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anoin123
anoin123
2025年12月 加入
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分享個人資料
Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
總收益
−$4,740,990.20
1天
−$35.15萬
7天
−$18.65萬
30天
$11.27萬
90天
$57.29萬
總交易量
$1.29億
預測次數
1,449
持倉價值
$77.51萬
盈虧走勢
歷史盈虧走勢
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
−$485.2萬
LP 獎勵
+$9.5萬
Maker 返利
+$2.03萬
持倉獎勵
+$1,072.35
Taker 返利
+$240.03
費用
−$5,601.24
排名概覽
綜合
#3,301,659
共 330.2萬 個錢包
交易量
#154
共 330.2萬 個錢包
利潤
#3,249,529
共 330.2萬 個錢包
LP 獎勵
#56
共 18.9萬 個獲獎地址
Maker 返利
#402
共 16.1萬 個獲獎地址
Taker 返利
#5,622
共 7.2萬 個獲獎地址
持倉獎勵
#503
共 35.2萬 個獲獎地址
已付費用
#5,832
共 153.5萬 個付費地址
持倉
活動
評論
當前
已平倉
市場
平均 → 當前
成交額
獲勝可得
價值
分享
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes 99.9¢
27.5萬 份
分享
84.1¢
→
99.9¢
$23.1萬
$27.47萬
$27.43萬
+$4.32萬
(+18.7%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
No 91.5¢
4.4萬 份
分享
75.9¢
→
91.5¢
$3.37萬
$4.43萬
$4.06萬
+$6,908.26
(+20.5%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 96.4¢
4.2萬 份
分享
93.1¢
→
96.4¢
$3.9萬
$4.19萬
$4.04萬
+$1,390.1
(+3.6%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 80.5¢
4萬 份
分享
50.8¢
→
80.5¢
$2.05萬
$4.03萬
$3.25萬
+$1.2萬
(+58.4%)
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No 91¢
3.2萬 份
分享
61.5¢
→
91¢
$1.97萬
$3.2萬
$2.91萬
+$9,444.35
(+48.0%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No 96.5¢
2.9萬 份
分享
93.7¢
→
96.5¢
$2.74萬
$2.92萬
$2.82萬
+$813.99
(+3.0%)
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?
No 91¢
2.7萬 份
分享
88.1¢
→
91¢
$2.37萬
$2.69萬
$2.45萬
+$768.44
(+3.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?
No 95.8¢
2.2萬 份
分享
76.8¢
→
95.8¢
$1.7萬
$2.22萬
$2.12萬
+$4,202.83
(+24.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?
Yes 95.7¢
2.1萬 份
分享
74.7¢
→
95.7¢
$1.57萬
$2.1萬
$2.01萬
+$4,407.11
(+28.1%)
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
No 99.6¢
1.8萬 份
分享
82.9¢
→
99.6¢
$1.47萬
$1.78萬
$1.77萬
+$2,964.69
(+20.1%)
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?
No 99.6¢
1.8萬 份
分享
76.2¢
→
99.6¢
$1.34萬
$1.75萬
$1.75萬
+$4,091.27
(+30.6%)
Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
No 100.0¢
1.4萬 份
分享
85.8¢
→
100.0¢
$1.2萬
$1.4萬
$1.39萬
+$1,970.5
(+16.5%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No 64¢
1.9萬 份
分享
38.0¢
→
64¢
$7,284.21
$1.91萬
$1.23萬
+$4,968.81
(+68.2%)
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
Yes 100.0¢
1萬 份
分享
86¢
→
100.0¢
$8,864
$1.03萬
$1.03萬
+$1,437.82
(+16.2%)
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 74.8¢
1.4萬 份
分享
83.7¢
→
74.8¢
$1.13萬
$1.35萬
$1.01萬
−$1,208.9
(-10.7%)
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
No 98.5¢
9,429.6 份
分享
29.2¢
→
98.5¢
$2,754.64
$9,429.59
$9,283.43
+$6,528.79
(+237.0%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 55.5¢
1.6萬 份
分享
28.4¢
→
55.5¢
$4,622.39
$1.63萬
$9,020.27
+$4,397.88
(+95.1%)
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?
No 99.4¢
8,005.1 份
分享
68.2¢
→
99.4¢
$5,461.46
$8,005.05
$7,957.02
+$2,495.56
(+45.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?
Yes 78¢
9,983.5 份
分享
62.7¢
→
78¢
$6,264.91
$9,983.53
$7,787.15
+$1,522.25
(+24.3%)
No one announced as next James Bond?
Yes 19.1¢
4萬 份
分享
23.2¢
→
19.1¢
$9,284.1
$4萬
$7,612.45
−$1,671.65
(-18.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?
Yes 99.1¢
6,138.6 份
分享
36.7¢
→
99.1¢
$2,251.44
$6,138.56
$6,080.24
+$3,828.8
(+170.1%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?
Yes 97.5¢
5,986.5 份
分享
82.1¢
→
97.5¢
$4,915.26
$5,986.53
$5,836.87
+$921.6
(+18.7%)
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
No 72.0¢
6,916 份
分享
83¢
→
72.0¢
$5,740.26
$6,915.98
$4,982.96
−$757.3
(-13.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?
Yes 99¢
4,986 份
分享
83.0¢
→
99¢
$4,137.86
$4,985.99
$4,936.13
+$798.27
(+19.3%)
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?
Yes 99.1¢
4,249.1 份
分享
83¢
→
99.1¢
$3,526.75
$4,249.1
$4,208.74
+$681.98
(+19.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?
No 92.2¢
4,309.7 份
分享
62.4¢
→
92.2¢
$2,687.65
$4,309.71
$3,973.55
+$1,285.91
(+47.8%)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
No 10.4¢
3.5萬 份
分享
69.1¢
→
10.4¢
$2.43萬
$3.51萬
$3,670.1
−$2.06萬
(-84.9%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No 60.3¢
5,759.2 份
分享
35.3¢
→
60.3¢
$2,032.19
$5,759.19
$3,469.91
+$1,437.72
(+70.7%)
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
No 16.7¢
1.9萬 份
分享
87¢
→
16.7¢
$1.67萬
$1.92萬
$3,189.64
−$1.35萬
(-80.9%)
Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?
Yes 68¢
4,459.5 份
分享
58.9¢
→
68¢
$2,624.54
$4,459.5
$3,032.46
+$407.92
(+15.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?
Yes 92.3¢
3,213.9 份
分享
52.9¢
→
92.3¢
$1,700.75
$3,213.92
$2,964.84
+$1,264.09
(+74.3%)
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
No 82.5¢
3,549.2 份
分享
56.7¢
→
82.5¢
$2,011.4
$3,549.18
$2,928.07
+$916.67
(+45.6%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Yes 6.5¢
4.4萬 份
分享
19.3¢
→
6.5¢
$8,484.39
$4.4萬
$2,835.06
−$5,649.33
(-66.6%)
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
No 88.5¢
3,183 份
分享
83¢
→
88.5¢
$2,641.88
$3,182.99
$2,816.95
+$175.06
(+6.6%)
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
No 52.5¢
5,311.6 份
分享
34.6¢
→
52.5¢
$1,840.7
$5,311.59
$2,788.58
+$947.89
(+51.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?
Yes 96.5¢
2,710 份
分享
84¢
→
96.5¢
$2,276.39
$2,709.99
$2,613.78
+$337.39
(+14.8%)
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?
No 47¢
5,544 份
分享
47¢
→
47¢
$2,605.67
$5,543.98
$2,605.67
+$0
(+0.0%)
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 100.0¢
2,582.2 份
分享
68.7¢
→
100.0¢
$1,773.19
$2,582.17
$2,580.88
+$807.69
(+45.5%)
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 65.5¢
3,910.9 份
分享
56.2¢
→
65.5¢
$2,197.26
$3,910.87
$2,561.62
+$364.36
(+16.6%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?
No 98.4¢
2,567.5 份
分享
79.4¢
→
98.4¢
$2,039.84
$2,567.47
$2,526.39
+$486.55
(+23.9%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?
No 100.0¢
2,504 份
分享
84¢
→
100.0¢
$2,103.35
$2,503.99
$2,502.74
+$399.39
(+19.0%)
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
No 87¢
2,856.7 份
分享
83¢
→
87¢
$2,371.04
$2,856.67
$2,485.3
+$114.27
(+4.8%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes 16.8¢
1.5萬 份
分享
86¢
→
16.8¢
$1.27萬
$1.48萬
$2,478.64
−$1.02萬
(-80.5%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No 73¢
3,381.7 份
分享
55.9¢
→
73¢
$1,888.82
$3,381.72
$2,468.66
+$579.84
(+30.7%)
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
No 49¢
4,869.6 份
分享
55.0¢
→
49¢
$2,678.29
$4,869.62
$2,386.11
−$292.18
(-10.9%)
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?
No 79.5¢
2,901.7 份
分享
55.9¢
→
79.5¢
$1,622.03
$2,901.67
$2,306.83
+$684.79
(+42.2%)
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?
No 100.0¢
2,302.5 份
分享
46¢
→
100.0¢
$1,059.13
$2,302.46
$2,301.31
+$1,242.18
(+117.3%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
No 46.8¢
4,834.5 份
分享
56.2¢
→
46.8¢
$2,718.48
$4,834.53
$2,260.14
−$458.33
(-16.9%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No 99.9¢
2,229.2 份
分享
85¢
→
99.9¢
$1,894.79
$2,229.17
$2,225.82
+$331.03
(+17.5%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 21.5¢
1萬 份
分享
30.9¢
→
21.5¢
$3,156.89
$1.02萬
$2,193.49
−$963.4
(-30.5%)
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No 68.0¢
3,191.1 份
分享
63.3¢
→
68.0¢
$2,019.96
$3,191.09
$2,168.34
+$148.39
(+7.3%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
Yes 98.9¢
2,161 份
分享
83¢
→
98.9¢
$1,793.61
$2,160.97
$2,137.2
+$343.59
(+19.2%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
No 10.7¢
1.8萬 份
分享
16.7¢
→
10.7¢
$3,084.63
$1.85萬
$1,978.95
−$1,105.68
(-35.8%)
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
No 88.5¢
2,183.3 份
分享
55.7¢
→
88.5¢
$1,215.52
$2,183.32
$1,932.24
+$716.72
(+59.0%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?
Yes 40¢
4,690.1 份
分享
57.3¢
→
40¢
$2,685.67
$4,690.15
$1,876.06
−$809.61
(-30.1%)
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Yes 73¢
2,491.4 份
分享
83¢
→
73¢
$2,067.9
$2,491.45
$1,818.76
−$249.14
(-12.0%)
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
No 87¢
2,007.1 份
分享
60.5¢
→
87¢
$1,214.73
$2,007.07
$1,746.15
+$531.42
(+43.7%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?
Yes 97.2¢
1,789.4 份
分享
86¢
→
97.2¢
$1,538.93
$1,789.45
$1,739.34
+$200.42
(+13.0%)
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 63.5¢
2,457.6 份
分享
87¢
→
63.5¢
$2,138.14
$2,457.63
$1,560.6
−$577.54
(-27.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?
No 99.3¢
1,509.8 份
分享
74.3¢
→
99.3¢
$1,121.77
$1,509.77
$1,499.2
+$377.43
(+33.6%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Yes 49¢
3,037 份
分享
46.9¢
→
49¢
$1,424.27
$3,036.99
$1,488.12
+$63.85
(+4.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?
No 87¢
1,595.6 份
分享
13¢
→
87¢
$207.42
$1,595.56
$1,388.14
+$1,180.71
(+569.2%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?
No 100.0¢
1,380.2 份
分享
83.0¢
→
100.0¢
$1,145.54
$1,380.17
$1,379.48
+$233.94
(+20.4%)
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
No 30.4¢
3,773.4 份
分享
19.8¢
→
30.4¢
$748.44
$3,773.45
$1,147.13
+$398.69
(+53.3%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election?
No 20.5¢
4,447.6 份
分享
50¢
→
20.5¢
$2,223.78
$4,447.56
$913.97
−$1,309.81
(-58.9%)
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
No 86.3¢
1,018.2 份
分享
73¢
→
86.3¢
$743.31
$1,018.24
$878.23
+$134.92
(+18.2%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%?
No 80.5¢
980.8 份
分享
74¢
→
80.5¢
$725.78
$980.78
$789.53
+$63.75
(+8.8%)
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
No 38.8¢
1,867.8 份
分享
81.4¢
→
38.8¢
$1,521.15
$1,867.78
$724.7
−$796.45
(-52.4%)
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
No 12.5¢
5,767.5 份
分享
20.9¢
→
12.5¢
$1,207.21
$5,767.45
$720.93
−$486.28
(-40.3%)
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
No 10¢
6,483.1 份
分享
16.3¢
→
10¢
$1,053.51
$6,483.14
$648.31
−$405.2
(-38.5%)
Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?
No 92¢
698.6 份
分享
77.0¢
→
92¢
$537.9
$698.57
$642.69
+$104.79
(+19.5%)
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?
No 99.3¢
572.5 份
分享
89.3¢
→
99.3¢
$511.02
$572.5
$568.21
+$57.19
(+11.2%)
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
Yes 29.0¢
1,807.8 份
分享
27¢
→
29.0¢
$488.1
$1,807.78
$524.25
+$36.16
(+7.4%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?
No 100.0¢
500.8 份
分享
94¢
→
100.0¢
$470.78
$500.83
$500.58
+$29.8
(+6.3%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes 36¢
1,369.1 份
分享
40.5¢
→
36¢
$553.94
$1,369.08
$492.87
−$61.07
(-11.0%)
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?
No 17¢
2,759.9 份
分享
18.9¢
→
17¢
$520.36
$2,759.86
$469.18
−$51.19
(-9.8%)
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
No 100.0¢
445.4 份
分享
70.1¢
→
100.0¢
$312.27
$445.4
$445.18
+$132.91
(+42.6%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
No 76.7¢
570 份
分享
72¢
→
76.7¢
$410.39
$569.99
$437.18
+$26.79
(+6.5%)
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?
No 19.5¢
2,183.7 份
分享
22¢
→
19.5¢
$480.41
$2,183.69
$425.82
−$54.59
(-11.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?
No 78¢
545 份
分享
72.2¢
→
78¢
$393.25
$545.04
$425.13
+$31.88
(+8.1%)
Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?
No 98.5¢
403.8 份
分享
91¢
→
98.5¢
$367.42
$403.76
$397.5
+$30.08
(+8.2%)
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
No 1.2¢
3.2萬 份
分享
32.0¢
→
1.2¢
$1.04萬
$3.23萬
$388.02
−$9,970.25
(-96.3%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%?
Yes 48¢
802.4 份
分享
29.0¢
→
48¢
$232.84
$802.4
$385.15
+$152.31
(+65.4%)
Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 7.5¢
4,787.3 份
分享
67.0¢
→
7.5¢
$3,206.57
$4,787.32
$359.05
−$2,847.52
(-88.8%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 47¢
679.6 份
分享
51.9¢
→
47¢
$352.88
$679.59
$319.41
−$33.48
(-9.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?
Yes 97.2¢
323 份
分享
65¢
→
97.2¢
$209.95
$323
$313.79
+$103.84
(+49.5%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Yes 5.0¢
6,333.9 份
分享
6.3¢
→
5.0¢
$402.04
$6,333.9
$313.53
−$88.51
(-22.0%)
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes 24.5¢
1,224.6 份
分享
22¢
→
24.5¢
$269.41
$1,224.58
$300.02
+$30.61
(+11.4%)
Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 17.7¢
1,688.2 份
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11.1¢
→
17.7¢
$187.38
$1,688.15
$298.8
+$111.42
(+59.5%)
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?
Yes 96.4¢
309.2 份
分享
50¢
→
96.4¢
$154.59
$309.18
$298.05
+$143.46
(+92.8%)
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Yes 1.3¢
2.1萬 份
分享
23.4¢
→
1.3¢
$5,032.39
$2.15萬
$279.2
−$4,753.18
(-94.5%)
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
Yes 50¢
541.2 份
分享
50¢
→
50¢
$270.61
$541.22
$270.61
+$0
(+0.0%)
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Yes 26.5¢
980.8 份
分享
35.1¢
→
26.5¢
$344.01
$980.75
$259.9
−$84.11
(-24.5%)
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
No 46¢
544 份
分享
36¢
→
46¢
$195.83
$543.96
$250.22
+$54.4
(+27.8%)
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?
Yes 3.9¢
6,465 份
分享
70.3¢
→
3.9¢
$4,544.93
$6,464.95
$248.9
−$4,296.03
(-94.5%)
Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?
No 3.1¢
7,534 份
分享
6¢
→
3.1¢
$452.04
$7,533.98
$237.32
−$214.72
(-47.5%)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
No 11.5¢
1,974 份
分享
46.9¢
→
11.5¢
$924.86
$1,973.96
$227.01
−$697.85
(-75.5%)
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No 31.5¢
713.5 份
分享
31¢
→
31.5¢
$221.17
$713.46
$224.74
+$3.57
(+1.6%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?
No 4¢
5,602.4 份
分享
70.0¢
→
4¢
$3,920.87
$5,602.45
$224.1
−$3,696.78
(-94.3%)
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
No 77¢
290.4 份
分享
78¢
→
77¢
$226.49
$290.38
$223.59
−$2.9
(-1.3%)
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