PolyScalping
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2024년 11월 가입
플렉스 카드
캘린더
주소 복사
프로필 공유
Polymarket
Polymarket에서 확인
총수익
$36,440.70
1일
$1,059.41
7일
$1,746.84
30일
$7,615.99
90일
$2.27만
총 거래량
$126.09만
예측 수
10,414
포지션 가치
$2.41만
성과
전체 기간 성과
1일
1주
1개월
올해
전체
거래
−$2.87만
LP
+$6.35만
메이커
+$1,531.67
홀딩 보상
+$0.61
테이커
+$86.17
포지션
활동
댓글
보유 중
종료
시장
평균가 → 현재가
거래 금액
정산 시 지급액
가치
공유
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No 91.5¢
135셰어
공유
86¢
→
91.5¢
$116.1
$135
$123.53
+$7.43
(+6.4%)
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?
No 99.7¢
120셰어
공유
25¢
→
99.7¢
$30
$120
$119.64
+$89.64
(+298.8%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,100,000 and 4,300,000?
Yes 92¢
105.3셰어
공유
30¢
→
92¢
$31.59
$105.31
$96.89
+$65.29
(+206.7%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%?
No 98.5¢
97.2셰어
공유
78¢
→
98.5¢
$75.78
$97.16
$95.7
+$19.92
(+26.3%)
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
No 73¢
120셰어
공유
74¢
→
73¢
$88.8
$120
$87.6
−$1.2
(-1.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?
Yes 96.8¢
90셰어
공유
32¢
→
96.8¢
$28.8
$90
$87.12
+$58.32
(+202.5%)
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?
No 71.5¢
120셰어
공유
71¢
→
71.5¢
$85.2
$120
$85.8
+$0.6
(+0.7%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
No 63.5¢
135셰어
공유
62¢
→
63.5¢
$83.7
$135
$85.73
+$2.03
(+2.4%)
Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?
Yes 71¢
120셰어
공유
23¢
→
71¢
$27.6
$120
$85.2
+$57.6
(+208.7%)
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?
No 70.5¢
120셰어
공유
74¢
→
70.5¢
$88.8
$120
$84.6
−$4.2
(-4.7%)
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 84¢
100셰어
공유
85¢
→
84¢
$85
$100
$84
−$1
(-1.2%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Yes 69¢
120셰어
공유
75¢
→
69¢
$90
$120
$82.8
−$7.2
(-8.0%)
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 81.5¢
100.9셰어
공유
83.0¢
→
81.5¢
$83.81
$100.94
$82.27
−$1.54
(-1.8%)
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?
No 89.0¢
92셰어
공유
61¢
→
89.0¢
$56.12
$92
$81.93
+$25.81
(+46.0%)
Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?
No 65.6¢
120셰어
공유
74¢
→
65.6¢
$88.8
$120
$78.78
−$10.02
(-11.3%)
Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 58.0¢
135셰어
공유
88¢
→
58.0¢
$118.8
$135
$78.3
−$40.5
(-34.1%)
Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes 57.5¢
135셰어
공유
78¢
→
57.5¢
$105.3
$135
$77.63
−$27.68
(-26.3%)
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $318,000 and $323,000 on December 31?
No 64.2¢
120셰어
공유
66¢
→
64.2¢
$79.2
$120
$77.04
−$2.16
(-2.7%)
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?
No 98.7¢
77.8셰어
공유
85.8¢
→
98.7¢
$66.8
$77.81
$76.8
+$10
(+15.0%)
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?
No 89¢
86셰어
공유
79¢
→
89¢
$67.92
$85.98
$76.52
+$8.6
(+12.7%)
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?
No 76¢
100셰어
공유
66¢
→
76¢
$66
$100
$76
+$10
(+15.2%)
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes 56.0¢
135셰어
공유
53¢
→
56.0¢
$71.55
$135
$75.6
+$4.05
(+5.7%)
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?
No 62.5¢
120셰어
공유
62¢
→
62.5¢
$74.4
$120
$75
+$0.6
(+0.8%)
Will Virginie Efira be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 55.5¢
135셰어
공유
57.0¢
→
55.5¢
$76.95
$135
$74.93
−$2.03
(-2.6%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 5%-10%?
Yes 83¢
88.3셰어
공유
33¢
→
83¢
$29.15
$88.34
$73.32
+$44.17
(+151.5%)
Will Tunisia win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group H?
No 54¢
131셰어
공유
33¢
→
54¢
$43.23
$131
$70.74
+$27.51
(+63.6%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?
No 43.5¢
162.4셰어
공유
41.8¢
→
43.5¢
$67.96
$162.41
$70.65
+$2.69
(+4.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?
Yes 95¢
74셰어
공유
17¢
→
95¢
$12.58
$74
$70.3
+$57.72
(+458.8%)
Will "Minotaur" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 52¢
135셰어
공유
53¢
→
52¢
$71.55
$135
$70.2
−$1.35
(-1.9%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?
Yes 69.8¢
100셰어
공유
33¢
→
69.8¢
$33
$100
$69.75
+$36.75
(+111.4%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 60% or more?
Yes 51.6¢
135셰어
공유
20¢
→
51.6¢
$27
$135
$69.73
+$42.73
(+158.3%)
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 52.5¢
132.5셰어
공유
51.2¢
→
52.5¢
$67.9
$132.5
$69.56
+$1.66
(+2.4%)
Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 69¢
100셰어
공유
73¢
→
69¢
$73
$100
$69
−$4
(-5.5%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 6%-9%?
Yes 51¢
135셰어
공유
22¢
→
51¢
$29.7
$135
$68.85
+$39.15
(+131.8%)
Will Eric Oncins qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?
No 68.5¢
100셰어
공유
83¢
→
68.5¢
$83
$100
$68.5
−$14.5
(-17.5%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?
Yes 56.5¢
120셰어
공유
30¢
→
56.5¢
$36
$120
$67.8
+$31.8
(+88.3%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 50%-55%?
Yes 56.0¢
120셰어
공유
32¢
→
56.0¢
$38.4
$120
$67.2
+$28.8
(+75.0%)
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 55.5¢
120셰어
공유
60¢
→
55.5¢
$72
$120
$66.6
−$5.4
(-7.5%)
Will the Democrats win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election?
No 77¢
85셰어
공유
82¢
→
77¢
$69.69
$84.99
$65.44
−$4.25
(-6.1%)
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
No 64.5¢
100셰어
공유
77¢
→
64.5¢
$77
$100
$64.5
−$12.5
(-16.2%)
Will "How to Write a Song About You" from Power Ballad be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 47.5¢
135셰어
공유
74¢
→
47.5¢
$99.9
$135
$64.13
−$35.78
(-35.8%)
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
Yes 71.5¢
89.5셰어
공유
73¢
→
71.5¢
$65.36
$89.54
$64.02
−$1.34
(-2.1%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 3%-6%?
Yes 46.6¢
135셰어
공유
18¢
→
46.6¢
$24.3
$135
$62.91
+$38.61
(+158.9%)
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
No 46.5¢
135셰어
공유
60¢
→
46.5¢
$81
$135
$62.78
−$18.23
(-22.5%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 45%-50%?
No 88.4¢
70.8셰어
공유
82¢
→
88.4¢
$58.08
$70.83
$62.62
+$4.53
(+7.8%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
No 52¢
120셰어
공유
55.0¢
→
52¢
$66
$120
$62.4
−$3.6
(-5.5%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?
Yes 46.1¢
135셰어
공유
32¢
→
46.1¢
$43.2
$135
$62.24
+$19.04
(+44.1%)
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
No 50¢
123.8셰어
공유
46¢
→
50¢
$56.94
$123.79
$61.9
+$4.95
(+8.7%)
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
No 50.5¢
122.5셰어
공유
40.7¢
→
50.5¢
$49.85
$122.5
$61.86
+$12.01
(+24.1%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 45.5¢
135셰어
공유
44¢
→
45.5¢
$59.4
$135
$61.43
+$2.03
(+3.4%)
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?
No 45¢
135셰어
공유
50¢
→
45¢
$67.5
$135
$60.75
−$6.75
(-10.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 10%-15%?
Yes 82¢
74셰어
공유
27¢
→
82¢
$19.98
$74
$60.68
+$40.7
(+203.7%)
Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?
No 44.5¢
135셰어
공유
56.0¢
→
44.5¢
$75.6
$135
$60.08
−$15.53
(-20.5%)
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31?
Yes 60¢
100셰어
공유
66¢
→
60¢
$66
$100
$60
−$6
(-9.1%)
Will Jynxzi win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?
No 45¢
133셰어
공유
49¢
→
45¢
$65.15
$132.96
$59.83
−$5.32
(-8.2%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
No 91.5¢
65셰어
공유
81¢
→
91.5¢
$52.65
$65
$59.48
+$6.83
(+13.0%)
Will Caliste have the most kills at Worlds 2026?
Yes 49.5¢
120셰어
공유
51¢
→
49.5¢
$61.2
$120
$59.4
−$1.8
(-2.9%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Yes 62.5¢
95셰어
공유
65¢
→
62.5¢
$61.75
$95
$59.38
−$2.38
(-3.8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?
Yes 61¢
97.2셰어
공유
34¢
→
61¢
$33.05
$97.21
$59.3
+$26.25
(+79.4%)
Will Burkina Faso win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group F?
No 49.5¢
119.5셰어
공유
43¢
→
49.5¢
$51.37
$119.46
$59.13
+$7.76
(+15.1%)
Will Democrats win 14 or more House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 97.3¢
60셰어
공유
16¢
→
97.3¢
$9.6
$60
$58.38
+$48.78
(+508.1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 60%-65%?
No 48.4¢
120셰어
공유
76¢
→
48.4¢
$91.2
$120
$58.14
−$33.06
(-36.3%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%?
Yes 43¢
135셰어
공유
18¢
→
43¢
$24.3
$135
$58.05
+$33.75
(+138.9%)
Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?
No 48¢
120셰어
공유
56.0¢
→
48¢
$67.2
$120
$57.6
−$9.6
(-14.3%)
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?
No 82¢
70셰어
공유
64¢
→
82¢
$44.8
$70
$57.4
+$12.6
(+28.1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 40%-45%?
Yes 50¢
114셰어
공유
33¢
→
50¢
$37.62
$114
$57
+$19.38
(+51.5%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 47.5¢
120셰어
공유
45¢
→
47.5¢
$54
$120
$57
+$3
(+5.6%)
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
No 56.5¢
100셰어
공유
61¢
→
56.5¢
$61
$100
$56.5
−$4.5
(-7.4%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 5%-10%?
Yes 56.0¢
100셰어
공유
28.0¢
→
56.0¢
$28
$100
$56
+$28
(+100.0%)
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting?
Yes 46¢
120셰어
공유
59¢
→
46¢
$70.8
$120
$55.2
−$15.6
(-22.0%)
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 84.5¢
65셰어
공유
86.0¢
→
84.5¢
$55.92
$65.02
$54.94
−$0.97
(-1.7%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000?
Yes 45.5¢
120셰어
공유
32¢
→
45.5¢
$38.4
$120
$54.6
+$16.2
(+42.2%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election by 30%-35%?
Yes 43¢
125셰어
공유
27¢
→
43¢
$33.75
$125
$53.75
+$20
(+59.3%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election by 55%-60%?
Yes 43¢
125셰어
공유
31¢
→
43¢
$38.75
$125
$53.75
+$15
(+38.7%)
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $50 in 2026?
Yes 53.5¢
100셰어
공유
43¢
→
53.5¢
$43
$100
$53.5
+$10.5
(+24.4%)
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by December 31, 2026?
No 44.5¢
120셰어
공유
63¢
→
44.5¢
$75.6
$120
$53.4
−$22.2
(-29.4%)
Government shutdown by December 12?
Yes 39.5¢
135셰어
공유
34¢
→
39.5¢
$45.9
$135
$53.33
+$7.43
(+16.2%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
No 39.5¢
134.6셰어
공유
43¢
→
39.5¢
$57.88
$134.59
$53.16
−$4.71
(-8.1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 65%-70%?
Yes 53¢
100셰어
공유
33¢
→
53¢
$33
$100
$53
+$20
(+60.6%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 6%-9%?
No 54¢
98셰어
공유
78¢
→
54¢
$76.44
$98
$52.92
−$23.52
(-30.8%)
Will Nick Suzuki record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?
No 87.5¢
60셰어
공유
67¢
→
87.5¢
$40.2
$60
$52.5
+$12.3
(+30.6%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MA-08 House election by 50%-55%?
Yes 43.5¢
120셰어
공유
30¢
→
43.5¢
$36
$120
$52.2
+$16.2
(+45.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 12% or more?
Yes 38.5¢
135셰어
공유
23¢
→
38.5¢
$31.05
$135
$51.91
+$20.86
(+67.2%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-09 House election by 30%-35%?
Yes 43.0¢
120셰어
공유
24¢
→
43.0¢
$28.8
$120
$51.66
+$22.86
(+79.4%)
Will Kate O'Flynn be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 43¢
120셰어
공유
43¢
→
43¢
$51.6
$120
$51.6
+$0
(+0.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 40%-45%?
Yes 41.3¢
125셰어
공유
34¢
→
41.3¢
$42.5
$125
$51.56
+$9.06
(+21.3%)
Will Mexico win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup?
Yes 43.5¢
118셰어
공유
43¢
→
43.5¢
$50.74
$118
$51.33
+$0.59
(+1.2%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 5%-10%?
Yes 42.5¢
120셰어
공유
22¢
→
42.5¢
$26.4
$120
$51
+$24.6
(+93.2%)
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
No 81.0¢
63셰어
공유
83¢
→
81.0¢
$52.29
$63
$51
−$1.29
(-2.5%)
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by January 31, 2027?
No 37¢
135셰어
공유
46¢
→
37¢
$62.1
$135
$49.95
−$12.15
(-19.6%)
Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?
No 68¢
73.4셰어
공유
69¢
→
68¢
$50.66
$73.42
$49.93
−$0.73
(-1.4%)
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?
Yes 41.5¢
120셰어
공유
55.0¢
→
41.5¢
$66
$120
$49.8
−$16.2
(-24.5%)
Will the Samsung Lions win the 2026 Korean Series?
No 70.5¢
70셰어
공유
75¢
→
70.5¢
$52.5
$70
$49.35
−$3.15
(-6.0%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 20%-25%?
Yes 43¢
114셰어
공유
31¢
→
43¢
$35.34
$114
$49.02
+$13.68
(+38.7%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?
Yes 36¢
135셰어
공유
39¢
→
36¢
$52.65
$135
$48.6
−$4.05
(-7.7%)
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
No 40.1¢
120셰어
공유
69¢
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40.1¢
$82.79
$119.99
$48.06
−$34.74
(-42.0%)
Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?
Yes 40¢
120셰어
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42¢
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40¢
$50.4
$120
$48
−$2.4
(-4.8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-03 House election by 10%-15%?
Yes 40¢
120셰어
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28.0¢
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40¢
$33.6
$120
$48
+$14.4
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Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 98.0¢
49셰어
공유
92¢
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98.0¢
$45.08
$49
$48
+$2.92
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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?
No 47.5¢
100셰어
공유
50¢
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47.5¢
$50
$100
$47.5
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