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2024年11月 加入
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Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
总收益
$463,230.27
1天
−$1.41万
7天
$7,209.15
30天
$2.41万
90天
$17.2万
总成交量
$1.44亿
预测次数
106,226
持仓价值
$27.45万
盈亏走势
历史盈亏走势
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
−$46.28万
LP 奖励
+$85.67万
Maker 返利
+$6.86万
持仓奖励
+$635.76
Taker 返利
+$78.79
排名概览
综合
#352
共 330.2万 个钱包
成交量
#140
共 330.2万 个钱包
利润
#3,248,970
共 330.2万 个钱包
LP 奖励
#3
共 18.9万 个获奖地址
Maker 返利
#94
共 16.1万 个获奖地址
Taker 返利
#13,117
共 7.2万 个获奖地址
持仓奖励
#766
共 35.2万 个获奖地址
已付费用
#17,012
共 153.5万 个付费地址
持仓
活动
评论
当前
已平仓
市场
平均 → 当前
成交额
获胜可得
价值
分享
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 97.0¢
2,626.3 份
分享
97.6¢
→
97.0¢
$2,564.03
$2,626.34
$2,546.24
−$17.79
(-0.7%)
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
No 96.3¢
2,602.1 份
分享
97.5¢
→
96.3¢
$2,537.88
$2,602.11
$2,504.53
−$33.35
(-1.3%)
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Yes 99.9¢
2,282.7 份
分享
95.5¢
→
99.9¢
$2,180.18
$2,282.69
$2,279.26
+$99.08
(+4.5%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
No 64.5¢
3,530.6 份
分享
64.2¢
→
64.5¢
$2,267.16
$3,530.56
$2,277.21
+$10.05
(+0.4%)
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
No 77.5¢
2,862.9 份
分享
79.3¢
→
77.5¢
$2,269.6
$2,862.85
$2,218.71
−$50.89
(-2.2%)
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
No 98.0¢
1,989.6 份
分享
98.2¢
→
98.0¢
$1,953.83
$1,989.64
$1,948.85
−$4.97
(-0.3%)
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 69.3¢
2,642 份
分享
73.3¢
→
69.3¢
$1,935.69
$2,642
$1,832.22
−$103.47
(-5.3%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 86.4¢
1,984.8 份
分享
89.3¢
→
86.4¢
$1,772.25
$1,984.84
$1,713.91
−$58.34
(-3.3%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 82.3¢
1,944 份
分享
89.8¢
→
82.3¢
$1,746.87
$1,944
$1,598.94
−$147.93
(-8.5%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
No 79.5¢
1,928.6 份
分享
76.8¢
→
79.5¢
$1,480.98
$1,928.65
$1,533.28
+$52.29
(+3.5%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 31.3¢
4,789.7 份
分享
41.6¢
→
31.3¢
$1,992.76
$4,789.68
$1,496.77
−$495.99
(-24.9%)
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 92.5¢
1,599.9 份
分享
92.1¢
→
92.5¢
$1,473.54
$1,599.94
$1,479.94
+$6.4
(+0.4%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
No 78¢
1,887.4 份
分享
73.9¢
→
78¢
$1,395.46
$1,887.43
$1,472.19
+$76.73
(+5.5%)
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No 92.5¢
1,531.3 份
分享
92.9¢
→
92.5¢
$1,423.17
$1,531.32
$1,416.47
−$6.7
(-0.5%)
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
Yes 73¢
1,926.7 份
分享
52.0¢
→
73¢
$1,002.07
$1,926.69
$1,406.48
+$404.41
(+40.4%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?
Yes 94.5¢
1,339.5 份
分享
85.5¢
→
94.5¢
$1,145.62
$1,339.55
$1,265.87
+$120.26
(+10.5%)
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?
No 80.8¢
1,543.3 份
分享
82.0¢
→
80.8¢
$1,265.92
$1,543.3
$1,246.99
−$18.93
(-1.5%)
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
No 87.1¢
1,389 份
分享
90.4¢
→
87.1¢
$1,256.21
$1,388.98
$1,209.11
−$47.1
(-3.7%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 75.5¢
1,478.2 份
分享
85.0¢
→
75.5¢
$1,256.3
$1,478.2
$1,116.78
−$139.52
(-11.1%)
Israeli Knesset election annulled?
No 97.0¢
1,121.3 份
分享
96.6¢
→
97.0¢
$1,082.89
$1,121.28
$1,087.08
+$4.18
(+0.4%)
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes 77¢
1,397.7 份
分享
76.5¢
→
77¢
$1,068.89
$1,397.68
$1,076.21
+$7.32
(+0.7%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 86.5¢
1,177.7 份
分享
82.4¢
→
86.5¢
$970.19
$1,177.74
$1,018.74
+$48.55
(+5.0%)
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?
No 98.8¢
1,007.2 份
分享
78.3¢
→
98.8¢
$789.07
$1,007.18
$995.09
+$206.02
(+26.1%)
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes 99.5¢
998 份
分享
87.3¢
→
99.5¢
$871.27
$997.99
$993
+$121.73
(+14.0%)
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?
No 98.9¢
1,002.4 份
分享
90.0¢
→
98.9¢
$902.14
$1,002.38
$991.35
+$89.21
(+9.9%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?
Yes 95.9¢
1,000.8 份
分享
88.6¢
→
95.9¢
$886.88
$1,000.75
$959.72
+$72.85
(+8.2%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
No 74.5¢
1,248.1 份
分享
73.8¢
→
74.5¢
$921.16
$1,248.06
$929.8
+$8.64
(+0.9%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?
Yes 92.8¢
996.8 份
分享
37.0¢
→
92.8¢
$368.82
$996.83
$925.06
+$556.24
(+150.8%)
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
No 93.5¢
975.5 份
分享
93.0¢
→
93.5¢
$907.22
$975.5
$912.1
+$4.88
(+0.5%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-03 House election by 6% or more?
No 98.2¢
922.3 份
分享
88.0¢
→
98.2¢
$811.43
$922.3
$905.7
+$94.27
(+11.6%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?
No 99.7¢
863.3 份
分享
87.0¢
→
99.7¢
$751.27
$863.28
$860.69
+$109.42
(+14.6%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No 86.5¢
973.9 份
分享
69.8¢
→
86.5¢
$679.68
$973.95
$842.47
+$162.79
(+24.0%)
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
No 91.0¢
880.2 份
分享
94.3¢
→
91.0¢
$830.32
$880.22
$800.56
−$29.76
(-3.6%)
Anthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?
No 97.4¢
806 份
分享
98¢
→
97.4¢
$789.88
$806
$785.04
−$4.84
(-0.6%)
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
Yes 67.5¢
1,159 份
分享
66.6¢
→
67.5¢
$772.18
$1,159.03
$782.34
+$10.17
(+1.3%)
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?
No 96.7¢
806.3 份
分享
33.0¢
→
96.7¢
$266.46
$806.32
$779.31
+$512.84
(+192.5%)
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?
No 80.3¢
957.9 份
分享
82.6¢
→
80.3¢
$791.48
$957.92
$768.73
−$22.75
(-2.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Yes 99¢
767.2 份
分享
66.9¢
→
99¢
$513.15
$767.25
$759.58
+$246.43
(+48.0%)
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?
No 95.5¢
772.4 份
分享
96.1¢
→
95.5¢
$742.28
$772.4
$737.26
−$5.02
(-0.7%)
Will Olivia Rodrigo appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
No 94.0¢
780 份
分享
94.8¢
→
94.0¢
$739.74
$780
$732.81
−$6.93
(-0.9%)
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 63.5¢
1,148.1 份
分享
66.2¢
→
63.5¢
$759.72
$1,148.06
$729.02
−$30.7
(-4.0%)
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?
Yes 93.6¢
762 份
分享
94.4¢
→
93.6¢
$719.33
$762
$713.23
−$6.1
(-0.8%)
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Yes 45.5¢
1,538.2 份
分享
48.1¢
→
45.5¢
$740.16
$1,538.19
$699.88
−$40.28
(-5.4%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Yes 95.8¢
720 份
分享
89.8¢
→
95.8¢
$646.86
$720
$689.76
+$42.89
(+6.6%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 16.4¢
4,186.4 份
分享
12.5¢
→
16.4¢
$522.06
$4,186.42
$684.48
+$162.42
(+31.1%)
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 32.5¢
2,083.9 份
分享
36.4¢
→
32.5¢
$758.26
$2,083.92
$677.27
−$80.99
(-10.7%)
Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
No 85.5¢
790.7 份
分享
94.3¢
→
85.5¢
$745.64
$790.71
$675.66
−$69.98
(-9.4%)
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
No 98.0¢
685 份
分享
98.2¢
→
98.0¢
$672.64
$684.97
$670.93
−$1.71
(-0.3%)
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No 91.5¢
689.8 份
分享
91.0¢
→
91.5¢
$627.74
$689.83
$631.19
+$3.45
(+0.5%)
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
No 69.5¢
899.8 份
分享
72.9¢
→
69.5¢
$655.78
$899.79
$625.35
−$30.42
(-4.6%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?
No 94.5¢
654.4 份
分享
80.5¢
→
94.5¢
$526.97
$654.38
$618.72
+$91.75
(+17.4%)
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
No 77.5¢
791.8 份
分享
79.1¢
→
77.5¢
$626.5
$791.84
$613.68
−$12.83
(-2.0%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
No 78¢
770.8 份
分享
71.5¢
→
78¢
$551.55
$770.84
$601.25
+$49.7
(+9.0%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 53¢
1,122.2 份
分享
55.8¢
→
53¢
$626.48
$1,122.2
$594.76
−$31.71
(-5.1%)
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
No 66.5¢
892.6 份
分享
69.9¢
→
66.5¢
$623.79
$892.58
$593.57
−$30.22
(-4.8%)
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
No 69.5¢
838.1 份
分享
69.5¢
→
69.5¢
$582.91
$838.08
$582.47
−$0.44
(-0.1%)
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
No 99.4¢
584.2 份
分享
66.3¢
→
99.4¢
$387.28
$584.21
$580.41
+$193.14
(+49.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?
Yes 99.6¢
582 份
分享
83¢
→
99.6¢
$483.06
$582
$579.38
+$96.32
(+19.9%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,500,000 and 2,650,000?
No 82¢
694.9 份
分享
77.8¢
→
82¢
$540.76
$694.94
$569.85
+$29.09
(+5.4%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 40%-45%?
No 93.1¢
598.6 份
分享
78.4¢
→
93.1¢
$469.17
$598.58
$557.28
+$88.11
(+18.8%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 78.5¢
708.1 份
分享
73.2¢
→
78.5¢
$518.65
$708.14
$555.89
+$37.24
(+7.2%)
Will Brighton & Hove Albion win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?
No 62¢
893 份
分享
63¢
→
62¢
$562.59
$893
$553.66
−$8.93
(-1.6%)
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
No 90.5¢
610.1 份
分享
86.5¢
→
90.5¢
$527.85
$610.13
$551.86
+$24.02
(+4.5%)
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?
No 76.5¢
717.1 份
分享
75.5¢
→
76.5¢
$541.59
$717.11
$548.59
+$7
(+1.3%)
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
No 75.5¢
694.4 份
分享
76.0¢
→
75.5¢
$527.78
$694.44
$524.3
−$3.47
(-0.7%)
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026?
No 94.2¢
554.5 份
分享
94.0¢
→
94.2¢
$521.5
$554.54
$522.38
+$0.88
(+0.2%)
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?
No 73.5¢
708.4 份
分享
75¢
→
73.5¢
$531.37
$708.39
$520.67
−$10.7
(-2.0%)
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?
No 97.3¢
532 份
分享
97.2¢
→
97.3¢
$517.11
$532.01
$517.38
+$0.27
(+0.1%)
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?
No 90.6¢
553.1 份
分享
90.8¢
→
90.6¢
$502.18
$553.06
$501.35
−$0.83
(-0.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?
Yes 96.1¢
499.5 份
分享
56.2¢
→
96.1¢
$280.92
$499.47
$479.99
+$199.07
(+70.9%)
Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?
No 93.4¢
510.9 份
分享
94.2¢
→
93.4¢
$481.28
$510.88
$477.16
−$4.12
(-0.9%)
Will David Lisnard win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
No 82.7¢
572.6 份
分享
84.0¢
→
82.7¢
$480.89
$572.63
$473.56
−$7.33
(-1.5%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?
No 94.0¢
502 份
分享
60.8¢
→
94.0¢
$305.09
$502.05
$471.68
+$166.59
(+54.6%)
Will "Madden" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 70¢
662 份
分享
86.5¢
→
70¢
$572.65
$662.04
$463.43
−$109.22
(-19.1%)
Will "Ray Gunn" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 66¢
701.9 份
分享
70¢
→
66¢
$491.3
$701.86
$463.23
−$28.07
(-5.7%)
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Yes 71.9¢
643.2 份
分享
89.8¢
→
71.9¢
$577.41
$643.21
$462.15
−$115.26
(-20.0%)
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?
Yes 84.5¢
543 份
分享
89.2¢
→
84.5¢
$484.56
$543
$458.84
−$25.72
(-5.3%)
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
No 43¢
1,052.8 份
分享
49.6¢
→
43¢
$522.44
$1,052.8
$452.7
−$69.74
(-13.3%)
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 19¢
2,358.2 份
分享
31.1¢
→
19¢
$734.08
$2,358.21
$448.06
−$286.02
(-39.0%)
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 76¢
583.2 份
分享
78.6¢
→
76¢
$458.23
$583.17
$443.21
−$15.03
(-3.3%)
Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
No 81.1¢
540.4 份
分享
85.7¢
→
81.1¢
$463.01
$540.4
$438.27
−$24.74
(-5.3%)
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Yes 94.5¢
461.8 份
分享
94.6¢
→
94.5¢
$437.01
$461.77
$436.14
−$0.87
(-0.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?
Yes 99.1¢
439.7 份
分享
57.3¢
→
99.1¢
$251.77
$439.72
$435.54
+$183.77
(+73.0%)
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
No 58.5¢
738.5 份
分享
59.3¢
→
58.5¢
$438.06
$738.47
$432.01
−$6.06
(-1.4%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?
No 91.4¢
472.1 份
分享
74.5¢
→
91.4¢
$351.7
$472.06
$431.46
+$79.76
(+22.7%)
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
No 97.8¢
433 份
分享
98.3¢
→
97.8¢
$425.62
$433
$423.47
−$2.15
(-0.5%)
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 40.5¢
1,032.3 份
分享
55.3¢
→
40.5¢
$570.57
$1,032.26
$418.06
−$152.5
(-26.7%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes 36.5¢
1,143 份
分享
36.2¢
→
36.5¢
$414.07
$1,143.04
$417.21
+$3.14
(+0.8%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
No 99.0¢
415.7 份
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85.4¢
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99.0¢
$354.84
$415.66
$411.3
+$56.45
(+15.9%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?
No 78¢
524.6 份
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82.9¢
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78¢
$434.8
$524.57
$409.16
−$25.63
(-5.9%)
Will David Lisnard win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
No 85.1¢
476.7 份
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86.6¢
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85.1¢
$412.82
$476.66
$405.64
−$7.18
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Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 65.5¢
617 份
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63.9¢
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65.5¢
$394.44
$617.01
$404.14
+$9.7
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Will "The Tuners" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 64¢
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65.0¢
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64¢
$407.1
$626.72
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Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
No 89¢
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84.0¢
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89¢
$378.31
$450.37
$400.83
+$22.52
(+6.0%)
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?
No 89¢
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90.7¢
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89¢
$408.03
$450.03
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−$7.5
(-1.8%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?
No 97.0¢
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65.6¢
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97.0¢
$270.29
$411.69
$399.54
+$129.26
(+47.8%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 80.5¢
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60.6¢
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80.5¢
$299.77
$494.53
$398.1
+$98.33
(+32.8%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-13 House election by 5% or more?
No 82.2¢
482.8 份
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86.9¢
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82.2¢
$419.37
$482.81
$396.87
−$22.5
(-5.4%)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Yes 92¢
430.3 份
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82.5¢
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92¢
$355.11
$430.29
$395.87
+$40.76
(+11.5%)
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes 84.5¢
465.8 份
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88.0¢
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84.5¢
$410.01
$465.8
$393.6
−$16.41
(-4.0%)
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