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2024年7月 加入
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分享個人資料
Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
總收益
$616,128.53
1天
$4.86萬
7天
$6.06萬
30天
$7.26萬
90天
$9.32萬
總交易量
$4568.05萬
預測次數
2,959
持倉價值
$15.85萬
盈虧走勢
歷史盈虧走勢
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
+$59.37萬
LP 獎勵
+$1.31萬
Maker 返利
+$1,734.62
持倉獎勵
+$7,227.98
Taker 返利
+$377.46
排名概覽
綜合
#396
共 330.2萬 個錢包
交易量
#567
共 330.2萬 個錢包
利潤
#391
共 330.2萬 個錢包
LP 獎勵
#492
共 18.9萬 個獲獎地址
Maker 返利
#3,212
共 16.1萬 個獲獎地址
Taker 返利
#3,969
共 7.2萬 個獲獎地址
持倉獎勵
#69
共 35.2萬 個獲獎地址
已付費用
#4,705
共 153.5萬 個付費地址
持倉
活動
評論
當前
已平倉
市場
平均 → 當前
成交額
獲勝可得
價值
分享
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 98.4¢
2.6萬 份
分享
82.0¢
→
98.4¢
$2.11萬
$2.58萬
$2.54萬
+$4,216.33
(+19.9%)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Yes 84.5¢
1.5萬 份
分享
33¢
→
84.5¢
$4,949.99
$1.5萬
$1.27萬
+$7,732.49
(+156.2%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4.2¢
29.4萬 份
分享
3.9¢
→
4.2¢
$1.14萬
$29.44萬
$1.22萬
+$817.08
(+7.2%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
No 96.7¢
9,999.8 份
分享
80.3¢
→
96.7¢
$8,028.89
$9,999.8
$9,669.81
+$1,640.92
(+20.4%)
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4.7¢
18.7萬 份
分享
5.0¢
→
4.7¢
$9,266.57
$18.67萬
$8,680.53
−$586.04
(-6.3%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 90.5¢
7,621 份
分享
69.1¢
→
90.5¢
$5,265.66
$7,620.99
$6,897
+$1,631.34
(+31.0%)
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 96.9¢
5,627.9 份
分享
94.5¢
→
96.9¢
$5,317.79
$5,627.94
$5,450.66
+$132.87
(+2.5%)
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4.0¢
12.7萬 份
分享
2.2¢
→
4.0¢
$2,771.05
$12.69萬
$5,013.11
+$2,242.05
(+80.9%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 9.2¢
5.3萬 份
分享
11.7¢
→
9.2¢
$6,272.85
$5.34萬
$4,888.71
−$1,384.14
(-22.1%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 14.1¢
3萬 份
分享
3.5¢
→
14.1¢
$1,075.3
$3.03萬
$4,292.17
+$3,216.87
(+299.2%)
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 97.2¢
4,407.4 份
分享
44.7¢
→
97.2¢
$1,971.24
$4,407.44
$4,281.83
+$2,310.59
(+117.2%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2.5¢
15.6萬 份
分享
2.3¢
→
2.5¢
$3,597.26
$15.6萬
$3,821.7
+$224.45
(+6.2%)
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028?
Yes 66.5¢
4,947.4 份
分享
47.8¢
→
66.5¢
$2,363.72
$4,947.43
$3,290.04
+$926.32
(+39.2%)
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes 87.0¢
2,692 份
分享
12.7¢
→
87.0¢
$340.98
$2,691.98
$2,340.67
+$1,999.69
(+586.5%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 39.9¢
5,603 份
分享
9.0¢
→
39.9¢
$504.26
$5,603
$2,232.8
+$1,728.53
(+342.8%)
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 97.8¢
2,241.4 份
分享
92.4¢
→
97.8¢
$2,072.1
$2,241.41
$2,192.1
+$120
(+5.8%)
Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 97.4¢
1,880.8 份
分享
94.7¢
→
97.4¢
$1,780.98
$1,880.76
$1,830.92
+$49.93
(+2.8%)
Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 97.9¢
1,775.4 份
分享
92.2¢
→
97.9¢
$1,636.54
$1,775.36
$1,737.19
+$100.65
(+6.2%)
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 98.6¢
1,675 份
分享
91.7¢
→
98.6¢
$1,535.71
$1,675.04
$1,651.59
+$115.88
(+7.5%)
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?
No 96.9¢
1,670 份
分享
92.9¢
→
96.9¢
$1,551.28
$1,670
$1,618.23
+$66.95
(+4.3%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 14.8¢
1.1萬 份
分享
15.8¢
→
14.8¢
$1,672.95
$1.06萬
$1,569.27
−$103.68
(-6.2%)
Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 98.6¢
1,452.5 份
分享
93.7¢
→
98.6¢
$1,360.32
$1,452.48
$1,432.15
+$71.83
(+5.3%)
Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 97.7¢
1,407.8 份
分享
91.8¢
→
97.7¢
$1,292.07
$1,407.84
$1,375.46
+$83.39
(+6.5%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 19.2¢
7,062 份
分享
18.8¢
→
19.2¢
$1,326.18
$7,062
$1,355.9
+$29.72
(+2.2%)
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026?
No 98.1¢
1,379 份
分享
94.9¢
→
98.1¢
$1,309.35
$1,379.01
$1,352.81
+$43.45
(+3.3%)
Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 95.5¢
1,405 份
分享
93¢
→
95.5¢
$1,306.63
$1,404.98
$1,341.05
+$34.42
(+2.6%)
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 96.4¢
1,385.8 份
分享
66.1¢
→
96.4¢
$916.6
$1,385.76
$1,335.18
+$418.58
(+45.7%)
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢
16.2萬 份
分享
1.3¢
→
0.8¢
$2,049.38
$16.17萬
$1,212.38
−$836.99
(-40.8%)
Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 95.5¢
1,221.6 份
分享
93.3¢
→
95.5¢
$1,139.54
$1,221.64
$1,166.06
+$26.51
(+2.3%)
Will Hendrik Wüst be the next Chancellor of Germany?
No 86.5¢
1,294.3 份
分享
75.4¢
→
86.5¢
$976.38
$1,294.28
$1,119.55
+$143.16
(+14.7%)
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 96.8¢
1,100.9 份
分享
96.0¢
→
96.8¢
$1,056.96
$1,100.88
$1,065.1
+$8.15
(+0.8%)
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No 97.2¢
1,024.2 份
分享
81¢
→
97.2¢
$829.63
$1,024.24
$995.05
+$165.41
(+19.9%)
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
No 95.6¢
1,036.9 份
分享
94.2¢
→
95.6¢
$976.84
$1,036.91
$991.29
+$14.45
(+1.5%)
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
No 97.4¢
979.9 份
分享
94¢
→
97.4¢
$921.13
$979.92
$954.45
+$33.32
(+3.6%)
Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 94.4¢
999.7 份
分享
90.5¢
→
94.4¢
$904.57
$999.71
$943.73
+$39.15
(+4.3%)
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 98.7¢
954.5 份
分享
93.5¢
→
98.7¢
$892.18
$954.47
$942.06
+$49.88
(+5.6%)
Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 97.2¢
937.3 份
分享
92.4¢
→
97.2¢
$866.49
$937.3
$911.06
+$44.56
(+5.1%)
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 96.4¢
938.1 份
分享
91.8¢
→
96.4¢
$861.22
$938.13
$904.36
+$43.14
(+5.0%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 6.0¢
1.5萬 份
分享
2.1¢
→
6.0¢
$305.44
$1.48萬
$892.89
+$587.45
(+192.3%)
Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 94.5¢
917.3 份
分享
88.5¢
→
94.5¢
$811.77
$917.32
$867.33
+$55.56
(+6.8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 10%-15%?
Yes 80.5¢
1,062.6 份
分享
19¢
→
80.5¢
$201.89
$1,062.58
$855.38
+$653.49
(+323.7%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 28.4¢
3,000.2 份
分享
6.2¢
→
28.4¢
$187.51
$3,000.23
$853.56
+$666.05
(+355.2%)
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 96.2¢
851.7 份
分享
95.1¢
→
96.2¢
$809.83
$851.66
$819.3
+$9.47
(+1.2%)
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
Yes 85.8¢
919 份
分享
64.7¢
→
85.8¢
$594.96
$919
$788.5
+$193.55
(+32.5%)
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
51.2萬 份
分享
0.3¢
→
0.1¢
$1,324.4
$51.25萬
$768.71
−$555.69
(-42.0%)
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 93.1¢
770.8 份
分享
90.0¢
→
93.1¢
$693.7
$770.78
$717.6
+$23.89
(+3.4%)
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 95.7¢
721.2 份
分享
94.5¢
→
95.7¢
$681.62
$721.19
$689.82
+$8.2
(+1.2%)
Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 96.0¢
688.3 份
分享
94.0¢
→
96.0¢
$646.75
$688.26
$660.39
+$13.63
(+2.1%)
Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 96.3¢
669.3 份
分享
94.8¢
→
96.3¢
$634.79
$669.29
$644.53
+$9.74
(+1.5%)
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
No 94¢
668.7 份
分享
84.2¢
→
94¢
$563.15
$668.74
$628.62
+$65.47
(+11.6%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?
No 81¢
756.6 份
分享
56.0¢
→
81¢
$423.76
$756.61
$612.85
+$189.1
(+44.6%)
Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 98.3¢
616.2 份
分享
93.0¢
→
98.3¢
$573.02
$616.15
$605.68
+$32.66
(+5.7%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?
No 64¢
890.2 份
分享
50.6¢
→
64¢
$450.7
$890.16
$569.7
+$119
(+26.4%)
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 97.9¢
510.7 份
分享
25.0¢
→
97.9¢
$127.67
$510.67
$499.69
+$372.02
(+291.4%)
Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 94.5¢
521.7 份
分享
87.6¢
→
94.5¢
$457.04
$521.74
$493.04
+$36
(+7.9%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 16.4¢
3,000 份
分享
8.1¢
→
16.4¢
$242.73
$3,000.03
$490.5
+$247.78
(+102.1%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 82.0¢
528.1 份
分享
91.2¢
→
82.0¢
$481.82
$528.07
$432.75
−$49.06
(-10.2%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?
No 97¢
350.7 份
分享
88.7¢
→
97¢
$311.15
$350.69
$340.17
+$29.02
(+9.3%)
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.6¢
2.2萬 份
分享
1.2¢
→
1.6¢
$261.07
$2.18萬
$337.22
+$76.15
(+29.2%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes 13.3¢
2,228.3 份
分享
76.0¢
→
13.3¢
$1,693.49
$2,228.28
$296.36
−$1,397.13
(-82.5%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 14.9¢
1,828.5 份
分享
27¢
→
14.9¢
$493.7
$1,828.5
$273.36
−$220.33
(-44.6%)
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
17.9萬 份
分享
0.5¢
→
0.1¢
$867.24
$17.94萬
$269.16
−$598.07
(-69.0%)
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
No 97.9¢
256.9 份
分享
47.1¢
→
97.9¢
$121
$256.9
$251.51
+$130.51
(+107.9%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?
No 97.4¢
237.1 份
分享
97.0¢
→
97.4¢
$230.03
$237.07
$230.79
+$0.75
(+0.3%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 8.8¢
2,467.7 份
分享
8.7¢
→
8.8¢
$215.45
$2,467.74
$215.93
+$0.47
(+0.2%)
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
Yes 97.2¢
220.7 份
分享
64.9¢
→
97.2¢
$143.28
$220.74
$214.45
+$71.17
(+49.7%)
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
No 96.2¢
196.5 份
分享
81.7¢
→
96.2¢
$160.54
$196.46
$188.9
+$28.36
(+17.7%)
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 5.4¢
3,199.5 份
分享
19.9¢
→
5.4¢
$635.69
$3,199.46
$172.77
−$462.91
(-72.8%)
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
11.2萬 份
分享
0.4¢
→
0.1¢
$441.25
$11.2萬
$167.97
−$273.28
(-61.9%)
ECB rate cut in 2026?
No 96.6¢
146.2 份
分享
59.3¢
→
96.6¢
$86.77
$146.22
$141.25
+$54.48
(+62.8%)
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
No 96.3¢
144.3 份
分享
80¢
→
96.3¢
$115.44
$144.3
$138.89
+$23.45
(+20.3%)
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Yes 4.5¢
3,000 份
分享
31¢
→
4.5¢
$930
$2,999.99
$135
−$795
(-85.5%)
Will Marco Reus retire before 1 July 2027?
No 82.7¢
160 份
分享
51¢
→
82.7¢
$81.6
$160
$132.24
+$50.64
(+62.1%)
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.8¢
7,426.5 份
分享
1.9¢
→
1.8¢
$142.07
$7,426.51
$129.96
−$12.11
(-8.5%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
No 11¢
1,048.7 份
分享
19.0¢
→
11¢
$199.69
$1,048.7
$115.36
−$84.33
(-42.2%)
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?
Yes 86.5¢
90 份
分享
70¢
→
86.5¢
$63
$90
$77.85
+$14.85
(+23.6%)
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Yes 2.1¢
3,345.3 份
分享
10.2¢
→
2.1¢
$341.43
$3,345.35
$71.92
−$269.5
(-78.9%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?
No 91.8¢
71.9 份
分享
84.5¢
→
91.8¢
$60.76
$71.93
$66.03
+$5.28
(+8.7%)
Will Trump's approval rating hit 47% in 2026?
No 84.8¢
72.4 份
分享
91.9¢
→
84.8¢
$66.57
$72.44
$61.39
−$5.18
(-7.8%)
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo
Yes 3.4¢
1,419.4 份
分享
18.3¢
→
3.4¢
$260.06
$1,419.44
$48.26
−$211.8
(-81.4%)
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 77.5¢
46 份
分享
76¢
→
77.5¢
$34.96
$46
$35.65
+$0.69
(+2.0%)
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
No 93¢
37.6 份
分享
42¢
→
93¢
$15.78
$37.57
$34.94
+$19.16
(+121.4%)
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
1.8萬 份
分享
18.2¢
→
0.1¢
$3,324.59
$1.83萬
$27.42
−$3,297.17
(-99.2%)
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?
Yes 7.0¢
379.2 份
分享
11.5¢
→
7.0¢
$43.49
$379.21
$26.54
−$16.95
(-39.0%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Yes 26.5¢
97.1 份
分享
4.0¢
→
26.5¢
$3.87
$97.14
$25.69
+$21.83
(+564.3%)
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
5萬 份
分享
0.7¢
→
0.1¢
$350
$5萬
$25
−$325
(-92.9%)
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
OpenAI 2.1¢
1,170.9 份
分享
34.6¢
→
2.1¢
$405.1
$1,170.91
$24.59
−$380.51
(-93.9%)
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
No 2.9¢
817.9 份
分享
39¢
→
2.9¢
$318.97
$817.86
$23.31
−$295.66
(-92.7%)
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Yes 2.2¢
743.6 份
分享
4.0¢
→
2.2¢
$29.95
$743.58
$16.36
−$13.59
(-45.4%)
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
3萬 份
分享
1¢
→
0.1¢
$300
$3萬
$15
−$285
(-95.0%)
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Yes 2.1¢
659 份
分享
33¢
→
2.1¢
$217.47
$659
$13.51
−$203.96
(-93.8%)
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?
Yes 1.6¢
825.2 份
分享
1.8¢
→
1.6¢
$15.29
$825.23
$12.79
−$2.5
(-16.3%)
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
OpenAI 14.1¢
81.8 份
分享
0.7¢
→
14.1¢
$0.56
$81.76
$11.57
+$11.01
(+1956.7%)
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Yes 89.5¢
12 份
分享
23.6¢
→
89.5¢
$2.84
$12.02
$10.76
+$7.92
(+279.0%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
No 86.7¢
11.6 份
分享
17.0¢
→
86.7¢
$1.97
$11.57
$10.03
+$8.06
(+410.0%)
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Yes 0.1¢
2萬 份
分享
1.9¢
→
0.1¢
$380
$2萬
$10
−$370
(-97.4%)
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
Yes 19¢
51.5 份
分享
14.0¢
→
19¢
$7.21
$51.49
$9.78
+$2.57
(+35.7%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Yes 0.9¢
830.3 份
分享
2.1¢
→
0.9¢
$17.5
$830.32
$7.89
−$9.61
(-54.9%)
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?
Yes 6¢
130.4 份
分享
41¢
→
6¢
$53.47
$130.41
$7.82
−$45.64
(-85.4%)
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?
Yes 3.5¢
208.8 份
分享
2.7¢
→
3.5¢
$5.63
$208.84
$7.31
+$1.68
(+29.9%)
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