PolyScalping 标志
PolyScalping

tradetosurvive1

2026年6月 加入

总收益

$134,679.91
1天
−$3,565.63
7天
$1,129.13
30天
$1.25万
90天
$9.72万
总成交量
$947.31万
预测次数
39,702
持仓价值
$7万
盈亏走势
−$23.72万
+$35.1万
+$2.08万
+$1.57
+$10.00
Will any other company have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of November 2026?
Yes 98.6¢527.2 份
$519.77
+$71.06 (+15.8%)
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
No 93.5¢546.2 份
$510.69
+$89.31 (+21.2%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 4?
Yes 99.8¢474.2 份
$473.02
+$297.56 (+169.6%)
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 68.6¢617.1 份
$423.33
−$107.11 (-20.2%)
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
No 98.5¢429 份
$422.38
+$262.49 (+164.2%)
Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Yes 94¢446.6 份
$419.8
+$298.76 (+246.8%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
No 92.5¢443.2 份
$409.96
+$72.79 (+21.6%)
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
No 89.3¢437.8 份
$391.21
+$37.06 (+10.5%)
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?
No 100.0¢351.2 份
$351.07
+$13.25 (+3.9%)
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 70¢500 份
$350
+$50 (+16.7%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?
Yes 96.2¢347.6 份
$334.41
+$43.58 (+15.0%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No 75.5¢441.7 份
$333.48
+$44.33 (+15.3%)
Viktor Orbán arrested by...?
No 86.9¢381.1 份
$331.21
+$44.61 (+15.6%)
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?
Yes 98.5¢318.1 份
$313.18
+$80.85 (+34.8%)
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
Yes 99.5¢305.6 份
$303.92
+$55.62 (+22.4%)
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Yes 71¢424.8 份
$301.57
+$78.04 (+34.9%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on November 5?
No 48.5¢619.5 份
$300.44
−$40.27 (-11.8%)
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 73¢394.5 份
$287.97
+$50.92 (+21.5%)
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and US gas hit $3.50 by the end of 2026?
No 93.8¢306.3 份
$287.33
+$5.36 (+1.9%)
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?
No 65.5¢436 份
$285.56
+$24 (+9.2%)
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
No 100.0¢283.3 份
$283.11
+$33.4 (+13.4%)
Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?
No 100.0¢280.1 份
$279.92
+$63.97 (+29.6%)
Will "With Tapes and Toasts in the Car" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 54.5¢503.9 份
$274.62
+$71.29 (+35.1%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?
No 85.5¢318.2 份
$272.07
+$193.02 (+244.2%)
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?
No 87¢295 份
$256.65
+$120.45 (+88.4%)
Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections?
Yes 97.3¢255 份
$248.12
+$160.24 (+182.3%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 53¢457.1 份
$242.27
−$14.6 (-5.7%)
F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship?
No 74¢325 份
$240.5
+$116.25 (+93.6%)
Will "Wuthering Heights" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 56.0¢426.7 份
$238.96
−$54.94 (-18.7%)
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?
Yes 46.9¢506.3 份
$237.2
−$5.07 (-2.1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 5?
Yes 37¢636.8 份
$235.63
−$57.31 (-19.6%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.1% before 2027?
No 95.8¢245 份
$234.71
+$0.74 (+0.3%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Yes 46¢509 份
$234.13
+$63 (+36.8%)
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?
No 55.3¢411.1 份
$227.31
−$7.46 (-3.2%)
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
No 71.0¢319.7 份
$227.18
+$47.17 (+26.2%)
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 52¢427.8 份
$222.44
−$13.33 (-5.7%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on November 5?
Yes 61.5¢351.9 份
$216.44
+$26.39 (+13.9%)
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 52.5¢412 份
$216.3
−$1.16 (-0.5%)
Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane?
No 73.5¢292.4 份
$214.92
+$89.24 (+71.0%)
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 80.5¢265.8 份
$214.01
+$43.93 (+25.8%)
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
No 84.5¢250.2 份
$211.56
+$53.63 (+34.0%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?
No 81.5¢258.7 份
$210.82
+$30.04 (+16.6%)
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?
No 46.5¢452.3 份
$210.34
+$13.34 (+6.8%)
Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?
No 60¢350 份
$210
+$113 (+116.5%)
Will "I Love Boosters" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 41.5¢500 份
$207.5
−$74.5 (-26.4%)
Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
No 89¢230 份
$204.69
+$47.11 (+29.9%)
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
No 100.0¢200 份
$199.9
+$7.5 (+3.9%)
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
No 100.0¢200 份
$199.9
+$55.7 (+38.6%)
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
No 100.0¢200 份
$199.9
+$4.9 (+2.5%)
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
Yes 56.0¢355 份
$198.8
+$7.49 (+3.9%)
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?
No 97.3¢196.6 份
$191.19
+$62.24 (+48.3%)
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?
Yes 63¢302.9 份
$190.84
−$24.95 (-11.6%)
Will "Magan's Fare" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 37.5¢500 份
$187.5
+$45.5 (+32.0%)
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
No 93¢200 份
$186
+$30 (+19.2%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No 41¢446.7 份
$183.16
+$2.53 (+1.4%)
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
Yes 39¢466.6 份
$181.99
−$56.32 (-23.6%)
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
Yes 32.5¢554.9 份
$180.35
+$43.44 (+31.7%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 53.5¢337 份
$180.3
−$22.45 (-11.1%)
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?
No 81.5¢219.4 份
$178.83
+$12.5 (+7.5%)
Will Democrats win 7 or more House seats in Ohio in the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 98.3¢181 份
$177.83
+$120.29 (+209.1%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?
Yes 46.5¢381.9 份
$177.6
+$35.96 (+25.4%)
Will "The Tuners" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 35.5¢500 份
$177.5
−$36.5 (-17.1%)
Will "Agapito" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 69¢255.1 份
$176.01
−$5.81 (-3.2%)
Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?
No 84.5¢208.3 份
$175.98
+$41.72 (+31.1%)
Will "Mary is Missing" be nominated for Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 35¢500 份
$175
−$37 (-17.5%)
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?
Yes 62¢273.6 份
$169.63
+$9.71 (+6.1%)
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 37¢454.7 份
$168.23
−$37.81 (-18.4%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of November 2026?
No 86.3¢194.4 份
$167.74
−$18.27 (-9.8%)
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?
Yes 40¢417 份
$166.79
+$11.08 (+7.1%)
Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 55.5¢300 份
$166.5
−$21.5 (-11.4%)
Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds hit 25% by December 31?
Yes 67.5¢245 份
$165.37
+$19.52 (+13.4%)
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?
Yes 39.5¢414.1 份
$163.57
+$11.77 (+7.8%)
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 77.5¢209.7 份
$162.55
+$26.05 (+19.1%)
Will November be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?
No 95.0¢167.7 份
$159.18
+$16.71 (+11.7%)
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 36.5¢435.3 份
$158.87
+$108.85 (+217.6%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 4?
Yes 99.3¢158.6 份
$157.53
+$89.32 (+130.9%)
Will "Water Girl" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 73.5¢209 份
$153.62
+$14.67 (+10.6%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No 28.5¢538.3 份
$153.42
−$89.06 (-36.7%)
Will Ezra Frech win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?
Yes 62¢247.3 份
$153.33
+$46.71 (+43.8%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026?
Yes 68.5¢223.4 份
$153.01
+$51.99 (+51.5%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of November 2026?
No 68¢225 份
$153
−$55.75 (-26.7%)
Will "Madden" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 30¢500 份
$150
+$20 (+15.4%)
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 74.5¢199.1 份
$148.35
+$15.85 (+12.0%)
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?
Yes 90.5¢163.9 份
$148.31
+$18.86 (+14.6%)
Will "Listen" be nominated for Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 25.5¢576.5 份
$147.01
−$74.59 (-33.7%)
U.S. enacts Protect College Sports Act before 2027?
Yes 57.0¢256.8 份
$146.39
+$73.71 (+101.4%)
Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 29.0¢500 份
$145
+$18 (+14.2%)
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026?
Yes 71¢204 份
$144.84
−$6.79 (-4.5%)
Will "Minotaur" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 48¢300.1 份
$144.06
−$3.81 (-2.6%)
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?
No 33.3¢430.6 份
$143.18
+$40.93 (+40.0%)
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 62.5¢228.9 份
$143.06
+$17.08 (+13.6%)
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
No 50.9¢278 份
$141.64
−$10.97 (-7.2%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?
No 76.5¢184.9 份
$141.47
+$25.93 (+22.4%)
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
No 90¢156.7 份
$141
+$28.26 (+25.1%)
Will "Paper Trail" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 44¢318.9 份
$140.34
−$36 (-20.4%)
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
No 32¢438.3 份
$140.26
+$16.52 (+13.3%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027?
Yes 29.5¢474.5 份
$139.97
−$269.56 (-65.8%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?
No 84¢166.2 份
$139.62
−$0.93 (-0.7%)
Will "This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out)" from The Debut be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 84.3¢163.9 份
$138.18
+$30.87 (+28.8%)
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?
No 91.5¢150 份
$137.33
+$8.78 (+6.8%)