PolyScalping 로고
PolyScalping

Tenebrus7

2024년 6월 가입

총수익

$268,235.20
1일
$2.25만
7일
$1.56만
30일
$3.33만
90일
$5.33만
총 거래량
$8455.29만
예측 수
5,141
포지션 가치
$32.49만
성과
+$17.98만
+$7.67만
+$1.09만
+$641.30
+$187.33
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 67.5¢13만셰어
$8.78만
+$2.27만 (+35.0%)
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 32.5¢13만셰어
$4.22만
−$2.27만 (-35.0%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No 100.0¢3.6만셰어
$3.55만
+$1,463.06 (+4.3%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 96.8¢1.8만셰어
$1.75만
+$3,984.67 (+29.5%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?
Yes 97¢1.3만셰어
$1.25만
+$840.06 (+7.2%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 100.0¢9,506.3셰어
$9,501.55
+$947.09 (+11.1%)
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
No 69.5¢1.3만셰어
$9,322.47
−$1,192.79 (-11.3%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
No 77.5¢1만셰어
$7,852.09
+$529.09 (+7.2%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?
Yes 93.5¢5,738.2셰어
$5,365.24
+$387.53 (+7.8%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 97.5¢4,997.1셰어
$4,872.13
+$45.99 (+1.0%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No 21.5¢2만셰어
$4,300
−$955.26 (-18.2%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?
Yes 87.5¢4,724.5셰어
$4,133.95
+$247.38 (+6.4%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
No 60¢5,750.9셰어
$3,450.54
+$83.36 (+2.5%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No 60.8¢5,259.5셰어
$3,195.12
+$190.78 (+6.4%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Yes 51.5¢6,176.9셰어
$3,181.08
−$343.94 (-9.8%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No 91.8¢3,363.1셰어
$3,085.67
−$35.96 (-1.2%)
Israeli Knesset election annulled?
No 97.0¢3,005셰어
$2,913.36
+$28.24 (+1.0%)
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
No 95¢2,545.1셰어
$2,417.88
+$56.36 (+2.4%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
No 81¢2,899.5셰어
$2,348.56
+$97.95 (+4.4%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?
No 58.0¢3,770셰어
$2,186.58
+$38.31 (+1.8%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?
Yes 98.9¢2,000셰어
$1,977
+$1,127 (+132.6%)
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No 96.2¢2,044.2셰어
$1,965.46
+$36.13 (+1.9%)
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
No 91.1¢1,915.4셰어
$1,745.93
−$13.45 (-0.8%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?
Yes 57.5¢2,474셰어
$1,422.55
+$9.13 (+0.6%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 90.5¢1,500셰어
$1,356.75
+$3.75 (+0.3%)
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
No 95.3¢1,421.3셰어
$1,353.77
+$234.49 (+21.0%)
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
No 95.5¢1,385.3셰어
$1,323.67
+$115.5 (+9.6%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 28.2¢4,403.1셰어
$1,241.67
+$44.03 (+3.7%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Yes 96.2¢1,232.4셰어
$1,185.59
+$28.44 (+2.5%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
No 64.5¢1,768.2셰어
$1,140.49
−$15.95 (-1.4%)
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No 97.2¢1,166.4셰어
$1,133.13
+$97.96 (+9.5%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 57.5¢1,967.2셰어
$1,131.17
+$145.31 (+14.7%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
No 96.4¢1,132.8셰어
$1,091.44
+$27.95 (+2.6%)
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Yes 70.5¢1,519.1셰어
$1,070.96
+$63.62 (+6.3%)
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
No 96¢1,085.9셰어
$1,042.42
−$2.17 (-0.2%)
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No 69.4¢1,500셰어
$1,041
+$21.38 (+2.1%)
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
No 100.0¢1,000셰어
$999.51
+$121.5 (+13.8%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
No 100.0¢1,000셰어
$999.5
+$4.5 (+0.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?
No 99.9¢1,000셰어
$999
+$569 (+132.3%)
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 70.4¢1,408.9셰어
$991.84
−$32.2 (-3.1%)
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 87.5¢1,127.9셰어
$986.95
−$16.61 (-1.7%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Yes 83¢1,137셰어
$943.72
+$13.22 (+1.4%)
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
No 89.5¢1,000셰어
$894.99
+$40 (+4.7%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 89.4¢1,000셰어
$893.99
+$44.25 (+5.2%)
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
No 62¢1,437.4셰어
$891.17
−$67.12 (-7.0%)
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 35.5¢2,497셰어
$886.43
+$68.97 (+8.4%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 87.5¢1,000셰어
$875
+$58.05 (+7.1%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
No 87.5¢1,000셰어
$875
+$40 (+4.8%)
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
No 96.4¢890.2셰어
$858.19
+$87.28 (+11.3%)
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
No 67.5¢1,253.1셰어
$845.81
−$59.46 (-6.6%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes 47¢1,780.6셰어
$836.87
−$40.4 (-4.6%)
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
No 89¢900셰어
$800.99
+$30 (+3.9%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 35.5¢2,158.6셰어
$766.29
−$426.64 (-35.8%)
US recession by end of 2026?
No 94.5¢800셰어
$756
+$4 (+0.5%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
No 87¢839.4셰어
$730.27
+$445.65 (+156.6%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 98.4¢700셰어
$688.45
+$14.75 (+2.2%)
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?
Yes 97.3¢631.6셰어
$614.58
−$4.76 (-0.8%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 39.4¢1,500셰어
$591
−$59.5 (-9.1%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 19, 2026?
No 58.5¢991셰어
$579.72
−$26.11 (-4.3%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 15.3¢3,725.9셰어
$568.2
−$993.09 (-63.6%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 46.5¢1,217.8셰어
$566.29
+$3.27 (+0.6%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
No 92.5¢600셰어
$555
+$75 (+15.6%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?
Yes 99.7¢532셰어
$530.12
+$22.06 (+4.3%)
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Yes 98.7¢533.1셰어
$526.19
+$198.02 (+60.3%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Yes 59.5¢871셰어
$518.27
+$45 (+9.5%)
Kash Patel out by December 31?
No 81.5¢635.8셰어
$518.19
+$47.69 (+10.1%)
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?
No 95.3¢536.4셰어
$511.47
+$123.39 (+31.8%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026?
No 91.5¢556.5셰어
$509.2
+$9.48 (+1.9%)
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
No 100.0¢500셰어
$499.75
+$4.75 (+1.0%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
Yes 98.7¢500셰어
$493.25
+$29.82 (+6.4%)
GTA VI released by November 30?
Yes 98.7¢499.7셰어
$493.17
+$6.5 (+1.3%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No 98.3¢500셰어
$491.26
+$13.75 (+2.9%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?
No 92.3¢500셰어
$461.75
+$1.75 (+0.4%)
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
Yes 23¢2,000셰어
$460
−$80 (-14.8%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
No 98.9¢444셰어
$439.12
+$7.99 (+1.9%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No 86.9¢502.4셰어
$436.32
+$76.19 (+21.2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 43.5¢1,000셰어
$435
−$55 (-11.2%)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Yes 84.5¢500셰어
$422.75
+$2.25 (+0.5%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of December 2026?
No 88.5¢449.3셰어
$397.59
−$7.7 (-1.9%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
No 78¢500셰어
$390.01
+$13.33 (+3.5%)
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No 83.5¢465.3셰어
$388.52
−$11.63 (-2.9%)
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?
No 91.7¢416.7셰어
$382.13
+$61.26 (+19.1%)
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?
No 74¢503.9셰어
$372.92
−$4.96 (-1.3%)
Next James Bond announced by December 31, 2026?
Yes 85¢420.8셰어
$357.64
+$48.39 (+15.6%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 49¢685.4셰어
$335.82
−$8.96 (-2.6%)
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire hold through 2027?
No 97.5¢344.4셰어
$335.62
−$0.7 (-0.2%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Yes 67¢500셰어
$334.99
+$0 (+0.0%)
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?
No 31.5¢959.2셰어
$302.13
−$38.37 (-11.3%)
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
No 95.2¢314.6셰어
$299.33
+$33.11 (+12.4%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 8.4¢3,522.9셰어
$295.92
−$96.35 (-24.6%)
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
No 65.5¢435.9셰어
$285.48
+$2.18 (+0.8%)
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No 91.5¢311셰어
$284.57
−$1.56 (-0.5%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of December 2026?
No 57.0¢380.3셰어
$216.76
−$85.56 (-28.3%)
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
No 100.0¢200셰어
$199.9
+$3.5 (+1.8%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026?
No 34.5¢572셰어
$197.33
−$197.33 (-50.0%)
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 94.5¢208.7셰어
$197.3
+$2.97 (+1.5%)
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
No 95.0¢200.2셰어
$190.05
+$1.1 (+0.6%)
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 56.5¢335.1셰어
$189.33
−$57.47 (-23.3%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes 37.5¢500셰어
$187.5
+$5.83 (+3.2%)
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 65¢280셰어
$182
−$56 (-23.5%)