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HerrieDavis
HerrieDavis
2026年2月 加入
曬單卡片
日曆
複製地址
分享個人資料
Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
總收益
$479,870.08
1天
$2,250.27
7天
$2.62萬
30天
−$1.87萬
90天
$9.26萬
總交易量
$3555.3萬
預測次數
9,884
持倉價值
$22.97萬
盈虧走勢
歷史盈虧走勢
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
+$33.54萬
LP 獎勵
+$12.2萬
Maker 返利
+$2.23萬
持倉獎勵
+$317.87
費用
−$139.57
排名概覽
綜合
#442
共 330.2萬 個錢包
交易量
#760
共 330.2萬 個錢包
利潤
#585
共 330.2萬 個錢包
LP 獎勵
#40
共 18.9萬 個獲獎地址
Maker 返利
#341
共 16.1萬 個獲獎地址
持倉獎勵
#1,221
共 35.2萬 個獲獎地址
已付費用
#99,095
共 153.5萬 個付費地址
持倉
活動
評論
當前
已平倉
市場
平均 → 當前
成交額
獲勝可得
價值
分享
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 92.4¢
1萬 份
分享
91.2¢
→
92.4¢
$9,164.2
$1.01萬
$9,286.6
+$122.4
(+1.3%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No 91¢
9,449 份
分享
52.6¢
→
91¢
$4,972.74
$9,449
$8,598.59
+$3,625.86
(+72.9%)
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No 95.5¢
8,660.3 份
分享
50.7¢
→
95.5¢
$4,392.15
$8,660.33
$8,274.95
+$3,882.8
(+88.4%)
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
No 100.0¢
7,921.5 份
分享
95.6¢
→
100.0¢
$7,572.98
$7,921.53
$7,917.57
+$344.59
(+4.6%)
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
No 98.4¢
7,583 份
分享
93.3¢
→
98.4¢
$7,076.92
$7,583.03
$7,461.7
+$384.79
(+5.4%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 71.2¢
9,137.9 份
分享
52.1¢
→
71.2¢
$4,764.61
$9,137.9
$6,501.62
+$1,737.01
(+36.5%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 52.6¢
1.1萬 份
分享
23.6¢
→
52.6¢
$2,630.12
$1.11萬
$5,864.41
+$3,234.29
(+123.0%)
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 100.0¢
5,370.8 份
分享
78.3¢
→
100.0¢
$4,208.3
$5,370.83
$5,368.14
+$1,159.85
(+27.6%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 96.6¢
5,053.8 份
分享
90.0¢
→
96.6¢
$4,550.54
$5,053.81
$4,881.98
+$331.44
(+7.3%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No 100.0¢
4,854.2 份
分享
97.6¢
→
100.0¢
$4,735.8
$4,854.23
$4,851.8
+$116.01
(+2.4%)
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 100.0¢
4,635.5 份
分享
13.5¢
→
100.0¢
$624.64
$4,635.53
$4,633.22
+$4,008.57
(+641.7%)
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No 100.0¢
4,514.1 份
分享
93.8¢
→
100.0¢
$4,236.54
$4,514.06
$4,511.81
+$275.27
(+6.5%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 62.5¢
6,835.4 份
分享
65.5¢
→
62.5¢
$4,474.99
$6,835.41
$4,272.13
−$202.85
(-4.5%)
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
No 100.0¢
4,097.3 份
分享
67.5¢
→
100.0¢
$2,766.69
$4,097.31
$4,095.27
+$1,328.57
(+48.0%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No 89¢
4,150 份
分享
69.8¢
→
89¢
$2,894.96
$4,149.96
$3,693.46
+$798.5
(+27.6%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 31.3¢
1萬 份
分享
41.0¢
→
31.3¢
$4,203.56
$1.02萬
$3,205.25
−$998.31
(-23.7%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
No 89.5¢
3,478.5 份
分享
81¢
→
89.5¢
$2,817.59
$3,478.5
$3,113.26
+$295.67
(+10.5%)
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
No 82.0¢
3,519.5 份
分享
75.9¢
→
82.0¢
$2,670.15
$3,519.5
$2,884.23
+$214.08
(+8.0%)
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 30.3¢
8,994.3 份
分享
47.8¢
→
30.3¢
$4,295.35
$8,994.26
$2,725.26
−$1,570.09
(-36.6%)
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
No 93¢
2,913.2 份
分享
39.7¢
→
93¢
$1,155.41
$2,913.16
$2,709.24
+$1,553.83
(+134.5%)
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
No 94¢
2,808.6 份
分享
86.1¢
→
94¢
$2,418.16
$2,808.57
$2,640.05
+$221.89
(+9.2%)
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes 99.8¢
2,430.1 份
分享
61.5¢
→
99.8¢
$1,494.32
$2,430.15
$2,424.07
+$929.75
(+62.2%)
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes 100.0¢
2,402.5 份
分享
91.7¢
→
100.0¢
$2,202.56
$2,402.48
$2,401.27
+$198.72
(+9.0%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Yes 99.8¢
2,259.3 份
分享
91.6¢
→
99.8¢
$2,070.64
$2,259.28
$2,253.63
+$182.99
(+8.8%)
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
No 100.0¢
2,174.2 份
分享
90.6¢
→
100.0¢
$1,969.65
$2,174.23
$2,173.14
+$203.49
(+10.3%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 86.5¢
2,444.2 份
分享
76.5¢
→
86.5¢
$1,870.46
$2,444.2
$2,113.01
+$242.55
(+13.0%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 36.0¢
5,762 份
分享
21.6¢
→
36.0¢
$1,244.09
$5,761.98
$2,077.19
+$833.1
(+67.0%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No 93.3¢
2,114.3 份
分享
94.2¢
→
93.3¢
$1,991.71
$2,114.35
$1,973.74
−$17.97
(-0.9%)
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Yes 55.5¢
3,409.7 份
分享
13.7¢
→
55.5¢
$467.52
$3,409.73
$1,890.7
+$1,423.18
(+304.4%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
No 96.0¢
1,963.7 份
分享
84.0¢
→
96.0¢
$1,649.49
$1,963.68
$1,886.12
+$236.63
(+14.3%)
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No 98.0¢
1,899.2 份
分享
93.7¢
→
98.0¢
$1,779.58
$1,899.23
$1,862.2
+$82.62
(+4.6%)
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 74.8¢
2,437.7 份
分享
82.7¢
→
74.8¢
$2,015.12
$2,437.7
$1,822.18
−$192.94
(-9.6%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No 58.9¢
3,001.6 份
分享
60.8¢
→
58.9¢
$1,826.18
$3,001.64
$1,766.47
−$59.71
(-3.3%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
No 95.5¢
1,728.5 份
分享
85.7¢
→
95.5¢
$1,480.79
$1,728.5
$1,650.72
+$169.93
(+11.5%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 87.5¢
1,840.7 份
分享
61.8¢
→
87.5¢
$1,137.33
$1,840.71
$1,609.7
+$472.37
(+41.5%)
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 14.5¢
1萬 份
分享
14.8¢
→
14.5¢
$1,511.34
$1.02萬
$1,479.91
−$31.43
(-2.1%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
No 86.5¢
1,628.9 份
分享
87.2¢
→
86.5¢
$1,421.12
$1,628.89
$1,408.18
−$12.94
(-0.9%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 85.2¢
1,628.7 份
分享
80.3¢
→
85.2¢
$1,307.67
$1,628.65
$1,386.8
+$79.13
(+6.1%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Yes 19.5¢
6,946.1 份
分享
32.7¢
→
19.5¢
$2,274.63
$6,946.11
$1,354.49
−$920.14
(-40.5%)
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes 100.0¢
1,349.8 份
分享
73¢
→
100.0¢
$985.35
$1,349.79
$1,349.12
+$363.77
(+36.9%)
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?
No 95¢
1,320.9 份
分享
84.6¢
→
95¢
$1,117.06
$1,320.92
$1,254.87
+$137.82
(+12.3%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
No 95.0¢
1,272.4 份
分享
84.5¢
→
95.0¢
$1,075.08
$1,272.41
$1,209.43
+$134.34
(+12.5%)
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 65.5¢
1,845.6 份
分享
56.9¢
→
65.5¢
$1,049.83
$1,845.64
$1,208.89
+$159.06
(+15.2%)
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
No 97.0¢
1,237.5 份
分享
80.6¢
→
97.0¢
$997.99
$1,237.5
$1,200.99
+$203.01
(+20.3%)
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?
Yes 24.5¢
4,806.3 份
分享
24.8¢
→
24.5¢
$1,191.16
$4,806.33
$1,177.55
−$13.61
(-1.1%)
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Yes 12.3¢
8,842.5 份
分享
5.6¢
→
12.3¢
$492.35
$8,842.54
$1,087.63
+$595.28
(+120.9%)
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 64.5¢
1,682 份
分享
50.4¢
→
64.5¢
$848.54
$1,681.98
$1,084.88
+$236.33
(+27.9%)
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Yes 21.1¢
4,930.5 份
分享
12.3¢
→
21.1¢
$605.67
$4,930.54
$1,042.81
+$437.14
(+72.2%)
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
Yes 30.5¢
3,403 份
分享
17.0¢
→
30.5¢
$578.91
$3,403
$1,037.92
+$459
(+79.3%)
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Yes 71.9¢
1,384.4 份
分享
75.2¢
→
71.9¢
$1,041.27
$1,384.43
$994.71
−$46.56
(-4.5%)
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
No 97.9¢
1,014.8 份
分享
79.9¢
→
97.9¢
$810.72
$1,014.75
$993.44
+$182.72
(+22.5%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Yes 65¢
1,450 份
分享
60.7¢
→
65¢
$879.77
$1,449.96
$942.47
+$62.71
(+7.1%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 28.5¢
3,290.4 份
分享
29.8¢
→
28.5¢
$982.19
$3,290.38
$937.76
−$44.43
(-4.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 86¢
1,076.9 份
分享
79.9¢
→
86¢
$860.51
$1,076.91
$926.14
+$65.63
(+7.6%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Yes 61¢
1,513.3 份
分享
47.9¢
→
61¢
$724.98
$1,513.31
$923.12
+$198.14
(+27.3%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 83.5¢
1,093.2 份
分享
64.3¢
→
83.5¢
$703.05
$1,093.24
$912.86
+$209.81
(+29.8%)
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Yes 72.5¢
1,237.7 份
分享
21.0¢
→
72.5¢
$260.25
$1,237.73
$897.97
+$637.72
(+245.0%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 88.5¢
1,010.2 份
分享
82.4¢
→
88.5¢
$832.15
$1,010.21
$894.04
+$61.89
(+7.4%)
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?
No 98.9¢
900 份
分享
90.2¢
→
98.9¢
$811.58
$900
$889.65
+$78.08
(+9.6%)
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
No 95¢
932.3 份
分享
87.9¢
→
95¢
$819.98
$932.32
$885.7
+$65.72
(+8.0%)
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 97.2¢
900.4 份
分享
93.4¢
→
97.2¢
$840.84
$900.44
$874.78
+$33.95
(+4.0%)
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Yes 99.9¢
850.1 份
分享
63.7¢
→
99.9¢
$541.41
$850.12
$849.27
+$307.86
(+56.9%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 23.9¢
3,470 份
分享
3.2¢
→
23.9¢
$109.69
$3,470.02
$829.34
+$719.64
(+656.1%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 39.6¢
2,032.4 份
分享
20.1¢
→
39.6¢
$408.46
$2,032.35
$805.83
+$397.36
(+97.3%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 96.0¢
834.9 份
分享
71¢
→
96.0¢
$592.76
$834.87
$801.89
+$209.13
(+35.3%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
No 77.5¢
998.3 份
分享
74.0¢
→
77.5¢
$738.74
$998.3
$773.68
+$34.94
(+4.7%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?
No 94.5¢
802.9 份
分享
84.9¢
→
94.5¢
$681.49
$802.89
$758.73
+$77.25
(+11.3%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 13.3¢
5,630 份
分享
10.1¢
→
13.3¢
$568.48
$5,630.01
$745.98
+$177.49
(+31.2%)
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
No 84¢
866.7 份
分享
52.5¢
→
84¢
$455.43
$866.65
$727.99
+$272.56
(+59.8%)
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
No 96.1¢
755.9 份
分享
81.2¢
→
96.1¢
$614.05
$755.94
$726.46
+$112.41
(+18.3%)
Will the Republicans win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?
Yes 100.0¢
676.6 份
分享
70¢
→
100.0¢
$473.6
$676.57
$676.23
+$202.63
(+42.8%)
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
No 74.5¢
906.4 份
分享
78¢
→
74.5¢
$706.99
$906.4
$675.27
−$31.72
(-4.5%)
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
No 97.3¢
685.2 份
分享
87.2¢
→
97.3¢
$597.42
$685.22
$666.72
+$69.3
(+11.6%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?
Yes 59.5¢
1,112.5 份
分享
67¢
→
59.5¢
$745.35
$1,112.47
$661.92
−$83.44
(-11.2%)
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
No 94.5¢
689.3 份
分享
88¢
→
94.5¢
$606.59
$689.31
$651.4
+$44.81
(+7.4%)
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No 84.5¢
758.5 份
分享
71¢
→
84.5¢
$538.54
$758.5
$640.93
+$102.4
(+19.0%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 8.9¢
6,739.6 份
分享
4.8¢
→
8.9¢
$323.34
$6,739.56
$599.82
+$276.48
(+85.5%)
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Yes 27¢
2,176.6 份
分享
19.8¢
→
27¢
$431.95
$2,176.55
$587.67
+$155.72
(+36.1%)
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
No 79.5¢
724.7 份
分享
71.0¢
→
79.5¢
$514.24
$724.65
$576.1
+$61.86
(+12.0%)
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
No 86.1¢
655.9 份
分享
74.7¢
→
86.1¢
$490.08
$655.85
$564.36
+$74.28
(+15.2%)
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 97.9¢
575.5 份
分享
74.5¢
→
97.9¢
$428.8
$575.46
$563.08
+$134.28
(+31.3%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 21.4¢
2,517.3 份
分享
17.5¢
→
21.4¢
$440.61
$2,517.3
$539.96
+$99.35
(+22.5%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No 97.8¢
545 份
分享
94.1¢
→
97.8¢
$512.8
$544.95
$532.69
+$19.89
(+3.9%)
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No 79¢
662.9 份
分享
75¢
→
79¢
$497.15
$662.87
$523.67
+$26.51
(+5.3%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes 53¢
974 份
分享
41.9¢
→
53¢
$407.7
$973.97
$516.21
+$108.51
(+26.6%)
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
Yes 100.0¢
505.9 份
分享
83.1¢
→
100.0¢
$420.39
$505.89
$505.64
+$85.24
(+20.3%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
No 97.2¢
519.5 份
分享
88.0¢
→
97.2¢
$457.14
$519.48
$504.68
+$47.53
(+10.4%)
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No 97.7¢
515.3 份
分享
89.9¢
→
97.7¢
$463.42
$515.32
$503.21
+$39.79
(+8.6%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 11.5¢
4,248.7 份
分享
0.8¢
→
11.5¢
$33.19
$4,248.73
$488.6
+$455.41
(+1372.1%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes 42¢
1,154.4 份
分享
19.2¢
→
42¢
$221.59
$1,154.43
$484.86
+$263.27
(+118.8%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 92.5¢
521.4 份
分享
85.0¢
→
92.5¢
$443.22
$521.44
$482.33
+$39.11
(+8.8%)
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
No 96.0¢
488.3 份
分享
89¢
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96.0¢
$434.56
$488.27
$468.98
+$34.42
(+7.9%)
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Yes 13.2¢
3,477.7 份
分享
4.7¢
→
13.2¢
$162.99
$3,477.66
$459.05
+$296.06
(+181.6%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?
No 99.5¢
450.9 份
分享
63.7¢
→
99.5¢
$287.36
$450.92
$448.44
+$161.08
(+56.1%)
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Yes 84.5¢
526.3 份
分享
52.9¢
→
84.5¢
$278.51
$526.34
$444.76
+$166.25
(+59.7%)
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?
No 98.3¢
448.2 份
分享
95¢
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98.3¢
$425.82
$448.23
$440.61
+$14.79
(+3.5%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
Yes 8.5¢
5,067.2 份
分享
23.9¢
→
8.5¢
$1,213.16
$5,067.18
$430.71
−$782.45
(-64.5%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes 23.6¢
1,760 份
分享
54.9¢
→
23.6¢
$967.04
$1,759.99
$415.36
−$551.68
(-57.0%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
No 88.9¢
460.5 份
分享
80.9¢
→
88.9¢
$372.62
$460.52
$409.4
+$36.78
(+9.9%)
US recession by end of 2026?
No 94.5¢
411.8 份
分享
83.1¢
→
94.5¢
$342.2
$411.76
$389.11
+$46.91
(+13.7%)
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