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2025年4月 加入
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Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
總收益
$81,483.98
1天
$367.75
7天
$182.97
30天
−$16.2
90天
$1.63萬
總交易量
$829.53萬
預測次數
21,071
持倉價值
$2,514.49
盈虧走勢
歷史盈虧走勢
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
−$18.1萬
LP 獎勵
+$25.55萬
Maker 返利
+$7,828.25
持倉獎勵
+$2.25
Taker 返利
+$10.54
費用
−$918.14
持倉
活動
評論
當前
已平倉
市場
平均 → 當前
成交額
獲勝可得
價值
分享
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?
Yes 47.5¢
360.7 份
分享
28.0¢
→
47.5¢
$101
$360.71
$171.34
+$70.34
(+69.6%)
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
No 97.3¢
151.1 份
分享
86¢
→
97.3¢
$129.98
$151.14
$146.98
+$17
(+13.1%)
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by December 31?
Yes 16.9¢
662.5 份
分享
15¢
→
16.9¢
$99.38
$662.5
$111.96
+$12.59
(+12.7%)
Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Yes 12¢
581 份
分享
17¢
→
12¢
$98.77
$581.02
$69.72
−$29.05
(-29.4%)
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Yes 8.5¢
677.8 份
分享
12¢
→
8.5¢
$81.34
$677.8
$57.61
−$23.72
(-29.2%)
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?
Yes 8.5¢
662.5 份
分享
15¢
→
8.5¢
$99.38
$662.5
$56.31
−$43.06
(-43.3%)
Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes 7.4¢
755 份
分享
13¢
→
7.4¢
$98.15
$755
$56.25
−$41.9
(-42.7%)
Will John Healey be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Yes 9.5¢
566.7 份
分享
18¢
→
9.5¢
$102
$566.66
$53.83
−$48.17
(-47.2%)
Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?
Yes 4.8¢
1,000 份
分享
10¢
→
4.8¢
$100
$1,000
$48
−$52
(-52.0%)
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?
Yes 15.6¢
307.6 份
分享
23¢
→
15.6¢
$70.75
$307.6
$47.99
−$22.76
(-32.2%)
Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Yes 18.5¢
255.2 份
分享
30¢
→
18.5¢
$76.55
$255.16
$47.2
−$29.34
(-38.3%)
Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes 6.5¢
655 份
分享
15¢
→
6.5¢
$98.25
$655
$42.58
−$55.68
(-56.7%)
Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch?
Yes 9.5¢
418.2 份
分享
16¢
→
9.5¢
$66.91
$418.19
$39.73
−$27.18
(-40.6%)
Will René Troccaz be the next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
Yes 6.5¢
554.2 份
分享
18¢
→
6.5¢
$99.75
$554.16
$36.02
−$63.73
(-63.9%)
Will Kate Marshall win the 2026 Reno mayoral election?
No 12¢
297.2 份
分享
28.0¢
→
12¢
$83.22
$297.21
$35.67
−$47.55
(-57.1%)
Will Edmonton Oilers be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?
No 82.5¢
42 份
分享
92¢
→
82.5¢
$38.59
$41.95
$34.61
−$3.99
(-10.3%)
Will Mario Delgado Carrillo win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
Yes 6¢
551.7 份
分享
12.0¢
→
6¢
$66.2
$551.66
$33.1
−$33.1
(-50.0%)
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 3.3¢
980 份
分享
10¢
→
3.3¢
$98
$980
$32.34
−$65.66
(-67.0%)
Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027?
Yes 7.5¢
423.6 份
分享
12¢
→
7.5¢
$50.83
$423.58
$31.77
−$19.06
(-37.5%)
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026?
Yes 2.4¢
1,300 份
分享
10¢
→
2.4¢
$130
$1,300
$31.2
−$98.8
(-76.0%)
Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes 3.3¢
866.7 份
分享
15¢
→
3.3¢
$130
$866.66
$28.6
−$101.4
(-78.0%)
Will the Republican Party win the TX-03 House seat?
No 4.7¢
608.1 份
分享
11¢
→
4.7¢
$66.89
$608.09
$28.28
−$38.61
(-57.7%)
Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes 3.3¢
853.4 份
分享
14.0¢
→
3.3¢
$119.47
$853.37
$27.73
−$91.74
(-76.8%)
Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 3.3¢
830.5 份
分享
10¢
→
3.3¢
$83.05
$830.5
$26.99
−$56.06
(-67.5%)
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
Yes 4.3¢
621.9 份
分享
16¢
→
4.3¢
$99.5
$621.87
$26.74
−$72.76
(-73.1%)
Reckless Ben in jail by December 31?
Yes 7.5¢
352.1 份
分享
19¢
→
7.5¢
$66.9
$352.1
$26.41
−$40.49
(-60.5%)
Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026?
Yes 2.8¢
922.5 份
分享
10¢
→
2.8¢
$92.25
$922.5
$25.83
−$66.42
(-72.0%)
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?
Yes 3.6¢
706.8 份
分享
14.0¢
→
3.6¢
$98.95
$706.79
$25.44
−$73.51
(-74.3%)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
Yes 3.0¢
817.5 份
分享
12¢
→
3.0¢
$98.1
$817.5
$24.93
−$73.17
(-74.6%)
Will the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026?
Yes 7.0¢
340 份
分享
10¢
→
7.0¢
$34
$340
$23.8
−$10.2
(-30.0%)
Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes 3.9¢
590.9 份
分享
22¢
→
3.9¢
$130
$590.9
$22.75
−$107.25
(-82.5%)
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
Yes 2.6¢
817.5 份
分享
12¢
→
2.6¢
$98.1
$817.5
$21.66
−$76.44
(-77.9%)
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes 2.6¢
795.5 份
分享
14.0¢
→
2.6¢
$111.37
$795.52
$21.08
−$90.29
(-81.1%)
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Yes 2.1¢
1,000 份
分享
10¢
→
2.1¢
$100
$1,000
$20.5
−$79.5
(-79.5%)
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026?
Yes 3.2¢
635.7 份
分享
16.0¢
→
3.2¢
$101.71
$635.66
$20.34
−$81.36
(-80.0%)
Will Swapped be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
Yes 2.8¢
708.9 份
分享
14.0¢
→
2.8¢
$99.25
$708.92
$19.85
−$79.4
(-80.0%)
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 90% or higher?
Yes 5.9¢
330.7 份
分享
10.3¢
→
5.9¢
$34.06
$330.67
$19.51
−$14.55
(-42.7%)
Will Marybel Villegas Canché win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election?
Yes 4.0¢
492.5 份
分享
20¢
→
4.0¢
$98.5
$492.5
$19.45
−$79.05
(-80.3%)
Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes 5.3¢
363.3 份
分享
20¢
→
5.3¢
$72.66
$363.29
$19.25
−$53.4
(-73.5%)
Will Betmoar launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Yes 5.5¢
347.5 份
分享
10¢
→
5.5¢
$34.75
$347.5
$19.11
−$15.64
(-45.0%)
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Yes 3.4¢
566.7 份
分享
12¢
→
3.4¢
$68
$566.66
$18.98
−$49.02
(-72.1%)
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?
Yes 4.0¢
480 份
分享
10¢
→
4.0¢
$48
$480
$18.96
−$29.04
(-60.5%)
Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes 2.6¢
701.4 份
分享
14.0¢
→
2.6¢
$98.2
$701.42
$18.59
−$79.61
(-81.1%)
Will Monster launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Yes 8.5¢
213.7 份
分享
17¢
→
8.5¢
$36.32
$213.67
$18.16
−$18.16
(-50.0%)
Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes 2.2¢
812.5 份
分享
16¢
→
2.2¢
$130
$812.5
$17.88
−$112.13
(-86.3%)
Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Yes 2.7¢
660 份
分享
10¢
→
2.7¢
$66
$660
$17.82
−$48.18
(-73.0%)
Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Yes 3.5¢
492.5 份
分享
20¢
→
3.5¢
$98.5
$492.5
$17.24
−$81.26
(-82.5%)
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes 4.5¢
382.1 份
分享
14.0¢
→
4.5¢
$53.5
$382.14
$17.01
−$36.49
(-68.2%)
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?
Yes 44.5¢
37.4 份
分享
10¢
→
44.5¢
$3.74
$37.4
$16.62
+$12.88
(+344.5%)
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
No 8¢
200 份
分享
50¢
→
8¢
$100
$200
$16
−$84
(-84.0%)
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 14.5¢
109.1 份
分享
23¢
→
14.5¢
$25.1
$109.12
$15.82
−$9.28
(-37.0%)
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026?
Yes 3.6¢
429.1 份
分享
8.3¢
→
3.6¢
$35.61
$429.06
$15.66
−$19.95
(-56.0%)
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Yes 2.8¢
551.7 份
分享
12¢
→
2.8¢
$66.2
$551.66
$15.17
−$51.03
(-77.1%)
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 6.5¢
232.6 份
分享
18¢
→
6.5¢
$41.87
$232.58
$15.12
−$26.75
(-63.9%)
MagicBlock FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Yes 6¢
251.7 份
分享
10¢
→
6¢
$25.17
$251.72
$15.1
−$10.07
(-40.0%)
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?
OpenAI 9.5¢
158 份
分享
26¢
→
9.5¢
$41.08
$158.01
$15.01
−$26.07
(-63.5%)
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?
Yes 3.1¢
474.3 份
分享
14.0¢
→
3.1¢
$66.4
$474.28
$14.94
−$51.46
(-77.5%)
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-07 House seat?
Yes 1.9¢
762.5 份
分享
13¢
→
1.9¢
$99.13
$762.5
$14.87
−$84.26
(-85.0%)
Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?
Yes 3.4¢
440.7 份
分享
10.4¢
→
3.4¢
$45.78
$440.65
$14.76
−$31.02
(-67.8%)
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?
Yes 5.3¢
264.9 份
分享
12.6¢
→
5.3¢
$33.38
$264.91
$14.17
−$19.21
(-57.5%)
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?
Yes 6¢
233.1 份
分享
20¢
→
6¢
$46.62
$233.12
$13.99
−$32.64
(-70.0%)
Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?
No 4.2¢
330 份
分享
30¢
→
4.2¢
$99
$330.01
$13.86
−$85.14
(-86.0%)
Will the Republican Party win the TN-07 House seat?
No 1.8¢
708.9 份
分享
14.0¢
→
1.8¢
$99.25
$708.92
$12.41
−$86.84
(-87.5%)
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
Yes 4.5¢
278 份
分享
10.8¢
→
4.5¢
$30
$278.01
$12.37
−$17.63
(-58.8%)
Will the Chicago Bulls make the 2027 NBA Play-In Tournament?
Yes 12¢
100 份
分享
22¢
→
12¢
$22
$100
$12
−$10
(-45.5%)
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 5.1¢
233.3 份
分享
11¢
→
5.1¢
$25.66
$233.26
$11.9
−$13.76
(-53.6%)
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?
No 11.6¢
100 份
分享
27.3¢
→
11.6¢
$27.3
$100
$11.6
−$15.7
(-57.5%)
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Yes 7.5¢
150.3 份
分享
12¢
→
7.5¢
$18.04
$150.33
$11.27
−$6.76
(-37.5%)
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Yes 5¢
223.3 份
分享
12¢
→
5¢
$26.8
$223.3
$11.17
−$15.63
(-58.3%)
Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes 1.7¢
650 份
分享
20¢
→
1.7¢
$130
$650
$11.05
−$118.95
(-91.5%)
Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?
No 60.5¢
18.1 份
分享
76¢
→
60.5¢
$13.73
$18.06
$10.93
−$2.8
(-20.4%)
Will Russia capture Myropillia by December 31?
Yes 8¢
129.6 份
分享
29.0¢
→
8¢
$37.57
$129.56
$10.36
−$27.21
(-72.4%)
Will Brad Pitt be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 4.1¢
247.1 份
分享
14.0¢
→
4.1¢
$34.6
$247.14
$10.13
−$24.47
(-70.7%)
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
Yes 6.5¢
153.6 份
分享
10.8¢
→
6.5¢
$16.58
$153.56
$9.98
−$6.6
(-39.8%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?
No 1.2¢
825 份
分享
12¢
→
1.2¢
$99
$825
$9.9
−$89.1
(-90.0%)
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
No 2.4¢
411.3 份
分享
24¢
→
2.4¢
$98.7
$411.25
$9.87
−$88.83
(-90.0%)
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Yes 12.5¢
78.5 份
分享
24¢
→
12.5¢
$18.85
$78.54
$9.82
−$9.03
(-47.9%)
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?
Yes 4.6¢
209.8 份
分享
16¢
→
4.6¢
$33.56
$209.76
$9.65
−$23.91
(-71.3%)
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?
Yes 2.8¢
343.7 份
分享
14.0¢
→
2.8¢
$48.12
$343.7
$9.45
−$38.67
(-80.4%)
Will Anabell Ávalos Zempoalteca win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
Yes 3.3¢
289.3 份
分享
12¢
→
3.3¢
$34.71
$289.27
$9.4
−$25.31
(-72.9%)
Will Makai Lemon win the 2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
Yes 4.5¢
208.1 份
分享
10¢
→
4.5¢
$20.81
$208.13
$9.26
−$11.55
(-55.5%)
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?
Yes 1.4¢
632.8 份
分享
16¢
→
1.4¢
$101.25
$632.8
$8.86
−$92.39
(-91.3%)
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Yes 5.1¢
172.8 份
分享
8¢
→
5.1¢
$13.83
$172.84
$8.81
−$5.01
(-36.3%)
Betmoar FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Yes 21.5¢
36.2 份
分享
41¢
→
21.5¢
$14.84
$36.2
$7.78
−$7.06
(-47.6%)
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Yes 10.5¢
71.7 份
分享
25¢
→
10.5¢
$17.93
$71.72
$7.53
−$10.4
(-58.0%)
Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
Yes 4.3¢
171.7 份
分享
8¢
→
4.3¢
$13.74
$171.74
$7.38
−$6.35
(-46.3%)
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?
Yes 6.5¢
110.5 份
分享
12¢
→
6.5¢
$13.26
$110.48
$7.18
−$6.08
(-45.8%)
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Yes 8.5¢
82.2 份
分享
22¢
→
8.5¢
$18.09
$82.22
$6.99
−$11.1
(-61.4%)
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?
Yes 7.2¢
87.6 份
分享
16¢
→
7.2¢
$14.02
$87.61
$6.35
−$7.67
(-54.7%)
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?
Yes 2.1¢
301.3 份
分享
12¢
→
2.1¢
$36.15
$301.28
$6.33
−$29.83
(-82.5%)
Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?
Yes 2.3¢
266.1 份
分享
13¢
→
2.3¢
$34.6
$266.14
$6.12
−$28.48
(-82.3%)
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?
Yes 33¢
18.5 份
分享
10¢
→
33¢
$1.85
$18.45
$6.09
+$4.24
(+230.0%)
Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election?
No 0.9¢
701.4 份
分享
14.0¢
→
0.9¢
$98.2
$701.42
$5.96
−$92.24
(-93.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat?
Yes 0.5¢
1,083.3 份
分享
12¢
→
0.5¢
$130
$1,083.33
$5.96
−$124.04
(-95.4%)
Will Dillon Dingler win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award?
Yes 6¢
89.2 份
分享
12¢
→
6¢
$10.71
$89.22
$5.35
−$5.35
(-50.0%)
Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Yes 6.7¢
77.5 份
分享
48¢
→
6.7¢
$37.2
$77.51
$5.15
−$32.05
(-86.1%)
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