PolyScalping 標誌
PolyScalping

tradetosurvive1

2026年6月 加入

總收益

$134,679.91
1天
−$3,565.63
7天
$1,129.13
30天
$1.25萬
90天
$9.72萬
總交易量
$947.48萬
預測次數
39,709
持倉價值
$6.97萬
盈虧走勢
−$23.72萬
+$35.1萬
+$2.08萬
+$1.57
+$10.00
Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?
Yes 98.7¢527.2 份
$520.03
+$71.32 (+15.9%)
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
No 93.5¢546.2 份
$510.69
+$89.31 (+21.2%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 4?
Yes 100.0¢474.2 份
$473.96
+$298.51 (+170.1%)
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 69.8¢617.1 份
$430.74
−$99.7 (-18.8%)
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
No 98.5¢429 份
$422.38
+$262.49 (+164.2%)
Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Yes 94¢446.6 份
$419.8
+$298.76 (+246.8%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
No 92.5¢443.2 份
$409.96
+$72.79 (+21.6%)
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
No 90.0¢437.8 份
$393.84
+$39.69 (+11.2%)
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?
No 100.0¢351.2 份
$351.07
+$13.25 (+3.9%)
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 70¢500 份
$350
+$50 (+16.7%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?
Yes 96.3¢347.6 份
$334.58
+$43.76 (+15.0%)
Viktor Orbán arrested by...?
No 86.9¢381.1 份
$331.21
+$44.61 (+15.6%)
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
Yes 98.5¢318.1 份
$313.34
+$81 (+34.9%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No 69¢441.7 份
$304.77
+$15.62 (+5.4%)
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Yes 98.9¢305.6 份
$302.24
+$53.94 (+21.7%)
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Yes 71¢424.8 份
$301.57
+$78.04 (+34.9%)
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 73¢394.5 份
$287.97
+$50.92 (+21.5%)
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and US gas hit $3.50 by the end of 2026?
No 93.8¢306.3 份
$287.33
+$5.36 (+1.9%)
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
No 65.5¢436 份
$285.56
+$24 (+9.2%)
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
No 100.0¢283.3 份
$283.11
+$33.4 (+13.4%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
No 86.5¢318.2 份
$275.25
+$196.2 (+248.2%)
Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 54¢503.9 份
$272.1
+$68.77 (+33.8%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on November 5?
No 41.5¢619.5 份
$257.08
−$83.63 (-24.5%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
No 87¢295 份
$256.65
+$120.45 (+88.4%)
Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?
Yes 97.3¢255 份
$247.99
+$160.11 (+182.2%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 53¢457.1 份
$242.27
−$14.6 (-5.7%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 5?
Yes 38¢636.8 份
$241.99
−$50.95 (-17.4%)
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?
Yes 47.6¢506.3 份
$241
−$1.27 (-0.5%)
F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship?
No 74¢325 份
$240.5
+$116.25 (+93.6%)
Will "Wuthering Heights" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 55.5¢426.7 份
$236.83
−$57.07 (-19.4%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?
No 95.8¢245 份
$234.59
+$0.61 (+0.3%)
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?
No 55.3¢411.1 份
$227.31
−$7.46 (-3.2%)
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
No 71.0¢319.7 份
$227.18
+$47.17 (+26.2%)
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 53¢427.8 份
$226.72
−$9.06 (-3.8%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes 44.5¢509 份
$226.49
+$55.37 (+32.4%)
Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?
No 76.5¢292.4 份
$223.69
+$98.01 (+78.0%)
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 53.5¢412 份
$220.42
+$2.96 (+1.4%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 5?
Yes 61.5¢351.9 份
$216.44
+$26.39 (+13.9%)
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 80.5¢265.8 份
$214.01
+$43.93 (+25.8%)
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?
No 47¢452.3 份
$212.6
+$15.6 (+7.9%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?
No 82¢258.7 份
$212.12
+$31.33 (+17.3%)
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
No 84.6¢250.2 份
$211.69
+$53.75 (+34.0%)
Will "I Love Boosters" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 42¢500 份
$210
−$72 (-25.5%)
Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?
No 60¢350 份
$210
+$113 (+116.5%)
Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
No 89¢230 份
$204.69
+$47.11 (+29.9%)
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
Yes 57.0¢355 份
$202.35
+$11.04 (+5.8%)
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
No 100.0¢200 份
$199.9
+$7.5 (+3.9%)
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
No 100.0¢200 份
$199.9
+$4.9 (+2.5%)
Will "Magan's Fare" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 39¢500 份
$195
+$53 (+37.3%)
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?
No 98.5¢196.6 份
$193.54
+$64.6 (+50.1%)
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?
Yes 62.5¢302.9 份
$189.33
−$26.46 (-12.3%)
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
No 93¢200 份
$186
+$30 (+19.2%)
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No 84¢219.4 份
$184.31
+$17.99 (+10.8%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No 41¢446.7 份
$183.16
+$2.53 (+1.4%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 53¢337 份
$178.61
−$24.13 (-11.9%)
Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 98.5¢181 份
$178.19
+$120.65 (+209.7%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No 33¢538.3 份
$177.64
−$64.84 (-26.7%)
Will "The Tuners" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 35.5¢500 份
$177.5
−$36.5 (-17.1%)
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
Yes 38¢466.6 份
$177.33
−$60.98 (-25.6%)
Will "Agapito" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 69¢255.1 份
$176.01
−$5.81 (-3.2%)
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?
No 84.5¢208.3 份
$175.98
+$41.72 (+31.1%)
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 38¢454.7 份
$172.77
−$33.27 (-16.1%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?
Yes 45¢381.9 份
$171.87
+$30.23 (+21.3%)
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?
Yes 62¢273.6 份
$169.63
+$9.71 (+6.1%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
Yes 30.5¢554.9 份
$169.25
+$32.35 (+23.6%)
Will "Mary is Missing" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 33.5¢500 份
$167.5
−$44.5 (-21.0%)
Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds hit 25% by December 31?
Yes 67¢245 份
$164.14
+$18.3 (+12.5%)
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
Yes 39.5¢414.1 份
$163.57
+$11.77 (+7.8%)
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 77.5¢209.7 份
$162.55
+$26.05 (+19.1%)
Will November be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?
No 95.7¢167.7 份
$160.36
+$17.88 (+12.6%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of November 2026?
No 81.7¢194.4 份
$158.7
−$27.31 (-14.7%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 4?
Yes 99.8¢158.6 份
$158.25
+$90.03 (+132.0%)
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 35.5¢435.3 份
$154.52
+$104.49 (+208.9%)
Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 51.5¢300 份
$154.5
−$33.5 (-17.8%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of November 2026?
No 68.5¢225 份
$154.13
−$54.62 (-26.2%)
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?
No 77¢200 份
$154
−$3.67 (-2.3%)
Will "Water Girl" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 73.5¢209 份
$153.62
+$14.67 (+10.6%)
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?
Yes 62¢247.3 份
$153.33
+$46.71 (+43.8%)
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 75¢199.1 份
$149.35
+$16.84 (+12.7%)
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?
Yes 90.5¢163.9 份
$148.31
+$18.86 (+14.6%)
U.S. enacts Protect College Sports Act before 2027?
Yes 57.0¢256.8 份
$146.39
+$73.71 (+101.4%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026?
Yes 65.5¢223.4 份
$146.31
+$45.29 (+44.8%)
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 63.5¢228.9 份
$145.35
+$19.37 (+15.4%)
Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 29.0¢500 份
$145
+$18 (+14.2%)
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?
Yes 71¢204 份
$144.84
−$6.79 (-4.5%)
Will "Minotaur" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 48¢300.1 份
$144.06
−$3.81 (-2.6%)
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?
No 33.3¢430.6 份
$143.18
+$40.93 (+40.0%)
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?
No 95.3¢150 份
$142.88
+$14.33 (+11.1%)
Will "Madden" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 28.5¢500 份
$142.5
+$12.5 (+9.6%)
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
No 51.0¢278 份
$141.92
−$10.69 (-7.0%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?
No 76.5¢184.9 份
$141.47
+$25.93 (+22.4%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?
No 84.5¢166.2 份
$140.46
−$0.1 (-0.1%)
Will "Paper Trail" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 44¢318.9 份
$140.34
−$36 (-20.4%)
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
No 89.5¢156.7 份
$140.22
+$27.48 (+24.4%)
Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 84.2¢163.9 份
$138.01
+$30.71 (+28.6%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No 59.2¢230.1 份
$136.24
+$4.67 (+3.6%)
Will "Iron Boy" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 34.5¢394 份
$135.92
−$42.37 (-23.8%)
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?
No 98.8¢137.2 份
$135.51
+$53.17 (+64.6%)
Will "Listen" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 23.5¢576.5 份
$135.48
−$86.12 (-38.9%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
Yes 28.4¢474.5 份
$134.99
−$274.54 (-67.0%)