PolyScalping
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Haradwaith
2024年11月 加入
曬單卡片
日曆
複製地址
分享個人資料
Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
總收益
$463,634.45
1天
−$1.22萬
7天
$9,806.49
30天
$2.54萬
90天
$17.28萬
總交易量
$1.44億
預測次數
106,209
持倉價值
$27.76萬
盈虧走勢
歷史盈虧走勢
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
−$46.08萬
LP 獎勵
+$85.67萬
Maker 返利
+$6.86萬
持倉獎勵
+$635.76
Taker 返利
+$78.79
費用
−$1,539.48
排名概覽
綜合
#352
共 330.2萬 個錢包
交易量
#140
共 330.2萬 個錢包
利潤
#3,248,970
共 330.2萬 個錢包
LP 獎勵
#3
共 18.9萬 個獲獎地址
Maker 返利
#94
共 16.1萬 個獲獎地址
Taker 返利
#13,117
共 7.2萬 個獲獎地址
持倉獎勵
#766
共 35.2萬 個獲獎地址
已付費用
#17,012
共 153.5萬 個付費地址
持倉
活動
評論
當前
已平倉
市場
平均 → 當前
成交額
獲勝可得
價值
分享
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 97.0¢
2,626.3 份
分享
97.6¢
→
97.0¢
$2,564.03
$2,626.34
$2,546.24
−$17.79
(-0.7%)
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
No 96.3¢
2,602.1 份
分享
97.5¢
→
96.3¢
$2,537.88
$2,602.11
$2,504.53
−$33.35
(-1.3%)
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Yes 99.9¢
2,360.1 份
分享
95.5¢
→
99.9¢
$2,254.12
$2,360.1
$2,356.56
+$102.44
(+4.5%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
No 64.5¢
3,530.6 份
分享
64.2¢
→
64.5¢
$2,267.16
$3,530.56
$2,277.21
+$10.05
(+0.4%)
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
No 77.5¢
2,862.9 份
分享
79.3¢
→
77.5¢
$2,269.6
$2,862.85
$2,218.71
−$50.89
(-2.2%)
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
No 98.0¢
1,989.6 份
分享
98.2¢
→
98.0¢
$1,953.83
$1,989.64
$1,948.85
−$4.97
(-0.3%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 86.4¢
1,984.8 份
分享
89.3¢
→
86.4¢
$1,772.25
$1,984.84
$1,713.91
−$58.34
(-3.3%)
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 92.3¢
1,799.9 份
分享
92.1¢
→
92.3¢
$1,657.74
$1,799.94
$1,661.34
+$3.6
(+0.2%)
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 71.7¢
2,253.7 份
分享
74.8¢
→
71.7¢
$1,685.74
$2,253.72
$1,615.91
−$69.83
(-4.1%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 82.0¢
1,944 份
分享
89.8¢
→
82.0¢
$1,746.87
$1,944
$1,595.05
−$151.82
(-8.7%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
No 78.5¢
1,928.6 份
分享
76.8¢
→
78.5¢
$1,480.98
$1,928.65
$1,513.99
+$33
(+2.2%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 31.2¢
4,789.7 份
分享
41.6¢
→
31.2¢
$1,992.76
$4,789.68
$1,494.38
−$498.39
(-25.0%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
No 78¢
1,887.4 份
分享
73.9¢
→
78¢
$1,395.46
$1,887.43
$1,472.19
+$76.73
(+5.5%)
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No 92.5¢
1,531.3 份
分享
92.9¢
→
92.5¢
$1,423.17
$1,531.32
$1,416.47
−$6.7
(-0.5%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?
Yes 93.5¢
1,339.5 份
分享
85.5¢
→
93.5¢
$1,145.62
$1,339.55
$1,252.48
+$106.86
(+9.3%)
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?
No 80.8¢
1,543.3 份
分享
82.0¢
→
80.8¢
$1,265.92
$1,543.3
$1,246.99
−$18.93
(-1.5%)
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 87.2¢
1,389 份
分享
90.4¢
→
87.2¢
$1,256.21
$1,388.98
$1,211.19
−$45.02
(-3.6%)
Israeli Knesset election annulled?
No 96.8¢
1,152 份
分享
96.6¢
→
96.8¢
$1,112.56
$1,152
$1,115.13
+$2.57
(+0.2%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 85.5¢
1,303.7 份
分享
82.4¢
→
85.5¢
$1,073.99
$1,303.74
$1,114.69
+$40.71
(+3.8%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 72.0¢
1,478.2 份
分享
85.0¢
→
72.0¢
$1,256.3
$1,478.2
$1,063.56
−$192.73
(-15.3%)
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 75.5¢
1,397.7 份
分享
76.5¢
→
75.5¢
$1,068.89
$1,397.68
$1,055.24
−$13.65
(-1.3%)
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?
No 98.8¢
1,007.2 份
分享
78.3¢
→
98.8¢
$789.07
$1,007.18
$994.59
+$205.52
(+26.0%)
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes 99.6¢
998 份
分享
87.3¢
→
99.6¢
$871.27
$997.99
$994
+$122.73
(+14.1%)
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?
No 98.9¢
1,002.4 份
分享
90.0¢
→
98.9¢
$902.14
$1,002.38
$991.35
+$89.21
(+9.9%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
No 72.5¢
1,342.8 份
分享
73.8¢
→
72.5¢
$991.11
$1,342.83
$973.55
−$17.56
(-1.8%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?
Yes 96.0¢
1,000.8 份
分享
88.6¢
→
96.0¢
$886.88
$1,000.75
$960.22
+$73.35
(+8.3%)
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
No 93¢
975.5 份
分享
93.0¢
→
93¢
$907.22
$975.5
$907.22
+$0
(+0.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 6% or more?
No 97.9¢
922.3 份
分享
88.0¢
→
97.9¢
$811.43
$922.3
$902.47
+$91.04
(+11.2%)
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
Yes 74.5¢
1,161.1 份
分享
37.5¢
→
74.5¢
$435.52
$1,161.07
$865
+$429.48
(+98.6%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?
No 99.7¢
863.3 份
分享
87.0¢
→
99.7¢
$751.27
$863.28
$860.26
+$108.99
(+14.5%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?
Yes 84.5¢
996.8 份
分享
37.0¢
→
84.5¢
$368.82
$996.83
$841.82
+$473
(+128.2%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No 85.4¢
973.9 份
分享
69.8¢
→
85.4¢
$679.68
$973.95
$831.75
+$152.08
(+22.4%)
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
No 91.0¢
880.2 份
分享
94.3¢
→
91.0¢
$830.32
$880.22
$800.56
−$29.76
(-3.6%)
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
Yes 68.5¢
1,159 份
分享
66.6¢
→
68.5¢
$772.18
$1,159.03
$793.93
+$21.76
(+2.8%)
Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?
No 97.4¢
806 份
分享
98¢
→
97.4¢
$789.88
$806
$785.04
−$4.84
(-0.6%)
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?
No 80.3¢
957.9 份
分享
82.6¢
→
80.3¢
$791.48
$957.92
$768.73
−$22.75
(-2.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?
No 95.3¢
806.3 份
分享
33.0¢
→
95.3¢
$266.46
$806.32
$768.02
+$501.56
(+188.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Yes 99.1¢
767.2 份
分享
66.9¢
→
99.1¢
$513.15
$767.25
$760.34
+$247.2
(+48.2%)
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?
No 95.5¢
772.4 份
分享
96.1¢
→
95.5¢
$742.28
$772.4
$737.26
−$5.02
(-0.7%)
Will Olivia Rodrigo appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
No 94.0¢
780 份
分享
94.8¢
→
94.0¢
$739.74
$780
$732.81
−$6.93
(-0.9%)
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 63.5¢
1,148.1 份
分享
66.2¢
→
63.5¢
$759.72
$1,148.06
$729.02
−$30.7
(-4.0%)
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?
Yes 93.6¢
762 份
分享
94.4¢
→
93.6¢
$719.33
$762
$713.23
−$6.1
(-0.8%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 16.9¢
4,186.4 份
分享
12.5¢
→
16.9¢
$522.06
$4,186.42
$705.41
+$183.35
(+35.1%)
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Yes 45.5¢
1,538.2 份
分享
48.1¢
→
45.5¢
$740.16
$1,538.19
$699.88
−$40.28
(-5.4%)
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 32.5¢
2,083.9 份
分享
36.4¢
→
32.5¢
$758.26
$2,083.92
$677.27
−$80.99
(-10.7%)
Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
No 85.4¢
790.7 份
分享
94.3¢
→
85.4¢
$745.64
$790.71
$675.27
−$70.37
(-9.4%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Yes 93.7¢
720 份
分享
89.8¢
→
93.7¢
$646.86
$720
$674.28
+$27.41
(+4.2%)
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
No 98.0¢
685 份
分享
98.2¢
→
98.0¢
$672.64
$684.97
$670.93
−$1.71
(-0.3%)
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No 91.5¢
689.8 份
分享
91.0¢
→
91.5¢
$627.74
$689.83
$631.19
+$3.45
(+0.5%)
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
No 69.5¢
899.8 份
分享
72.9¢
→
69.5¢
$655.78
$899.79
$625.35
−$30.42
(-4.6%)
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
No 77.5¢
791.8 份
分享
79.1¢
→
77.5¢
$626.5
$791.84
$613.68
−$12.83
(-2.0%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
No 78.5¢
770.8 份
分享
71.5¢
→
78.5¢
$551.55
$770.84
$605.11
+$53.56
(+9.7%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 97.0¢
618.6 份
分享
75.2¢
→
97.0¢
$464.95
$618.57
$599.7
+$134.75
(+29.0%)
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
No 67¢
892.6 份
分享
69.9¢
→
67¢
$623.79
$892.58
$598.03
−$25.76
(-4.1%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 77.5¢
765.7 份
分享
73.2¢
→
77.5¢
$560.78
$765.66
$593.38
+$32.6
(+5.8%)
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
No 69.5¢
838.1 份
分享
69.5¢
→
69.5¢
$582.91
$838.08
$582.47
−$0.44
(-0.1%)
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
No 99.5¢
584.2 份
分享
66.3¢
→
99.5¢
$387.28
$584.21
$581.29
+$194.01
(+50.1%)
Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?
Yes 99.6¢
582 份
分享
83¢
→
99.6¢
$483.06
$582
$579.67
+$96.61
(+20.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?
No 88¢
654.4 份
分享
80.5¢
→
88¢
$526.97
$654.38
$575.85
+$48.88
(+9.3%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?
No 94.5¢
598.6 份
分享
78.4¢
→
94.5¢
$469.17
$598.58
$565.66
+$96.49
(+20.6%)
Will Brighton & Hove Albion win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?
No 62¢
893 份
分享
63¢
→
62¢
$562.59
$893
$553.66
−$8.93
(-1.6%)
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No 90.5¢
610.1 份
分享
86.5¢
→
90.5¢
$527.85
$610.13
$551.86
+$24.02
(+4.5%)
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?
No 76.5¢
717.1 份
分享
75.5¢
→
76.5¢
$541.59
$717.11
$548.59
+$7
(+1.3%)
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?
No 74.5¢
708.4 份
分享
75¢
→
74.5¢
$531.37
$708.39
$527.75
−$3.61
(-0.7%)
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
No 75.5¢
694.4 份
分享
76.0¢
→
75.5¢
$527.78
$694.44
$524.3
−$3.47
(-0.7%)
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026?
No 94.2¢
554.5 份
分享
94.0¢
→
94.2¢
$521.5
$554.54
$522.38
+$0.88
(+0.2%)
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?
No 97.3¢
532 份
分享
97.2¢
→
97.3¢
$517.11
$532.01
$517.38
+$0.27
(+0.1%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,500,000 and 2,650,000?
No 74¢
694.9 份
分享
77.8¢
→
74¢
$540.76
$694.94
$514.26
−$26.5
(-4.9%)
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?
No 90.6¢
553.1 份
分享
90.8¢
→
90.6¢
$502.18
$553.06
$501.35
−$0.83
(-0.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?
No 98.7¢
502 份
分享
60.8¢
→
98.7¢
$305.09
$502.05
$495.52
+$190.43
(+62.4%)
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?
No 93.5¢
510.9 份
分享
94.2¢
→
93.5¢
$481.28
$510.88
$477.42
−$3.86
(-0.8%)
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?
No 96.3¢
494.7 份
分享
98.1¢
→
96.3¢
$485.55
$494.7
$476.15
−$9.4
(-1.9%)
Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
No 83.0¢
572.6 份
分享
84.0¢
→
83.0¢
$480.89
$572.63
$474.99
−$5.89
(-1.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?
Yes 94.5¢
499.5 份
分享
56.2¢
→
94.5¢
$280.92
$499.47
$471.75
+$190.83
(+67.9%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?
No 99¢
472.1 份
分享
74.5¢
→
99¢
$351.7
$472.06
$467.34
+$115.64
(+32.9%)
Will "Madden" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 70¢
662 份
分享
86.5¢
→
70¢
$572.65
$662.04
$463.43
−$109.22
(-19.1%)
Will "Ray Gunn" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 66¢
701.9 份
分享
70¢
→
66¢
$491.3
$701.86
$463.23
−$28.07
(-5.7%)
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Yes 71.9¢
643.2 份
分享
89.8¢
→
71.9¢
$577.41
$643.21
$462.15
−$115.26
(-20.0%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 56.0¢
822.2 份
分享
56.5¢
→
56.0¢
$464.48
$822.21
$460.44
−$4.05
(-0.9%)
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?
Yes 83.5¢
543 份
分享
89.2¢
→
83.5¢
$484.56
$543
$453.41
−$31.15
(-6.4%)
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 19¢
2,358.2 份
分享
31.1¢
→
19¢
$734.08
$2,358.21
$448.06
−$286.02
(-39.0%)
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
No 94.8¢
472.2 份
分享
95.9¢
→
94.8¢
$452.87
$472.24
$447.68
−$5.19
(-1.1%)
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 76¢
583.2 份
分享
78.6¢
→
76¢
$458.23
$583.17
$443.21
−$15.03
(-3.3%)
Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
No 81.2¢
540.4 份
分享
85.7¢
→
81.2¢
$463.01
$540.4
$438.54
−$24.47
(-5.3%)
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 94.4¢
461.8 份
分享
94.6¢
→
94.4¢
$437.01
$461.77
$435.91
−$1.1
(-0.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?
Yes 99.1¢
439.7 份
分享
57.3¢
→
99.1¢
$251.77
$439.72
$435.76
+$183.99
(+73.1%)
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
No 58.5¢
738.5 份
分享
59.3¢
→
58.5¢
$438.06
$738.47
$432.01
−$6.06
(-1.4%)
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
No 97.8¢
433 份
分享
98.3¢
→
97.8¢
$425.62
$433
$423.26
−$2.37
(-0.6%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?
No 32.5¢
1,285 份
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79.3¢
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32.5¢
$1,019.47
$1,285.01
$417.63
−$601.84
(-59.0%)
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
No 39.5¢
1,052.8 份
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49.6¢
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39.5¢
$522.44
$1,052.8
$415.86
−$106.58
(-20.4%)
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 40¢
1,032.3 份
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55.3¢
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40¢
$570.57
$1,032.26
$412.9
−$157.66
(-27.6%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
No 98.9¢
415.7 份
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85.4¢
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98.9¢
$354.84
$415.66
$410.88
+$56.04
(+15.8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?
No 78¢
524.6 份
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82.9¢
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78¢
$434.8
$524.57
$409.16
−$25.63
(-5.9%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
No 90.5¢
450.4 份
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84.0¢
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90.5¢
$378.31
$450.37
$407.58
+$29.27
(+7.7%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes 35.5¢
1,143 份
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36.2¢
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35.5¢
$414.07
$1,143.04
$405.78
−$8.3
(-2.0%)
Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
No 85.0¢
476.7 份
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86.6¢
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85.0¢
$412.82
$476.66
$404.92
−$7.9
(-1.9%)
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes 86.5¢
465.8 份
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88.0¢
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86.5¢
$410.01
$465.8
$402.92
−$7.09
(-1.7%)
Will "The Tuners" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 64¢
626.7 份
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65.0¢
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64¢
$407.1
$626.72
$401.1
−$6
(-1.5%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 80.5¢
494.5 份
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60.6¢
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80.5¢
$299.77
$494.53
$398.1
+$98.33
(+32.8%)
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?
No 88¢
450 份
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90.7¢
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88¢
$408.03
$450.03
$396.03
−$12
(-2.9%)
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