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2024年12月 加入
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Polymarket
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总收益
$54,011.88
1天
−$8,869.53
7天
$97.07
30天
$1.15万
90天
$2.29万
总成交量
$1516.27万
预测次数
25,400
持仓价值
$8,033.18
盈亏走势
历史盈亏走势
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
−$4.02万
LP 奖励
+$8.91万
Maker 返利
+$4,716.21
持仓奖励
+$6.19
Taker 返利
+$367.75
排名概览
综合
#2,870
共 330.2万 个钱包
成交量
#2,048
共 330.2万 个钱包
利润
#3,242,412
共 330.2万 个钱包
LP 奖励
#61
共 18.9万 个获奖地址
Maker 返利
#1,564
共 16.1万 个获奖地址
Taker 返利
#4,048
共 7.2万 个获奖地址
持仓奖励
#15,027
共 35.2万 个获奖地址
已付费用
#7,167
共 153.5万 个付费地址
持仓
活动
评论
当前
已平仓
市场
平均 → 当前
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获胜可得
价值
分享
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
No 83.5¢
255.7 份
分享
84¢
→
83.5¢
$214.76
$255.66
$213.48
−$1.28
(-0.6%)
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
No 69.3¢
260 份
分享
74.9¢
→
69.3¢
$194.74
$260
$180.31
−$14.43
(-7.4%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?
No 84.6¢
129.6 份
分享
89.6¢
→
84.6¢
$116.15
$129.63
$109.67
−$6.48
(-5.6%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No 64.5¢
164.6 份
分享
65.0¢
→
64.5¢
$106.97
$164.57
$106.15
−$0.82
(-0.8%)
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 84.5¢
122.3 份
分享
88.4¢
→
84.5¢
$108.09
$122.27
$103.38
−$4.71
(-4.4%)
Will Flamengo win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?
No 77.5¢
120.5 份
分享
79.0¢
→
77.5¢
$95.21
$120.52
$93.4
−$1.81
(-1.9%)
Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Yes 71¢
128.3 份
分享
74¢
→
71¢
$94.93
$128.28
$91.08
−$3.85
(-4.1%)
Will Bournemouth finish first in UEL league phase?
No 73¢
119.5 份
分享
76¢
→
73¢
$90.79
$119.46
$87.2
−$3.58
(-3.9%)
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?
No 53.5¢
158.6 份
分享
57.0¢
→
53.5¢
$90.42
$158.63
$84.87
−$5.55
(-6.1%)
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?
Yes 32.5¢
259.5 份
分享
82.0¢
→
32.5¢
$212.75
$259.48
$84.33
−$128.42
(-60.4%)
Will Ferencvaros finish top 8 in UEL league phase?
No 67.5¢
122 份
分享
68.9¢
→
67.5¢
$84.04
$121.97
$82.33
−$1.72
(-2.0%)
Will the Los Angeles Rams have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
No 67.5¢
119.6 份
分享
70¢
→
67.5¢
$83.74
$119.64
$80.75
−$2.99
(-3.6%)
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?
No 62.5¢
128.5 份
分享
75¢
→
62.5¢
$96.37
$128.49
$80.31
−$16.06
(-16.7%)
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
No 73¢
107.2 份
分享
74¢
→
73¢
$79.36
$107.24
$78.29
−$1.07
(-1.4%)
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 39.5¢
192.7 份
分享
44¢
→
39.5¢
$84.8
$192.72
$76.12
−$8.67
(-10.2%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 45%-50%?
No 84.9¢
85.7 份
分享
90.4¢
→
84.9¢
$77.51
$85.74
$72.75
−$4.76
(-6.1%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?
No 89.5¢
78.7 份
分享
89¢
→
89.5¢
$70.07
$78.73
$70.46
+$0.39
(+0.6%)
Will "Elsinore" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 45.5¢
150.5 份
分享
87.0¢
→
45.5¢
$130.92
$150.51
$68.48
−$62.44
(-47.7%)
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?
No 71.5¢
93 份
分享
79.0¢
→
71.5¢
$73.49
$93.02
$66.51
−$6.98
(-9.5%)
Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?
No 71.0¢
93.3 份
分享
74.3¢
→
71.0¢
$69.31
$93.29
$66.19
−$3.13
(-4.5%)
Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 39.5¢
163.8 份
分享
40¢
→
39.5¢
$65.51
$163.78
$64.69
−$0.82
(-1.2%)
Will the Carolina Panthers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
No 72.5¢
88.2 份
分享
76.0¢
→
72.5¢
$67.03
$88.2
$63.94
−$3.09
(-4.6%)
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 77.5¢
78.5 份
分享
81.9¢
→
77.5¢
$64.3
$78.48
$60.82
−$3.48
(-5.4%)
Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 51.5¢
113.8 份
分享
59¢
→
51.5¢
$67.16
$113.83
$58.62
−$8.54
(-12.7%)
Will the Republicans win Florida in the 2028 Presidential Election?
Yes 66.5¢
87.7 份
分享
75.7¢
→
66.5¢
$66.4
$87.71
$58.33
−$8.07
(-12.2%)
Will iiTzTimmy win Gamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?
No 91.1¢
63.4 份
分享
88.9¢
→
91.1¢
$56.4
$63.44
$57.8
+$1.4
(+2.5%)
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
Yes 21.5¢
260 份
分享
27.0¢
→
21.5¢
$70.2
$260
$55.9
−$14.3
(-20.4%)
Will Chris Godwin have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No 82.8¢
63.7 份
分享
94.6¢
→
82.8¢
$60.28
$63.72
$52.73
−$7.55
(-12.5%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2028 elections?
No 22.5¢
225.5 份
分享
31¢
→
22.5¢
$69.89
$225.46
$50.73
−$19.16
(-27.4%)
Will "La Nieve" from The Black Ball win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 49¢
102.1 份
分享
54¢
→
49¢
$55.13
$102.09
$50.02
−$5.1
(-9.3%)
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of November 2026?
No 55.0¢
88.8 份
分享
59¢
→
55.0¢
$52.37
$88.77
$48.82
−$3.55
(-6.8%)
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
Yes 12.5¢
383.6 份
分享
20¢
→
12.5¢
$76.73
$383.64
$47.96
−$28.77
(-37.5%)
Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?
No 33.6¢
141.8 份
分享
59.5¢
→
33.6¢
$84.39
$141.83
$47.58
−$36.8
(-43.6%)
Will the New York Rangers make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?
No 61.5¢
77.4 份
分享
68¢
→
61.5¢
$52.6
$77.35
$47.57
−$5.03
(-9.6%)
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 83¢
56.7 份
分享
93¢
→
83¢
$52.72
$56.69
$47.05
−$5.67
(-10.8%)
Will "I Love Boosters" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 58.5¢
77.8 份
分享
66¢
→
58.5¢
$51.32
$77.76
$45.49
−$5.83
(-11.4%)
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election?
Yes 60.5¢
71 份
分享
85¢
→
60.5¢
$60.32
$70.97
$42.94
−$17.39
(-28.8%)
Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2028?
No 83¢
47.7 份
分享
84.9¢
→
83¢
$40.47
$47.65
$39.55
−$0.92
(-2.3%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?
No 38.5¢
101.2 份
分享
42¢
→
38.5¢
$42.52
$101.24
$38.98
−$3.54
(-8.3%)
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No 42.5¢
90.4 份
分享
43.1¢
→
42.5¢
$38.99
$90.42
$38.43
−$0.57
(-1.5%)
Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season?
No 38.5¢
98.9 份
分享
42.3¢
→
38.5¢
$41.81
$98.88
$38.07
−$3.75
(-9.0%)
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on November 5?
No 75.5¢
50.4 份
分享
78¢
→
75.5¢
$39.32
$50.4
$38.06
−$1.26
(-3.2%)
Will Matthew Stafford have 4,499.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Yes 43¢
87.4 份
分享
45¢
→
43¢
$39.33
$87.4
$37.58
−$1.75
(-4.4%)
Will DR Congo win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group E?
Yes 83.5¢
44.9 份
分享
90¢
→
83.5¢
$40.37
$44.85
$37.45
−$2.92
(-7.2%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-01 House election by 15%-20%?
No 79¢
47.3 份
分享
75¢
→
79¢
$35.48
$47.3
$37.37
+$1.89
(+5.3%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on November 5?
No 83¢
44.6 份
分享
89¢
→
83¢
$39.72
$44.63
$37.04
−$2.68
(-6.7%)
Will a Sophomore win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
No 85.2¢
43.4 份
分享
86¢
→
85.2¢
$37.3
$43.37
$36.95
−$0.35
(-0.9%)
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the March interest rate announcement?
Yes 39¢
94.6 份
分享
54¢
→
39¢
$51.09
$94.61
$36.9
−$14.19
(-27.8%)
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Yes 14.1¢
254.2 份
分享
19.4¢
→
14.1¢
$49.31
$254.17
$35.84
−$13.47
(-27.3%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IL-12 House election by 40%-45%?
No 50.7¢
70.7 份
分享
85.9¢
→
50.7¢
$60.69
$70.65
$35.82
−$24.87
(-41.0%)
Will Bijan Robinson have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No 59¢
60 份
分享
59¢
→
59¢
$35.4
$60
$35.4
+$0
(+0.0%)
Will Lecce be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?
No 44.5¢
79.2 份
分享
58.0¢
→
44.5¢
$45.94
$79.21
$35.25
−$10.69
(-23.3%)
Will Notre Dame be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs?
No 30.5¢
113.9 份
分享
42¢
→
30.5¢
$47.83
$113.88
$34.73
−$13.1
(-27.4%)
Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?
No 88.5¢
39.2 份
分享
92¢
→
88.5¢
$36.06
$39.2
$34.69
−$1.37
(-3.8%)
Will the Republicans win Ohio in the 2028 Presidential Election?
Yes 70¢
49.4 份
分享
73.8¢
→
70¢
$36.45
$49.4
$34.58
−$1.87
(-5.1%)
Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No 58.5¢
59.1 份
分享
65¢
→
58.5¢
$38.4
$59.07
$34.56
−$3.84
(-10.0%)
Will Dallas Stars be the 2027 NHL Western Conference Champion?
No 87¢
39.2 份
分享
87¢
→
87¢
$34.13
$39.23
$34.13
+$0
(+0.0%)
Will Jared Goff have 4,599.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Yes 56.0¢
60.2 份
分享
57.0¢
→
56.0¢
$34.29
$60.16
$33.69
−$0.6
(-1.8%)
Will Arsenal reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League semifinal?
No 42¢
80.1 份
分享
60¢
→
42¢
$48.07
$80.12
$33.65
−$14.42
(-30.0%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 680,000 and 720,000?
Yes 51.5¢
63.5 份
分享
31¢
→
51.5¢
$19.7
$63.53
$32.72
+$13.02
(+66.1%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 20%-25%?
No 64.1¢
50.7 份
分享
76.6¢
→
64.1¢
$38.84
$50.7
$32.5
−$6.34
(-16.3%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
No 58.5¢
55.2 份
分享
67¢
→
58.5¢
$36.95
$55.15
$32.26
−$4.69
(-12.7%)
Will Josh Downs have 774.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No 62.5¢
51 份
分享
59¢
→
62.5¢
$30.08
$50.99
$31.87
+$1.78
(+5.9%)
Will the Montreal Canadiens make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?
Yes 68.5¢
45.8 份
分享
67.0¢
→
68.5¢
$30.69
$45.83
$31.4
+$0.7
(+2.3%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Colorado be between 2,400,000 and 2,550,000?
No 85.5¢
36.6 份
分享
79¢
→
85.5¢
$28.91
$36.59
$31.28
+$2.38
(+8.2%)
Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?
No 74¢
42.2 份
分享
82¢
→
74¢
$34.57
$42.16
$31.2
−$3.37
(-9.8%)
Will the Green Bay Packers have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
Yes 52¢
60 份
分享
56.5¢
→
52¢
$33.87
$59.96
$31.18
−$2.69
(-8.0%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Yes 83¢
37.6 份
分享
86¢
→
83¢
$32.3
$37.56
$31.17
−$1.13
(-3.5%)
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in November?
Yes 30.5¢
100.8 份
分享
50¢
→
30.5¢
$50.42
$100.83
$30.75
−$19.66
(-39.0%)
Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election?
No 33.5¢
91.4 份
分享
72¢
→
33.5¢
$65.79
$91.38
$30.61
−$35.18
(-53.5%)
Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?
No 33.5¢
89.6 份
分享
67¢
→
33.5¢
$60.02
$89.58
$30.01
−$30.01
(-50.0%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-04 House election by 45% or more?
No 54.5¢
54.1 份
分享
57.0¢
→
54.5¢
$30.83
$54.09
$29.48
−$1.35
(-4.4%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 5?
No 80.5¢
36.6 份
分享
85¢
→
80.5¢
$31.07
$36.55
$29.42
−$1.64
(-5.3%)
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the March meeting?
No 41.5¢
70.4 份
分享
57.0¢
→
41.5¢
$40.12
$70.39
$29.21
−$10.91
(-27.2%)
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
Yes 31.5¢
91.9 份
分享
34¢
→
31.5¢
$31.24
$91.87
$28.94
−$2.3
(-7.4%)
Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 11¢
260 份
分享
22¢
→
11¢
$57.2
$260
$28.6
−$28.6
(-50.0%)
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026-27 NHL Atlantic Division?
No 83¢
33.3 份
分享
84¢
→
83¢
$27.95
$33.27
$27.61
−$0.33
(-1.2%)
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?
No 64.5¢
42.6 份
分享
71¢
→
64.5¢
$30.22
$42.56
$27.45
−$2.77
(-9.2%)
Will AutoZone Q1 domestic same store sales growth be between 0.5% and 1.5%?
No 63.5¢
42.8 份
分享
71¢
→
63.5¢
$30.37
$42.77
$27.16
−$3.21
(-10.6%)
Will Aston Villa qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League?
No 66¢
41 份
分享
73¢
→
66¢
$29.92
$40.99
$27.05
−$2.87
(-9.6%)
Will Parma be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?
No 44¢
61.1 份
分享
53.0¢
→
44¢
$32.36
$61.06
$26.87
−$5.49
(-17.0%)
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by November 30?
Yes 50.5¢
52.8 份
分享
53¢
→
50.5¢
$28.01
$52.84
$26.68
−$1.32
(-4.7%)
Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
No 34.5¢
76.7 份
分享
65.0¢
→
34.5¢
$49.81
$76.69
$26.46
−$23.35
(-46.9%)
Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch?
No 44¢
60 份
分享
57.0¢
→
44¢
$34.2
$60
$26.4
−$7.8
(-22.8%)
Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
No 78.5¢
33.3 份
分享
80.0¢
→
78.5¢
$26.67
$33.35
$26.18
−$0.5
(-1.9%)
Will EH Bildu win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Yes 36.5¢
71.6 份
分享
38¢
→
36.5¢
$27.22
$71.63
$26.14
−$1.07
(-3.9%)
Will Rennes reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?
Yes 28.4¢
91.7 份
分享
32.2¢
→
28.4¢
$29.54
$91.73
$26.05
−$3.49
(-11.8%)
Will Manchester City reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?
Yes 49¢
52.7 份
分享
59¢
→
49¢
$31.1
$52.72
$25.83
−$5.27
(-16.9%)
Will Galatasaray reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?
No 58.5¢
44 份
分享
69¢
→
58.5¢
$30.36
$44
$25.74
−$4.62
(-15.2%)
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the February meeting?
No 31¢
82 份
分享
62¢
→
31¢
$50.82
$81.96
$25.41
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(-50.0%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 5?
No 33¢
77 份
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41¢
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33¢
$31.56
$76.98
$25.4
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Will News Corp (NWSA) beat quarterly earnings?
No 49.5¢
51.1 份
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24¢
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49.5¢
$12.26
$51.1
$25.29
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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MN-01 House election by 0%-3%?
No 52.5¢
48.1 份
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88¢
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52.5¢
$42.34
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Will Monza be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?
No 53¢
47.6 份
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54¢
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53¢
$25.71
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Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by November 30, 2026?
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30.5¢
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Will Texas have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
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59¢
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Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?
No 57.5¢
42.7 份
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68¢
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57.5¢
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Will South Africa win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group D?
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73.2 份
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33.5¢
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Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?
No 55.5¢
43.6 份
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55.5¢
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Will Claude go down 5-7 times in November 2026?
No 56.0¢
43.2 份
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70¢
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56.0¢
$30.24
$43.2
$24.19
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