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Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
总收益
$175,966.53
1天
−$5,343.03
7天
−$1,959.9
30天
−$1,805.23
90天
$4.7万
总成交量
$4877.57万
预测次数
4,852
持仓价值
$8.6万
盈亏走势
历史盈亏走势
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
+$9.03万
LP 奖励
+$8.47万
Maker 返利
+$602.47
持仓奖励
+$166.90
Taker 返利
+$182.88
持仓
活动
评论
当前
已平仓
市场
平均 → 当前
成交额
获胜可得
价值
分享
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
No 97.5¢
6,000 份
分享
80.4¢
→
97.5¢
$4,822.1
$6,000
$5,847
+$1,024.9
(+21.3%)
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
Yes 80.5¢
6,403 份
分享
23.8¢
→
80.5¢
$1,526.64
$6,402.96
$5,154.38
+$3,627.75
(+237.6%)
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No 91¢
4,669.3 份
分享
68.4¢
→
91¢
$3,195.76
$4,669.33
$4,249.09
+$1,053.33
(+33.0%)
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
No 94¢
3,772.5 份
分享
89.8¢
→
94¢
$3,385.81
$3,772.48
$3,546.13
+$160.32
(+4.7%)
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
No 68.5¢
4,150.1 份
分享
65.8¢
→
68.5¢
$2,732.17
$4,150.14
$2,842.85
+$110.67
(+4.1%)
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?
No 65¢
3,631 份
分享
79.0¢
→
65¢
$2,868.47
$3,630.98
$2,360.14
−$508.33
(-17.7%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?
No 98.8¢
2,359.9 份
分享
95¢
→
98.8¢
$2,241.9
$2,359.9
$2,330.4
+$88.5
(+3.9%)
Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?
No 96.9¢
2,402.4 份
分享
80.8¢
→
96.9¢
$1,942.45
$2,402.41
$2,327.94
+$385.48
(+19.8%)
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
No 71¢
3,065.5 份
分享
49.6¢
→
71¢
$1,522.17
$3,065.54
$2,176.53
+$654.36
(+43.0%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 72.0¢
3,000 份
分享
53.7¢
→
72.0¢
$1,609.98
$2,999.96
$2,158.47
+$548.5
(+34.1%)
Will Tyreek Hill sign with the Kansas City Chiefs in 2026?
No 71¢
2,800 份
分享
57.6¢
→
71¢
$1,611.61
$2,800
$1,988
+$376.39
(+23.4%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 90.5¢
1,858.9 份
分享
82.0¢
→
90.5¢
$1,524.26
$1,858.85
$1,681.33
+$157.07
(+10.3%)
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?
Yes 80.3¢
1,903 份
分享
45.3¢
→
80.3¢
$862.41
$1,903.03
$1,528.13
+$665.73
(+77.2%)
Will primmie play for Global Esports in 2027?
No 96.8¢
1,554 份
分享
94.4¢
→
96.8¢
$1,467.43
$1,554.04
$1,503.53
+$36.1
(+2.5%)
Manchester City punishment announced by December 18?
No 83.5¢
1,740.8 份
分享
58.1¢
→
83.5¢
$1,012.03
$1,740.78
$1,453.55
+$441.52
(+43.6%)
Manchester City punishment announced by December 4?
No 88.5¢
1,633.1 份
分享
78¢
→
88.5¢
$1,273.93
$1,633.08
$1,445.28
+$171.35
(+13.5%)
Will the US birth rate in 2026 be 51.0 or higher?
Yes 85.5¢
1,672.1 份
分享
89.9¢
→
85.5¢
$1,503.37
$1,672.1
$1,429.65
−$73.72
(-4.9%)
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?
Yes 10.8¢
1.3万 份
分享
11.6¢
→
10.8¢
$1,515.42
$1.31万
$1,413.8
−$101.62
(-6.7%)
AI bubble burst in 2026?
No 91.5¢
1,544.8 份
分享
90.1¢
→
91.5¢
$1,391.56
$1,544.81
$1,413.5
+$21.94
(+1.6%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026?
No 91.5¢
1,500 份
分享
82.9¢
→
91.5¢
$1,243.58
$1,500.01
$1,372.51
+$128.93
(+10.4%)
Will four or more people dissent the January Fed decision?
No 93.8¢
1,393.2 份
分享
85.4¢
→
93.8¢
$1,189.48
$1,393.18
$1,306.11
+$116.62
(+9.8%)
Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?
No 93.9¢
1,384.6 份
分享
52.8¢
→
93.9¢
$730.96
$1,384.6
$1,300.14
+$569.18
(+77.9%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Yes 59.5¢
1,985.1 份
分享
16.5¢
→
59.5¢
$327.91
$1,985.12
$1,181.14
+$853.23
(+260.2%)
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?
Yes 14.5¢
7,000 份
分享
12.2¢
→
14.5¢
$856.59
$7,000
$1,015
+$158.41
(+18.5%)
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?
Yes 97.9¢
1,004.3 份
分享
83.5¢
→
97.9¢
$838.47
$1,004.28
$983.19
+$144.72
(+17.3%)
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
No 95.5¢
1,000 份
分享
88.0¢
→
95.5¢
$880.41
$1,000
$955
+$74.59
(+8.5%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 14.8¢
5,948.6 份
分享
41.6¢
→
14.8¢
$2,473.72
$5,948.56
$883.36
−$1,590.36
(-64.3%)
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
No 67.5¢
1,300 份
分享
60.9¢
→
67.5¢
$791.99
$1,300
$877.5
+$85.51
(+10.8%)
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
No 95¢
920.3 份
分享
89.2¢
→
95¢
$821.28
$920.31
$874.29
+$53.02
(+6.5%)
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?
Yes 57.5¢
1,511.3 份
分享
20.3¢
→
57.5¢
$306.62
$1,511.29
$868.99
+$562.37
(+183.4%)
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?
No 77¢
1,109.3 份
分享
77.8¢
→
77¢
$862.63
$1,109.25
$854.12
−$8.51
(-1.0%)
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?
Yes 14.0¢
5,449.2 份
分享
19.6¢
→
14.0¢
$1,069.05
$5,449.22
$762.89
−$306.15
(-28.6%)
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by December 31?
No 92.6¢
806.9 份
分享
80.3¢
→
92.6¢
$648.27
$806.91
$747.2
+$98.93
(+15.3%)
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?
Yes 73.5¢
1,006.4 份
分享
19.5¢
→
73.5¢
$196.53
$1,006.39
$739.7
+$543.16
(+276.4%)
Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027?
Yes 87.5¢
825.7 份
分享
35.9¢
→
87.5¢
$296.35
$825.71
$722.5
+$426.14
(+143.8%)
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No 89.5¢
746.5 份
分享
92.0¢
→
89.5¢
$686.78
$746.5
$668.12
−$18.66
(-2.7%)
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?
No 81.5¢
750 份
分享
64.5¢
→
81.5¢
$483.88
$750
$611.25
+$127.37
(+26.3%)
Will "Despacito" by Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
No 90¢
670 份
分享
87¢
→
90¢
$582.9
$670
$603
+$20.1
(+3.4%)
Will Amazon launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
No 89.5¢
638.6 份
分享
81.4¢
→
89.5¢
$519.69
$638.61
$571.56
+$51.87
(+10.0%)
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?
No 69.5¢
788.3 份
分享
59.7¢
→
69.5¢
$470.56
$788.33
$547.89
+$77.33
(+16.4%)
Will Japan win Group F at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?
No 98.4¢
532.2 份
分享
24.5¢
→
98.4¢
$130.59
$532.22
$523.44
+$392.85
(+300.8%)
Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
No 86.5¢
581 份
分享
68¢
→
86.5¢
$395.11
$581.04
$502.6
+$107.49
(+27.2%)
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
Yes 64.6¢
752.9 份
分享
61.3¢
→
64.6¢
$461.55
$752.91
$486.38
+$24.83
(+5.4%)
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
No 65.5¢
735.2 份
分享
53.4¢
→
65.5¢
$392.73
$735.21
$481.56
+$88.83
(+22.6%)
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
No 97.7¢
483 份
分享
88.3¢
→
97.7¢
$426.64
$483
$471.65
+$45.01
(+10.5%)
Will "As It Was" by Harry Styles be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
No 88¢
467.6 份
分享
85.0¢
→
88¢
$397.43
$467.56
$411.45
+$14.03
(+3.5%)
Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?
Yes 22.5¢
1,823.4 份
分享
20.5¢
→
22.5¢
$374.87
$1,823.39
$410.26
+$35.4
(+9.4%)
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
No 97.9¢
412.5 份
分享
61.2¢
→
97.9¢
$252.45
$412.5
$403.63
+$151.18
(+59.9%)
Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 30?
Yes 86.5¢
464.3 份
分享
78.0¢
→
86.5¢
$362.11
$464.25
$401.58
+$39.46
(+10.9%)
Will AI solve the Hadamard matrix conjecture in 2026?
No 83¢
471 份
分享
82.8¢
→
83¢
$389.89
$471
$390.93
+$1.04
(+0.3%)
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?
No 97.0¢
350 份
分享
83.9¢
→
97.0¢
$293.55
$350
$339.33
+$45.78
(+15.6%)
Manchester City punishment announced by November 6?
No 99.8¢
340 份
分享
72¢
→
99.8¢
$244.8
$340
$339.32
+$94.52
(+38.6%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Yes 67¢
500 份
分享
56.2¢
→
67¢
$281.24
$500
$335
+$53.76
(+19.1%)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
No 15.4¢
2,000 份
分享
78.1¢
→
15.4¢
$1,561.52
$2,000
$309
−$1,252.52
(-80.2%)
Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points?
Yes 25¢
1,200 份
分享
18¢
→
25¢
$216.08
$1,200
$300
+$83.92
(+38.8%)
Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?
No 95.0¢
309 份
分享
79.2¢
→
95.0¢
$244.79
$309
$293.4
+$48.6
(+19.9%)
Will Manchester City's 115 charges verdict be overturned by June 30, 2027?
No 87¢
334.1 份
分享
69.3¢
→
87¢
$231.52
$334.07
$290.64
+$59.13
(+25.5%)
Will James Comer be the Republican nominee for Kentucky Governor?
Yes 83¢
346.4 份
分享
49.2¢
→
83¢
$170.56
$346.36
$287.48
+$116.92
(+68.6%)
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
No 93.9¢
295 份
分享
89.1¢
→
93.9¢
$262.9
$295
$277.01
+$14.11
(+5.4%)
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 19¢
1,415.7 份
分享
65.5¢
→
19¢
$926.73
$1,415.7
$268.98
−$657.75
(-71.0%)
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
No 94.5¢
274 份
分享
35.4¢
→
94.5¢
$97
$274
$258.93
+$161.93
(+166.9%)
Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 98.3¢
250 份
分享
57.0¢
→
98.3¢
$142.5
$250
$245.63
+$103.13
(+72.4%)
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 89¢
263 份
分享
64.3¢
→
89¢
$169.07
$263.03
$234.1
+$65.03
(+38.5%)
Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO?
Yes 29.1¢
800.1 份
分享
8.6¢
→
29.1¢
$68.61
$800.1
$232.83
+$164.22
(+239.4%)
Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?
No 80.5¢
283.5 份
分享
61.7¢
→
80.5¢
$174.94
$283.5
$228.22
+$53.28
(+30.5%)
Will US births in 2026 be between 3.50 million and 3.53 million?
No 97.2¢
230 份
分享
77.7¢
→
97.2¢
$178.7
$230
$223.45
+$44.75
(+25.0%)
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No 5.5¢
4,000 份
分享
73.0¢
→
5.5¢
$2,920
$4,000
$222
−$2,698
(-92.4%)
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?
Yes 22.5¢
978.1 份
分享
20.0¢
→
22.5¢
$195.61
$978.06
$220.06
+$24.46
(+12.5%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 5.5¢
4,000 份
分享
0.9¢
→
5.5¢
$35.1
$4,000
$220
+$184.9
(+526.8%)
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
No 4.4¢
5,000 份
分享
64.2¢
→
4.4¢
$3,209.96
$4,999.98
$220
−$2,989.96
(-93.1%)
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?
Yes 5.3¢
4,086.9 份
分享
19.6¢
→
5.3¢
$801.79
$4,086.92
$218.65
−$583.14
(-72.7%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026?
No 92.3¢
235.4 份
分享
87.5¢
→
92.3¢
$205.96
$235.42
$217.41
+$11.46
(+5.6%)
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 8.5¢
2,522.2 份
分享
0.9¢
→
8.5¢
$22.13
$2,522.17
$214.38
+$192.25
(+868.7%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
No 11.5¢
1,858.9 份
分享
19.0¢
→
11.5¢
$353.18
$1,858.85
$213.77
−$139.41
(-39.5%)
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
No 89¢
237 份
分享
89.4¢
→
89¢
$211.88
$237
$210.93
−$0.95
(-0.4%)
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?
Yes 70.5¢
297 份
分享
49.6¢
→
70.5¢
$147.21
$297
$209.39
+$62.18
(+42.2%)
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027?
No 55.5¢
373 份
分享
45¢
→
55.5¢
$167.85
$373
$207.02
+$39.17
(+23.3%)
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Yes 5.1¢
4,000 份
分享
0.9¢
→
5.1¢
$35.1
$4,000
$202
+$166.9
(+475.5%)
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
No 28.1¢
702.9 份
分享
9.4¢
→
28.1¢
$66.11
$702.92
$197.87
+$131.76
(+199.3%)
Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?
No 87¢
225 份
分享
62.5¢
→
87¢
$140.7
$225
$195.75
+$55.05
(+39.1%)
Will Manchester City be deducted Premier League points by June 30, 2027?
No 24.5¢
790.6 份
分享
14.8¢
→
24.5¢
$116.62
$790.61
$193.7
+$77.08
(+66.1%)
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and a Democrat win the 2028 presidential election?
No 29.6¢
646 份
分享
50.0¢
→
29.6¢
$322.96
$646
$191.54
−$131.42
(-40.7%)
Will "Blinding Lights" by The Weeknd be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?
No 45.5¢
417 份
分享
80¢
→
45.5¢
$333.6
$417
$189.74
−$143.87
(-43.1%)
Will Ricky Pearsall have 674.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No 98.3¢
192 份
分享
97.6¢
→
98.3¢
$187.34
$192
$188.74
+$1.4
(+0.7%)
Will South Korea win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?
Yes 41.5¢
454 份
分享
2.7¢
→
41.5¢
$12.15
$453.95
$188.39
+$176.24
(+1450.4%)
Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?
Yes 19.5¢
883.2 份
分享
6.3¢
→
19.5¢
$55.2
$883.19
$172.22
+$117.02
(+212.0%)
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
No 84.6¢
200 份
分享
40.8¢
→
84.6¢
$81.6
$200
$169.2
+$87.6
(+107.4%)
Will Thailand win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?
Yes 23.6¢
703.6 份
分享
2.7¢
→
23.6¢
$18.83
$703.61
$166.05
+$147.22
(+781.7%)
Manchester City punishment announced by November 20?
No 88.5¢
180 份
分享
61.6¢
→
88.5¢
$110.8
$180
$159.3
+$48.5
(+43.8%)
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
No 97¢
160.3 份
分享
97.0¢
→
97¢
$155.5
$160.31
$155.5
+$0
(+0.0%)
Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026?
No 77.1¢
198.6 份
分享
71.0¢
→
77.1¢
$141.03
$198.63
$153.14
+$12.12
(+8.6%)
Will Boca Juniors win the 2027 Copa Libertadores?
No 86.5¢
170 份
分享
80.5¢
→
86.5¢
$136.94
$170
$146.97
+$10.03
(+7.3%)
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by October 30, 2026?
No 97.1¢
149 份
分享
75.4¢
→
97.1¢
$112.38
$148.98
$144.66
+$32.28
(+28.7%)
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
No 9.4¢
1,500 份
分享
77.0¢
→
9.4¢
$1,155
$1,500
$141
−$1,014
(-87.8%)
Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?
No 95.5¢
145 份
分享
48¢
→
95.5¢
$69.6
$145
$138.48
+$68.88
(+99.0%)
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?
No 98.7¢
140 份
分享
87.1¢
→
98.7¢
$122
$140
$138.18
+$16.18
(+13.3%)
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
No 1.8¢
6,999.4 份
分享
52.0¢
→
1.8¢
$3,639.69
$6,999.41
$129.49
−$3,510.2
(-96.4%)
Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No 97.9¢
126.7 份
分享
92.3¢
→
97.9¢
$117.05
$126.74
$124.01
+$6.96
(+5.9%)
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?
No 96¢
126.2 份
分享
87.7¢
→
96¢
$110.67
$126.19
$121.14
+$10.47
(+9.5%)
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 1.9¢
6,198.5 份
分享
0.7¢
→
1.9¢
$45.37
$6,198.45
$120.87
+$75.5
(+166.4%)
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