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2026年5月 加入
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Polymarket
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總收益
$1,217.15
1天
−$3,146.54
7天
−$5,242.15
30天
−$7,597.69
90天
$1,733.21
總交易量
$617.25萬
預測次數
32,226
持倉價值
$4.22萬
盈虧走勢
歷史盈虧走勢
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
−$11.75萬
LP 獎勵
+$11.26萬
Maker 返利
+$5,723.28
持倉獎勵
+$2.29
Taker 返利
+$353.52
持倉
活動
評論
當前
已平倉
市場
平均 → 當前
成交額
獲勝可得
價值
分享
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
No 81.5¢
508.9 份
分享
84¢
→
81.5¢
$427.45
$508.87
$414.73
−$12.72
(-3.0%)
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
No 68.5¢
601 份
分享
73¢
→
68.5¢
$438.73
$600.98
$411.67
−$27.05
(-6.2%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 98.3¢
158.7 份
分享
98.2¢
→
98.3¢
$155.81
$158.67
$155.89
+$0.08
(+0.1%)
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
No 84¢
180 份
分享
87¢
→
84¢
$156.6
$180
$151.2
−$5.4
(-3.4%)
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 84.5¢
150 份
分享
89.0¢
→
84.5¢
$133.51
$150.01
$126.83
−$6.68
(-5.0%)
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 83¢
150 份
分享
85¢
→
83¢
$127.5
$150
$124.5
−$3
(-2.4%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?
No 81.5¢
147.5 份
分享
78¢
→
81.5¢
$115.06
$147.52
$120.23
+$5.16
(+4.5%)
Will "Your God is Sleeping" from Behemoth! be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 78.5¢
150 份
分享
85¢
→
78.5¢
$127.5
$150
$117.75
−$9.75
(-7.6%)
Will Knight have the most kills at Worlds 2026?
No 79.7¢
145 份
分享
85¢
→
79.7¢
$123.25
$145
$115.57
−$7.69
(-6.2%)
Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
No 76.5¢
150 份
分享
75¢
→
76.5¢
$112.5
$150
$114.75
+$2.25
(+2.0%)
Will Kate O'Flynn be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 57.0¢
198.8 份
分享
58.0¢
→
57.0¢
$115.31
$198.81
$113.32
−$1.99
(-1.7%)
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
No 96.0¢
114.9 份
分享
95.7¢
→
96.0¢
$109.97
$114.91
$110.37
+$0.4
(+0.4%)
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 36¢
300 份
分享
38.0¢
→
36¢
$114
$300.01
$108
−$6
(-5.3%)
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
No 65.5¢
161.3 份
分享
67.2¢
→
65.5¢
$108.33
$161.29
$105.64
−$2.69
(-2.5%)
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
No 96.8¢
97.6 份
分享
96.5¢
→
96.8¢
$94.17
$97.58
$94.41
+$0.24
(+0.3%)
Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes 69¢
134 份
分享
68¢
→
69¢
$91.12
$134
$92.46
+$1.34
(+1.5%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain finish first in UCL league phase?
No 58.7¢
153 份
分享
65.8¢
→
58.7¢
$100.72
$153.02
$89.82
−$10.9
(-10.8%)
Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?
No 94.0¢
95.4 份
分享
93.1¢
→
94.0¢
$88.83
$95.41
$89.64
+$0.81
(+0.9%)
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
No 92.5¢
95.9 份
分享
93¢
→
92.5¢
$89.21
$95.92
$88.73
−$0.48
(-0.5%)
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?
Yes 88.5¢
100 份
分享
89¢
→
88.5¢
$89
$100
$88.5
−$0.5
(-0.6%)
Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 85¢
103.3 份
分享
88¢
→
85¢
$90.91
$103.3
$87.81
−$3.1
(-3.4%)
Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?
No 67.5¢
127.3 份
分享
72¢
→
67.5¢
$91.67
$127.32
$85.94
−$5.73
(-6.3%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?
No 65.5¢
126.3 份
分享
67¢
→
65.5¢
$84.62
$126.3
$82.72
−$1.89
(-2.2%)
Will Ntombi Mekgwe be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?
No 81.3¢
100 份
分享
91.3¢
→
81.3¢
$91.3
$100
$81.25
−$10.05
(-11.0%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No 54¢
149.7 份
分享
55.0¢
→
54¢
$82.29
$149.7
$80.84
−$1.45
(-1.8%)
Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election?
No 64¢
126.1 份
分享
72¢
→
64¢
$90.82
$126.14
$80.73
−$10.09
(-11.1%)
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 85.0¢
94.1 份
分享
85.2¢
→
85.0¢
$80.14
$94.07
$80
−$0.14
(-0.2%)
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
No 65.5¢
116.9 份
分享
73¢
→
65.5¢
$85.31
$116.86
$76.54
−$8.76
(-10.3%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 68.8¢
111.1 份
分享
68.6¢
→
68.8¢
$76.2
$111.08
$76.37
+$0.17
(+0.2%)
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 41.5¢
182.7 份
分享
43.0¢
→
41.5¢
$78.5
$182.67
$75.81
−$2.69
(-3.4%)
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?
No 93.1¢
80 份
分享
94.6¢
→
93.1¢
$75.7
$80
$74.48
−$1.22
(-1.6%)
Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 78¢
95 份
分享
81¢
→
78¢
$76.94
$94.99
$74.09
−$2.85
(-3.7%)
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
Yes 57.2¢
128.7 份
分享
68.1¢
→
57.2¢
$87.64
$128.7
$73.62
−$14.03
(-16.0%)
Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit 6% by December 31?
No 62¢
118.3 份
分享
91.3¢
→
62¢
$108.01
$118.29
$73.34
−$34.67
(-32.1%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?
No 48.5¢
150 份
分享
54¢
→
48.5¢
$81.01
$150.01
$72.75
−$8.25
(-10.2%)
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and US gas not hit $4.50 by the end of 2026?
Yes 70.3¢
100.2 份
分享
70.1¢
→
70.3¢
$70.22
$100.17
$70.47
+$0.25
(+0.4%)
Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?
No 68.5¢
100 份
分享
70¢
→
68.5¢
$70
$100
$68.5
−$1.5
(-2.1%)
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
Yes 21.5¢
315.4 份
分享
23.0¢
→
21.5¢
$72.55
$315.44
$67.82
−$4.73
(-6.5%)
Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
No 69.2¢
95.6 份
分享
71.6¢
→
69.2¢
$68.47
$95.63
$66.13
−$2.34
(-3.4%)
Trump Jr.'s Republican nomination odds dip to 2% by December 31?
Yes 69.5¢
95 份
分享
71¢
→
69.5¢
$67.45
$95
$66.03
−$1.43
(-2.1%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 80.8¢
79.6 份
分享
80.7¢
→
80.8¢
$64.26
$79.61
$64.33
+$0.07
(+0.1%)
Will América win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?
No 75.5¢
81.6 份
分享
83¢
→
75.5¢
$67.73
$81.6
$61.61
−$6.12
(-9.0%)
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?
No 70.5¢
86.9 份
分享
74¢
→
70.5¢
$64.27
$86.85
$61.23
−$3.04
(-4.7%)
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 87.1¢
70 份
分享
86.6¢
→
87.1¢
$60.62
$70
$60.93
+$0.31
(+0.5%)
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027?
Yes 69¢
88 份
分享
73¢
→
69¢
$64.24
$88
$60.72
−$3.52
(-5.5%)
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 76¢
78.6 份
分享
79.0¢
→
76¢
$62.06
$78.56
$59.71
−$2.36
(-3.8%)
Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 49¢
120 份
分享
54¢
→
49¢
$64.8
$120
$58.8
−$6
(-9.3%)
Will "Mary is Missing" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 65¢
89.9 份
分享
70¢
→
65¢
$62.91
$89.87
$58.42
−$4.49
(-7.1%)
Will Davante Adams have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No 94.5¢
60 份
分享
89.0¢
→
94.5¢
$53.4
$60
$56.7
+$3.3
(+6.2%)
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026?
No 88.5¢
63.5 份
分享
92.9¢
→
88.5¢
$58.94
$63.46
$56.16
−$2.78
(-4.7%)
Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC after March 2027?
No 46.5¢
119.9 份
分享
61¢
→
46.5¢
$73.15
$119.91
$55.76
−$17.39
(-23.8%)
Will Inde Navarrette be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 80.5¢
68.5 份
分享
80.0¢
→
80.5¢
$54.83
$68.54
$55.17
+$0.34
(+0.6%)
Will Octane (Don Toliver) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
No 73.5¢
74.5 份
分享
77.3¢
→
73.5¢
$57.6
$74.49
$54.75
−$2.85
(-5.0%)
Will Miami reach the 2027 NCAA Men's Basketball Final Four?
No 90.8¢
60 份
分享
87¢
→
90.8¢
$52.2
$60
$54.51
+$2.31
(+4.4%)
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
No 97.3¢
55.8 份
分享
97.4¢
→
97.3¢
$54.33
$55.78
$54.25
−$0.08
(-0.2%)
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
No 88¢
60.1 份
分享
87¢
→
88¢
$52.32
$60.13
$52.92
+$0.6
(+1.1%)
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 87.5¢
60 份
分享
91¢
→
87.5¢
$54.6
$60
$52.5
−$2.1
(-3.8%)
Will Manchester United finish top 8 in UCL league phase?
No 87.5¢
60 份
分享
91¢
→
87.5¢
$54.6
$60
$52.5
−$2.1
(-3.8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 45%-50%?
No 86.8¢
60 份
分享
86.2¢
→
86.8¢
$51.73
$60.01
$52.09
+$0.36
(+0.7%)
Will Derrick Henry have 10.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Yes 86.1¢
60.5 份
分享
88.2¢
→
86.1¢
$53.36
$60.5
$52.06
−$1.3
(-2.4%)
Will Robert Pattinson be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 65.5¢
78.3 份
分享
69¢
→
65.5¢
$54.06
$78.34
$51.31
−$2.74
(-5.1%)
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 77.5¢
66 份
分享
81¢
→
77.5¢
$53.46
$66
$51.15
−$2.31
(-4.3%)
Will Erzurumspor be relegated from the 2026-27 Süper Lig?
No 85.0¢
60 份
分享
94¢
→
85.0¢
$56.4
$60
$51.03
−$5.37
(-9.5%)
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Yes 73.6¢
68.6 份
分享
73.1¢
→
73.6¢
$50.14
$68.59
$50.48
+$0.34
(+0.7%)
Will Edward Norton be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 53¢
95 份
分享
52.1¢
→
53¢
$49.48
$95
$50.35
+$0.87
(+1.8%)
Will LASK reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?
No 83.9¢
60 份
分享
91¢
→
83.9¢
$54.6
$60
$50.31
−$4.29
(-7.9%)
Will Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?
No 83.6¢
60 份
分享
90.2¢
→
83.6¢
$54.12
$60
$50.16
−$3.96
(-7.3%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 25%-30%?
No 83.1¢
60 份
分享
88.2¢
→
83.1¢
$52.92
$60
$49.86
−$3.06
(-5.8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-01 House election by 35%-40%?
No 83¢
60 份
分享
88.0¢
→
83¢
$52.8
$60
$49.8
−$3
(-5.7%)
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?
Yes 69.1¢
71.7 份
分享
72.3¢
→
69.1¢
$51.8
$71.65
$49.51
−$2.29
(-4.4%)
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?
No 82.4¢
60 份
分享
87.7¢
→
82.4¢
$52.62
$60
$49.44
−$3.18
(-6.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?
No 97.5¢
50 份
分享
62¢
→
97.5¢
$31.01
$50.01
$48.73
+$17.73
(+57.2%)
Will Xavier Worthy have 849.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No 81¢
60 份
分享
86¢
→
81¢
$51.6
$60
$48.6
−$3
(-5.8%)
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $8.00 and $8.50 on December 31, 2026?
No 81¢
60 份
分享
80¢
→
81¢
$48
$60
$48.6
+$0.6
(+1.3%)
Will GTE launch a token by June 30, 2027?
No 80.5¢
60 份
分享
82.0¢
→
80.5¢
$49.2
$60
$48.3
−$0.9
(-1.8%)
Will David Montgomery have 824.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No 86¢
56.1 份
分享
87¢
→
86¢
$48.81
$56.11
$48.25
−$0.56
(-1.1%)
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?
Yes 89¢
54 份
分享
90¢
→
89¢
$48.6
$54
$48.06
−$0.54
(-1.1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 40% or more?
No 81.3¢
58.9 份
分享
90.9¢
→
81.3¢
$53.56
$58.93
$47.88
−$5.69
(-10.6%)
Will the next governing coalition of Israel consist of Likud + Yashar + Together + YB?
No 91.5¢
52.3 份
分享
89.5¢
→
91.5¢
$46.82
$52.31
$47.86
+$1.03
(+2.2%)
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
No 79.5¢
60 份
分享
83.0¢
→
79.5¢
$49.8
$60
$47.7
−$2.1
(-4.2%)
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?
No 79.5¢
60 份
分享
85¢
→
79.5¢
$51
$60
$47.7
−$3.3
(-6.5%)
Will there be between 125m and 130m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
No 79.5¢
60 份
分享
89¢
→
79.5¢
$53.4
$60
$47.7
−$5.7
(-10.7%)
Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?
No 81¢
58.8 份
分享
84¢
→
81¢
$49.38
$58.78
$47.61
−$1.76
(-3.6%)
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?
No 94.3¢
50 份
分享
95.1¢
→
94.3¢
$47.55
$50
$47.18
−$0.38
(-0.8%)
Will Dplus KIA Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?
No 80¢
58.5 份
分享
81.8¢
→
80¢
$47.88
$58.5
$46.8
−$1.08
(-2.3%)
Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 74¢
63.1 份
分享
74.9¢
→
74¢
$47.27
$63.09
$46.69
−$0.58
(-1.2%)
Will the Washington Commanders make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
No 77.5¢
60 份
分享
81¢
→
77.5¢
$48.61
$60.01
$46.51
−$2.1
(-4.3%)
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Yes 77.5¢
60 份
分享
89¢
→
77.5¢
$53.4
$60
$46.5
−$6.9
(-12.9%)
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?
No 67¢
69.4 份
分享
78¢
→
67¢
$54.13
$69.4
$46.5
−$7.63
(-14.1%)
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
No 75.6¢
61 份
分享
78.0¢
→
75.6¢
$47.55
$60.98
$46.13
−$1.42
(-3.0%)
Will Drake London have 949.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Yes 76.5¢
60 份
分享
92¢
→
76.5¢
$55.2
$60
$45.9
−$9.3
(-16.8%)
Will Türkiye be relegated from Nations League A in 2026-27?
Yes 77.5¢
59 份
分享
86¢
→
77.5¢
$50.73
$58.99
$45.72
−$5.01
(-9.9%)
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?
No 76.1¢
60 份
分享
79.5¢
→
76.1¢
$47.7
$60
$45.66
−$2.04
(-4.3%)
Will the Florida Panthers record 90+ points?
Yes 79¢
57.6 份
分享
79.0¢
→
79¢
$45.52
$57.63
$45.53
+$0
(+0.0%)
Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 45.5¢
100 份
分享
70¢
→
45.5¢
$70
$100
$45.5
−$24.5
(-35.0%)
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election?
Yes 90.5¢
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Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?
Yes 62¢
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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-13 House election by 20%-25%?
No 75¢
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Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
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Will Lazio win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
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