$64.54
(-3.1%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 20.5¢
8,511.2셰어
공유
15.3¢
→
20.5¢
$1,301.38
$8,511.17
$1,744.79
+$443.41
(+34.1%)
Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 55.5¢
2,736.8셰어
공유
41.3¢
→
55.5¢
$1,131.71
$2,736.81
$1,518.93
+$387.21
(+34.2%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 44.5¢
3,362.2셰어
공유
44.3¢
→
44.5¢
$1,490.66
$3,362.15
$1,497.84
+$7.18
(+0.5%)
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
No 93.5¢
1,522셰어
공유
80.2¢
→
93.5¢
$1,221.03
$1,522.03
$1,423.1
+$202.07
(+16.5%)
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?
Yes 54.5¢
2,350.3셰어
공유
61.0¢
→
54.5¢
$1,434.73
$2,350.35
$1,280.94
−$153.79
(-10.7%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 51.5¢
2,167.2셰어
공유
40.8¢
→
51.5¢
$884.27
$2,167.24
$1,116.13
+$231.86
(+26.2%)
Will parties below the electoral threshold receive 8% or higher of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No 99.8¢
974셰어
공유
99.7¢
→
99.8¢
$970.94
$974.04
$971.6
+$0.67
(+0.1%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 47.5¢
1,800.2셰어
공유
42.2¢
→
47.5¢
$759.63
$1,800.17
$855.08
+$95.45
(+12.6%)
Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No 99.9¢
811.8셰어
공유
94.9¢
→
99.9¢
$770.08
$811.79
$810.57
+$40.49
(+5.3%)
Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government?
No 89.1¢
854.7셰어
공유
89.2¢
→
89.1¢
$762.81
$854.74
$761.58
−$1.23
(-0.2%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 45.5¢
1,605.4셰어
공유
41.8¢
→
45.5¢
$670.49
$1,605.45
$730.48
+$59.99
(+8.9%)
Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes 97.3¢
691셰어
공유
96.0¢
→
97.3¢
$663.59
$690.96
$671.96
+$8.37
(+1.3%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 52.1¢
1,137.9셰어
공유
33.9¢
→
52.1¢
$386.18
$1,137.95
$592.87
+$206.69
(+53.5%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-09 House election by 12% or more?
No 99.0¢
586셰어
공유
98.4¢
→
99.0¢
$576.6
$586.01
$579.86
+$3.26
(+0.6%)
Will Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?
No 95.9¢
554.3셰어
공유
98.3¢
→
95.9¢
$544.77
$554.3
$531.3
−$13.47
(-2.5%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
No 90.5¢
584.7셰어
공유
81.2¢
→
90.5¢
$475.02
$584.66
$528.82
+$53.8
(+11.3%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-07 House election by 10%-15%?
Yes 97.5¢
505.9셰어
공유
80.9¢
→
97.5¢
$409.28
$505.85
$492.95
+$83.67
(+20.4%)
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?
Yes 39.5¢
1,218.9셰어
공유
24.7¢
→
39.5¢
$301.63
$1,218.92
$481.47
+$179.84
(+59.6%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 97.4¢
491.8셰어
공유
53.3¢
→
97.4¢
$262.33
$491.75
$478.72
+$216.39
(+82.5%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 0%-5%?
Yes 93.5¢
502.6셰어
공유
49.0¢
→
93.5¢
$246.11
$502.59
$469.92
+$223.81
(+90.9%)
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
No 29.0¢
1,522셰어
공유
48.5¢
→
29.0¢
$739.03
$1,522
$441.38
−$297.65
(-40.3%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No 98.8¢
404셰어
공유
97.7¢
→
98.8¢
$394.71
$404
$398.95
+$4.24
(+1.1%)
Will Yuli Edelstein be the next Speaker of the Knesset?
No 97.8¢
401셰어
공유
97.6¢
→
97.8¢
$391.46
$401
$392.18
+$0.72
(+0.2%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 30.8¢
1,137.9셰어
공유
3.6¢
→
30.8¢
$40.64
$1,137.95
$349.92
+$309.28
(+761.0%)
Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?
No 97.2¢
318.4셰어
공유
92.7¢
→
97.2¢
$295.13
$318.4
$309.33
+$14.19
(+4.8%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 96.6¢
319.8셰어
공유
82.1¢
→
96.6¢
$262.46
$319.76
$308.89
+$46.43
(+17.7%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%?
Yes 98.2¢
300.7셰어
공유
23.2¢
→
98.2¢
$69.85
$300.71
$295.3
+$225.45
(+322.8%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 0%-5%?
Yes 91.3¢
312.2셰어
공유
97.0¢
→
91.3¢
$302.77
$312.15
$285.15
−$17.62
(-5.8%)
Will voter turnout be 76% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes 99.4¢
281.2셰어
공유
98.0¢
→
99.4¢
$275.48
$281.22
$279.39
+$3.92
(+1.4%)
Will Nir Barkat be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?
No 98.7¢
281셰어
공유
90.0¢
→
98.7¢
$252.75
$280.98
$277.19
+$24.44
(+9.7%)
Will Elazar Stern be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?
No 99.8¢
274.9셰어
공유
88.8¢
→
99.8¢
$243.96
$274.86
$274.17
+$30.21
(+12.4%)
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Yes 73.6¢
369셰어
공유
51.0¢
→
73.6¢
$188.23
$368.99
$271.58
+$83.35
(+44.3%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 15%-20%?
Yes 88¢
291.3셰어
공유
68.4¢
→
88¢
$199.31
$291.27
$256.32
+$57.01
(+28.6%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 35%-40%?
Yes 96.3¢
256.7셰어
공유
82.0¢
→
96.3¢
$210.59
$256.71
$247.08
+$36.5
(+17.3%)
Will voter turnout be 75% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes 99.5¢
246.6셰어
공유
98.8¢
→
99.5¢
$243.68
$246.55
$245.32
+$1.64
(+0.7%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Yes 96.2¢
251.8셰어
공유
1¢
→
96.2¢
$2.54
$251.84
$242.14
+$239.61
(+9448.6%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-03 House election by 10%-15%?
Yes 68.7¢
350.5셰어
공유
85.2¢
→
68.7¢
$298.62
$350.46
$240.59
−$58.03
(-19.4%)
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?
No 93¢
257.9셰어
공유
83.5¢
→
93¢
$215.22
$257.89
$239.84
+$24.62
(+11.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?
Yes 99¢
238셰어
공유
22.0¢
→
99¢
$52.36
$238
$235.62
+$183.26
(+350.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 0%-5%?
Yes 99.3¢
231.4셰어
공유
99.0¢
→
99.3¢
$228.97
$231.39
$229.77
+$0.8
(+0.4%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election by 5%-10%?
Yes 94.9¢
229.8셰어
공유
45.7¢
→
94.9¢
$105.04
$229.79
$218.07
+$113.03
(+107.6%)
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 22.5¢
963.5셰어
공유
22.0¢
→
22.5¢
$211.97
$963.49
$216.78
+$4.82
(+2.3%)
Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
No 81.5¢
258셰어
공유
72¢
→
81.5¢
$185.76
$258
$210.27
+$24.51
(+13.2%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 21% or more?
No 99.8¢
208.6셰어
공유
99.7¢
→
99.8¢
$207.99
$208.62
$208.2
+$0.21
(+0.1%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 25%-30%?
Yes 97.5¢
210.6셰어
공유
66.2¢
→
97.5¢
$139.32
$210.55
$205.29
+$65.97
(+47.3%)
Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?
No 67.5¢
302.9셰어
공유
56.2¢
→
67.5¢
$170.09
$302.87
$204.44
+$34.34
(+20.2%)
Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes 65.8¢
302.2셰어
공유
53¢
→
65.8¢
$160.2
$302.23
$198.72
+$38.52
(+24.0%)
Will Moshe Arbel be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?
No 91.6¢
211.4셰어
공유
94.1¢
→
91.6¢
$198.97
$211.4
$193.64
−$5.33
(-2.7%)
Will Gilad Kariv be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?
No 96.0¢
197.1셰어
공유
85.9¢
→
96.0¢
$169.2
$197.08
$189.3
+$20.09
(+11.9%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 65.3¢
274셰어
공유
29.8¢
→
65.3¢
$81.75
$274.01
$178.79
+$97.04
(+118.7%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 56.8¢
286.8셰어
공유
70.0¢
→
56.8¢
$200.84
$286.75
$162.87
−$37.97
(-18.9%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 58.1¢
273.4셰어
공유
71.8¢
→
58.1¢
$196.36
$273.42
$158.72
−$37.64
(-19.2%)
AI bubble burst in 2026?
No 91.5¢
173.4셰어
공유
84.1¢
→
91.5¢
$145.87
$173.35
$158.62
+$12.75
(+8.7%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 60%-65%?
Yes 98¢
159.6셰어
공유
68.4¢
→
98¢
$109.23
$159.6
$156.41
+$47.18
(+43.2%)
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?
Yes 35.5¢
440셰어
공유
29.4¢
→
35.5¢
$129.57
$440
$156.2
+$26.63
(+20.5%)
Will Yair Lapid be the next Speaker of the Knesset?
No 46.5¢
331.1셰어
공유
72.3¢
→
46.5¢
$239.21
$331.07
$153.95
−$85.26
(-35.6%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 87.4¢
170.7셰어
공유
7.9¢
→
87.4¢
$13.5
$170.74
$149.23
+$135.72
(+1005.0%)
Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats?
No 59.5¢
249.7셰어
공유
63.2¢
→
59.5¢
$157.75
$249.71
$148.58
−$9.18
(-5.8%)
Will no Israeli government be formed after the 2026 Knesset election?
Yes 42.5¢
346.2셰어
공유
42.6¢
→
42.5¢
$147.35
$346.18
$147.13
−$0.22
(-0.1%)
Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?
No 61¢
240셰어
공유
40.2¢
→
61¢
$96.6
$240
$146.4
+$49.8
(+51.6%)
Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?
Yes 40.5¢
354.4셰어
공유
49.9¢
→
40.5¢
$176.91
$354.44
$143.55
−$33.36
(-18.9%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 20%-25%?
Yes 66.5¢
206.7셰어
공유
39.0¢
→
66.5¢
$80.5
$206.67
$137.44
+$56.93
(+70.7%)
Will Gilad Kariv be the next Speaker of the Knesset?
No 93¢
143.8셰어
공유
92.0¢
→
93¢
$132.36
$143.84
$133.77
+$1.41
(+1.1%)
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Yes 0.8¢
1.7만셰어
공유
18.6¢
→
0.8¢
$3,123.54
$1.68만
$126.14
−$2,997.41
(-96.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 9%-12%?
Yes 43.0¢
288.8셰어
공유
8.1¢
→
43.0¢
$23.31
$288.76
$124.31
+$101
(+433.3%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 0%-5%?
Yes 58.0¢
212.9셰어
공유
87.1¢
→
58.0¢
$185.44
$212.87
$123.36
−$62.08
(-33.5%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-15 House election by 5%-10%?
Yes 97.4¢
126.2셰어
공유
53.3¢
→
97.4¢
$67.23
$126.21
$122.87
+$55.63
(+82.8%)
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?
No 96.2¢
125.6셰어
공유
89.2¢
→
96.2¢
$112.1
$125.62
$120.85
+$8.74
(+7.8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 18% or more?
No 98.7¢
120셰어
공유
97.8¢
→
98.7¢
$117.36
$120
$118.44
+$1.08
(+0.9%)
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Yes 1¢
1.2만셰어
공유
4.9¢
→
1¢
$566.59
$1.16만
$115.63
−$450.96
(-79.6%)
Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?
No 96.7¢
116.3셰어
공유
93.0¢
→
96.7¢
$108.14
$116.29
$112.39
+$4.26
(+3.9%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 12% or more?
Yes 56.8¢
194.4셰어
공유
74.5¢
→
56.8¢
$144.8
$194.37
$110.3
−$34.5
(-23.8%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 15%-20%?
Yes 92.5¢
117.2셰어
공유
40.1¢
→
92.5¢
$46.96
$117.17
$108.38
+$61.42
(+130.8%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 47.9¢
224.9셰어
공유
8.3¢
→
47.9¢
$18.7
$224.91
$107.73
+$89.03
(+476.1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 6%-9%?
Yes 36¢
288.8셰어
공유
8.1¢
→
36¢
$23.31
$288.76
$103.95
+$80.64
(+346.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 46.0¢
224.9셰어
공유
8.3¢
→
46.0¢
$18.7
$224.91
$103.35
+$84.65
(+452.7%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 54.0¢
191셰어
공유
8.2¢
→
54.0¢
$15.76
$191.04
$103.26
+$87.5
(+555.2%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 50%-55%?
Yes 89.1¢
115.4셰어
공유
8.2¢
→
89.1¢
$9.52
$115.36
$102.84
+$93.33
(+980.6%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 100.0¢
100셰어
공유
23.8¢
→
100.0¢
$23.75
$100
$99.95
+$76.2
(+320.8%)
Will Yoav Ben-Tzur be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?
No 87.5¢
111.9셰어
공유
80.8¢
→
87.5¢
$90.45
$111.87
$97.89
+$7.43
(+8.2%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 5%-10%?
Yes 49.1¢
194셰어
공유
9.9¢
→
49.1¢
$19.28
$193.97
$95.34
+$76.06
(+394.6%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-14 House election by 0%-5%?
Yes 77.1¢
122.8셰어
공유
48.5¢
→
77.1¢
$59.53
$122.75
$94.64
+$35.11
(+59.0%)
Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?
No 75.5¢
122.5셰어
공유
70.3¢
→
75.5¢
$86.11
$122.52
$92.5
+$6.39
(+7.4%)
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
No 92¢
100셰어
공유
89¢
→
92¢
$89
$100
$92
+$3
(+3.4%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Yes 13¢
664.3셰어
공유
1.6¢
→
13¢
$10.38
$664.32
$86.36
+$75.98
(+731.8%)
Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?
Yes 94.3¢
90셰어
공유
89.0¢
→
94.3¢
$80.09
$89.99
$84.91
+$4.81
(+6.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 12% or more?
Yes 28.5¢
288.8셰어
공유
8.1¢
→
28.5¢
$23.31
$288.76
$82.3
+$58.99
(+253.1%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 3%-6%?
Yes 43¢
191셰어
공유
8.2¢
→
43¢
$15.76
$191.04
$82.15
+$66.39
(+421.2%)
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