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HolyMoses7
HolyMoses7
2024年12月 加入
曬單卡片
日曆
複製地址
分享個人資料
Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
總收益
$202,705.84
1天
$23.19
7天
$8,646.28
30天
$1.87萬
90天
$4.48萬
總交易量
$2486.57萬
預測次數
4,336
持倉價值
$22.6萬
盈虧走勢
歷史盈虧走勢
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
+$19.91萬
LP 獎勵
+$1,695.11
Maker 返利
+$282.07
持倉獎勵
+$5,521.01
推薦獎勵
+$1,190.22
Taker 返利
+$349.70
費用
−$5,477.27
排名概覽
綜合
#1,083
共 330.2萬 個錢包
交易量
#1,151
共 330.2萬 個錢包
利潤
#1,045
共 330.2萬 個錢包
LP 獎勵
#2,495
共 18.9萬 個獲獎地址
Maker 返利
#11,055
共 16.1萬 個獲獎地址
Taker 返利
#4,201
共 7.2萬 個獲獎地址
推薦獎勵
#921
共 1萬 個獲獎地址
持倉獎勵
#91
共 35.2萬 個獲獎地址
已付費用
#5,447
共 153.5萬 個付費地址
持倉
活動
評論
當前
已平倉
市場
平均 → 當前
成交額
獲勝可得
價值
分享
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 80.7¢
15.5萬 份
分享
50¢
→
80.7¢
$7.75萬
$15.5萬
$12.5萬
+$4.75萬
(+61.3%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 19.4¢
15.5萬 份
分享
50.0¢
→
19.4¢
$7.75萬
$15.5萬
$3萬
−$4.75萬
(-61.3%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 97.5¢
8,769.7 份
分享
96.5¢
→
97.5¢
$8,460.75
$8,769.68
$8,550.44
+$89.69
(+1.1%)
Israeli Knesset election annulled?
No 97.0¢
5,499.3 份
分享
83¢
→
97.0¢
$4,564.73
$5,499.28
$5,331.55
+$766.83
(+16.8%)
Will the Knesset elect a new Speaker by November 6?
No 99.8¢
3,654.8 份
分享
97.3¢
→
99.8¢
$3,557.74
$3,654.83
$3,645.69
+$87.95
(+2.5%)
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
No 77¢
4,182 份
分享
81.8¢
→
77¢
$3,420.29
$4,181.99
$3,220.13
−$200.16
(-5.9%)
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?
No 99.2¢
3,000 份
分享
97.6¢
→
99.2¢
$2,928
$3,000
$2,974.5
+$46.5
(+1.6%)
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
No 78.5¢
3,616.8 份
分享
81.7¢
→
78.5¢
$2,954.63
$3,616.85
$2,839.23
−$115.41
(-3.9%)
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Yes 77.5¢
3,170 份
分享
32.6¢
→
77.5¢
$1,034.99
$3,169.99
$2,456.74
+$1,421.75
(+137.4%)
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
No 57.0¢
4,233.3 份
分享
43.0¢
→
57.0¢
$1,820.81
$4,233.29
$2,412.98
+$592.17
(+32.5%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?
No 54.5¢
3,708.8 份
分享
56.2¢
→
54.5¢
$2,085.81
$3,708.76
$2,021.27
−$64.54
(-3.1%)
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 0.4¢
40.5萬 份
分享
0.2¢
→
0.4¢
$656.89
$40.55萬
$1,824.7
+$1,167.81
(+177.8%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 20.5¢
8,511.2 份
分享
15.3¢
→
20.5¢
$1,301.38
$8,511.17
$1,744.79
+$443.41
(+34.1%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 46¢
3,531.5 份
分享
44.3¢
→
46¢
$1,565.23
$3,531.52
$1,624.5
+$59.27
(+3.8%)
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
No 94¢
1,522 份
分享
80.2¢
→
94¢
$1,221.03
$1,522.03
$1,430.71
+$209.68
(+17.2%)
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?
Yes 55.0¢
2,350.3 份
分享
61.0¢
→
55.0¢
$1,434.73
$2,350.35
$1,292.69
−$142.04
(-9.9%)
Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 52.5¢
1,936.8 份
分享
41.3¢
→
52.5¢
$800.9
$1,936.81
$1,016.83
+$215.92
(+27.0%)
Will parties below the electoral threshold receive 8% or higher of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No 99.8¢
974 份
分享
99.7¢
→
99.8¢
$970.94
$974.04
$971.6
+$0.67
(+0.1%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 46¢
1,800.2 份
分享
42.2¢
→
46¢
$759.63
$1,800.17
$828.08
+$68.44
(+9.0%)
Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No 99.9¢
811.8 份
分享
94.9¢
→
99.9¢
$770.08
$811.79
$810.57
+$40.49
(+5.3%)
Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government?
No 90.3¢
854.7 份
分享
89.2¢
→
90.3¢
$762.81
$854.74
$771.83
+$9.03
(+1.2%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of National Security be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 45.5¢
1,605.4 份
分享
41.8¢
→
45.5¢
$670.49
$1,605.45
$730.48
+$59.99
(+8.9%)
Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes 97.7¢
691 份
分享
96.0¢
→
97.7¢
$663.59
$690.96
$674.72
+$11.13
(+1.7%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 55% or more?
Yes 99.3¢
593.2 份
分享
98.5¢
→
99.3¢
$584.51
$593.24
$589.09
+$4.58
(+0.8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-09 House election by 12% or more?
No 99.0¢
586 份
分享
98.4¢
→
99.0¢
$576.6
$586.01
$579.86
+$3.26
(+0.6%)
Will Yaron Zelekha be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?
No 95.9¢
554.3 份
分享
98.3¢
→
95.9¢
$544.77
$554.3
$531.3
−$13.47
(-2.5%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
No 90.6¢
584.7 份
分享
81.2¢
→
90.6¢
$475.02
$584.66
$529.7
+$54.67
(+11.5%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-07 House election by 10%-15%?
Yes 97.5¢
505.9 份
分享
80.9¢
→
97.5¢
$409.28
$505.85
$492.95
+$83.67
(+20.4%)
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?
Yes 39.5¢
1,218.9 份
分享
24.7¢
→
39.5¢
$301.63
$1,218.92
$481.47
+$179.84
(+59.6%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-06 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 97.4¢
491.8 份
分享
53.3¢
→
97.4¢
$262.33
$491.75
$478.72
+$216.39
(+82.5%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-02 House election by 0%-5%?
Yes 93.5¢
502.6 份
分享
49.0¢
→
93.5¢
$246.11
$502.59
$469.92
+$223.81
(+90.9%)
Will the New Mexico 2026 Senate race be within 1%?
No 99.5¢
454.5 份
分享
99.1¢
→
99.5¢
$450.5
$454.53
$452.03
+$1.53
(+0.3%)
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
No 29.0¢
1,522 份
分享
48.5¢
→
29.0¢
$739.03
$1,522
$441.38
−$297.65
(-40.3%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No 98.8¢
404 份
分享
97.7¢
→
98.8¢
$394.71
$404
$398.95
+$4.24
(+1.1%)
Will Yuli Edelstein be the next Speaker of the Knesset?
No 97.8¢
401 份
分享
97.6¢
→
97.8¢
$391.46
$401
$392.18
+$0.72
(+0.2%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 50¢
659.8 份
分享
45.0¢
→
50¢
$296.9
$659.79
$329.9
+$32.99
(+11.1%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 27.6¢
1,137.9 份
分享
3.6¢
→
27.6¢
$40.64
$1,137.95
$313.5
+$272.86
(+671.4%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 96.8¢
319.8 份
分享
82.1¢
→
96.8¢
$262.46
$319.76
$309.37
+$46.91
(+17.9%)
Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?
No 97.2¢
318.4 份
分享
92.7¢
→
97.2¢
$295.13
$318.4
$309.33
+$14.19
(+4.8%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-18 House election by 0%-5%?
Yes 98.3¢
312.2 份
分享
97.0¢
→
98.3¢
$302.77
$312.15
$306.69
+$3.92
(+1.3%)
Will voter turnout be 76% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes 99.4¢
281.2 份
分享
98.0¢
→
99.4¢
$275.48
$281.22
$279.39
+$3.92
(+1.4%)
Will Nir Barkat be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?
No 98.7¢
281 份
分享
90.0¢
→
98.7¢
$252.75
$280.98
$277.19
+$24.44
(+9.7%)
Will Elazar Stern be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?
No 99.8¢
274.9 份
分享
88.8¢
→
99.8¢
$243.96
$274.86
$274.17
+$30.21
(+12.4%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-03 House election by 10%-15%?
Yes 77.7¢
350.5 份
分享
85.2¢
→
77.7¢
$298.62
$350.46
$272.31
−$26.31
(-8.8%)
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Yes 73.6¢
369 份
分享
51.0¢
→
73.6¢
$188.23
$368.99
$271.58
+$83.35
(+44.3%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-06 House election by 15%-20%?
Yes 88.0¢
291.3 份
分享
68.4¢
→
88.0¢
$199.31
$291.27
$256.46
+$57.15
(+28.7%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-06 House election by 35%-40%?
Yes 96.1¢
256.7 份
分享
82.0¢
→
96.1¢
$210.59
$256.71
$246.7
+$36.11
(+17.1%)
Will voter turnout be 75% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes 99.5¢
246.6 份
分享
98.8¢
→
99.5¢
$243.68
$246.55
$245.32
+$1.64
(+0.7%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 45.5¢
537.3 份
分享
40.8¢
→
45.5¢
$219.23
$537.32
$244.48
+$25.25
(+11.5%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Yes 96.4¢
251.8 份
分享
1¢
→
96.4¢
$2.54
$251.84
$242.77
+$240.24
(+9473.5%)
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?
No 93¢
257.9 份
分享
83.5¢
→
93¢
$215.22
$257.89
$239.84
+$24.62
(+11.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?
Yes 99.5¢
238 份
分享
22.0¢
→
99.5¢
$52.36
$238
$236.69
+$184.33
(+352.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 0%-5%?
Yes 99.3¢
231.4 份
分享
99.0¢
→
99.3¢
$228.97
$231.39
$229.77
+$0.8
(+0.4%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-08 House election by 5%-10%?
Yes 94.9¢
229.8 份
分享
45.7¢
→
94.9¢
$105.04
$229.79
$218.07
+$113.03
(+107.6%)
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 22.5¢
963.5 份
分享
22.0¢
→
22.5¢
$211.97
$963.49
$216.78
+$4.82
(+2.3%)
Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
No 82.5¢
258 份
分享
72¢
→
82.5¢
$185.76
$258
$212.85
+$27.09
(+14.6%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 21% or more?
No 99.8¢
208.6 份
分享
99.7¢
→
99.8¢
$207.99
$208.62
$208.2
+$0.21
(+0.1%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-01 House election by 25%-30%?
Yes 97.5¢
210.6 份
分享
66.2¢
→
97.5¢
$139.32
$210.55
$205.29
+$65.97
(+47.3%)
Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?
No 67.5¢
302.9 份
分享
56.2¢
→
67.5¢
$170.09
$302.87
$204.44
+$34.34
(+20.2%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 70.3¢
286.8 份
分享
70.0¢
→
70.3¢
$200.84
$286.75
$201.59
+$0.74
(+0.4%)
Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes 65.8¢
302.2 份
分享
53¢
→
65.8¢
$160.2
$302.23
$199.02
+$38.82
(+24.2%)
Will Moshe Arbel be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?
No 91.6¢
211.4 份
分享
94.1¢
→
91.6¢
$198.97
$211.4
$193.64
−$5.33
(-2.7%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-05 House election by 10%-15%?
Yes 63.2¢
300.7 份
分享
23.2¢
→
63.2¢
$69.85
$300.71
$190.05
+$120.2
(+172.1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 69.3¢
274 份
分享
29.8¢
→
69.3¢
$81.75
$274.01
$189.75
+$108
(+132.1%)
Will Gilad Kariv be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?
No 96.0¢
197.1 份
分享
85.9¢
→
96.0¢
$169.2
$197.08
$189.3
+$20.09
(+11.9%)
Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 1%?
No 98.4¢
180 份
分享
95.4¢
→
98.4¢
$171.8
$180
$177.12
+$5.32
(+3.1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 50%-55%?
Yes 98.5¢
171.8 份
分享
38.5¢
→
98.5¢
$66.21
$171.82
$169.16
+$102.94
(+155.5%)
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
No 98.7¢
170.9 份
分享
98.2¢
→
98.7¢
$167.88
$170.89
$168.67
+$0.78
(+0.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the TX-27 House seat?
Yes 99.7¢
166.4 份
分享
99.5¢
→
99.7¢
$165.52
$166.36
$165.86
+$0.34
(+0.2%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 59.5¢
273.4 份
分享
71.8¢
→
59.5¢
$196.36
$273.42
$162.55
−$33.81
(-17.2%)
Will the Louisiana 2026 Senate race be within 1%?
No 99.7¢
160 份
分享
96.3¢
→
99.7¢
$154.12
$160
$159.44
+$5.32
(+3.4%)
AI bubble burst in 2026?
No 91.5¢
173.4 份
分享
84.1¢
→
91.5¢
$145.87
$173.35
$158.62
+$12.75
(+8.7%)
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?
Yes 35.5¢
440 份
分享
29.4¢
→
35.5¢
$129.57
$440
$156.2
+$26.63
(+20.5%)
Will Yair Lapid be the next Speaker of the Knesset?
No 46.5¢
331.1 份
分享
72.3¢
→
46.5¢
$239.21
$331.07
$153.95
−$85.26
(-35.6%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-23 House election by 30%-35%?
Yes 98.8¢
152.1 份
分享
53.5¢
→
98.8¢
$81.36
$152.07
$150.25
+$68.89
(+84.7%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 87.4¢
170.7 份
分享
7.9¢
→
87.4¢
$13.5
$170.74
$149.23
+$135.72
(+1005.0%)
Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats?
No 59.5¢
249.7 份
分享
63.2¢
→
59.5¢
$157.75
$249.71
$148.58
−$9.18
(-5.8%)
Will no Israeli government be formed after the 2026 Knesset election?
Yes 42.5¢
346.2 份
分享
42.6¢
→
42.5¢
$147.35
$346.18
$147.13
−$0.22
(-0.1%)
Will The Democrats be in the next Israeli government?
No 60.5¢
240 份
分享
40.2¢
→
60.5¢
$96.6
$240
$145.2
+$48.6
(+50.3%)
Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?
Yes 40¢
354.4 份
分享
49.9¢
→
40¢
$176.91
$354.44
$141.78
−$35.14
(-19.9%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-06 House election by 20%-25%?
Yes 66.5¢
206.7 份
分享
39.0¢
→
66.5¢
$80.5
$206.67
$137.44
+$56.93
(+70.7%)
Will Gilad Kariv be the next Speaker of the Knesset?
No 93¢
143.8 份
分享
92.0¢
→
93¢
$132.36
$143.84
$133.77
+$1.41
(+1.1%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-10 House election by 0%-5%?
Yes 60.3¢
212.9 份
分享
87.1¢
→
60.3¢
$185.44
$212.87
$128.36
−$57.08
(-30.8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 9%-12%?
Yes 44.0¢
288.8 份
分享
8.1¢
→
44.0¢
$23.31
$288.76
$126.91
+$103.6
(+444.5%)
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Yes 0.8¢
1.7萬 份
分享
18.6¢
→
0.8¢
$3,123.54
$1.68萬
$126.14
−$2,997.41
(-96.0%)
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?
No 96.6¢
125.6 份
分享
89.2¢
→
96.6¢
$112.1
$125.62
$121.35
+$9.24
(+8.2%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 18% or more?
No 98.7¢
120 份
分享
97.8¢
→
98.7¢
$117.36
$120
$118.44
+$1.08
(+0.9%)
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Yes 1¢
1.2萬 份
分享
4.9¢
→
1¢
$566.59
$1.16萬
$115.63
−$450.96
(-79.6%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 15%-20%?
Yes 97.7¢
117.2 份
分享
40.1¢
→
97.7¢
$46.96
$117.17
$114.48
+$67.51
(+143.8%)
Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?
No 96.7¢
116.3 份
分享
93.0¢
→
96.7¢
$108.14
$116.29
$112.39
+$4.26
(+3.9%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 49.9¢
224.9 份
分享
8.3¢
→
49.9¢
$18.7
$224.91
$112.23
+$93.53
(+500.2%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-22 House election by 3%-6%?
Yes 96.5¢
114.5 份
分享
18.7¢
→
96.5¢
$21.43
$114.46
$110.45
+$89.02
(+415.4%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-05 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 47.8¢
224.9 份
分享
8.3¢
→
47.8¢
$18.7
$224.91
$107.39
+$88.69
(+474.3%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 6%-9%?
Yes 36¢
288.8 份
分享
8.1¢
→
36¢
$23.31
$288.76
$103.95
+$80.64
(+346.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 0%-3%?
Yes 54.1¢
191 份
分享
8.2¢
→
54.1¢
$15.76
$191.04
$103.45
+$87.69
(+556.4%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 12% or more?
Yes 53¢
194.4 份
分享
74.5¢
→
53¢
$144.8
$194.37
$103.02
−$41.79
(-28.9%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-02 House election by 50%-55%?
Yes 89.1¢
115.4 份
分享
8.2¢
→
89.1¢
$9.52
$115.36
$102.84
+$93.33
(+980.6%)
Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
No 82.6¢
124.3 份
分享
98.4¢
→
82.6¢
$122.3
$124.31
$102.68
−$19.62
(-16.0%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 100.0¢
100 份
分享
23.8¢
→
100.0¢
$23.75
$100
$99.95
+$76.2
(+320.8%)
Will Yoav Ben-Tzur be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?
No 87.5¢
111.9 份
分享
80.8¢
→
87.5¢
$90.45
$111.87
$97.89
+$7.43
(+8.2%)
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