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GuyFromTinder
2026年4月 加入
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分享個人資料
Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
總收益
$35,705.05
1天
−$597.67
7天
$788.85
30天
$7,691.66
90天
$2.87萬
總交易量
$433.55萬
預測次數
17,771
持倉價值
$6.15萬
盈虧走勢
歷史盈虧走勢
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
−$10.44萬
LP 獎勵
+$13.32萬
Maker 返利
+$5,721.62
持倉獎勵
+$4.31
推薦獎勵
+$1,370.65
Taker 返利
+$10.00
費用
−$164.31
排名概覽
綜合
#3,144
共 330.2萬 個錢包
交易量
#6,817
共 330.2萬 個錢包
利潤
#3,247,041
共 330.2萬 個錢包
LP 獎勵
#38
共 18.9萬 個獲獎地址
Maker 返利
#1,321
共 16.1萬 個獲獎地址
Taker 返利
#36,341
共 7.2萬 個獲獎地址
推薦獎勵
#843
共 1萬 個獲獎地址
持倉獎勵
#19,304
共 35.2萬 個獲獎地址
已付費用
#89,339
共 153.5萬 個付費地址
持倉
活動
評論
當前
已平倉
市場
平均 → 當前
成交額
獲勝可得
價值
分享
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?
No 98.8¢
340.3 份
分享
93.3¢
→
98.8¢
$317.39
$340.27
$336.18
+$18.79
(+5.9%)
Will CD Leganes be promoted to LaLiga?
No 82.5¢
300.5 份
分享
85.0¢
→
82.5¢
$255.39
$300.46
$247.88
−$7.51
(-2.9%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 97.0¢
200 份
分享
96.9¢
→
97.0¢
$193.8
$200
$194.1
+$0.3
(+0.2%)
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 94.2¢
200 份
分享
93.5¢
→
94.2¢
$187.1
$200
$188.4
+$1.3
(+0.7%)
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
No 79.5¢
200 份
分享
84¢
→
79.5¢
$168
$200
$159
−$9
(-5.4%)
Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 15, 2026?
No 71¢
221 份
分享
34¢
→
71¢
$75.14
$221
$156.91
+$81.77
(+108.8%)
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?
No 44.0¢
350 份
分享
66.7¢
→
44.0¢
$233.45
$349.99
$154.17
−$79.28
(-34.0%)
Will "Listen" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 75.5¢
201.1 份
分享
71.9¢
→
75.5¢
$144.62
$201.09
$151.82
+$7.2
(+5.0%)
Will "Whalefall" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 70¢
200 份
分享
71¢
→
70¢
$142
$200
$140
−$2
(-1.4%)
Will "Mary is Missing" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 66¢
199 份
分享
64.5¢
→
66¢
$128.35
$199.04
$131.37
+$3.02
(+2.4%)
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?
No 57.5¢
222.3 份
分享
53.3¢
→
57.5¢
$118.58
$222.31
$127.83
+$9.25
(+7.8%)
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $9B by December 31?
No 84.5¢
150 份
分享
67.7¢
→
84.5¢
$101.54
$150.02
$126.76
+$25.22
(+24.8%)
Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?
Yes 41¢
302.5 份
分享
58.2¢
→
41¢
$176
$302.49
$124.02
−$51.98
(-29.5%)
Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by November 15?
No 55.5¢
220 份
分享
55.2¢
→
55.5¢
$121.54
$219.99
$122.1
+$0.55
(+0.5%)
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?
No 58.5¢
204.9 份
分享
60.9¢
→
58.5¢
$124.82
$204.88
$119.85
−$4.97
(-4.0%)
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?
No 89¢
133 份
分享
61.8¢
→
89¢
$82.18
$132.99
$118.36
+$36.18
(+44.0%)
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
No 79.5¢
145.4 份
分享
73¢
→
79.5¢
$106.17
$145.44
$115.63
+$9.45
(+8.9%)
Will CeeDee Lamb finish as a top-5 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season?
No 37¢
300 份
分享
51.0¢
→
37¢
$152.92
$300
$111
−$41.92
(-27.4%)
Will "How to Write a Song About You" from Power Ballad be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 47¢
233.9 份
分享
72.6¢
→
47¢
$169.84
$233.91
$109.94
−$59.9
(-35.3%)
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
No 81.5¢
131.5 份
分享
86¢
→
81.5¢
$113.06
$131.47
$107.15
−$5.92
(-5.2%)
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?
No 59¢
180 份
分享
68¢
→
59¢
$122.4
$180
$106.2
−$16.2
(-13.2%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?
No 48¢
221 份
分享
51¢
→
48¢
$112.71
$221
$106.08
−$6.63
(-5.9%)
Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 56.0¢
188.2 份
分享
59.1¢
→
56.0¢
$111.16
$188.21
$105.4
−$5.76
(-5.2%)
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?
Yes 46.9¢
217.4 份
分享
56.5¢
→
46.9¢
$122.96
$217.41
$102.07
−$20.88
(-17.0%)
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Yes 52.5¢
193.9 份
分享
62¢
→
52.5¢
$120.21
$193.89
$101.79
−$18.42
(-15.3%)
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Yes 51.5¢
196.7 份
分享
50.6¢
→
51.5¢
$99.54
$196.74
$101.32
+$1.78
(+1.8%)
Will "Dog Alone" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 56.5¢
179 份
分享
26.3¢
→
56.5¢
$47.14
$179
$101.14
+$53.99
(+114.5%)
Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and the US enter a recession by the end of 2027?
No 99.6¢
100 份
分享
94.5¢
→
99.6¢
$94.5
$100
$99.6
+$5.1
(+5.4%)
Will "Meeting Your Maker" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 56.5¢
176.1 份
分享
71.9¢
→
56.5¢
$126.59
$176.07
$99.48
−$27.11
(-21.4%)
Will Danni-Elle Townsend qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?
Yes 50.0¢
196.8 份
分享
30.0¢
→
50.0¢
$59.09
$196.75
$98.47
+$39.38
(+66.7%)
Will Max Klare finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?
No 98.1¢
99.7 份
分享
96¢
→
98.1¢
$95.71
$99.7
$97.81
+$2.09
(+2.2%)
Will Notre Dame have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
Yes 97.5¢
99.7 份
分享
96¢
→
97.5¢
$95.71
$99.7
$97.16
+$1.45
(+1.5%)
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
No 96.5¢
100 份
分享
96.2¢
→
96.5¢
$96.2
$100
$96.5
+$0.3
(+0.3%)
Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 71¢
135.3 份
分享
77.9¢
→
71¢
$105.43
$135.29
$96.06
−$9.37
(-8.9%)
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You" from Toy Story 5 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 36.5¢
261.3 份
分享
31.7¢
→
36.5¢
$82.84
$261.25
$95.36
+$12.52
(+15.1%)
Will Tennessee reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
No 95¢
100 份
分享
94¢
→
95¢
$94
$100
$95
+$1
(+1.1%)
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
No 94.7¢
100 份
分享
82¢
→
94.7¢
$82
$100
$94.65
+$12.65
(+15.4%)
Will Tyra Hurricane Black / Gabriel Tardio advance to the Final in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?
No 94.5¢
100 份
分享
94¢
→
94.5¢
$94
$100
$94.5
+$0.5
(+0.5%)
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?
Yes 52.5¢
178.3 份
分享
53.2¢
→
52.5¢
$94.82
$178.32
$93.62
−$1.21
(-1.3%)
Will Colston Loveland have 599.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Yes 78¢
119.8 份
分享
46.6¢
→
78¢
$55.86
$119.76
$93.42
+$37.56
(+67.2%)
Will Drake appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
No 92.5¢
100 份
分享
93¢
→
92.5¢
$93
$100
$92.5
−$0.5
(-0.5%)
F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship?
No 74¢
125 份
分享
32¢
→
74¢
$40
$124.99
$92.49
+$52.5
(+131.3%)
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
No 85.7¢
107.4 份
分享
95¢
→
85.7¢
$102
$107.37
$92.02
−$9.99
(-9.8%)
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI?
No 52.5¢
175.2 份
分享
59¢
→
52.5¢
$103.39
$175.24
$92
−$11.39
(-11.0%)
Will Evan McPherson finish as a top-5 K in the 2026-27 NFL season?
No 90.3¢
101.9 份
分享
63.2¢
→
90.3¢
$64.37
$101.89
$91.95
+$27.59
(+42.9%)
Will "Wuthering Heights" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 42¢
214.9 份
分享
37.1¢
→
42¢
$79.68
$214.92
$90.27
+$10.58
(+13.3%)
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
No 68.5¢
131 份
分享
71¢
→
68.5¢
$93.01
$131
$89.74
−$3.28
(-3.5%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?
No 96.4¢
90.6 份
分享
89¢
→
96.4¢
$80.66
$90.63
$87.37
+$6.71
(+8.3%)
Will Real Tomayapo be relegated from the 2026 Bolivia LFPB?
No 43¢
201.6 份
分享
63.4¢
→
43¢
$127.76
$201.59
$86.68
−$41.07
(-32.2%)
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?
No 70.5¢
122.9 份
分享
75.9¢
→
70.5¢
$93.29
$122.88
$86.63
−$6.66
(-7.1%)
Will Kate Fahey / Tina Pisnik advance to the Final in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?
No 86.5¢
100 份
分享
89¢
→
86.5¢
$89
$100
$86.5
−$2.5
(-2.8%)
Will Chase Brown have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No 70.5¢
121.9 份
分享
51.8¢
→
70.5¢
$63.17
$121.92
$85.95
+$22.79
(+36.1%)
Next Israeli government a minority government?
No 67.5¢
125.6 份
分享
76.0¢
→
67.5¢
$95.38
$125.56
$84.76
−$10.63
(-11.1%)
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 72.5¢
116 份
分享
69.8¢
→
72.5¢
$80.92
$116.01
$84.11
+$3.19
(+3.9%)
Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by November 30, 2026?
No 73.5¢
113.8 份
分享
74.1¢
→
73.5¢
$84.29
$113.77
$83.62
−$0.67
(-0.8%)
Will the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place?
Yes 48.5¢
171.2 份
分享
53.6¢
→
48.5¢
$91.81
$171.23
$83.05
−$8.77
(-9.5%)
Will "Nightfaces" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 47¢
176.6 份
分享
66.5¢
→
47¢
$117.37
$176.58
$82.99
−$34.38
(-29.3%)
Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 40¢
206.8 份
分享
28.9¢
→
40¢
$59.76
$206.77
$82.71
+$22.95
(+38.4%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
Yes 23.5¢
350 份
分享
24.4¢
→
23.5¢
$85.45
$349.99
$82.25
−$3.2
(-3.7%)
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?
No 60¢
136.5 份
分享
67¢
→
60¢
$91.48
$136.53
$81.92
−$9.56
(-10.5%)
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?
No 70¢
117 份
分享
81.9¢
→
70¢
$95.85
$117
$81.9
−$13.95
(-14.6%)
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by November 30?
No 58.0¢
136 份
分享
65.8¢
→
58.0¢
$89.46
$136
$78.88
−$10.58
(-11.8%)
Will Daniel Jones finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
No 97.2¢
81 份
分享
91¢
→
97.2¢
$73.71
$81
$78.73
+$5.02
(+6.8%)
Will Dawson Knox finish as a top-5 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?
No 98.1¢
80 份
分享
95¢
→
98.1¢
$76
$80
$78.48
+$2.48
(+3.3%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
No 91.5¢
85.7 份
分享
89.2¢
→
91.5¢
$76.44
$85.73
$78.44
+$2
(+2.6%)
Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
No 22.5¢
348 份
分享
36.8¢
→
22.5¢
$128.1
$348
$78.3
−$49.8
(-38.9%)
Will "What We Leave Behind" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 46.5¢
168 份
分享
33.0¢
→
46.5¢
$55.52
$168.02
$78.13
+$22.61
(+40.7%)
Will Ghazl El Mahalla be relegated from the 2026-27 Egypt Premier League?
Yes 62.5¢
125 份
分享
44.2¢
→
62.5¢
$55.22
$125
$78.13
+$22.91
(+41.5%)
Will Jordan Love have 27.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Yes 68.5¢
113.9 份
分享
56.4¢
→
68.5¢
$64.2
$113.91
$78.02
+$13.83
(+21.5%)
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?
Yes 31.7¢
244.5 份
分享
34.3¢
→
31.7¢
$83.84
$244.52
$77.51
−$6.33
(-7.5%)
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
No 95.5¢
80 份
分享
89.4¢
→
95.5¢
$71.52
$80
$76.44
+$4.92
(+6.9%)
Will a transfer restriction on Manchester City be applied by the 2027 summer transfer window?
Yes 64.3¢
118.7 份
分享
57.7¢
→
64.3¢
$68.49
$118.74
$76.41
+$7.92
(+11.6%)
Yo FDV above $200M one day after launch?
No 86.5¢
87.9 份
分享
86.0¢
→
86.5¢
$75.57
$87.9
$76.03
+$0.46
(+0.6%)
Will Kispest-Honvéd be relegated from the 2026-27 NB I (Hungary)?
No 63¢
120 份
分享
73.3¢
→
63¢
$87.93
$120
$75.6
−$12.33
(-14.0%)
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by November 30, 2026?
No 60¢
124.3 份
分享
61¢
→
60¢
$75.84
$124.33
$74.6
−$1.24
(-1.6%)
Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 74.5¢
100 份
分享
67¢
→
74.5¢
$67
$100
$74.5
+$7.5
(+11.2%)
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 49.5¢
150.3 份
分享
52.2¢
→
49.5¢
$78.41
$150.26
$74.38
−$4.03
(-5.1%)
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 26, 2026?
No 99.7¢
74.4 份
分享
91¢
→
99.7¢
$67.7
$74.4
$74.14
+$6.44
(+9.5%)
Will Arch Network launch a token by March 31, 2027?
No 57.0¢
130 份
分享
68.2¢
→
57.0¢
$88.7
$130
$74.1
−$14.6
(-16.5%)
Will "Water Girl" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 73.5¢
100 份
分享
74¢
→
73.5¢
$74
$100
$73.5
−$0.5
(-0.7%)
Will the next Israeli government hold between 58 and 60 seats?
No 81.5¢
90 份
分享
86.3¢
→
81.5¢
$77.7
$90
$73.35
−$4.35
(-5.6%)
Will Carnell Tate have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No 50.5¢
144.4 份
分享
30.9¢
→
50.5¢
$44.58
$144.39
$72.92
+$28.34
(+63.6%)
GenLayer FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No 77.5¢
93 份
分享
76.4¢
→
77.5¢
$71.11
$93.02
$72.09
+$0.98
(+1.4%)
Will "Because Today is Saturday" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 65.5¢
110 份
分享
90¢
→
65.5¢
$99
$110
$72.05
−$26.95
(-27.2%)
Will Octane (Don Toliver) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
No 73.5¢
98 份
分享
78.9¢
→
73.5¢
$77.34
$98.01
$72.04
−$5.3
(-6.9%)
TownSquare FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Yes 60¢
119.5 份
分享
62.5¢
→
60¢
$74.76
$119.51
$71.7
−$3.05
(-4.1%)
Will "Tangles" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 44.5¢
161 份
分享
54.8¢
→
44.5¢
$88.2
$161
$71.65
−$16.56
(-18.8%)
Will Soneium launch a token by June 30, 2027?
No 62¢
115.6 份
分享
45.1¢
→
62¢
$52.11
$115.55
$71.64
+$19.53
(+37.5%)
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?
No 75.5¢
94.2 份
分享
81.3¢
→
75.5¢
$76.58
$94.19
$71.11
−$5.46
(-7.1%)
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
No 85.8¢
82.4 份
分享
80.1¢
→
85.8¢
$65.98
$82.37
$70.67
+$4.7
(+7.1%)
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?
No 74.5¢
94.3 份
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75.6¢
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74.5¢
$71.27
$94.3
$70.25
−$1.02
(-1.4%)
Will Anna Leigh Waters advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?
Yes 91.5¢
76.6 份
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94¢
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91.5¢
$72.01
$76.61
$70.1
−$1.92
(-2.7%)
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US government take a stake in OpenAI or Anthropic by the end of 2027?
No 70¢
100 份
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79.9¢
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70¢
$79.9
$100
$70
−$9.9
(-12.4%)
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?
No 77.5¢
90.1 份
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78¢
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77.5¢
$70.25
$90.06
$69.8
−$0.45
(-0.6%)
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 69.5¢
97 份
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71¢
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69.5¢
$68.87
$97
$67.42
−$1.46
(-2.1%)
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US enter a recession by the end of 2027?
No 67¢
100 份
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78.2¢
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67¢
$78.2
$100
$67
−$11.2
(-14.3%)
Will "Nuisance Bear" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 67.5¢
99.2 份
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63.9¢
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67.5¢
$63.43
$99.18
$66.95
+$3.51
(+5.5%)
Will "Rose" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 50¢
133.2 份
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69.3¢
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50¢
$92.25
$133.19
$66.6
−$25.66
(-27.8%)
Will "Magan's Fare" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 37.5¢
177.5 份
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53.8¢
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37.5¢
$95.42
$177.48
$66.56
−$28.86
(-30.3%)
Will Jon Ossoff announce a presidential run by March 31, 2027?
No 66.5¢
100 份
分享
92¢
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66.5¢
$92
$100
$66.5
−$25.5
(-27.7%)
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