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2024年11月 加入
曬單卡片
日曆
複製地址
分享個人資料
Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
總收益
$36,206.56
1天
$825.27
7天
$1,538.63
30天
$7,572.97
90天
$2.29萬
總交易量
$126.14萬
預測次數
10,417
持倉價值
$2.41萬
盈虧走勢
歷史盈虧走勢
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
−$2.89萬
LP 獎勵
+$6.35萬
Maker 返利
+$1,531.67
持倉獎勵
+$0.61
Taker 返利
+$86.17
持倉
活動
評論
當前
已平倉
市場
平均 → 當前
成交額
獲勝可得
價值
分享
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-11 House election by 6%-9%?
Yes 95¢
135 份
分享
22¢
→
95¢
$29.7
$135
$128.25
+$98.55
(+331.8%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No 91.5¢
135 份
分享
86¢
→
91.5¢
$116.1
$135
$123.53
+$7.43
(+6.4%)
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?
No 99.7¢
120 份
分享
25¢
→
99.7¢
$30
$120
$119.64
+$89.64
(+298.8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%?
No 97.4¢
97.2 份
分享
78¢
→
97.4¢
$75.78
$97.16
$94.59
+$18.8
(+24.8%)
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
No 73.5¢
120 份
分享
74¢
→
73.5¢
$88.8
$120
$88.2
−$0.6
(-0.7%)
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 86.5¢
100.9 份
分享
83.0¢
→
86.5¢
$83.81
$100.94
$87.31
+$3.51
(+4.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?
Yes 97¢
90 份
分享
32¢
→
97¢
$28.8
$90
$87.3
+$58.5
(+203.1%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Yes 71¢
120 份
分享
75¢
→
71¢
$90
$120
$85.2
−$4.8
(-5.3%)
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?
No 70.5¢
120 份
分享
71¢
→
70.5¢
$85.2
$120
$84.6
−$0.6
(-0.7%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
No 62.5¢
135 份
分享
62¢
→
62.5¢
$83.7
$135
$84.38
+$0.68
(+0.8%)
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 84¢
100 份
分享
85¢
→
84¢
$85
$100
$84
−$1
(-1.2%)
Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?
No 69.1¢
120 份
分享
74¢
→
69.1¢
$88.8
$120
$82.92
−$5.88
(-6.6%)
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?
No 89.1¢
92 份
分享
61¢
→
89.1¢
$56.12
$92
$82.02
+$25.9
(+46.1%)
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?
No 68¢
120 份
分享
69.0¢
→
68¢
$82.8
$120.01
$81.6
−$1.2
(-1.4%)
Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 60¢
135 份
分享
88¢
→
60¢
$118.8
$135
$81
−$37.8
(-31.8%)
Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?
Yes 65.5¢
120 份
分享
23¢
→
65.5¢
$27.6
$120
$78.6
+$51
(+184.8%)
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?
No 90¢
86 份
分享
79¢
→
90¢
$67.92
$85.98
$77.38
+$9.46
(+13.9%)
Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes 57.0¢
135 份
分享
78¢
→
57.0¢
$105.3
$135
$76.95
−$28.35
(-26.9%)
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?
No 98.7¢
77.8 份
分享
85.8¢
→
98.7¢
$66.8
$77.81
$76.76
+$9.96
(+14.9%)
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Yes 56.0¢
135 份
分享
53¢
→
56.0¢
$71.55
$135
$75.67
+$4.12
(+5.8%)
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?
No 63¢
120 份
分享
62¢
→
63¢
$74.4
$120
$75.6
+$1.2
(+1.6%)
Will Virginie Efira be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 55.5¢
135 份
分享
57.0¢
→
55.5¢
$76.95
$135
$74.93
−$2.03
(-2.6%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-06 House election by 5%-10%?
Yes 82.5¢
88.3 份
分享
33¢
→
82.5¢
$29.15
$88.34
$72.88
+$43.73
(+150.0%)
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 53.5¢
132.5 份
分享
51.2¢
→
53.5¢
$67.9
$132.5
$70.89
+$2.99
(+4.4%)
Will Tunisia win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group H?
No 54¢
131 份
分享
33¢
→
54¢
$43.23
$131
$70.74
+$27.51
(+63.6%)
Will "Minotaur" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 52¢
135 份
分享
53¢
→
52¢
$71.55
$135
$70.2
−$1.35
(-1.9%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?
Yes 94.5¢
74 份
分享
17¢
→
94.5¢
$12.58
$74
$69.93
+$57.35
(+455.9%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 60% or more?
Yes 51.6¢
135 份
分享
20¢
→
51.6¢
$27
$135
$69.73
+$42.73
(+158.3%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?
No 42.5¢
162.4 份
分享
41.8¢
→
42.5¢
$67.96
$162.41
$69.02
+$1.07
(+1.6%)
Will "The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 69¢
100 份
分享
73¢
→
69¢
$73
$100
$69
−$4
(-5.5%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?
Yes 69.0¢
100 份
分享
33¢
→
69.0¢
$33
$100
$68.95
+$35.95
(+108.9%)
Will Eric Oncins qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?
No 68.5¢
100 份
分享
83¢
→
68.5¢
$83
$100
$68.5
−$14.5
(-17.5%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-03 House election by 50%-55%?
Yes 57.0¢
120 份
分享
32¢
→
57.0¢
$38.4
$120
$68.4
+$30
(+78.1%)
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 55.5¢
120 份
分享
60¢
→
55.5¢
$72
$120
$66.6
−$5.4
(-7.5%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?
Yes 49.1¢
135 份
分享
32¢
→
49.1¢
$43.2
$135
$66.29
+$23.09
(+53.4%)
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of November 2026?
No 55.0¢
120 份
分享
59¢
→
55.0¢
$70.8
$120
$66
−$4.8
(-6.8%)
Will the Democrats win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election?
No 77.5¢
85 份
分享
82¢
→
77.5¢
$69.69
$84.99
$65.87
−$3.82
(-5.5%)
Will "How to Write a Song About You" from Power Ballad be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 48.5¢
135 份
分享
74¢
→
48.5¢
$99.9
$135
$65.48
−$34.43
(-34.5%)
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
No 65¢
100 份
分享
77¢
→
65¢
$77
$100
$65
−$12
(-15.6%)
Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?
No 47.5¢
135 份
分享
56.0¢
→
47.5¢
$75.6
$135
$64.13
−$11.48
(-15.2%)
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?
Yes 71.5¢
89.5 份
分享
73¢
→
71.5¢
$65.36
$89.54
$64.02
−$1.34
(-2.1%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-32 House election by 3%-6%?
Yes 46.9¢
135 份
分享
18¢
→
46.9¢
$24.3
$135
$63.25
+$38.95
(+160.3%)
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election?
No 46.5¢
135 份
分享
60¢
→
46.5¢
$81
$135
$62.78
−$18.23
(-22.5%)
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
No 50.5¢
123.8 份
分享
46¢
→
50.5¢
$56.94
$123.79
$62.51
+$5.57
(+9.8%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
No 52¢
120 份
分享
55.0¢
→
52¢
$66
$120
$62.4
−$3.6
(-5.5%)
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
No 50.5¢
122.5 份
分享
40.7¢
→
50.5¢
$49.85
$122.5
$61.86
+$12.01
(+24.1%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election by 5%-10%?
Yes 51.5¢
120 份
分享
30¢
→
51.5¢
$36
$120
$61.8
+$25.8
(+71.7%)
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?
No 45.5¢
135 份
分享
50¢
→
45.5¢
$67.5
$135
$61.43
−$6.08
(-9.0%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 45.5¢
135 份
分享
44¢
→
45.5¢
$59.4
$135
$61.43
+$2.03
(+3.4%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-08 House election by 10%-15%?
Yes 82.5¢
74 份
分享
27¢
→
82.5¢
$19.98
$74
$61.05
+$41.07
(+205.6%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Yes 63.5¢
95 份
分享
65¢
→
63.5¢
$61.75
$95
$60.33
−$1.43
(-2.3%)
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
No 50¢
120 份
分享
55.0¢
→
50¢
$66
$120
$60
−$6
(-9.1%)
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by December 31?
Yes 60¢
100 份
分享
66¢
→
60¢
$66
$100
$60
−$6
(-9.1%)
Will Jynxzi win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?
No 45¢
133 份
分享
49¢
→
45¢
$65.15
$132.96
$59.83
−$5.32
(-8.2%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
No 91.5¢
65 份
分享
81¢
→
91.5¢
$52.65
$65
$59.48
+$6.83
(+13.0%)
Will Caliste have the most kills at Worlds 2026?
Yes 49.5¢
120 份
分享
51¢
→
49.5¢
$61.2
$120
$59.4
−$1.8
(-2.9%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?
Yes 61¢
97.2 份
分享
34¢
→
61¢
$33.05
$97.21
$59.3
+$26.25
(+79.4%)
Will Burkina Faso win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group F?
No 49.5¢
119.5 份
分享
43¢
→
49.5¢
$51.37
$119.46
$59.13
+$7.76
(+15.1%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000?
Yes 58.5¢
100 份
分享
32¢
→
58.5¢
$32
$100
$58.5
+$26.5
(+82.8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-12 House election by 60%-65%?
No 48.6¢
120 份
分享
76¢
→
48.6¢
$91.2
$120
$58.38
−$32.82
(-36.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 50%-55%?
No 96.9¢
59.7 份
分享
69¢
→
96.9¢
$41.22
$59.74
$57.86
+$16.64
(+40.4%)
Will Harry Kane (Bayern Munich) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?
No 48¢
120 份
分享
56.0¢
→
48¢
$67.2
$120
$57.6
−$9.6
(-14.3%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-24 House election by 55% or more?
Yes 99.3¢
57.5 份
分享
18¢
→
99.3¢
$10.34
$57.47
$57.06
+$46.72
(+451.7%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-05 House election by 40%-45%?
Yes 50¢
114 份
分享
33¢
→
50¢
$37.62
$114
$57
+$19.38
(+51.5%)
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 87.5¢
65 份
分享
86.0¢
→
87.5¢
$55.92
$65.02
$56.89
+$0.98
(+1.7%)
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?
No 81¢
70 份
分享
64¢
→
81¢
$44.8
$70
$56.7
+$11.9
(+26.6%)
Will Cigna (CI) beat quarterly earnings?
No 51¢
111 份
分享
59¢
→
51¢
$65.49
$111
$56.61
−$8.88
(-13.6%)
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
No 56.5¢
100 份
分享
61¢
→
56.5¢
$61
$100
$56.5
−$4.5
(-7.4%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-04 House election by 45%-50%?
No 79.7¢
70.8 份
分享
82¢
→
79.7¢
$58.08
$70.83
$56.42
−$1.66
(-2.9%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 5%-10%?
Yes 56.0¢
100 份
分享
28.0¢
→
56.0¢
$28
$100
$56
+$28
(+100.0%)
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting?
Yes 46¢
120 份
分享
59¢
→
46¢
$70.8
$120
$55.2
−$15.6
(-22.0%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-09 House election by 30%-35%?
Yes 45.6¢
120 份
分享
24¢
→
45.6¢
$28.8
$120
$54.66
+$25.86
(+89.8%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 45.5¢
120 份
分享
45¢
→
45.5¢
$54
$120
$54.6
+$0.6
(+1.1%)
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or above $50 in 2026?
Yes 53.5¢
100 份
分享
43¢
→
53.5¢
$43
$100
$53.5
+$10.5
(+24.4%)
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by December 31, 2026?
No 44.5¢
120 份
分享
63¢
→
44.5¢
$75.6
$120
$53.4
−$22.2
(-29.4%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 3%-6%?
Yes 39.5¢
135 份
分享
18¢
→
39.5¢
$24.3
$135
$53.33
+$29.03
(+119.4%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
No 39.5¢
134.6 份
分享
43¢
→
39.5¢
$57.88
$134.59
$53.16
−$4.71
(-8.1%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-01 House election by 6%-9%?
No 54¢
98 份
分享
78¢
→
54¢
$76.44
$98
$52.92
−$23.52
(-30.8%)
Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?
Yes 44¢
120 份
分享
49¢
→
44¢
$58.8
$120
$52.8
−$6
(-10.2%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-14 House election by 15%-20%?
No 43.9¢
120 份
分享
76¢
→
43.9¢
$91.2
$120
$52.68
−$38.52
(-42.2%)
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
No 83.5¢
63 份
分享
83¢
→
83.5¢
$52.29
$63
$52.64
+$0.35
(+0.7%)
Will Nick Suzuki record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?
No 87.5¢
60 份
分享
67¢
→
87.5¢
$40.2
$60
$52.5
+$12.3
(+30.6%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-07 House election by 30%-35%?
Yes 42¢
125 份
分享
27¢
→
42¢
$33.75
$125
$52.5
+$18.75
(+55.6%)
Will Kate O'Flynn be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 43.5¢
120 份
分享
43¢
→
43.5¢
$51.6
$120
$52.2
+$0.6
(+1.2%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-11 House election by 65%-70%?
Yes 52¢
100 份
分享
33¢
→
52¢
$33
$100
$52
+$19
(+57.6%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 40%-45%?
Yes 41.5¢
125 份
分享
34¢
→
41.5¢
$42.5
$125
$51.94
+$9.44
(+22.2%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-08 House election by 12% or more?
Yes 38.5¢
135 份
分享
23¢
→
38.5¢
$31.05
$135
$51.91
+$20.86
(+67.2%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NV-01 House election by 5%-10%?
Yes 43¢
120 份
分享
22¢
→
43¢
$26.4
$120
$51.6
+$25.2
(+95.5%)
Will Mexico win the 2027 Concacaf Gold Cup?
Yes 43.5¢
118 份
分享
43¢
→
43.5¢
$50.74
$118
$51.33
+$0.59
(+1.2%)
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?
Yes 85.8¢
59.8 份
分享
77¢
→
85.8¢
$46.05
$59.81
$51.29
+$5.23
(+11.4%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-08 House election by 55%-60%?
Yes 41¢
125 份
分享
31¢
→
41¢
$38.75
$125
$51.25
+$12.5
(+32.3%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-02 House election by 20%-25%?
Yes 44.5¢
114 份
分享
31¢
→
44.5¢
$35.34
$114
$50.73
+$15.39
(+43.5%)
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?
Yes 50¢
100 份
分享
65¢
→
50¢
$65
$100
$50
−$15
(-23.1%)
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by January 31, 2027?
No 37¢
135 份
分享
46¢
→
37¢
$62.1
$135
$49.95
−$12.15
(-19.6%)
Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?
No 67.5¢
73.4 份
分享
69¢
→
67.5¢
$50.66
$73.42
$49.56
−$1.1
(-2.2%)
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?
Yes 41¢
120 份
分享
55.0¢
→
41¢
$66
$120
$49.2
−$16.8
(-25.5%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 12%-15%?
Yes 41¢
120 份
分享
14.0¢
→
41¢
$16.8
$120
$49.2
+$32.4
(+192.9%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?
Yes 40.9¢
120 份
分享
12¢
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$120
$49.08
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Government shutdown by December 12?
Yes 36¢
135 份
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34¢
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36¢
$45.9
$135
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Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?
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120 份
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40.5¢
$72
$120
$48.6
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