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2024年10月 加入
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Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
总收益
$643,862.20
1天
$4,810.49
7天
$1.06万
30天
$1.34万
90天
$2.76万
总成交量
$2.15亿
预测次数
43,200
持仓价值
$64.6万
盈亏走势
历史盈亏走势
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
+$63.3万
LP 奖励
+$9,925.87
Maker 返利
+$837.12
持仓奖励
+$7,459.26
推荐奖励
+$43.25
Taker 返利
+$467.42
费用
−$7,907.89
排名概览
综合
#333
共 330.2万 个钱包
成交量
#64
共 330.2万 个钱包
利润
#327
共 330.2万 个钱包
LP 奖励
#627
共 18.9万 个获奖地址
Maker 返利
#5,404
共 16.1万 个获奖地址
Taker 返利
#3,361
共 7.2万 个获奖地址
推荐奖励
#4,858
共 1万 个获奖地址
持仓奖励
#65
共 35.2万 个获奖地址
已付费用
#3,843
共 153.5万 个付费地址
持仓
活动
评论
当前
已平仓
市场
平均 → 当前
成交额
获胜可得
价值
分享
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 85.2¢
46.5万 份
分享
50¢
→
85.2¢
$23.25万
$46.5万
$39.59万
+$16.34万
(+70.3%)
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 100.0¢
12万 份
分享
95¢
→
100.0¢
$11.4万
$12万
$11.99万
+$5,938.7
(+5.2%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 14.8¢
46.5万 份
分享
50¢
→
14.8¢
$23.26万
$46.52万
$6.91万
−$16.35万
(-70.3%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 96.3¢
5.5万 份
分享
59.3¢
→
96.3¢
$3.26万
$5.51万
$5.3万
+$2.04万
(+62.3%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 97.4¢
1,688.9 份
分享
0¢
→
97.4¢
$0
$1,688.92
$1,645.01
+$1,645.01
(+0.0%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 100.0¢
1,612.6 份
分享
0¢
→
100.0¢
$0
$1,612.59
$1,611.79
+$1,611.79
(+0.0%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No 100.0¢
354.2 份
分享
81.3¢
→
100.0¢
$287.95
$354.16
$353.98
+$66.03
(+22.9%)
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.1¢
1.1万 份
分享
0.6¢
→
2.1¢
$68.65
$1.13万
$242.21
+$173.56
(+252.8%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Yes 95.5¢
245.2 份
分享
0¢
→
95.5¢
$0
$245.22
$234.18
+$234.18
(+0.0%)
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 100.0¢
174.1 份
分享
99.4¢
→
100.0¢
$173.13
$174.1
$174.01
+$0.89
(+0.5%)
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.5¢
1.1万 份
分享
0.6¢
→
1.5¢
$68.65
$1.13万
$163.35
+$94.7
(+137.9%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 19.4¢
615.2 份
分享
0.4¢
→
19.4¢
$2.55
$615.23
$119.36
+$116.81
(+4589.4%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 98.8¢
111.8 份
分享
0¢
→
98.8¢
$0
$111.8
$110.4
+$110.4
(+0.0%)
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
No 100.0¢
100 份
分享
45.6¢
→
100.0¢
$45.63
$100
$99.95
+$54.32
(+119.0%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 25.1¢
374.8 份
分享
0.6¢
→
25.1¢
$2.28
$374.83
$93.89
+$91.61
(+4010.6%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 89.7¢
102.9 份
分享
0¢
→
89.7¢
$0
$102.86
$92.27
+$92.27
(+0.0%)
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 1.6¢
5,607.3 份
分享
0.6¢
→
1.6¢
$31.55
$5,607.3
$89.72
+$58.17
(+184.4%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes 100.0¢
88.8 份
分享
0¢
→
100.0¢
$0
$88.78
$88.74
+$88.74
(+0.0%)
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?
Yes 86.5¢
85.3 份
分享
0¢
→
86.5¢
$0
$85.28
$73.77
+$73.77
(+0.0%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 27.8¢
239.3 份
分享
0¢
→
27.8¢
$0
$239.27
$66.4
+$66.4
(+0.0%)
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
Yes 85¢
60.5 份
分享
0¢
→
85¢
$0
$60.54
$51.46
+$51.46
(+0.0%)
Will Adam Hamilton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢
1.1万 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.4¢
$69.14
$1.13万
$51.06
−$18.09
(-26.2%)
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢
1.1万 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.4¢
$68.59
$1.13万
$50.65
−$17.94
(-26.2%)
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 30.1¢
147.2 份
分享
0¢
→
30.1¢
$0
$147.16
$44.3
+$44.3
(+0.0%)
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?
No 99.6¢
40.9 份
分享
99.6¢
→
99.6¢
$40.73
$40.91
$40.75
+$0.02
(+0.0%)
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 1.4¢
2,743.2 份
分享
0.6¢
→
1.4¢
$15.4
$2,743.16
$37.03
+$21.63
(+140.4%)
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
Yes 100.0¢
36.6 份
分享
0¢
→
100.0¢
$0
$36.57
$36.55
+$36.55
(+0.0%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 8.5¢
416 份
分享
50¢
→
8.5¢
$208.01
$416.02
$35.36
−$172.65
(-83.0%)
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?
No 98.4¢
34.7 份
分享
84.5¢
→
98.4¢
$29.27
$34.65
$34.08
+$4.81
(+16.5%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 40.4¢
80 份
分享
0¢
→
40.4¢
$0
$80
$32.32
+$32.32
(+0.0%)
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
No 99.8¢
30.5 份
分享
97.6¢
→
99.8¢
$29.78
$30.52
$30.44
+$0.66
(+2.2%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 54.9¢
55.3 份
分享
0¢
→
54.9¢
$0
$55.27
$30.35
+$30.35
(+0.0%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 14.1¢
193.1 份
分享
0.8¢
→
14.1¢
$1.51
$193.08
$27.32
+$25.81
(+1711.4%)
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
No 98.2¢
27.7 份
分享
92.8¢
→
98.2¢
$25.69
$27.69
$27.18
+$1.49
(+5.8%)
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Yes 94.3¢
28.2 份
分享
0¢
→
94.3¢
$0
$28.23
$26.64
+$26.64
(+0.0%)
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?
No 99.8¢
26.5 份
分享
98.8¢
→
99.8¢
$26.17
$26.49
$26.42
+$0.25
(+1.0%)
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?
No 99.7¢
26.5 份
分享
98.2¢
→
99.7¢
$26.01
$26.49
$26.4
+$0.38
(+1.5%)
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 99.8¢
26.2 份
分享
99.0¢
→
99.8¢
$25.95
$26.21
$26.14
+$0.19
(+0.7%)
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢
5,670.9 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.4¢
$31.78
$5,670.87
$25.52
−$6.26
(-19.7%)
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Yes 2.8¢
905.4 份
分享
0¢
→
2.8¢
$0
$905.35
$25.35
+$25.35
(+0.0%)
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
No 92.5¢
27 份
分享
64.5¢
→
92.5¢
$17.43
$27.03
$25
+$7.57
(+43.4%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
No 95¢
26.3 份
分享
83.3¢
→
95¢
$21.9
$26.3
$24.99
+$3.09
(+14.1%)
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 100.0¢
24.6 份
分享
97.5¢
→
100.0¢
$23.98
$24.6
$24.59
+$0.61
(+2.5%)
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 100.0¢
24.6 份
分享
98.8¢
→
100.0¢
$24.32
$24.6
$24.59
+$0.27
(+1.1%)
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 100.0¢
24.6 份
分享
97.0¢
→
100.0¢
$23.86
$24.6
$24.59
+$0.73
(+3.1%)
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 99.8¢
24.6 份
分享
98.9¢
→
99.8¢
$24.33
$24.6
$24.54
+$0.21
(+0.9%)
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 99.8¢
24.6 份
分享
97.0¢
→
99.8¢
$23.86
$24.6
$24.54
+$0.68
(+2.9%)
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 99.6¢
24.6 份
分享
98.1¢
→
99.6¢
$24.12
$24.6
$24.49
+$0.37
(+1.5%)
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 99.4¢
24.6 份
分享
97.8¢
→
99.4¢
$24.07
$24.6
$24.44
+$0.37
(+1.5%)
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 99.2¢
24.6 份
分享
95¢
→
99.2¢
$23.37
$24.6
$24.39
+$1.02
(+4.4%)
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 99.2¢
24.6 份
分享
98.4¢
→
99.2¢
$24.21
$24.6
$24.39
+$0.18
(+0.8%)
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 98.9¢
24.6 份
分享
97.5¢
→
98.9¢
$23.98
$24.6
$24.32
+$0.34
(+1.4%)
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 98.7¢
24.6 份
分享
97.9¢
→
98.7¢
$24.09
$24.6
$24.27
+$0.18
(+0.8%)
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 98.3¢
24.6 份
分享
98.8¢
→
98.3¢
$24.31
$24.6
$24.17
−$0.14
(-0.6%)
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 97.5¢
24.6 份
分享
97.7¢
→
97.5¢
$24.04
$24.6
$23.99
−$0.06
(-0.2%)
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 97.0¢
24.6 份
分享
96.6¢
→
97.0¢
$23.78
$24.6
$23.87
+$0.1
(+0.4%)
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 96.1¢
24.6 份
分享
98.0¢
→
96.1¢
$24.1
$24.6
$23.64
−$0.46
(-1.9%)
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 95.1¢
24.6 份
分享
98.0¢
→
95.1¢
$24.1
$24.6
$23.39
−$0.71
(-2.9%)
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 94.5¢
24.6 份
分享
83¢
→
94.5¢
$20.42
$24.6
$23.25
+$2.83
(+13.9%)
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
No 78.1¢
29.4 份
分享
2.1¢
→
78.1¢
$0.61
$29.45
$23
+$22.39
(+3693.8%)
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 7.5¢
305.6 份
分享
0¢
→
7.5¢
$0
$305.64
$22.92
+$22.92
(+0.0%)
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 93¢
24.6 份
分享
93¢
→
93¢
$22.88
$24.6
$22.88
+$0
(+0.0%)
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 92.8¢
24.6 份
分享
98.8¢
→
92.8¢
$24.31
$24.6
$22.83
−$1.48
(-6.1%)
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 91.3¢
24.6 份
分享
96.0¢
→
91.3¢
$23.62
$24.6
$22.45
−$1.17
(-5.0%)
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 88.0¢
24.6 份
分享
97.0¢
→
88.0¢
$23.85
$24.6
$21.66
−$2.19
(-9.2%)
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 87.5¢
24.6 份
分享
92¢
→
87.5¢
$22.63
$24.6
$21.53
−$1.11
(-4.9%)
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 85.9¢
24.6 份
分享
96¢
→
85.9¢
$23.62
$24.6
$21.12
−$2.5
(-10.6%)
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 86.0¢
24.4 份
分享
0¢
→
86.0¢
$0
$24.38
$20.95
+$20.95
(+0.0%)
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢
5,670.9 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.4¢
$31.78
$5,670.87
$19.85
−$11.93
(-37.5%)
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢
5,670.9 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.4¢
$31.78
$5,670.87
$19.85
−$11.93
(-37.5%)
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Yes 97¢
20 份
分享
0¢
→
97¢
$0
$20
$19.4
+$19.4
(+0.0%)
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?
No 100.0¢
18.3 份
分享
99.8¢
→
100.0¢
$18.29
$18.33
$18.32
+$0.03
(+0.2%)
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 85.5¢
20 份
分享
0¢
→
85.5¢
$0
$20
$17.1
+$17.1
(+0.0%)
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
1.1万 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.1¢
$69.14
$1.13万
$17.02
−$52.12
(-75.4%)
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
1.1万 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.1¢
$69.14
$1.13万
$17.02
−$52.12
(-75.4%)
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
1.1万 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.1¢
$69.14
$1.13万
$17.02
−$52.12
(-75.4%)
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
1.1万 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.1¢
$69.14
$1.13万
$17.02
−$52.12
(-75.4%)
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
1.1万 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.1¢
$69.14
$1.13万
$17.02
−$52.12
(-75.4%)
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
1.1万 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.1¢
$69.14
$1.13万
$17.02
−$52.12
(-75.4%)
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 100.0¢
16.9 份
分享
98.6¢
→
100.0¢
$16.68
$16.92
$16.91
+$0.23
(+1.4%)
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
1.1万 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.1¢
$68.65
$1.13万
$16.9
−$51.76
(-75.4%)
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.1¢
1.1万 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.1¢
$68.65
$1.13万
$16.9
−$51.76
(-75.4%)
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?
No 99.9¢
16.9 份
分享
99.6¢
→
99.9¢
$16.82
$16.9
$16.87
+$0.05
(+0.3%)
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 100.0¢
16.8 份
分享
96.9¢
→
100.0¢
$16.29
$16.81
$16.8
+$0.51
(+3.1%)
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 100.0¢
16.7 份
分享
99.0¢
→
100.0¢
$16.49
$16.66
$16.65
+$0.16
(+1.0%)
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 100.0¢
16.7 份
分享
99.1¢
→
100.0¢
$16.51
$16.66
$16.65
+$0.14
(+0.8%)
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 100.0¢
16.7 份
分享
99.1¢
→
100.0¢
$16.51
$16.66
$16.65
+$0.14
(+0.8%)
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 98.0¢
16.8 份
分享
97.9¢
→
98.0¢
$16.47
$16.81
$16.48
+$0.02
(+0.1%)
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 96.9¢
16.8 份
分享
95¢
→
96.9¢
$15.97
$16.81
$16.29
+$0.32
(+2.0%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 3.6¢
450.4 份
分享
0.6¢
→
3.6¢
$2.74
$450.43
$16.22
+$13.47
(+490.8%)
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 96.5¢
16.7 份
分享
98.3¢
→
96.5¢
$16.38
$16.66
$16.09
−$0.29
(-1.8%)
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢
1,966.9 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.8¢
$11.99
$1,966.88
$15.74
+$3.75
(+31.3%)
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Yes 76.5¢
20 份
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0¢
→
76.5¢
$0
$20
$15.3
+$15.3
(+0.0%)
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢
5,670.9 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.3¢
$31.78
$5,670.87
$14.18
−$17.6
(-55.4%)
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢
5,670.9 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.3¢
$31.78
$5,670.87
$14.18
−$17.6
(-55.4%)
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢
5,670.9 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.3¢
$31.78
$5,670.87
$14.18
−$17.6
(-55.4%)
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢
5,670.9 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.3¢
$31.78
$5,670.87
$14.18
−$17.6
(-55.4%)
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 0.3¢
5,607.3 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0.3¢
$31.55
$5,607.3
$14.02
−$17.53
(-55.6%)
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
No 50.5¢
26.5 份
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91.1¢
→
50.5¢
$24.14
$26.49
$13.38
−$10.77
(-44.6%)
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 100.0¢
12.5 份
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98.6¢
→
100.0¢
$12.34
$12.51
$12.5
+$0.16
(+1.3%)
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