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neutralwave23
neutralwave23
2026年1月 加入
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Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
总收益
−$2,365,484.04
1天
−$14.77万
7天
−$15.22万
30天
−$40.16万
90天
−$85.48万
总成交量
$1.64亿
预测次数
207,103
持仓价值
$30.2万
盈亏走势
历史盈亏走势
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
−$239.64万
LP 奖励
+$919.25
Maker 返利
+$5,372.51
持仓奖励
+$1,912.68
Taker 返利
+$2.27万
排名概览
综合
#3,301,654
共 330.2万 个钱包
成交量
#109
共 330.2万 个钱包
利润
#3,249,521
共 330.2万 个钱包
LP 奖励
#3,943
共 18.9万 个获奖地址
Maker 返利
#1,389
共 16.1万 个获奖地址
Taker 返利
#217
共 7.2万 个获奖地址
持仓奖励
#309
共 35.2万 个获奖地址
已付费用
#18
共 153.5万 个付费地址
持仓
活动
评论
当前
已平仓
市场
平均 → 当前
成交额
获胜可得
价值
分享
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 14.8¢
26.9万 份
分享
10.4¢
→
14.8¢
$2.8万
$26.86万
$3.99万
+$1.18万
(+42.2%)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
No 15.3¢
11.6万 份
分享
66.3¢
→
15.3¢
$7.66万
$11.55万
$1.76万
−$5.9万
(-77.0%)
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
No 98¢
1.6万 份
分享
85.8¢
→
98¢
$1.38万
$1.61万
$1.58万
+$1,960.47
(+14.2%)
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Yes 26.4¢
5.6万 份
分享
27.0¢
→
26.4¢
$1.52万
$5.62万
$1.48万
−$352.91
(-2.3%)
Will Real Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?
Yes 76.5¢
1.4万 份
分享
75.6¢
→
76.5¢
$1.03万
$1.36万
$1.04万
+$117.93
(+1.1%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
No 89.8¢
1.1万 份
分享
43.6¢
→
89.8¢
$4,808.78
$1.1万
$9,902.16
+$5,093.38
(+105.9%)
Timberwolves vs. Rockets
Rockets 73.5¢
1.3万 份
分享
74¢
→
73.5¢
$9,707.1
$1.31万
$9,641.48
−$65.63
(-0.7%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
No 93.5¢
8,394.5 份
分享
73.0¢
→
93.5¢
$6,131.17
$8,394.45
$7,848.81
+$1,717.64
(+28.0%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 89.7¢
7,111.5 份
分享
79.6¢
→
89.7¢
$5,661.9
$7,111.54
$6,379.05
+$717.15
(+12.7%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 100.0¢
5,674.5 份
分享
65.9¢
→
100.0¢
$3,739.3
$5,674.54
$5,671.71
+$1,932.41
(+51.7%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 97.9¢
5,671.2 份
分享
89.5¢
→
97.9¢
$5,079.14
$5,671.24
$5,549.31
+$470.17
(+9.3%)
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
No 96.4¢
4,817.2 份
分享
78.9¢
→
96.4¢
$3,800.72
$4,817.17
$4,641.35
+$840.63
(+22.1%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 24.4¢
1.9万 份
分享
15.6¢
→
24.4¢
$2,930.3
$1.87万
$4,572.46
+$1,642.15
(+56.0%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No 98.3¢
4,537.4 份
分享
91.6¢
→
98.3¢
$4,154.77
$4,537.38
$4,457.97
+$303.2
(+7.3%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 14.1¢
2.9万 份
分享
3.2¢
→
14.1¢
$929.9
$2.88万
$4,079.08
+$3,149.18
(+338.7%)
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 85.2¢
4,606.1 份
分享
82.6¢
→
85.2¢
$3,804.74
$4,606.11
$3,922.1
+$117.36
(+3.1%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 16.4¢
2.4万 份
分享
16.9¢
→
16.4¢
$3,976.37
$2.35万
$3,849.96
−$126.41
(-3.2%)
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 12.5¢
3.1万 份
分享
11.2¢
→
12.5¢
$3,463.23
$3.08万
$3,849.72
+$386.49
(+11.2%)
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
No 96.3¢
3,904.1 份
分享
66.1¢
→
96.3¢
$2,580.66
$3,904.1
$3,757.7
+$1,177.04
(+45.6%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 100.0¢
3,427.9 份
分享
94.0¢
→
100.0¢
$3,220.65
$3,427.9
$3,426.19
+$205.54
(+6.4%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?
Yes 80.5¢
4,100.5 份
分享
80.3¢
→
80.5¢
$3,292.11
$4,100.46
$3,300.87
+$8.76
(+0.3%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 14.8¢
2.1万 份
分享
17.6¢
→
14.8¢
$3,727.4
$2.12万
$3,150.66
−$576.74
(-15.5%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 84.5¢
3,500.7 份
分享
28.3¢
→
84.5¢
$992.49
$3,500.7
$2,958.09
+$1,965.6
(+198.0%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 2.5¢
10.7万 份
分享
6.9¢
→
2.5¢
$7,385.84
$10.68万
$2,724.55
−$4,661.28
(-63.1%)
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Yes 28.8¢
8,794.8 份
分享
29.9¢
→
28.8¢
$2,628.78
$8,794.82
$2,537.31
−$91.47
(-3.5%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 96.3¢
2,604.6 份
分享
73.9¢
→
96.3¢
$1,923.72
$2,604.6
$2,506.93
+$583.21
(+30.3%)
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
Yes 54.5¢
4,545.5 份
分享
55.5¢
→
54.5¢
$2,524.02
$4,545.47
$2,477.28
−$46.74
(-1.9%)
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Yes 69.5¢
3,433.5 份
分享
45.0¢
→
69.5¢
$1,543.66
$3,433.55
$2,386.32
+$842.65
(+54.6%)
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Yes 70.5¢
3,368 份
分享
67.4¢
→
70.5¢
$2,271.2
$3,368.02
$2,374.45
+$103.25
(+4.5%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Yes 3.4¢
6.8万 份
分享
15.6¢
→
3.4¢
$1.05万
$6.75万
$2,262.15
−$8,252.46
(-78.5%)
Will Barcelona reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?
Yes 78.5¢
2,870.3 份
分享
82.0¢
→
78.5¢
$2,353.62
$2,870.27
$2,253.16
−$100.45
(-4.3%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
Yes 66.5¢
3,236 份
分享
66.0¢
→
66.5¢
$2,134.83
$3,236.05
$2,151.97
+$17.14
(+0.8%)
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 32.5¢
6,312.9 份
分享
51.5¢
→
32.5¢
$3,249.41
$6,312.87
$2,051.68
−$1,197.73
(-36.9%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 39.9¢
4,982.5 份
分享
33.4¢
→
39.9¢
$1,666.32
$4,982.5
$1,988.02
+$321.7
(+19.3%)
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes 14.1¢
1.4万 份
分享
12.7¢
→
14.1¢
$1,751.78
$1.38万
$1,948.38
+$196.6
(+11.2%)
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4¢
4.9万 份
分享
2.5¢
→
4¢
$1,244.88
$4.87万
$1,946
+$701.12
(+56.3%)
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
Cavaliers 42.5¢
4,331.9 份
分享
44.0¢
→
42.5¢
$1,906.05
$4,331.93
$1,841.07
−$64.97
(-3.4%)
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
Yes 45¢
3,890.5 份
分享
51.4¢
→
45¢
$2,001.46
$3,890.51
$1,750.73
−$250.72
(-12.5%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 20.5¢
8,509.6 份
分享
24.8¢
→
20.5¢
$2,110.31
$8,509.61
$1,744.47
−$365.84
(-17.3%)
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No 88.5¢
1,693.8 份
分享
86.0¢
→
88.5¢
$1,456.67
$1,693.8
$1,499.01
+$42.35
(+2.9%)
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No 71.2¢
1,968 份
分享
68.6¢
→
71.2¢
$1,350.45
$1,967.99
$1,400.23
+$49.78
(+3.7%)
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.1¢
6.1万 份
分享
2.3¢
→
2.1¢
$1,428.32
$6.08万
$1,307.94
−$120.38
(-8.4%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 8.5¢
1.5万 份
分享
23.8¢
→
8.5¢
$3,627.91
$1.52万
$1,294.05
−$2,333.86
(-64.3%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 78.5¢
1,532.4 份
分享
63.7¢
→
78.5¢
$975.83
$1,532.4
$1,202.94
+$227.11
(+23.3%)
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
No 99.4¢
1,184.7 份
分享
88.3¢
→
99.4¢
$1,045.99
$1,184.69
$1,176.99
+$130.99
(+12.5%)
Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?
Yes 93.5¢
1,258.5 份
分享
84.4¢
→
93.5¢
$1,062.25
$1,258.53
$1,176.72
+$114.47
(+10.8%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 10.5¢
1.1万 份
分享
12.3¢
→
10.5¢
$1,329.53
$1.08万
$1,137.98
−$191.56
(-14.4%)
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?
No 96.9¢
1,127.6 份
分享
85.8¢
→
96.9¢
$967.5
$1,127.59
$1,092.07
+$124.57
(+12.9%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 8.3¢
1.3万 份
分享
9.3¢
→
8.3¢
$1,188.58
$1.27万
$1,056.48
−$132.1
(-11.1%)
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
No 96.8¢
1,070.9 份
分享
82.8¢
→
96.8¢
$886.25
$1,070.91
$1,036.64
+$150.39
(+17.0%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 59¢
1,732.4 份
分享
69.4¢
→
59¢
$1,201.73
$1,732.4
$1,022.12
−$179.61
(-14.9%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 60.1¢
1,697.8 份
分享
55.9¢
→
60.1¢
$949.8
$1,697.76
$1,020.36
+$70.56
(+7.4%)
Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes 100.0¢
1,020.2 份
分享
83.3¢
→
100.0¢
$849.75
$1,020.18
$1,019.67
+$169.92
(+20.0%)
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 67¢
1,518.3 份
分享
44.7¢
→
67¢
$679.14
$1,518.28
$1,017.25
+$338.1
(+49.8%)
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 69.9¢
1,427 份
分享
50.3¢
→
69.9¢
$718.37
$1,426.99
$997.46
+$279.1
(+38.9%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 11.5¢
8,394.3 份
分享
68.8¢
→
11.5¢
$5,771.33
$8,394.31
$965.35
−$4,805.98
(-83.3%)
Will Arm (ARM) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes 91.5¢
917.2 份
分享
90.0¢
→
91.5¢
$825.97
$917.21
$839.25
+$13.28
(+1.6%)
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes 2.9¢
2.8万 份
分享
12.6¢
→
2.9¢
$3,461.11
$2.75万
$812.41
−$2,648.7
(-76.5%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 3.6¢
2.2万 份
分享
6.6¢
→
3.6¢
$1,480.87
$2.24万
$808.07
−$672.8
(-45.4%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes 100.0¢
804.1 份
分享
78.9¢
→
100.0¢
$634.53
$804.07
$803.67
+$169.14
(+26.7%)
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
No 45.5¢
1,692.8 份
分享
50.8¢
→
45.5¢
$859.72
$1,692.77
$770.21
−$89.51
(-10.4%)
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Yes 99.9¢
769.4 份
分享
82.9¢
→
99.9¢
$637.77
$769.44
$768.29
+$130.51
(+20.5%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 53.7¢
1,388.7 份
分享
55.2¢
→
53.7¢
$766.07
$1,388.74
$745.76
−$20.31
(-2.7%)
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?
No 73.2¢
952.7 份
分享
48.0¢
→
73.2¢
$457.63
$952.72
$696.91
+$239.28
(+52.3%)
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
Gen.G 91.5¢
723.7 份
分享
91.0¢
→
91.5¢
$658.56
$723.69
$662.18
+$3.62
(+0.5%)
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Yes 87¢
746.4 份
分享
80.4¢
→
87¢
$599.94
$746.41
$649.38
+$49.44
(+8.2%)
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
Tommy Paul 100.0¢
636.4 份
分享
80.7¢
→
100.0¢
$513.38
$636.38
$636.06
+$122.68
(+23.9%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes 53¢
1,179.1 份
分享
59.2¢
→
53¢
$698.17
$1,179.07
$624.91
−$73.26
(-10.5%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?
Yes 18¢
3,407.4 份
分享
35.0¢
→
18¢
$1,191.75
$3,407.42
$613.33
−$578.41
(-48.5%)
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes 12.5¢
4,842.3 份
分享
11.9¢
→
12.5¢
$576.14
$4,842.35
$605.29
+$29.15
(+5.1%)
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?
No 96.5¢
623 份
分享
79¢
→
96.5¢
$492.17
$623
$600.88
+$108.71
(+22.1%)
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?
No 98.8¢
594 份
分享
90¢
→
98.8¢
$534.6
$594
$586.58
+$51.98
(+9.7%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 27.7¢
2,116.2 份
分享
29.0¢
→
27.7¢
$613.42
$2,116.2
$586.19
−$27.23
(-4.4%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No 98.4¢
586.3 份
分享
81.9¢
→
98.4¢
$480.32
$586.25
$576.58
+$96.26
(+20.0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 88.5¢
640.2 份
分享
44.0¢
→
88.5¢
$282.07
$640.24
$566.61
+$284.54
(+100.9%)
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Yes 1.1¢
4.9万 份
分享
1.5¢
→
1.1¢
$712.15
$4.9万
$564.06
−$148.1
(-20.8%)
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Yes 8.5¢
6,577.1 份
分享
7.1¢
→
8.5¢
$465.69
$6,577.1
$559.05
+$93.36
(+20.0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 7.5¢
7,353.6 份
分享
40.2¢
→
7.5¢
$2,956.13
$7,353.62
$551.52
−$2,404.61
(-81.3%)
Will Humana (HUM) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes 89¢
616 份
分享
84.8¢
→
89¢
$522.27
$616.03
$548.27
+$26
(+5.0%)
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Maya Joint vs Maria Sakkari
Maria Sakkari 92.5¢
587.2 份
分享
61.7¢
→
92.5¢
$362.45
$587.15
$543.12
+$180.66
(+49.8%)
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 9.5¢
5,644.3 份
分享
31.6¢
→
9.5¢
$1,783.45
$5,644.27
$536.21
−$1,247.24
(-69.9%)
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Yes 95.6¢
540.1 份
分享
94.6¢
→
95.6¢
$510.78
$540.13
$516.36
+$5.58
(+1.1%)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes 1.8¢
2.7万 份
分享
2.9¢
→
1.8¢
$789.34
$2.73万
$478.07
−$311.27
(-39.4%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 19.4¢
2,301.3 份
分享
16.9¢
→
19.4¢
$389.22
$2,301.34
$446.46
+$57.24
(+14.7%)
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Lorenzo Musetti
Alexander Zverev 67.5¢
655.1 份
分享
71.3¢
→
67.5¢
$467.04
$655.07
$442.17
−$24.87
(-5.3%)
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 7.5¢
5,606.9 份
分享
2.0¢
→
7.5¢
$110.39
$5,606.9
$420.52
+$310.13
(+280.9%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No 100.0¢
412.1 份
分享
92.1¢
→
100.0¢
$379.59
$412.12
$411.91
+$32.32
(+8.5%)
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes 8.8¢
4,669.5 份
分享
10.6¢
→
8.8¢
$496.59
$4,669.48
$408.58
−$88.01
(-17.7%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Yes 22¢
1,831 份
分享
24.8¢
→
22¢
$453.35
$1,831.03
$402.83
−$50.52
(-11.1%)
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Yes 27.5¢
1,458.8 份
分享
49.5¢
→
27.5¢
$722.12
$1,458.77
$401.16
−$320.95
(-44.4%)
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 31.2¢
1,268.6 份
分享
19.7¢
→
31.2¢
$249.57
$1,268.6
$395.8
+$146.23
(+58.6%)
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
No 42.5¢
927.1 份
分享
35.1¢
→
42.5¢
$325.6
$927.06
$394
+$68.39
(+21.0%)
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 95.1¢
391.1 份
分享
86.7¢
→
95.1¢
$339.01
$391.12
$371.95
+$32.94
(+9.7%)
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Yes 14.5¢
2,537 份
分享
11.1¢
→
14.5¢
$282.45
$2,537.02
$367.87
+$85.42
(+30.2%)
Will HubSpot (HUBS) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes 83.5¢
438.1 份
分享
88.5¢
→
83.5¢
$387.55
$438.09
$365.81
−$21.75
(-5.6%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Yes 18.5¢
1,951.3 份
分享
17.1¢
→
18.5¢
$333.01
$1,951.33
$361
+$27.99
(+8.4%)
Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
Yes 30.8¢
1,153.1 份
分享
25.9¢
→
30.8¢
$298.95
$1,153.08
$355.15
+$56.2
(+18.8%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 3.5¢
9,568 份
分享
36.6¢
→
3.5¢
$3,500.41
$9,567.98
$339.66
−$3,160.74
(-90.3%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Yes 10.2¢
3,327.6 份
分享
73.1¢
→
10.2¢
$2,432.99
$3,327.62
$337.75
−$2,095.24
(-86.1%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November?
Yes 5.5¢
5,708.6 份
分享
8.1¢
→
5.5¢
$460.59
$5,708.61
$313.97
−$146.62
(-31.8%)
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