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WarriorH
2026年6月 加入
曬單卡片
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分享個人資料
Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
總收益
$231,510.25
1天
−$13.36萬
7天
−$2.76萬
30天
$2.54萬
90天
$23.18萬
總交易量
$2504.25萬
預測次數
15,158
持倉價值
$7,873.69
盈虧走勢
歷史盈虧走勢
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
+$9.92萬
LP 獎勵
+$14.88萬
Maker 返利
+$1.28萬
持倉獎勵
+$3.95
Taker 返利
+$5,902.78
費用
−$3.52萬
排名概覽
綜合
#678
共 330.2萬 個錢包
交易量
#1,332
共 330.2萬 個錢包
利潤
#1,333
共 330.2萬 個錢包
LP 獎勵
#33
共 18.9萬 個獲獎地址
Maker 返利
#650
共 16.1萬 個獲獎地址
Taker 返利
#579
共 7.2萬 個獲獎地址
持倉獎勵
#20,606
共 35.2萬 個獲獎地址
已付費用
#874
共 153.5萬 個付費地址
持倉
活動
評論
當前
已平倉
市場
平均 → 當前
成交額
獲勝可得
價值
分享
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 86.4¢
1,041 份
分享
81.8¢
→
86.4¢
$851.56
$1,040.99
$898.89
+$47.34
(+5.6%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 96.8¢
829.4 份
分享
96.8¢
→
96.8¢
$802.85
$829.39
$802.44
−$0.41
(-0.1%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
No 64¢
602.4 份
分享
66.0¢
→
64¢
$397.57
$602.38
$385.52
−$12.05
(-3.0%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
No 88.5¢
378 份
分享
90.0¢
→
88.5¢
$340.19
$377.99
$334.52
−$5.67
(-1.7%)
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
No 81.5¢
366 份
分享
84.0¢
→
81.5¢
$307.44
$366
$298.29
−$9.15
(-3.0%)
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
No 24.5¢
712 份
分享
38¢
→
24.5¢
$270.56
$712
$174.44
−$96.12
(-35.5%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
No 92.5¢
182.9 份
分享
92.0¢
→
92.5¢
$168.3
$182.93
$169.21
+$0.91
(+0.5%)
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 64¢
224 份
分享
66.9¢
→
64¢
$149.93
$224.01
$143.37
−$6.56
(-4.4%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 13.7¢
1,041 份
分享
18.4¢
→
13.7¢
$191.54
$1,041.01
$142.1
−$49.45
(-25.8%)
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?
No 80.2¢
166 份
分享
90.4¢
→
80.2¢
$150.06
$166
$133.13
−$16.93
(-11.3%)
Will "Werwulf" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 74¢
165 份
分享
88¢
→
74¢
$145.21
$165.01
$122.1
−$23.1
(-15.9%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No 22.5¢
524.7 份
分享
24.0¢
→
22.5¢
$125.93
$524.71
$118.06
−$7.87
(-6.3%)
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?
No 44.1¢
245 份
分享
73.2¢
→
44.1¢
$179.34
$245
$108.17
−$71.17
(-39.7%)
Will Ty Jerome win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player?
No 48.9¢
173 份
分享
67.8¢
→
48.9¢
$117.28
$172.98
$84.67
−$32.61
(-27.8%)
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 36¢
224 份
分享
34.0¢
→
36¢
$76.16
$224
$80.64
+$4.48
(+5.9%)
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026?
No 58.0¢
135 份
分享
78¢
→
58.0¢
$105.3
$135
$78.3
−$27
(-25.6%)
Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?
Yes 87.2¢
82 份
分享
94.2¢
→
87.2¢
$77.24
$82
$71.46
−$5.78
(-7.5%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Yes 10.5¢
595 份
分享
12¢
→
10.5¢
$71.4
$595.01
$62.48
−$8.93
(-12.5%)
Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?
No 57.5¢
107 份
分享
68¢
→
57.5¢
$72.76
$107
$61.53
−$11.24
(-15.4%)
Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31?
No 48.3¢
126 份
分享
63¢
→
48.3¢
$79.38
$126
$60.86
−$18.52
(-23.3%)
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
No 55.5¢
101 份
分享
83¢
→
55.5¢
$83.83
$101
$56.06
−$27.78
(-33.1%)
Will Anthropic IPO on November 19, 2026?
No 80.5¢
69 份
分享
83¢
→
80.5¢
$57.27
$69
$55.55
−$1.73
(-3.0%)
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
Yes 57.3¢
96 份
分享
68¢
→
57.3¢
$65.28
$96
$54.96
−$10.32
(-15.8%)
Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 55% by December 31?
No 93¢
59 份
分享
95¢
→
93¢
$56.05
$59
$54.87
−$1.18
(-2.1%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
Yes 7.5¢
706 份
分享
8.0¢
→
7.5¢
$56.48
$706.01
$52.95
−$3.53
(-6.3%)
Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?
No 66¢
79 份
分享
79¢
→
66¢
$62.41
$79
$52.14
−$10.27
(-16.5%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?
Yes 99.5¢
50 份
分享
38.0¢
→
99.5¢
$19
$50
$49.75
+$30.75
(+161.8%)
Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?
No 50.5¢
98.1 份
分享
75¢
→
50.5¢
$73.57
$98.1
$49.54
−$24.03
(-32.7%)
Will "Forgotten Island" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 26.5¢
175 份
分享
50¢
→
26.5¢
$87.5
$175
$46.38
−$41.13
(-47.0%)
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
No 27¢
164 份
分享
33¢
→
27¢
$54.12
$164
$44.28
−$9.84
(-18.2%)
Will "Runway" from The Devil Wears Prada 2 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 21¢
194 份
分享
36¢
→
21¢
$69.84
$194.01
$40.74
−$29.1
(-41.7%)
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be between -0.2% and -0.1%?
Yes 43¢
92 份
分享
52¢
→
43¢
$47.84
$92
$39.56
−$8.28
(-17.3%)
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?
No 22.1¢
179.1 份
分享
35.2¢
→
22.1¢
$63.09
$179.08
$39.49
−$23.61
(-37.4%)
Will the Democrats win Georgia in the 2028 Presidential Election?
No 34.5¢
113 份
分享
43.3¢
→
34.5¢
$48.93
$113
$38.99
−$9.94
(-20.3%)
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?
No 75.5¢
51 份
分享
88¢
→
75.5¢
$44.88
$51
$38.51
−$6.38
(-14.2%)
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No 49¢
78 份
分享
73¢
→
49¢
$56.94
$78
$38.22
−$18.72
(-32.9%)
Will "Tutu" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 80.5¢
46.7 份
分享
87¢
→
80.5¢
$40.59
$46.65
$37.55
−$3.03
(-7.5%)
Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 45.5¢
80 份
分享
87¢
→
45.5¢
$69.6
$80
$36.4
−$33.2
(-47.7%)
Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?
No 24.5¢
148 份
分享
47¢
→
24.5¢
$69.56
$148
$36.26
−$33.3
(-47.9%)
Will Natalia Silva fight Alexa Grasso next?
No 17.5¢
200 份
分享
37¢
→
17.5¢
$74
$200
$35
−$39
(-52.7%)
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?
No 60¢
58 份
分享
69.1¢
→
60¢
$40.1
$58
$34.8
−$5.3
(-13.2%)
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election?
No 46.5¢
71 份
分享
71¢
→
46.5¢
$50.41
$71
$33.02
−$17.4
(-34.5%)
Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
No 34¢
96 份
分享
65.0¢
→
34¢
$62.41
$96.01
$32.64
−$29.76
(-47.7%)
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
Yes 48.5¢
67 份
分享
5.0¢
→
48.5¢
$3.35
$67.01
$32.5
+$29.15
(+870.0%)
Will Together be in the next Israeli government?
No 31¢
104 份
分享
50¢
→
31¢
$52
$104
$32.24
−$19.76
(-38.0%)
Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the December meeting?
Yes 63.5¢
50 份
分享
62¢
→
63.5¢
$31
$50
$31.75
+$0.75
(+2.4%)
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?
No 69.0¢
44 份
分享
78.8¢
→
69.0¢
$34.67
$44
$30.38
−$4.29
(-12.4%)
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the March meeting?
No 42¢
71 份
分享
57.0¢
→
42¢
$40.47
$71
$29.82
−$10.65
(-26.3%)
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?
Yes 30.5¢
97 份
分享
50.0¢
→
30.5¢
$48.5
$97
$29.59
−$18.92
(-39.0%)
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?
No 64¢
45 份
分享
79¢
→
64¢
$35.56
$45.01
$28.8
−$6.75
(-19.0%)
Israel military action against Syria by December 31, 2026?
Yes 24¢
118 份
分享
53¢
→
24¢
$62.54
$118
$28.32
−$34.22
(-54.7%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
No 52¢
54 份
分享
63¢
→
52¢
$34.02
$53.99
$28.08
−$5.94
(-17.5%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 3.3¢
829.4 份
分享
3.1¢
→
3.3¢
$25.93
$829.38
$26.95
+$1.02
(+3.9%)
Will Troy Jackson run ahead of Hannah Pingree?
No 65¢
41 份
分享
76¢
→
65¢
$31.16
$41
$26.65
−$4.51
(-14.5%)
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
No 63¢
41 份
分享
72.0¢
→
63¢
$29.52
$41.01
$25.83
−$3.69
(-12.5%)
Will ERC win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Yes 7.8¢
329 份
分享
26.9¢
→
7.8¢
$88.52
$329
$25.66
−$62.86
(-71.0%)
Will Paul Franklin (steel guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
No 47¢
53.1 份
分享
68¢
→
47¢
$36.09
$53.08
$24.95
−$11.15
(-30.9%)
Will "Backrooms" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 17.5¢
142 份
分享
31¢
→
17.5¢
$44.02
$142
$24.85
−$19.17
(-43.5%)
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Yes 20.5¢
120 份
分享
33.6¢
→
20.5¢
$40.32
$120.01
$24.6
−$15.72
(-39.0%)
Will the Democrats win Maine in the 2028 Presidential Election?
Yes 67¢
36 份
分享
70¢
→
67¢
$25.2
$36
$24.12
−$1.08
(-4.3%)
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by January 31, 2027?
No 34.5¢
66 份
分享
46¢
→
34.5¢
$30.36
$66
$22.77
−$7.59
(-25.0%)
Will Philippines win Eurovision Asia 2026?
No 75.5¢
30 份
分享
91¢
→
75.5¢
$27.3
$30
$22.65
−$4.65
(-17.0%)
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?
No 34.5¢
63 份
分享
44.6¢
→
34.5¢
$28.09
$63
$21.74
−$6.35
(-22.6%)
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and Israel and Hamas not agree to ceasefire Phase II by the end of 2027?
No 20.7¢
102.5 份
分享
44.8¢
→
20.7¢
$45.93
$102.52
$21.22
−$24.71
(-53.8%)
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.75% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Yes 27.5¢
77 份
分享
48¢
→
27.5¢
$36.96
$77
$21.18
−$15.79
(-42.7%)
Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Paulo Costa next?
No 68¢
31 份
分享
81¢
→
68¢
$25.11
$31
$21.08
−$4.03
(-16.0%)
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on November 5?
No 30.5¢
66 份
分享
54¢
→
30.5¢
$35.64
$66
$20.13
−$15.51
(-43.5%)
Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 97?
No 43.5¢
46 份
分享
64¢
→
43.5¢
$29.44
$46
$20.01
−$9.43
(-32.0%)
Will "Sense and Sensibility" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 6.5¢
301 份
分享
25¢
→
6.5¢
$75.25
$301
$19.57
−$55.69
(-74.0%)
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
No 38.8¢
50 份
分享
64.2¢
→
38.8¢
$32.1
$50
$19.4
−$12.7
(-39.6%)
Will Chris Godwin have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No 84.3¢
23 份
分享
94.9¢
→
84.3¢
$21.83
$23
$19.39
−$2.44
(-11.2%)
Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the December meeting?
No 36.5¢
50 份
分享
39¢
→
36.5¢
$19.5
$50
$18.25
−$1.25
(-6.4%)
Will Barcelona score the most goals in the UCL league phase?
Yes 12.5¢
145.8 份
分享
46¢
→
12.5¢
$67.05
$145.76
$18.22
−$48.83
(-72.8%)
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?
Yes 19.5¢
92.6 份
分享
35.0¢
→
19.5¢
$32.42
$92.62
$18.06
−$14.36
(-44.3%)
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Delcy Rodriguez by November 30, 2026?
No 57.5¢
31 份
分享
80¢
→
57.5¢
$24.8
$31
$17.83
−$6.98
(-28.1%)
Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?
No 69.5¢
25 份
分享
83¢
→
69.5¢
$20.75
$25
$17.38
−$3.38
(-16.3%)
Will PNV win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Yes 38.5¢
45 份
分享
20¢
→
38.5¢
$8.99
$44.95
$17.31
+$8.32
(+92.5%)
Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?
Yes 20.3¢
84 份
分享
44.9¢
→
20.3¢
$37.72
$84
$17.01
−$20.71
(-54.9%)
Will US births in 2026 be between 3.53 million and 3.56 million?
Yes 37.5¢
45 份
分享
44¢
→
37.5¢
$19.8
$45
$16.88
−$2.93
(-14.8%)
Will Cristiano Ronaldo join the Saudi Pro League next?
No 30.5¢
55 份
分享
84¢
→
30.5¢
$46.2
$55
$16.78
−$29.43
(-63.7%)
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?
No 42¢
39.8 份
分享
52¢
→
42¢
$20.7
$39.8
$16.72
−$3.98
(-19.2%)
US imports Russian diesel by January 31?
Yes 22¢
74.9 份
分享
62¢
→
22¢
$46.43
$74.88
$16.47
−$29.95
(-64.5%)
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 24¢
68 份
分享
29.0¢
→
24¢
$19.72
$68
$16.32
−$3.4
(-17.2%)
Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth 21% to 25%?
No 25¢
65 份
分享
40¢
→
25¢
$26
$65
$16.25
−$9.75
(-37.5%)
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by November 30, 2026?
Yes 34.5¢
47 份
分享
50¢
→
34.5¢
$23.5
$47
$16.22
−$7.29
(-31.0%)
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of January 2027?
No 79.5¢
20 份
分享
93¢
→
79.5¢
$18.6
$20
$15.9
−$2.7
(-14.5%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 15%-20%?
Yes 49¢
32 份
分享
31¢
→
49¢
$9.92
$32
$15.68
+$5.76
(+58.1%)
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
No 41.5¢
36.3 份
分享
43¢
→
41.5¢
$15.59
$36.26
$15.05
−$0.54
(-3.5%)
Will the ECB make no change to the deposit facility rate at the March meeting?
No 45.5¢
32 份
分享
64¢
→
45.5¢
$20.48
$32
$14.56
−$5.92
(-28.9%)
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?
No 57.0¢
25 份
分享
69¢
→
57.0¢
$17.25
$25
$14.25
−$3
(-17.4%)
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?
Yes 28.5¢
49.9 份
分享
37¢
→
28.5¢
$18.47
$49.93
$14.23
−$4.24
(-23.0%)
Will "The Man That I Wave At" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 5.5¢
252 份
分享
26¢
→
5.5¢
$65.52
$252
$13.86
−$51.66
(-78.8%)
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?
Yes 39.5¢
35 份
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53¢
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39.5¢
$18.55
$35
$13.83
−$4.73
(-25.5%)
Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?
Yes 44.5¢
31 份
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57.0¢
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44.5¢
$17.67
$31
$13.8
−$3.88
(-21.9%)
Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?
No 63.5¢
20 份
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78¢
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63.5¢
$15.6
$20
$12.7
−$2.9
(-18.6%)
Will AutoZone Q1 domestic same store sales growth be between 0.5% and 1.5%?
No 63.5¢
20 份
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74¢
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63.5¢
$14.8
$20
$12.7
−$2.1
(-14.2%)
Will The Tuners win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 63¢
20 份
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74.0¢
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63¢
$14.81
$20.01
$12.61
−$2.2
(-14.9%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-29 House election by 40%-45%?
No 63¢
20 份
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87¢
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63¢
$17.4
$20
$12.6
−$4.8
(-27.6%)
Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in March 2027 (ET)?
Yes 15.2¢
81.7 份
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29.3¢
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15.2¢
$23.94
$81.71
$12.42
−$11.52
(-48.1%)
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in efficiency (EFF) per game in 2026-27?
Yes 61.9¢
20 份
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42¢
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61.9¢
$8.4
$20
$12.38
+$3.98
(+47.4%)
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