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Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
总收益
$372,972.38
1天
−$271.19
7天
−$1,707.35
30天
−$606.44
90天
$5,154.91
总成交量
$6876.58万
预测次数
6,350
持仓价值
$24.91万
盈亏走势
历史盈亏走势
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
+$28.42万
LP 奖励
+$8.6万
持仓奖励
+$2,763.05
费用
−$0.03
排名概览
综合
#607
共 330.2万 个钱包
成交量
#332
共 330.2万 个钱包
利润
#782
共 330.2万 个钱包
LP 奖励
#64
共 18.9万 个获奖地址
持仓奖励
#224
共 35.2万 个获奖地址
已付费用
#1,373,823
共 153.5万 个付费地址
持仓
活动
评论
当前
已平仓
市场
平均 → 当前
成交额
获胜可得
价值
分享
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 97.9¢
3万 份
分享
82.1¢
→
97.9¢
$2.49万
$3.03万
$2.97万
+$4,769.07
(+19.1%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 84.7¢
2.7万 份
分享
55.3¢
→
84.7¢
$1.47万
$2.65万
$2.25万
+$7,802.23
(+53.2%)
Trump out as President before 2027?
No 96.5¢
2万 份
分享
81.8¢
→
96.5¢
$1.66万
$2.03万
$1.96万
+$2,995
(+18.0%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
No 98.2¢
1.5万 份
分享
16.2¢
→
98.2¢
$2,429.86
$1.5万
$1.48万
+$1.23万
(+508.0%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No 98.4¢
1.3万 份
分享
81.3¢
→
98.4¢
$1.04万
$1.28万
$1.26万
+$2,180.37
(+21.0%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 97.5¢
1.2万 份
分享
21.1¢
→
97.5¢
$2,507.64
$1.19万
$1.16万
+$9,078.41
(+362.0%)
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
No 99¢
1.1万 份
分享
85.8¢
→
99¢
$9,600.45
$1.12万
$1.11万
+$1,475.34
(+15.4%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 97.4¢
8,362.8 份
分享
60.1¢
→
97.4¢
$5,027.17
$8,362.8
$8,141.19
+$3,114.02
(+61.9%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
No 98.5¢
8,164.5 份
分享
26.0¢
→
98.5¢
$2,119.73
$8,164.47
$8,042
+$5,922.28
(+279.4%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 98.3¢
5,879 份
分享
89.4¢
→
98.3¢
$5,257.94
$5,878.99
$5,776.11
+$518.17
(+9.9%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 15.3¢
3.7万 份
分享
36.7¢
→
15.3¢
$1.38万
$3.75万
$5,752.04
−$8,008.79
(-58.2%)
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
No 98.4¢
5,548.1 份
分享
64.2¢
→
98.4¢
$3,559.98
$5,548.12
$5,456.58
+$1,896.59
(+53.3%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 98.4¢
5,132 份
分享
88.6¢
→
98.4¢
$4,547.55
$5,131.96
$5,047.28
+$499.73
(+11.0%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 90.8¢
4,693.9 份
分享
81.9¢
→
90.8¢
$3,844.52
$4,693.87
$4,264.38
+$419.86
(+10.9%)
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No 100¢
3,710.9 份
分享
94.8¢
→
100¢
$3,519.93
$3,710.92
赢
$3,710.92
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?
No 94.1¢
3,751.6 份
分享
59.0¢
→
94.1¢
$2,213.23
$3,751.58
$3,530.24
+$1,317.01
(+59.5%)
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 93¢
3,681 份
分享
90¢
→
93¢
$3,312.86
$3,680.95
$3,423.29
+$110.43
(+3.3%)
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes 100¢
3,322.7 份
分享
13.6¢
→
100¢
$450.41
$3,322.69
赢
$3,322.69
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 99.3¢
3,303.8 份
分享
97.7¢
→
99.3¢
$3,229.13
$3,303.79
$3,279.01
+$49.89
(+1.5%)
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 88.1¢
3,420 份
分享
95.5¢
→
88.1¢
$3,266.03
$3,420
$3,013.02
−$253.01
(-7.7%)
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 100¢
2,777.4 份
分享
51.8¢
→
100¢
$1,437.8
$2,777.37
赢
$2,777.37
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 86.4¢
3,077 份
分享
94.0¢
→
86.4¢
$2,894.13
$3,077.03
$2,657.01
−$237.12
(-8.2%)
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 97.0¢
2,701.5 份
分享
95.0¢
→
97.0¢
$2,565.31
$2,701.54
$2,619.14
+$53.84
(+2.1%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 17.8¢
1.5万 份
分享
0.7¢
→
17.8¢
$95.68
$1.46万
$2,582.63
+$2,486.94
(+2599.2%)
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes 48.5¢
5,008.9 份
分享
21.9¢
→
48.5¢
$1,095.41
$5,008.86
$2,429.3
+$1,333.89
(+121.8%)
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 99.2¢
2,366.9 份
分享
94.8¢
→
99.2¢
$2,242.71
$2,366.85
$2,347.92
+$105.21
(+4.7%)
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 99.7¢
1,971 份
分享
96¢
→
99.7¢
$1,892.16
$1,971
$1,964.1
+$71.94
(+3.8%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 100.0¢
1,926.4 份
分享
49.2¢
→
100.0¢
$947.05
$1,926.39
$1,925.42
+$978.37
(+103.3%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 24.4¢
7,727.7 份
分享
2.4¢
→
24.4¢
$185.48
$7,727.74
$1,889.43
+$1,703.95
(+918.7%)
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 98.4¢
1,515.7 份
分享
97.2¢
→
98.4¢
$1,472.87
$1,515.7
$1,490.69
+$17.82
(+1.2%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 100.0¢
1,441.8 份
分享
84¢
→
100.0¢
$1,211.16
$1,441.84
$1,441.12
+$229.96
(+19.0%)
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes 34¢
4,149.8 份
分享
18.7¢
→
34¢
$776.67
$4,149.81
$1,410.94
+$634.26
(+81.7%)
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 98.0¢
1,425.5 份
分享
96.8¢
→
98.0¢
$1,379.33
$1,425.55
$1,397.75
+$18.42
(+1.3%)
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
No 99.5¢
1,370.8 份
分享
71.0¢
→
99.5¢
$973.81
$1,370.79
$1,363.25
+$389.43
(+40.0%)
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 99.9¢
1,361 份
分享
98.3¢
→
99.9¢
$1,337.45
$1,360.98
$1,358.94
+$21.49
(+1.6%)
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No 98.4¢
1,351.6 份
分享
91¢
→
98.4¢
$1,230.01
$1,351.63
$1,329.33
+$99.32
(+8.1%)
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 67.5¢
1,801 份
分享
53.5¢
→
67.5¢
$963.54
$1,801
$1,215.68
+$252.14
(+26.2%)
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 67.5¢
1,785.9 份
分享
53.1¢
→
67.5¢
$947.67
$1,785.91
$1,205.49
+$257.82
(+27.2%)
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 97.0¢
1,171 份
分享
97.7¢
→
97.0¢
$1,144.52
$1,171
$1,136.46
−$8.06
(-0.7%)
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 99.7¢
1,080.6 份
分享
98.4¢
→
99.7¢
$1,063.38
$1,080.64
$1,076.86
+$13.48
(+1.3%)
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
No 93.5¢
1,145 份
分享
78.5¢
→
93.5¢
$898.5
$1,145
$1,070.58
+$172.08
(+19.2%)
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 100.0¢
891 份
分享
97.8¢
→
100.0¢
$871.05
$891
$890.55
+$19.5
(+2.2%)
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4¢
2万 份
分享
1.3¢
→
4¢
$272.09
$2.04万
$814.96
+$542.86
(+199.5%)
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?
Yes 100¢
800.3 份
分享
94.7¢
→
100¢
$757.81
$800.26
赢
$800.26
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
No 98.2¢
747 份
分享
81.5¢
→
98.2¢
$608.58
$747
$733.55
+$124.97
(+20.5%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
No 97.7¢
740.8 份
分享
60.8¢
→
97.7¢
$450.36
$740.76
$723.72
+$273.36
(+60.7%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 16.4¢
4,401.9 份
分享
3.3¢
→
16.4¢
$147.2
$4,401.86
$719.7
+$572.5
(+388.9%)
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 98.9¢
727 份
分享
98.2¢
→
98.9¢
$714.09
$726.99
$718.63
+$4.54
(+0.6%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 6.1¢
1.2万 份
分享
0.7¢
→
6.1¢
$79.16
$1.18万
$718.46
+$639.3
(+807.6%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 14.8¢
4,704.4 份
分享
23.6¢
→
14.8¢
$1,111.65
$4,704.43
$698.61
−$413.04
(-37.2%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Yes 19.5¢
3,479 份
分享
44.7¢
→
19.5¢
$1,554.31
$3,479.04
$678.41
−$875.89
(-56.4%)
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4.7¢
1.4万 份
分享
1.1¢
→
4.7¢
$159.9
$1.45万
$673.36
+$513.47
(+321.1%)
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 95.1¢
696.3 份
分享
97.1¢
→
95.1¢
$676.04
$696.27
$662.15
−$13.89
(-2.1%)
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2.9¢
2.2万 份
分享
1.1¢
→
2.9¢
$242.46
$2.24万
$659.47
+$417.01
(+172.0%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
No 11.2¢
5,631.5 份
分享
53.7¢
→
11.2¢
$3,023.52
$5,631.48
$627.91
−$2,395.61
(-79.2%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 19.4¢
3,203.8 份
分享
20.1¢
→
19.4¢
$643.67
$3,203.78
$621.53
−$22.14
(-3.4%)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 98.3¢
523 份
分享
83.5¢
→
98.3¢
$436.61
$522.99
$513.84
+$77.23
(+17.7%)
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes 12.5¢
3,785.9 份
分享
5.3¢
→
12.5¢
$199.07
$3,785.91
$473.24
+$274.17
(+137.7%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes 3.8¢
1.1万 份
分享
33.4¢
→
3.8¢
$3,667.22
$1.1万
$411.39
−$3,255.83
(-88.8%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes 13.5¢
3,022 份
分享
28.9¢
→
13.5¢
$874.54
$3,022
$407.97
−$466.57
(-53.4%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4.2¢
9,171.6 份
分享
1.6¢
→
4.2¢
$148.12
$9,171.64
$380.62
+$232.5
(+157.0%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 13.7¢
2,251 份
分享
0.4¢
→
13.7¢
$10.33
$2,251
$307.26
+$296.93
(+2873.9%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
No 100.0¢
306 份
分享
99.2¢
→
100.0¢
$303.48
$306
$305.85
+$2.37
(+0.8%)
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.9¢
1.5万 份
分享
0.7¢
→
1.9¢
$95.68
$1.46万
$283.73
+$188.04
(+196.5%)
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 98.7¢
271 份
分享
98.1¢
→
98.7¢
$265.85
$271
$267.34
+$1.49
(+0.6%)
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
Yes 97.2¢
275 份
分享
20.2¢
→
97.2¢
$55.5
$275
$267.16
+$211.66
(+381.4%)
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 98.6¢
270 份
分享
98¢
→
98.6¢
$264.6
$270
$266.09
+$1.49
(+0.6%)
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 97.5¢
271 份
分享
96.5¢
→
97.5¢
$261.52
$271
$264.23
+$2.71
(+1.0%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 91.7¢
271.9 份
分享
86.1¢
→
91.7¢
$234.26
$271.94
$249.37
+$15.11
(+6.4%)
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.8¢
1.4万 份
分享
0.7¢
→
1.8¢
$91.31
$1.39万
$243.62
+$152.31
(+166.8%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2.5¢
9,920 份
分享
0.8¢
→
2.5¢
$82.36
$9,919.99
$243.04
+$160.68
(+195.1%)
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 99.8¢
237.7 份
分享
98.8¢
→
99.8¢
$234.81
$237.66
$237.07
+$2.25
(+1.0%)
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.6¢
1.5万 份
分享
1.6¢
→
1.6¢
$235.47
$1.48万
$230.05
−$5.42
(-2.3%)
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Yes 3.3¢
6,941.9 份
分享
61.8¢
→
3.3¢
$4,288.13
$6,941.87
$229.08
−$4,059.04
(-94.7%)
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes 3.1¢
7,382 份
分享
4.6¢
→
3.1¢
$338.21
$7,382
$228.84
−$109.37
(-32.3%)
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.1¢
1万 份
分享
0.6¢
→
2.1¢
$63.41
$1.05万
$225.36
+$161.94
(+255.4%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
No 100.0¢
225 份
分享
55.0¢
→
100.0¢
$123.75
$225
$224.89
+$101.14
(+81.7%)
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 100.0¢
220.5 份
分享
98.3¢
→
100.0¢
$216.76
$220.5
$220.39
+$3.64
(+1.7%)
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
No 97.0¢
225 份
分享
81¢
→
97.0¢
$182.23
$224.98
$218.11
+$35.88
(+19.7%)
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
No 98.2¢
222 份
分享
90.4¢
→
98.2¢
$200.71
$221.99
$217.88
+$17.17
(+8.6%)
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No 95.5¢
226.1 份
分享
68.0¢
→
95.5¢
$153.7
$226.14
$215.96
+$62.26
(+40.5%)
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.5¢
1.5万 份
分享
0.6¢
→
1.5¢
$89.24
$1.48万
$213.88
+$124.64
(+139.7%)
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 99.3¢
213 份
分享
99.5¢
→
99.3¢
$211.94
$213
$211.51
−$0.43
(-0.2%)
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.4¢
1.6万 份
分享
1.0¢
→
1.4¢
$162.42
$1.57万
$211.3
+$48.88
(+30.1%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 97.5¢
215.5 份
分享
98.0¢
→
97.5¢
$211.15
$215.48
$210.2
−$0.95
(-0.5%)
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢
3.2万 份
分享
0.7¢
→
0.7¢
$225.96
$3.22万
$209.46
−$16.5
(-7.3%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 8.3¢
2,518.7 份
分享
1.8¢
→
8.3¢
$45.63
$2,518.67
$209.05
+$163.42
(+358.2%)
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.1¢
9,539 份
分享
0.6¢
→
2.1¢
$56.86
$9,538.97
$205.09
+$148.23
(+260.7%)
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 100.0¢
199.7 份
分享
89.5¢
→
100.0¢
$178.73
$199.65
$199.55
+$20.82
(+11.6%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 80.5¢
247 份
分享
58.0¢
→
80.5¢
$143.16
$246.97
$198.81
+$55.66
(+38.9%)
US recession by end of 2026?
Yes 5.5¢
3,601 份
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26.3¢
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5.5¢
$945.29
$3,601
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−$747.24
(-79.0%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 31.3¢
630.4 份
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41.1¢
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31.3¢
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$630.45
$197.02
−$62.33
(-24.0%)
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Yes 5.3¢
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7.8¢
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5.3¢
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$3,635.23
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−$89.53
(-31.5%)
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 99.4¢
195 份
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98.5¢
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99.4¢
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$194.99
$193.73
+$1.66
(+0.9%)
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 99.2¢
186 份
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97.1¢
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99.2¢
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$184.39
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Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Yes 4.5¢
4,095.6 份
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31.3¢
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4.5¢
$1,280.17
$4,095.65
$184.3
−$1,095.87
(-85.6%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 68.8¢
256.2 份
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68.8¢
$153.91
$256.17
$176.12
+$22.21
(+14.4%)
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026?
No 98.3¢
176 份
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78.7¢
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98.3¢
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$176
$172.92
+$34.38
(+24.8%)
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 99.7¢
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98.5¢
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99.7¢
$161.54
$164
$163.43
+$1.88
(+1.2%)
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.8¢
9,010.8 份
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0.7¢
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1.8¢
$64.34
$9,010.75
$157.69
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