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aenews2
2024年1月 加入
曬單卡片
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分享個人資料
Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
總收益
$2,603,221.79
1天
$19.65萬
7天
$15.62萬
30天
$12.32萬
90天
$34.13萬
總交易量
$2.57億
預測次數
3,328
持倉價值
$39.82萬
盈虧走勢
歷史盈虧走勢
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
+$253.87萬
LP 獎勵
+$5.11萬
Maker 返利
+$8,432.93
持倉獎勵
+$1,608.73
Taker 返利
+$3,407.14
持倉
活動
評論
當前
已平倉
市場
平均 → 當前
成交額
獲勝可得
價值
分享
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?
Yes 99.5¢
15萬 份
分享
34.5¢
→
99.5¢
$5.18萬
$15.04萬
$14.96萬
+$9.78萬
(+188.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?
Yes 99.5¢
7.5萬 份
分享
31.0¢
→
99.5¢
$2.33萬
$7.54萬
$7.5萬
+$5.16萬
(+221.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?
No 75.8¢
4.8萬 份
分享
35.7¢
→
75.8¢
$1.71萬
$4.78萬
$3.62萬
+$1.92萬
(+112.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?
Yes 75.8¢
4萬 份
分享
38.7¢
→
75.8¢
$1.53萬
$3.96萬
$3萬
+$1.47萬
(+95.7%)
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 5?
Yes 97.7¢
2萬 份
分享
83.1¢
→
97.7¢
$1.65萬
$1.98萬
$1.94萬
+$2,891.97
(+17.5%)
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes 12.5¢
9.5萬 份
分享
21¢
→
12.5¢
$2萬
$9.54萬
$1.19萬
−$8,115.87
(-40.5%)
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 86.1¢
1.3萬 份
分享
79.5¢
→
86.1¢
$1.05萬
$1.32萬
$1.14萬
+$873.53
(+8.3%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 90.6¢
1.2萬 份
分享
74.0¢
→
90.6¢
$9,224.76
$1.25萬
$1.13萬
+$2,069.35
(+22.4%)
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 6?
Yes 79.5¢
1萬 份
分享
79.1¢
→
79.5¢
$8,011.64
$1.01萬
$8,052.56
+$40.91
(+0.5%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
Yes 49.5¢
8,374.7 份
分享
51.4¢
→
49.5¢
$4,306.16
$8,374.68
$4,145.47
−$160.7
(-3.7%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes 53¢
7,699.9 份
分享
43.6¢
→
53¢
$3,355.84
$7,699.85
$4,080.92
+$725.08
(+21.6%)
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes 2.9¢
13.4萬 份
分享
12.6¢
→
2.9¢
$1.68萬
$13.41萬
$3,956.54
−$1.29萬
(-76.5%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No 87.1¢
4,470 份
分享
79.0¢
→
87.1¢
$3,533.16
$4,469.99
$3,893.36
+$360.21
(+10.2%)
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 97.2¢
3,094.2 份
分享
94.6¢
→
97.2¢
$2,925.98
$3,094.19
$3,006.01
+$80.03
(+2.7%)
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Yes 15.5¢
1.9萬 份
分享
28.5¢
→
15.5¢
$5,434.2
$1.91萬
$2,955.41
−$2,478.79
(-45.6%)
Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
Yes 98.6¢
2,983.8 份
分享
58.8¢
→
98.6¢
$1,754.62
$2,983.81
$2,940.55
+$1,185.92
(+67.6%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 51¢
4,773.1 份
分享
42.2¢
→
51¢
$2,015.17
$4,773.13
$2,434.3
+$419.13
(+20.8%)
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Yes 42.5¢
4,221.4 份
分享
33.8¢
→
42.5¢
$1,424.85
$4,221.39
$1,794.09
+$369.24
(+25.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?
No 99.9¢
1,709.3 份
分享
33.3¢
→
99.9¢
$568.58
$1,709.31
$1,707.6
+$1,139.02
(+200.3%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Yes 9¢
1.2萬 份
分享
40.4¢
→
9¢
$5,012.26
$1.24萬
$1,116.57
−$3,895.69
(-77.7%)
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Yes 3.6¢
2.9萬 份
分享
23.7¢
→
3.6¢
$6,856.65
$2.89萬
$1,056.58
−$5,800.07
(-84.6%)
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Yes 2.7¢
3.7萬 份
分享
6.7¢
→
2.7¢
$2,480.61
$3.71萬
$1,002.4
−$1,478.21
(-59.6%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?
Yes 59.5¢
1,532.8 份
分享
64.0¢
→
59.5¢
$981.01
$1,532.84
$912.04
−$68.97
(-7.0%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Yes 84.5¢
981.8 份
分享
58.6¢
→
84.5¢
$575.18
$981.78
$829.6
+$254.42
(+44.2%)
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Yes 18.5¢
4,351.2 份
分享
56.8¢
→
18.5¢
$2,469.69
$4,351.24
$804.98
−$1,664.71
(-67.4%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 8.5¢
8,788.8 份
分享
34.9¢
→
8.5¢
$3,063.97
$8,788.84
$747.05
−$2,316.92
(-75.6%)
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Yes 28.8¢
2,323 份
分享
31.1¢
→
28.8¢
$722.49
$2,322.97
$669.02
−$53.48
(-7.4%)
Will Karoline Leavitt be the next White House Press Secretary?
No 97.0¢
646 份
分享
94.4¢
→
97.0¢
$609.61
$645.97
$626.27
+$16.66
(+2.7%)
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Yes 3.2¢
1.7萬 份
分享
7.6¢
→
3.2¢
$1,260.77
$1.66萬
$531.39
−$729.38
(-57.9%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Yes 12¢
4,353.2 份
分享
40.7¢
→
12¢
$1,773.4
$4,353.17
$522.38
−$1,251.02
(-70.5%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes 7.5¢
6,388 份
分享
39.2¢
→
7.5¢
$2,507.09
$6,387.96
$479.1
−$2,027.99
(-80.9%)
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
Yes 1.8¢
2.3萬 份
分享
11.1¢
→
1.8¢
$2,573.16
$2.32萬
$406.43
−$2,166.72
(-84.2%)
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Yes 19¢
1,855.8 份
分享
30.8¢
→
19¢
$571.07
$1,855.79
$352.6
−$218.47
(-38.3%)
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?
No 4.7¢
7,289.2 份
分享
22.0¢
→
4.7¢
$1,603.62
$7,289.23
$342.59
−$1,261.03
(-78.6%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
No 99.8¢
324 份
分享
31¢
→
99.8¢
$100.44
$324
$323.19
+$222.75
(+221.8%)
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
Yes 12¢
2,456.5 份
分享
19.9¢
→
12¢
$489.99
$2,456.52
$294.78
−$195.21
(-39.8%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes 44.5¢
639.2 份
分享
28.7¢
→
44.5¢
$183.47
$639.22
$284.45
+$100.99
(+55.0%)
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Yes 2.1¢
1.2萬 份
分享
8.2¢
→
2.1¢
$998.8
$1.22萬
$262.46
−$736.34
(-73.7%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes 8.3¢
2,943.4 份
分享
67.2¢
→
8.3¢
$1,978.76
$2,943.43
$242.83
−$1,735.93
(-87.7%)
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 5?
No 2.3¢
9,999 份
分享
2.1¢
→
2.3¢
$209.98
$9,999
$229.98
+$20
(+9.5%)
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028?
Yes 28.0¢
793.7 份
分享
16.8¢
→
28.0¢
$133.7
$793.74
$222.25
+$88.54
(+66.2%)
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Yes 5.3¢
3,334 份
分享
8.4¢
→
5.3¢
$279.29
$3,334.04
$178.37
−$100.92
(-36.1%)
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
Yes 5.5¢
3,002.8 份
分享
13.1¢
→
5.5¢
$393.89
$3,002.76
$165.15
−$228.74
(-58.1%)
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?
Yes 15¢
885.4 份
分享
15.8¢
→
15¢
$139.88
$885.39
$132.81
−$7.07
(-5.1%)
Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Yes 86¢
143 份
分享
55.0¢
→
86¢
$78.65
$143
$122.98
+$44.33
(+56.4%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
Yes 12¢
998 份
分享
29.8¢
→
12¢
$297.88
$997.98
$119.76
−$178.12
(-59.8%)
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?
Yes 14.5¢
815.5 份
分享
28.6¢
→
14.5¢
$233.7
$815.51
$118.25
−$115.45
(-49.4%)
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
No 52.5¢
207 份
分享
87.8¢
→
52.5¢
$181.8
$206.98
$108.66
−$73.14
(-40.2%)
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?
No 86.5¢
124.8 份
分享
95.9¢
→
86.5¢
$119.62
$124.75
$107.91
−$11.71
(-9.8%)
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Yes 1.7¢
5,963 份
分享
22.3¢
→
1.7¢
$1,330.86
$5,962.95
$101.37
−$1,229.49
(-92.4%)
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes 2.9¢
3,507.6 份
分享
2¢
→
2.9¢
$70.15
$3,507.61
$99.97
+$29.81
(+42.5%)
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes 3.4¢
2,673.1 份
分享
12.5¢
→
3.4¢
$333.84
$2,673.13
$89.55
−$244.29
(-73.2%)
X banned in any European country by December 31?
Yes 11.5¢
773.5 份
分享
29.6¢
→
11.5¢
$229.12
$773.54
$88.96
−$140.16
(-61.2%)
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 70.2¢
100 份
分享
40.5¢
→
70.2¢
$40.5
$100
$70.15
+$29.65
(+73.2%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Yes 1.7¢
3,746.8 份
分享
18.4¢
→
1.7¢
$688.57
$3,746.82
$61.82
−$626.75
(-91.0%)
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?
Yes 2.3¢
2,656.3 份
分享
6.7¢
→
2.3¢
$178.1
$2,656.28
$61.09
−$117
(-65.7%)
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
Yes 16¢
364.6 份
分享
44.4¢
→
16¢
$161.97
$364.64
$58.34
−$103.62
(-64.0%)
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Yes 17.5¢
272.6 份
分享
61.2¢
→
17.5¢
$166.74
$272.58
$47.7
−$119.04
(-71.4%)
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Yes 5.5¢
866 份
分享
20.4¢
→
5.5¢
$176.38
$866
$47.63
−$128.75
(-73.0%)
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Yes 17¢
264.4 份
分享
43.1¢
→
17¢
$114.05
$264.41
$44.95
−$69.1
(-60.6%)
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
Yes 100.0¢
43.8 份
分享
94.0¢
→
100.0¢
$41.19
$43.82
$43.8
+$2.61
(+6.3%)
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?
Yes 6.5¢
665.7 份
分享
26¢
→
6.5¢
$173.07
$665.66
$43.27
−$129.8
(-75.0%)
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?
Yes 49.5¢
75 份
分享
91¢
→
49.5¢
$68.25
$75
$37.13
−$31.13
(-45.6%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 97.4¢
30.2 份
分享
59.1¢
→
97.4¢
$17.86
$30.21
$29.41
+$11.55
(+64.7%)
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes 2.6¢
973.6 份
分享
6.0¢
→
2.6¢
$58.42
$973.63
$25.8
−$32.62
(-55.8%)
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
No 94.5¢
21.9 份
分享
71¢
→
94.5¢
$15.55
$21.9
$20.7
+$5.15
(+33.1%)
Will Republicans lose any "Solid R" House race?
Yes 68.2¢
28 份
分享
83.3¢
→
68.2¢
$23.32
$28
$19.08
−$4.24
(-18.2%)
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?
Yes 83.5¢
17.8 份
分享
87.0¢
→
83.5¢
$15.46
$17.77
$14.84
−$0.62
(-4.0%)
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
Yes 3.8¢
252.5 份
分享
69.5¢
→
3.8¢
$175.61
$252.49
$9.47
−$166.14
(-94.6%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
Yes 5.8¢
160 份
分享
15.2¢
→
5.8¢
$24.27
$160
$9.2
−$15.07
(-62.1%)
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?
Yes 18¢
30 份
分享
45¢
→
18¢
$13.5
$30
$5.4
−$8.1
(-60.0%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?
Yes 18¢
23.8 份
分享
17.0¢
→
18¢
$4.04
$23.78
$4.28
+$0.24
(+5.9%)
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?
Yes 75.5¢
5 份
分享
74¢
→
75.5¢
$3.7
$5
$3.78
+$0.08
(+2.0%)
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Yes 8.8¢
42 份
分享
14.3¢
→
8.8¢
$6.01
$42
$3.72
−$2.29
(-38.1%)
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Yes 3.6¢
100.3 份
分享
15¢
→
3.6¢
$15.04
$100.3
$3.61
−$11.43
(-76.0%)
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?
Yes 5¢
26.6 份
分享
21.0¢
→
5¢
$5.59
$26.6
$1.33
−$4.26
(-76.2%)
Will Trump say "Burger" in October?
Yes 0.1¢
2,483.1 份
分享
10.5¢
→
0.1¢
$261.88
$2,483.11
$1.24
−$260.64
(-99.5%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 9%-12%?
Yes 2.7¢
38.9 份
分享
6.6¢
→
2.7¢
$2.58
$38.94
$1.05
−$1.53
(-59.3%)
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Yes 8¢
12 份
分享
18¢
→
8¢
$2.16
$12
$0.96
−$1.2
(-55.6%)
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
Yes 4.2¢
19.8 份
分享
31.6¢
→
4.2¢
$6.26
$19.77
$0.82
−$5.44
(-86.9%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
Yes 7.5¢
8 份
分享
15¢
→
7.5¢
$1.2
$8
$0.6
−$0.6
(-50.0%)
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?
Yes 7.0¢
5 份
分享
36¢
→
7.0¢
$1.8
$5
$0.35
−$1.45
(-80.6%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 11.2¢
1.8 份
分享
49.9¢
→
11.2¢
$0.88
$1.76
$0.2
−$0.68
(-77.7%)
Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes 0¢
2.6萬 份
分享
1.4¢
→
0¢
$361.04
$2.56萬
輸
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?
No 0¢
271.7 份
分享
7.3¢
→
0¢
$19.76
$271.65
輸
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?
Yes 0¢
6.8萬 份
分享
20.0¢
→
0¢
$1.36萬
$6.79萬
輸
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
No 0¢
5,519.2 份
分享
30.8¢
→
0¢
$1,701.3
$5,519.22
輸
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 75m?
Yes 0¢
3萬 份
分享
20.0¢
→
0¢
$6,051.75
$3.03萬
輸
Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?
Yes 0¢
1,000 份
分享
31¢
→
0¢
$309.99
$999.97
輸
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
No 0¢
4.7萬 份
分享
31.4¢
→
0¢
$1.46萬
$4.66萬
輸
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
Yes 0¢
6.5 份
分享
19.6¢
→
0¢
$1.27
$6.49
輸
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢
7,458 份
分享
10¢
→
0¢
$745.8
$7,457.98
輸
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Yes 0¢
2,655.9 份
分享
37.1¢
→
0¢
$984.84
$2,655.88
輸
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 0¢
3.5萬 份
分享
19.8¢
→
0¢
$6,928.18
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