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2024年8月 加入
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Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
總收益
$92,560.73
1天
−$90.17
7天
−$28.99
30天
$290.81
90天
−$1,367.41
總交易量
$1093.55萬
預測次數
12,388
持倉價值
$3,205.65
盈虧走勢
歷史盈虧走勢
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
−$1.68萬
LP 獎勵
+$10.94萬
Maker 返利
+$216.39
持倉獎勵
+$13.16
Taker 返利
+$14.54
費用
−$331.12
持倉
活動
評論
當前
已平倉
市場
平均 → 當前
成交額
獲勝可得
價值
分享
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 97.9¢
399 份
分享
88¢
→
97.9¢
$351.1
$398.98
$390.6
+$39.5
(+11.2%)
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
No 98.2¢
209.2 份
分享
89.1¢
→
98.2¢
$186.32
$209.18
$205.31
+$18.99
(+10.2%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 95.3¢
200.2 份
分享
72.5¢
→
95.3¢
$145.18
$200.18
$190.87
+$45.7
(+31.5%)
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
No 69¢
260 份
分享
93¢
→
69¢
$241.8
$260
$179.4
−$62.4
(-25.8%)
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?
No 96.8¢
150 份
分享
94¢
→
96.8¢
$141
$150
$145.13
+$4.13
(+2.9%)
Will Namadi Umar Alhaji win the 2027 Jigawa State gubernatorial election?
Yes 88.5¢
150 份
分享
92¢
→
88.5¢
$138
$150
$132.75
−$5.25
(-3.8%)
Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election?
Yes 98.5¢
102 份
分享
91¢
→
98.5¢
$92.84
$102.02
$100.49
+$7.65
(+8.2%)
Will Jamie Joyce win the CA-12 House seat?
No 100.0¢
85 份
分享
91¢
→
100.0¢
$77.35
$85
$84.96
+$7.61
(+9.8%)
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 95.2¢
87 份
分享
92.7¢
→
95.2¢
$80.68
$87
$82.82
+$2.14
(+2.7%)
Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 40.5¢
161.5 份
分享
3.4¢
→
40.5¢
$5.49
$161.45
$65.39
+$59.89
(+1090.3%)
Will Lateefah Simon win the CA-12 House seat?
Yes 100.0¢
65 份
分享
92¢
→
100.0¢
$59.8
$65
$64.97
+$5.17
(+8.6%)
GTA VI released by November 30?
Yes 98.2¢
65 份
分享
92¢
→
98.2¢
$59.8
$65
$63.83
+$4.03
(+6.7%)
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?
No 94.9¢
65 份
分享
92¢
→
94.9¢
$59.8
$65
$61.69
+$1.89
(+3.2%)
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 99.9¢
60 份
分享
98.5¢
→
99.9¢
$59.1
$60
$59.91
+$0.81
(+1.4%)
Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?
No 91.5¢
65.5 份
分享
92.0¢
→
91.5¢
$60.23
$65.47
$59.91
−$0.33
(-0.5%)
Will Iraq join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 91¢
65 份
分享
93¢
→
91¢
$60.45
$65
$59.15
−$1.3
(-2.2%)
Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 89.5¢
65 份
分享
89¢
→
89.5¢
$57.85
$65
$58.18
+$0.33
(+0.6%)
Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 34¢
165.1 份
分享
4.6¢
→
34¢
$7.59
$165.13
$56.14
+$48.55
(+639.7%)
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 52.6¢
106 份
分享
5.2¢
→
52.6¢
$5.54
$106
$55.81
+$50.27
(+907.4%)
SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?
No 96.2¢
56.9 份
分享
93¢
→
96.2¢
$52.88
$56.86
$54.7
+$1.82
(+3.4%)
Will Joana Rosa win the Cape Verde presidential election?
No 94.5¢
53.6 份
分享
92.2¢
→
94.5¢
$49.42
$53.6
$50.68
+$1.26
(+2.5%)
Will Ryan Gosling win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 98.7¢
50.5 份
分享
90¢
→
98.7¢
$45.47
$50.52
$49.86
+$4.4
(+9.7%)
Will Control Resonant win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
No 94¢
44 份
分享
94¢
→
94¢
$41.36
$44
$41.36
+$0
(+0.0%)
Will Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?
No 65.3¢
60 份
分享
96¢
→
65.3¢
$57.6
$60
$39.21
−$18.39
(-31.9%)
Will Morocco join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 97.0¢
39 份
分享
95¢
→
97.0¢
$37.05
$39
$37.85
+$0.8
(+2.2%)
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?
No 89.5¢
37.1 份
分享
93¢
→
89.5¢
$34.47
$37.07
$33.17
−$1.3
(-3.8%)
Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?
No 26.8¢
120.8 份
分享
3.7¢
→
26.8¢
$4.44
$120.75
$32.36
+$27.92
(+628.4%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be between 4,000,000 and 4,250,000?
No 77.5¢
40 份
分享
91¢
→
77.5¢
$36.4
$40
$31
−$5.4
(-14.8%)
Will Resident Evil Requiem win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
No 94¢
31.6 份
分享
92¢
→
94¢
$29.07
$31.6
$29.7
+$0.63
(+2.2%)
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 100.0¢
28 份
分享
98.1¢
→
100.0¢
$27.47
$28
$27.99
+$0.52
(+1.9%)
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 99.9¢
28 份
分享
98.2¢
→
99.9¢
$27.5
$28
$27.96
+$0.46
(+1.7%)
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 46.5¢
60.1 份
分享
5¢
→
46.5¢
$3.01
$60.1
$27.95
+$24.94
(+830.0%)
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 99.3¢
28 份
分享
98.3¢
→
99.3¢
$27.52
$28
$27.8
+$0.28
(+1.0%)
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 67.2¢
40 份
分享
4¢
→
67.2¢
$1.6
$40
$26.86
+$25.26
(+1578.8%)
Will Gears of War: E-Day win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?
No 93.5¢
24 份
分享
92¢
→
93.5¢
$22.08
$24
$22.44
+$0.36
(+1.6%)
Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
No 88¢
24 份
分享
93¢
→
88¢
$22.32
$24
$21.12
−$1.2
(-5.4%)
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Yes 4.3¢
479 份
分享
7.0¢
→
4.3¢
$33.53
$478.95
$20.83
−$12.69
(-37.9%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?
No 67.7¢
29 份
分享
93¢
→
67.7¢
$26.97
$29
$19.62
−$7.35
(-27.3%)
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 98.0¢
20 份
分享
91¢
→
98.0¢
$18.2
$20
$19.59
+$1.39
(+7.6%)
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton engaged in 2026?
Yes 12.2¢
150 份
分享
21¢
→
12.2¢
$31.5
$150
$18.3
−$13.2
(-41.9%)
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
Yes 16.5¢
99.3 份
分享
13¢
→
16.5¢
$12.91
$99.28
$16.38
+$3.47
(+26.9%)
Will Rony Paolo Vejarano Pérez win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?
No 51¢
30 份
分享
88.6¢
→
51¢
$26.58
$30
$15.3
−$11.28
(-42.4%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-04 House election by 10%-15%?
No 62¢
23 份
分享
94¢
→
62¢
$21.62
$23
$14.26
−$7.36
(-34.0%)
Will Resident Evil Requiem win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?
No 93¢
15.2 份
分享
92¢
→
93¢
$13.95
$15.16
$14.1
+$0.15
(+1.1%)
Will Denis Bećirović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Yes 31.1¢
33.3 份
分享
7.9¢
→
31.1¢
$2.63
$33.26
$10.33
+$7.7
(+293.0%)
Will Tsao Erh-yuan win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?
Yes 26.4¢
39 份
分享
6.7¢
→
26.4¢
$2.61
$39
$10.3
+$7.68
(+294.0%)
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 98.4¢
10 份
分享
96.1¢
→
98.4¢
$9.61
$10
$9.84
+$0.22
(+2.3%)
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 99.9¢
8 份
分享
98.1¢
→
99.9¢
$7.85
$8
$7.99
+$0.14
(+1.8%)
Will Mo Ivory win the 2026 Fulton Commission Chair election?
No 5.3¢
150 份
分享
7.0¢
→
5.3¢
$10.5
$150
$7.88
−$2.63
(-25.0%)
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No 68.8¢
10 份
分享
91.8¢
→
68.8¢
$9.18
$10
$6.89
−$2.3
(-25.0%)
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Yes 21.3¢
31 份
分享
8.4¢
→
21.3¢
$2.6
$31
$6.6
+$4
(+153.6%)
Will Ana Lilia Rivera Rivera win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election?
No 31.9¢
20 份
分享
90.4¢
→
31.9¢
$18.08
$20
$6.37
−$11.71
(-64.8%)
Will Subnautica 2 win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 4.5¢
135 份
分享
6.7¢
→
4.5¢
$9.09
$135
$6.14
−$2.95
(-32.4%)
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
No 3¢
200 份
分享
7.7¢
→
3¢
$15.41
$200
$6
−$9.41
(-61.1%)
Will Gricelda Valencia de la Mora win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
No 99.0¢
6.1 份
分享
92.5¢
→
99.0¢
$5.61
$6.06
$6
+$0.39
(+7.0%)
Will Pragmata win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 7.5¢
76.8 份
分享
4¢
→
7.5¢
$3.07
$76.77
$5.76
+$2.69
(+87.5%)
Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?
Yes 65.4¢
8 份
分享
5¢
→
65.4¢
$0.4
$8
$5.23
+$4.83
(+1208.0%)
Will Clara Luz Flores Carrales win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?
Yes 19.8¢
26.3 份
分享
5.7¢
→
19.8¢
$1.51
$26.34
$5.2
+$3.69
(+244.1%)
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
No 100.0¢
5.2 份
分享
92.1¢
→
100.0¢
$4.78
$5.19
$5.19
+$0.41
(+8.5%)
Will Heidi Alexander be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Yes 4.4¢
115.9 份
分享
5.9¢
→
4.4¢
$6.82
$115.9
$5.1
−$1.72
(-25.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-01 House seat?
Yes 100.0¢
5 份
分享
93.0¢
→
100.0¢
$4.62
$4.97
$4.97
+$0.34
(+7.4%)
Will Saros win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 10.9¢
41 份
分享
4¢
→
10.9¢
$1.64
$41
$4.47
+$2.83
(+172.5%)
Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
No 95.1¢
4.7 份
分享
94¢
→
95.1¢
$4.41
$4.69
$4.46
+$0.05
(+1.2%)
Will Deadlock win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 10.3¢
41 份
分享
4¢
→
10.3¢
$1.64
$41
$4.24
+$2.6
(+158.8%)
Will Nioh 3 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 4.0¢
106 份
分享
7.0¢
→
4.0¢
$7.42
$106
$4.19
−$3.23
(-43.6%)
Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?
No 99.7¢
4.1 份
分享
91¢
→
99.7¢
$3.73
$4.1
$4.09
+$0.35
(+9.5%)
Will Rafael Fiziev fight Mateusz Gamrot next?
Yes 16.2¢
25 份
分享
5.3¢
→
16.2¢
$1.33
$25
$4.05
+$2.73
(+205.7%)
Will Francisco Pelayo Covarrubias win the 2027 Baja California Sur Governor Election?
Yes 17¢
23.2 份
分享
8¢
→
17¢
$1.85
$23.18
$3.94
+$2.09
(+112.5%)
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 96.7¢
4 份
分享
96.9¢
→
96.7¢
$3.88
$4
$3.87
−$0.01
(-0.3%)
Will Mixtape win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 5.9¢
65 份
分享
4¢
→
5.9¢
$2.6
$65
$3.8
+$1.2
(+46.3%)
Will 007 First Light win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 12¢
30.7 份
分享
4¢
→
12¢
$1.23
$30.7
$3.68
+$2.46
(+200.0%)
Will Cairn win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 4.3¢
85 份
分享
4¢
→
4.3¢
$3.4
$85
$3.66
+$0.26
(+7.5%)
Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Yes 5.1¢
71.2 份
分享
6.3¢
→
5.1¢
$4.5
$71.2
$3.63
−$0.87
(-19.4%)
Will Order of the Sinking Star win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 3.2¢
111.5 份
分享
3.6¢
→
3.2¢
$3.99
$111.46
$3.57
−$0.43
(-10.7%)
Will Silent Hill: Townfall win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 8.3¢
41 份
分享
7.0¢
→
8.3¢
$2.87
$41
$3.38
+$0.51
(+17.9%)
Will The Blood of Dawnwalker win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 14.1¢
24 份
分享
6.3¢
→
14.1¢
$1.52
$23.96
$3.38
+$1.86
(+122.7%)
Will Alan Campbell be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Yes 6.5¢
52.3 份
分享
11.9¢
→
6.5¢
$6.23
$52.33
$3.38
−$2.85
(-45.8%)
Will Yvette Cooper be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Yes 4¢
80.7 份
分享
5.9¢
→
4¢
$4.73
$80.73
$3.23
−$1.5
(-31.8%)
Will Ed Miliband be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Yes 3.3¢
99 份
分享
5.3¢
→
3.3¢
$5.25
$99.04
$3.22
−$2.03
(-38.7%)
Will Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4 win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 4.1¢
77 份
分享
4¢
→
4.1¢
$3.08
$77
$3.16
+$0.08
(+2.5%)
Will Angela Eagle be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Yes 5.1¢
60 份
分享
6.2¢
→
5.1¢
$3.72
$60
$3.09
−$0.63
(-16.9%)
Will Enshrouded win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 4.3¢
71 份
分享
4¢
→
4.3¢
$2.84
$71
$3.09
+$0.25
(+8.8%)
Will Sandra Hüller win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 4.7¢
65 份
分享
8¢
→
4.7¢
$5.2
$65
$3.06
−$2.15
(-41.3%)
Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026?
Yes 28.5¢
10 份
分享
5¢
→
28.5¢
$0.5
$10
$2.85
+$2.35
(+470.0%)
Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?
Yes 4.7¢
59.2 份
分享
6¢
→
4.7¢
$3.55
$59.2
$2.78
−$0.77
(-21.7%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 26.2¢
10 份
分享
4¢
→
26.2¢
$0.4
$10
$2.62
+$2.22
(+555.0%)
Will Lisa Nandy be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?
Yes 3.9¢
65 份
分享
0¢
→
3.9¢
$0
$65
$2.54
+$2.54
(+0.0%)
Will Dune: Messiah have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes 3.8¢
65 份
分享
7.0¢
→
3.8¢
$4.55
$65
$2.47
−$2.08
(-45.7%)
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?
Yes 12.3¢
19.4 份
分享
6¢
→
12.3¢
$1.16
$19.4
$2.4
+$1.23
(+105.8%)
Will Tao Okamoto win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 5.9¢
40.3 份
分享
6¢
→
5.9¢
$2.42
$40.3
$2.36
−$0.06
(-2.5%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
No 99.7¢
2.4 份
分享
89¢
→
99.7¢
$2.1
$2.36
$2.35
+$0.25
(+12.0%)
Will Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?
Yes 3.9¢
60 份
分享
7.4¢
→
3.9¢
$4.44
$60
$2.34
−$2.1
(-47.3%)
Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?
Yes 3.9¢
60 份
分享
5.9¢
→
3.9¢
$3.54
$59.99
$2.34
−$1.2
(-33.9%)
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No 31.5¢
7.2 份
分享
9¢
→
31.5¢
$0.65
$7.19
$2.26
+$1.62
(+250.0%)
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes 6.1¢
36.2 份
分享
10.4¢
→
6.1¢
$3.77
$36.16
$2.21
−$1.57
(-41.6%)
Will the Colorado 2026 Senate race be within 1%?
Yes 3.4¢
60 份
分享
5¢
→
3.4¢
$3
$60
$2.01
−$0.99
(-33.0%)
Will Marvel's Wolverine win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?
Yes 3.0¢
65 份
分享
6¢
→
3.0¢
$3.9
$65
$1.98
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20 份
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9.9¢
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$2
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