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Many-Mackerel
2026年4月 加入
曬單卡片
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複製地址
分享個人資料
Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
總收益
$76,822.81
1天
−$978.57
7天
$6,379.06
30天
$2.5萬
90天
$6.34萬
總交易量
$1105.43萬
預測次數
2,748
持倉價值
$11.33萬
盈虧走勢
歷史盈虧走勢
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
−$3.78萬
LP 獎勵
+$10.93萬
Maker 返利
+$1.07萬
持倉獎勵
+$48.18
Taker 返利
+$261.90
費用
−$5,649.64
排名概覽
綜合
#2,554
共 330.2萬 個錢包
交易量
#2,765
共 330.2萬 個錢包
利潤
#3,245,043
共 330.2萬 個錢包
LP 獎勵
#45
共 18.9萬 個獲獎地址
Maker 返利
#780
共 16.1萬 個獲獎地址
Taker 返利
#5,230
共 7.2萬 個獲獎地址
持倉獎勵
#3,910
共 35.2萬 個獲獎地址
已付費用
#5,295
共 153.5萬 個付費地址
持倉
活動
評論
當前
已平倉
市場
平均 → 當前
成交額
獲勝可得
價值
分享
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
No 69.5¢
1.1萬 份
分享
71.1¢
→
69.5¢
$8,161.49
$1.15萬
$7,974.46
−$187.03
(-2.3%)
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
No 68.5¢
8,696.6 份
分享
74¢
→
68.5¢
$6,435.73
$8,696.55
$5,957.14
−$478.6
(-7.4%)
Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?
No 97.8¢
4,569.2 份
分享
94.4¢
→
97.8¢
$4,313.33
$4,569.19
$4,466.38
+$153.05
(+3.5%)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Yes 85.3¢
5,009.6 份
分享
0.8¢
→
85.3¢
$38.65
$5,009.59
$4,270.67
+$4,232.02
(+10948.5%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No 94¢
4,449 份
分享
93.8¢
→
94¢
$4,173.21
$4,449
$4,182.06
+$8.85
(+0.2%)
Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
Yes 94¢
4,000 份
分享
87¢
→
94¢
$3,480.04
$4,000
$3,760
+$279.96
(+8.0%)
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No 91¢
4,000 份
分享
65.5¢
→
91¢
$2,619.95
$4,000.01
$3,640.01
+$1,020.06
(+38.9%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 72.3¢
5,005 份
分享
53.0¢
→
72.3¢
$2,651.98
$5,005.01
$3,616.12
+$964.14
(+36.4%)
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
No 94.8¢
3,005 份
分享
94.1¢
→
94.8¢
$2,827.79
$3,005
$2,850.24
+$22.46
(+0.8%)
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
Yes 29.0¢
7,695.6 份
分享
35.0¢
→
29.0¢
$2,693.15
$7,695.6
$2,231.72
−$461.43
(-17.1%)
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?
No 94.2¢
2,000.2 份
分享
93.9¢
→
94.2¢
$1,877.36
$2,000.16
$1,884.15
+$6.79
(+0.4%)
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?
No 65¢
2,528 份
分享
75.6¢
→
65¢
$1,910.49
$2,528
$1,643.2
−$267.29
(-14.0%)
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?
No 31.5¢
4,983.8 份
分享
42.2¢
→
31.5¢
$2,103.64
$4,983.76
$1,569.88
−$533.75
(-25.4%)
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 89.3¢
1,471.9 份
分享
90.1¢
→
89.3¢
$1,327.04
$1,471.92
$1,315.16
−$11.89
(-0.9%)
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?
No 77¢
1,597.4 份
分享
81.0¢
→
77¢
$1,294.08
$1,597.41
$1,230.01
−$64.07
(-5.0%)
Will South Korea win Group E at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?
No 98.8¢
1,239 份
分享
33¢
→
98.8¢
$408.92
$1,239
$1,224.13
+$815.21
(+199.4%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027?
No 96.7¢
1,237.7 份
分享
95.4¢
→
96.7¢
$1,180.82
$1,237.7
$1,196.24
+$15.42
(+1.3%)
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Yes 10.5¢
1萬 份
分享
12¢
→
10.5¢
$1,200.04
$1萬
$1,050.03
−$150.01
(-12.5%)
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?
No 78¢
1,342 份
分享
73.5¢
→
78¢
$986.49
$1,342.02
$1,046.78
+$60.29
(+6.1%)
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
No 84¢
1,244 份
分享
88.9¢
→
84¢
$1,106.06
$1,244
$1,044.96
−$61.1
(-5.5%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 47¢
2,077 份
分享
56.1¢
→
47¢
$1,166.22
$2,077.01
$976.19
−$190.03
(-16.3%)
Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
No 93.7¢
991.2 份
分享
95.9¢
→
93.7¢
$950.59
$991.19
$928.75
−$21.84
(-2.3%)
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.80% before 2027?
No 90.7¢
912.8 份
分享
90.6¢
→
90.7¢
$827.35
$912.77
$827.88
+$0.53
(+0.1%)
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
No 39.9¢
2,054 份
分享
80.8¢
→
39.9¢
$1,659.17
$2,054
$819.55
−$839.62
(-50.6%)
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?
No 66¢
1,219 份
分享
67.7¢
→
66¢
$825.48
$1,219.02
$804.55
−$20.93
(-2.5%)
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Yes 14.8¢
4,979.6 份
分享
0.8¢
→
14.8¢
$38.42
$4,979.59
$739.47
+$701.05
(+1824.6%)
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No 96.4¢
736.1 份
分享
83.0¢
→
96.4¢
$611.21
$736.09
$709.6
+$98.39
(+16.1%)
Will Drake release a new album by December 31?
No 87.5¢
742.9 份
分享
86.6¢
→
87.5¢
$643.61
$742.95
$650.08
+$6.47
(+1.0%)
Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
No 81.5¢
771.5 份
分享
84¢
→
81.5¢
$648.14
$771.54
$628.81
−$19.34
(-3.0%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
No 50.5¢
1,239 份
分享
51¢
→
50.5¢
$631.94
$1,239.01
$625.7
−$6.24
(-1.0%)
Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2027?
No 91.5¢
676 份
分享
92.0¢
→
91.5¢
$621.77
$676
$618.54
−$3.23
(-0.5%)
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
Yes 68¢
898.5 份
分享
66¢
→
68¢
$593.04
$898.49
$610.97
+$17.93
(+3.0%)
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 89.5¢
681.5 份
分享
88.8¢
→
89.5¢
$605.06
$681.47
$609.92
+$4.86
(+0.8%)
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 47.5¢
1,248.6 份
分享
48.2¢
→
47.5¢
$602.03
$1,248.55
$593.06
−$8.97
(-1.5%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Yes 59¢
1,000 份
分享
58.0¢
→
59¢
$580.04
$1,000.01
$590
+$9.96
(+1.7%)
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
No 78.5¢
739.1 份
分享
78.0¢
→
78.5¢
$576.46
$739.12
$580.21
+$3.75
(+0.6%)
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 25.5¢
2,237 份
分享
75.9¢
→
25.5¢
$1,697.27
$2,237
$570.44
−$1,126.83
(-66.4%)
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
No 79.5¢
702 份
分享
82¢
→
79.5¢
$575.69
$702
$558.09
−$17.6
(-3.1%)
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
No 78¢
653.1 份
分享
76.8¢
→
78¢
$501.47
$653.11
$509.43
+$7.96
(+1.6%)
Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 71¢
710 份
分享
79.2¢
→
71¢
$562.15
$710
$504.1
−$58.05
(-10.3%)
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T?
Yes 63.2¢
782 份
分享
12.5¢
→
63.2¢
$97.75
$782
$494.22
+$396.47
(+405.6%)
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?
No 61¢
786.4 份
分享
67.1¢
→
61¢
$527.48
$786.44
$479.73
−$47.75
(-9.1%)
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
No 23¢
2,005 份
分享
36¢
→
23¢
$721.85
$2,005.01
$461.15
−$260.7
(-36.1%)
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
No 69.5¢
660 份
分享
74¢
→
69.5¢
$488.45
$660
$458.7
−$29.75
(-6.1%)
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?
No 90.5¢
500 份
分享
84.0¢
→
90.5¢
$420.23
$500.01
$452.51
+$32.28
(+7.7%)
Will Raphael Warnock win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?
No 81¢
558.6 份
分享
84.3¢
→
81¢
$471.02
$558.64
$452.5
−$18.52
(-3.9%)
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
No 97.9¢
449 份
分享
64.0¢
→
97.9¢
$287.41
$449
$439.57
+$152.16
(+52.9%)
Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
No 96.7¢
452.3 份
分享
96.0¢
→
96.7¢
$434.18
$452.34
$437.19
+$3.01
(+0.7%)
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 89¢
485.7 份
分享
65.6¢
→
89¢
$318.46
$485.73
$432.3
+$113.84
(+35.7%)
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
No 94.3¢
449 份
分享
86.0¢
→
94.3¢
$386.19
$449
$423.41
+$37.22
(+9.6%)
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?
No 94.3¢
442.4 份
分享
93.4¢
→
94.3¢
$413.21
$442.38
$417.17
+$3.95
(+1.0%)
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?
No 70.5¢
584.2 份
分享
76.2¢
→
70.5¢
$445.08
$584.23
$411.88
−$33.2
(-7.5%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of December 2026?
No 88.5¢
462.7 份
分享
85¢
→
88.5¢
$393.36
$462.74
$409.52
+$16.16
(+4.1%)
Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
No 89.5¢
449 份
分享
92.3¢
→
89.5¢
$414.47
$449
$401.63
−$12.85
(-3.1%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
No 80.1¢
500 份
分享
7.0¢
→
80.1¢
$35
$500
$400.5
+$365.5
(+1044.3%)
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 40¢
1,000 份
分享
0.9¢
→
40¢
$9.24
$1,000
$400
+$390.76
(+4229.5%)
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by December 31, 2026?
No 95¢
414.8 份
分享
86.1¢
→
95¢
$357.18
$414.8
$394.06
+$36.88
(+10.3%)
Will Manchester City be relegated from the Premier League in 2026-27?
No 57.5¢
668.8 份
分享
64.4¢
→
57.5¢
$430.7
$668.76
$384.54
−$46.16
(-10.7%)
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Yes 85¢
449 份
分享
74.1¢
→
85¢
$332.64
$448.98
$381.63
+$48.99
(+14.7%)
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
No 68.5¢
543.6 份
分享
72¢
→
68.5¢
$391.46
$543.63
$372.39
−$19.08
(-4.9%)
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?
No 79¢
444.5 份
分享
71.0¢
→
79¢
$315.67
$444.53
$351.18
+$35.51
(+11.3%)
Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?
No 75.5¢
449 份
分享
77.0¢
→
75.5¢
$345.78
$449
$339
−$6.78
(-2.0%)
Will Fjord win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 95.3¢
354.8 份
分享
89¢
→
95.3¢
$315.79
$354.78
$338.28
+$22.49
(+7.1%)
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?
No 22.1¢
1,521.8 份
分享
48.2¢
→
22.1¢
$733.38
$1,521.8
$335.56
−$397.83
(-54.2%)
Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?
No 74.6¢
449 份
分享
71.0¢
→
74.6¢
$318.84
$449
$334.95
+$16.11
(+5.1%)
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?
No 90.6¢
368.8 份
分享
92.4¢
→
90.6¢
$340.8
$368.78
$334.3
−$6.5
(-1.9%)
Will "Club Kid" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 86.5¢
383 份
分享
82.5¢
→
86.5¢
$315.91
$383
$331.3
+$15.39
(+4.9%)
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Yes 38¢
862.4 份
分享
72.8¢
→
38¢
$627.7
$862.37
$327.7
−$300
(-47.8%)
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 55.0¢
590.2 份
分享
55.8¢
→
55.0¢
$329.33
$590.22
$324.62
−$4.71
(-1.4%)
Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 51.5¢
625.1 份
分享
49.8¢
→
51.5¢
$310.99
$625.07
$321.91
+$10.92
(+3.5%)
Will Atlético Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?
Yes 62¢
500 份
分享
55.0¢
→
62¢
$274.99
$499.99
$309.99
+$35
(+12.7%)
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?
No 96.7¢
312.9 份
分享
89.6¢
→
96.7¢
$280.45
$312.94
$302.46
+$22.01
(+7.8%)
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes 13.0¢
2,318.5 份
分享
26.9¢
→
13.0¢
$624.5
$2,318.53
$300.25
−$324.25
(-51.9%)
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
No 96.8¢
310 份
分享
36.2¢
→
96.8¢
$112.32
$310.02
$299.94
+$187.62
(+167.0%)
Will Saba win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 97.4¢
305 份
分享
93.0¢
→
97.4¢
$283.7
$305
$297.07
+$13.37
(+4.7%)
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
No 4.9¢
6,025 份
分享
28.1¢
→
4.9¢
$1,696.24
$6,025
$295.23
−$1,401.02
(-82.6%)
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No 62¢
476.1 份
分享
21.6¢
→
62¢
$102.63
$476.13
$295.2
+$192.57
(+187.6%)
Will "Sense and Sensibility" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 93.5¢
310 份
分享
65.2¢
→
93.5¢
$201.99
$309.99
$289.84
+$87.85
(+43.5%)
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 58.5¢
492.5 份
分享
58.9¢
→
58.5¢
$289.97
$492.5
$288.11
−$1.86
(-0.6%)
Will "Forgotten Island" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 72¢
392.2 份
分享
60.9¢
→
72¢
$238.7
$392.19
$282.38
+$43.68
(+18.3%)
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?
Yes 35.5¢
791.3 份
分享
38.7¢
→
35.5¢
$306.3
$791.31
$280.91
−$25.38
(-8.3%)
Will Parker Posey be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 92¢
305 份
分享
79.0¢
→
92¢
$241
$305
$280.6
+$39.6
(+16.4%)
Will "Ink" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 95¢
292.5 份
分享
84.0¢
→
95¢
$245.75
$292.5
$277.88
+$32.13
(+13.1%)
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
No 98.7¢
280.5 份
分享
95.4¢
→
98.7¢
$267.72
$280.54
$276.75
+$9.03
(+3.4%)
Will "Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 87.5¢
305 份
分享
83.0¢
→
87.5¢
$253.2
$305
$266.88
+$13.68
(+5.4%)
Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?
No 84.3¢
312.1 份
分享
95.2¢
→
84.3¢
$297.13
$312.06
$262.91
−$34.22
(-11.5%)
Will "Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 85.5¢
304.5 份
分享
80.0¢
→
85.5¢
$243.65
$304.5
$260.35
+$16.7
(+6.9%)
Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 85¢
305 份
分享
89.0¢
→
85¢
$271.35
$305
$259.25
−$12.1
(-4.5%)
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Yes 22.5¢
1,141.9 份
分享
11.1¢
→
22.5¢
$126.88
$1,141.9
$256.93
+$130.05
(+102.5%)
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?
No 55.8¢
459 份
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67.2¢
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55.8¢
$308.66
$458.99
$256.12
−$52.54
(-17.0%)
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 8.5¢
3,000 份
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0.9¢
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8.5¢
$27.72
$3,000
$255
+$227.28
(+820.0%)
Will Rosalind Eleazar be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 83.5¢
305 份
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83.0¢
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83.5¢
$253.2
$305
$254.68
+$1.48
(+0.6%)
Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No 60.5¢
420.4 份
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22.5¢
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60.5¢
$94.74
$420.44
$254.37
+$159.63
(+168.5%)
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 83¢
305 份
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86.0¢
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83¢
$262.35
$305
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−$9.2
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Will Alejandro González Iñárritu be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 83¢
305 份
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78.0¢
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83¢
$237.95
$305
$253.15
+$15.2
(+6.4%)
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 82.5¢
305 份
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82.0¢
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82.5¢
$250.15
$305
$251.63
+$1.48
(+0.6%)
Will Guitarricadelafuente win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 82.3¢
305 份
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86.6¢
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82.3¢
$264.18
$305
$251.02
−$13.16
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Will "Runway" from The Devil Wears Prada 2 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 79.5¢
315 份
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71.8¢
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79.5¢
$226.3
$315
$250.43
+$24.13
(+10.7%)
Will Paper Trail win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 91.6¢
271.6 份
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77.6¢
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91.6¢
$210.81
$271.6
$248.92
+$38.11
(+18.1%)
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
No 45.4¢
541.5 份
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45.2¢
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45.4¢
$245.04
$541.54
$245.86
+$0.82
(+0.3%)
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