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Polymarket
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总收益
$63,635.29
1天
−$705.46
7天
−$363.72
30天
$1.6万
90天
$6.36万
总成交量
$752.45万
预测次数
17,428
持仓价值
$1,830.45
盈亏走势
历史盈亏走势
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
−$11.28万
LP 奖励
+$17.1万
Maker 返利
+$3,957.86
持仓奖励
+$0.14
Taker 返利
+$1,506.72
持仓
活动
评论
当前
已平仓
市场
平均 → 当前
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获胜可得
价值
分享
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 75% by March 31?
No 71.5¢
241.8 份
分享
78¢
→
71.5¢
$188.62
$241.82
$172.9
−$15.72
(-8.3%)
Tusk out by December 31?
No 94.5¢
178.5 份
分享
91¢
→
94.5¢
$162.44
$178.51
$168.69
+$6.25
(+3.8%)
Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Yes 90.3¢
131 份
分享
95.7¢
→
90.3¢
$125.37
$131
$118.36
−$7.01
(-5.6%)
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and US gas hit $4.50 by the end of 2026?
No 70.5¢
155 份
分享
80.1¢
→
70.5¢
$124.16
$155
$109.35
−$14.8
(-11.9%)
Rubio's Republican nomination odds hit 30% by December 31?
Yes 39¢
250 份
分享
47¢
→
39¢
$117.5
$250
$97.5
−$20
(-17.0%)
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027?
Yes 29.5¢
232 份
分享
37.0¢
→
29.5¢
$85.84
$232
$68.44
−$17.4
(-20.3%)
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
No 55.5¢
102 份
分享
64¢
→
55.5¢
$65.28
$102
$56.61
−$8.67
(-13.3%)
US imports Russian diesel by January 31?
Yes 23¢
233 份
分享
61¢
→
23¢
$142.13
$233
$53.59
−$88.54
(-62.3%)
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Yes 86.5¢
58 份
分享
92¢
→
86.5¢
$53.36
$58
$50.17
−$3.19
(-6.0%)
Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 55% by March 31?
Yes 9.5¢
517 份
分享
28.0¢
→
9.5¢
$144.76
$517
$49.12
−$95.65
(-66.1%)
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
Yes 28.5¢
172 份
分享
38¢
→
28.5¢
$65.36
$172
$49.02
−$16.34
(-25.0%)
Will Katie Zacharia be officially given a new role in the Trump administration by December 31?
Yes 21.5¢
221 份
分享
28.0¢
→
21.5¢
$61.88
$221
$47.52
−$14.37
(-23.2%)
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?
No 66.5¢
71 份
分享
80¢
→
66.5¢
$56.8
$71
$47.22
−$9.59
(-16.9%)
Will LASK reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?
No 83.7¢
50 份
分享
91.3¢
→
83.7¢
$45.65
$50
$41.85
−$3.8
(-8.3%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?
No 50¢
80 份
分享
54¢
→
50¢
$43.22
$80.04
$40.02
−$3.2
(-7.4%)
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30, 2027?
Yes 35¢
111 份
分享
41¢
→
35¢
$45.51
$111
$38.85
−$6.66
(-14.6%)
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?
No 70.5¢
50 份
分享
72¢
→
70.5¢
$36
$50
$35.25
−$0.75
(-2.1%)
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $260 Week of October 12 2026?
Yes 100¢
28 份
分享
75¢
→
100¢
$21
$28
赢
$28
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch?
No 61¢
42 份
分享
69¢
→
61¢
$28.98
$42
$25.62
−$3.36
(-11.6%)
Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by February 28, 2027?
Yes 86.1¢
27 份
分享
93.1¢
→
86.1¢
$25.14
$27
$23.23
−$1.9
(-7.6%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 46¢
50 份
分享
50.0¢
→
46¢
$25
$50
$23
−$2
(-8.0%)
Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
No 69¢
31.1 份
分享
71.5¢
→
69¢
$22.27
$31.14
$21.49
−$0.78
(-3.5%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 18, 2026?
Yes 22.5¢
92 份
分享
27¢
→
22.5¢
$24.84
$92
$20.7
−$4.14
(-16.7%)
Will Manta be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?
Yes 87.4¢
20 份
分享
94.1¢
→
87.4¢
$18.82
$20
$17.48
−$1.34
(-7.1%)
Will Aminu Abdussalam Gwarzo win the 2027 Kano State gubernatorial election?
No 83.6¢
20 份
分享
90.1¢
→
83.6¢
$18.02
$20
$16.72
−$1.3
(-7.2%)
Vance's Republican nomination odds hit 40% by December 31?
Yes 16.5¢
100 份
分享
43¢
→
16.5¢
$43
$100
$16.5
−$26.5
(-61.6%)
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by November 30, 2026?
No 79.5¢
20 份
分享
83¢
→
79.5¢
$16.6
$20
$15.9
−$0.7
(-4.2%)
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting?
No 38¢
41.8 份
分享
45.0¢
→
38¢
$18.81
$41.8
$15.88
−$2.93
(-15.6%)
Will Denis Villeneuve be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 49.5¢
32 份
分享
53¢
→
49.5¢
$16.96
$32
$15.84
−$1.12
(-6.6%)
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and US gas not hit $3.50 by the end of 2026?
No 7.1¢
218.8 份
分享
37¢
→
7.1¢
$80.97
$218.84
$15.54
−$65.43
(-80.8%)
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%?
No 77.6¢
20 份
分享
89.5¢
→
77.6¢
$17.9
$20
$15.53
−$2.37
(-13.2%)
Will The Weeknd be featured on GTA VI: The Album?
No 45.5¢
34 份
分享
63¢
→
45.5¢
$21.42
$34
$15.47
−$5.95
(-27.8%)
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 340m?
No 77¢
20 份
分享
90¢
→
77¢
$18
$20
$15.4
−$2.6
(-14.4%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
Yes 23.5¢
58 份
分享
37¢
→
23.5¢
$21.46
$58
$13.63
−$7.83
(-36.5%)
Trump Jr.'s Republican nomination odds dip to 2% by December 31?
No 30.5¢
44.4 份
分享
39¢
→
30.5¢
$17.32
$44.41
$13.55
−$3.77
(-21.8%)
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and no Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?
No 13.1¢
100 份
分享
38.4¢
→
13.1¢
$38.4
$100
$13.1
−$25.3
(-65.9%)
Will US gas hit $4.00 (Low) in November?
No 20¢
62.2 份
分享
45¢
→
20¢
$28.01
$62.24
$12.45
−$15.56
(-55.6%)
Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?
No 62¢
20 份
分享
68¢
→
62¢
$13.6
$20
$12.4
−$1.2
(-8.8%)
Will Kyle Monangai have 649.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Yes 60.6¢
20 份
分享
66.3¢
→
60.6¢
$13.26
$20
$12.11
−$1.15
(-8.7%)
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes 33¢
36 份
分享
37¢
→
33¢
$13.32
$36
$11.88
−$1.44
(-10.8%)
Święczkowski charged by December 31?
No 46.5¢
25 份
分享
67¢
→
46.5¢
$16.75
$25
$11.63
−$5.13
(-30.6%)
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?
Yes 14.5¢
76.5 份
分享
23¢
→
14.5¢
$17.6
$76.51
$11.09
−$6.5
(-37.0%)
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?
Yes 21.5¢
50 份
分享
29.0¢
→
21.5¢
$14.5
$50
$10.75
−$3.75
(-25.9%)
Will Nathan MacKinnon record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?
No 49.8¢
20 份
分享
53.8¢
→
49.8¢
$10.76
$20
$9.95
−$0.81
(-7.5%)
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting?
Yes 46¢
20 份
分享
57.0¢
→
46¢
$11.4
$20
$9.2
−$2.2
(-19.3%)
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026?
Yes 10.3¢
89 份
分享
22.9¢
→
10.3¢
$20.38
$89
$9.12
−$11.26
(-55.2%)
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026?
No 45¢
20 份
分享
67¢
→
45¢
$13.4
$20
$9
−$4.4
(-32.8%)
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man?
Yes 85.0¢
9.6 份
分享
90.9¢
→
85.0¢
$8.71
$9.59
$8.15
−$0.56
(-6.4%)
Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
No 34.5¢
23 份
分享
62¢
→
34.5¢
$14.26
$23
$7.94
−$6.33
(-44.4%)
Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No 14.5¢
50 份
分享
21¢
→
14.5¢
$10.5
$50
$7.25
−$3.25
(-31.0%)
Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election?
No 33.5¢
20 份
分享
71¢
→
33.5¢
$14.2
$20
$6.7
−$7.5
(-52.8%)
Will US gas hit $4.10 (Low) in November?
No 6.5¢
100 份
分享
48¢
→
6.5¢
$48
$100
$6.5
−$41.5
(-86.5%)
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the February meeting?
No 32.5¢
20 份
分享
61¢
→
32.5¢
$12.2
$20
$6.5
−$5.7
(-46.7%)
Will White House post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
Yes 82.5¢
6.6 份
分享
93¢
→
82.5¢
$6.14
$6.6
$5.45
−$0.69
(-11.3%)
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?
Yes 25.9¢
20 份
分享
38.3¢
→
25.9¢
$7.66
$20
$5.18
−$2.48
(-32.4%)
Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of January 2027 (Style Control On)?
No 79¢
6 份
分享
87¢
→
79¢
$5.22
$6
$4.74
−$0.48
(-9.2%)
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
Yes 23.5¢
20 份
分享
44¢
→
23.5¢
$8.8
$20
$4.7
−$4.1
(-46.6%)
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the November meeting?
No 22¢
20 份
分享
26¢
→
22¢
$5.2
$20
$4.4
−$0.8
(-15.4%)
NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?
Yes 21.5¢
20 份
分享
33¢
→
21.5¢
$6.6
$20
$4.3
−$2.3
(-34.8%)
DeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit 8% by December 31?
No 1.6¢
250 份
分享
94¢
→
1.6¢
$235
$250
$4
−$231
(-98.3%)
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
No 9.5¢
41.7 份
分享
13¢
→
9.5¢
$5.43
$41.75
$3.97
−$1.46
(-26.9%)
Will South Korea come in 3rd place at Eurovision Asia 2026?
Yes 13¢
28 份
分享
15¢
→
13¢
$4.2
$28
$3.64
−$0.56
(-13.3%)
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in November 2026?
Yes 13.5¢
26 份
分享
29.0¢
→
13.5¢
$7.54
$26
$3.51
−$4.03
(-53.4%)
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?
No 67.5¢
5 份
分享
71.8¢
→
67.5¢
$3.55
$4.95
$3.34
−$0.22
(-6.1%)
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on December 31, 2026?
Yes 6.5¢
40 份
分享
15¢
→
6.5¢
$6
$40
$2.6
−$3.4
(-56.7%)
Will Malaysia come in 3rd place at Eurovision Asia 2026?
Yes 10.5¢
24 份
分享
15¢
→
10.5¢
$3.6
$24
$2.52
−$1.08
(-30.0%)
Will OpenRouter process 205T or more tokens the week of November 2?
No 12.5¢
20 份
分享
52¢
→
12.5¢
$10.4
$20
$2.5
−$7.9
(-76.0%)
Will Vietnam win Eurovision Asia 2026?
Yes 5.1¢
42 份
分享
13¢
→
5.1¢
$5.46
$41.99
$2.14
−$3.32
(-60.8%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?
Yes 4.2¢
50 份
分享
10.3¢
→
4.2¢
$5.15
$50
$2.08
−$3.08
(-59.7%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?
No 43¢
4.7 份
分享
43¢
→
43¢
$2.01
$4.68
$2.01
+$0
(+0.0%)
Will XRP hit $2 by September 30, 2027?
No 50¢
4 份
分享
53¢
→
50¢
$2.12
$4
$2
−$0.12
(-5.7%)
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
Yes 3.1¢
63 份
分享
7.0¢
→
3.1¢
$4.41
$63
$1.98
−$2.43
(-55.0%)
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?
Yes 3.8¢
49 份
分享
7.8¢
→
3.8¢
$3.82
$49
$1.86
−$1.96
(-51.3%)
Will Rocco Baldelli be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?
No 100¢
1.6 份
分享
93.1¢
→
100¢
$1.49
$1.6
赢
$1.6
Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 55% by December 31?
Yes 7.0¢
20 份
分享
14.0¢
→
7.0¢
$2.8
$20
$1.4
−$1.4
(-50.0%)
Will Namibia take second place in Miss Universe 2026?
Yes 4¢
33 份
分享
8¢
→
4¢
$2.64
$33
$1.32
−$1.32
(-50.0%)
DeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit 6% by December 31?
No 0.9¢
100 份
分享
49¢
→
0.9¢
$49
$100
$0.95
−$48.05
(-98.1%)
Will Rockstar release GTA VI on PC in January 2027 (ET)?
Yes 7.5¢
12 份
分享
14.0¢
→
7.5¢
$1.68
$11.99
$0.9
−$0.78
(-46.4%)
Will One Nation win the second-most seats in the next Victorian state election?
Yes 4.5¢
20 份
分享
10¢
→
4.5¢
$2
$20
$0.89
−$1.11
(-55.5%)
Will the next GPT Terra model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?
Yes 11¢
8 份
分享
13¢
→
11¢
$1.04
$8
$0.88
−$0.16
(-15.4%)
Will Antwan Raymond be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?
Yes 1.1¢
68 份
分享
6.1¢
→
1.1¢
$4.15
$68
$0.75
−$3.4
(-82.0%)
Will PSOE win the most seats in Castellón in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Yes 3.4¢
20 份
分享
15¢
→
3.4¢
$3
$20
$0.68
−$2.32
(-77.3%)
Will Carson Benge win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
Yes 3.4¢
20 份
分享
5.2¢
→
3.4¢
$1.04
$20
$0.68
−$0.36
(-34.6%)
Will Total Crypto Market Cap dip to 1.5T in 2026?
Yes 2.8¢
24 份
分享
4¢
→
2.8¢
$0.96
$24
$0.67
−$0.29
(-30.0%)
Will Sam Rockwell be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 3.6¢
16 份
分享
4.6¢
→
3.6¢
$0.74
$16
$0.58
−$0.16
(-21.7%)
Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and no Chinese company have the #1 AI model by the end of 2027?
Yes 0.3¢
219 份
分享
26.1¢
→
0.3¢
$57.16
$219
$0.55
−$56.61
(-99.0%)
Will PP win the most seats in Segovia in the 2026 Spanish general election?
No 1.1¢
50 份
分享
6.9¢
→
1.1¢
$3.45
$50
$0.53
−$2.93
(-84.8%)
Will Thinky have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027?
Yes 1.6¢
30 份
分享
6.4¢
→
1.6¢
$1.92
$30
$0.48
−$1.44
(-75.0%)
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by November 30?
Yes 17¢
2 份
分享
26¢
→
17¢
$0.52
$1.99
$0.34
−$0.18
(-34.6%)
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?
Yes 25¢
1 份
分享
35¢
→
25¢
$0.35
$1
$0.25
−$0.1
(-28.6%)
Iran blockade lifted before US x Iran ceasefire ends?
Yes 1¢
20 份
分享
34¢
→
1¢
$6.8
$20
$0.2
−$6.6
(-97.1%)
Will Donte DiVincenzo win the 2026-27 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?
Yes 0.3¢
36 份
分享
6.5¢
→
0.3¢
$2.34
$36
$0.09
−$2.25
(-96.2%)
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?
Yes 4.5¢
1.8 份
分享
4¢
→
4.5¢
$0.07
$1.79
$0.08
+$0.01
(+12.4%)
Will Michael Bush win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?
Yes 0.1¢
133 份
分享
9¢
→
0.1¢
$11.97
$133
$0.07
−$11.9
(-99.4%)
Vance's Republican nomination odds dip to 30% by December 31?
No 0.1¢
33 份
分享
41¢
→
0.1¢
$13.53
$33
$0.02
−$13.51
(-99.9%)
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
No 0¢
50 份
分享
63¢
→
0¢
$31.5
$50
输
Will NRG win VALORANT Champions 2026?
Yes 0¢
20 份
分享
17¢
→
0¢
$3.4
$20
输
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?
Yes 0¢
27 份
分享
14.0¢
→
0¢
$3.78
$27
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Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by lava again?
No 0¢
20 份
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41¢
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0¢
$8.2
$20
输
Will Lacy and Marlon have between 6 and 7 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?
Yes 0¢
127 份
分享
29.4¢
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0¢
$37.34
$127
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