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Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
总收益
$1,677,465.03
1天
$2.11万
7天
$3.16万
30天
$6.25万
90天
$9.06万
总成交量
$1.93亿
预测次数
9,182
持仓价值
$28.61万
盈亏走势
历史盈亏走势
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
+$157.44万
LP 奖励
+$9.89万
Maker 返利
+$3,700.76
持仓奖励
+$8,389.96
推荐奖励
+$4,207.16
Taker 返利
+$735.12
费用
−$1.29万
排名概览
综合
#99
共 330.2万 个钱包
成交量
#82
共 330.2万 个钱包
利润
#105
共 330.2万 个钱包
LP 奖励
#51
共 18.9万 个获奖地址
Maker 返利
#1,849
共 16.1万 个获奖地址
Taker 返利
#2,419
共 7.2万 个获奖地址
推荐奖励
#370
共 1万 个获奖地址
持仓奖励
#55
共 35.2万 个获奖地址
已付费用
#2,458
共 153.5万 个付费地址
持仓
活动
评论
当前
已平仓
市场
平均 → 当前
成交额
获胜可得
价值
分享
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 86.5¢
4.5万 份
分享
82.2¢
→
86.5¢
$3.7万
$4.5万
$3.89万
+$1,931.85
(+5.2%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No 100.0¢
2.2万 份
分享
99.9¢
→
100.0¢
$2.22万
$2.22万
$2.22万
+$11.13
(+0.1%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 100.0¢
2.2万 份
分享
99.8¢
→
100.0¢
$2.22万
$2.22万
$2.22万
+$33.37
(+0.2%)
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
No 78.5¢
2.5万 份
分享
76.1¢
→
78.5¢
$1.91万
$2.5万
$1.97万
+$589.55
(+3.1%)
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
No 69.5¢
1.7万 份
分享
72.5¢
→
69.5¢
$1.25万
$1.73万
$1.2万
−$522.68
(-4.2%)
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
No 77.5¢
1.1万 份
分享
78.6¢
→
77.5¢
$8,721.74
$1.11万
$8,597.99
−$123.75
(-1.4%)
Israeli Knesset election annulled?
No 97.0¢
8,361.4 份
分享
95.2¢
→
97.0¢
$7,959.74
$8,361.4
$8,106.38
+$146.63
(+1.8%)
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No 98.1¢
7,792 份
分享
97.9¢
→
98.1¢
$7,632.2
$7,792
$7,643.95
+$11.75
(+0.2%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 89.7¢
7,598 份
分享
79.9¢
→
89.7¢
$6,070.42
$7,598
$6,815.41
+$744.98
(+12.3%)
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
No 97.7¢
5,965.3 份
分享
95.9¢
→
97.7¢
$5,719.92
$5,965.34
$5,828.14
+$108.22
(+1.9%)
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes 100.0¢
5,120 份
分享
99.5¢
→
100.0¢
$5,095.74
$5,120.01
$5,117.45
+$21.71
(+0.4%)
Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 47.5¢
9,148.3 份
分享
47.2¢
→
47.5¢
$4,322.42
$9,148.3
$4,345.44
+$23.03
(+0.5%)
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
No 69.5¢
5,843.5 份
分享
70.8¢
→
69.5¢
$4,139.01
$5,843.45
$4,061.2
−$77.81
(-1.9%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes 37.5¢
1万 份
分享
36.9¢
→
37.5¢
$3,756.57
$1.02万
$3,819.87
+$63.31
(+1.7%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes 39.2¢
9,744.4 份
分享
40.7¢
→
39.2¢
$3,969.43
$9,744.38
$3,819.8
−$149.63
(-3.8%)
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?
No 98.2¢
3,724.1 份
分享
97.2¢
→
98.2¢
$3,621.24
$3,724.12
$3,655.22
+$33.98
(+0.9%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
Yes 34.5¢
1万 份
分享
31.4¢
→
34.5¢
$3,231.69
$1.03万
$3,546.07
+$314.38
(+9.7%)
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No 91.5¢
3,477.3 份
分享
91.0¢
→
91.5¢
$3,164.76
$3,477.32
$3,181.75
+$16.99
(+0.5%)
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
Yes 85¢
3,572 份
分享
79.7¢
→
85¢
$2,846.16
$3,572
$3,036.2
+$190.04
(+6.7%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Yes 10.5¢
2.7万 份
分享
11.6¢
→
10.5¢
$3,111.66
$2.69万
$2,825.65
−$286.01
(-9.2%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?
No 29.5¢
8,394.4 份
分享
28.8¢
→
29.5¢
$2,415.89
$8,394.36
$2,476.34
+$60.45
(+2.5%)
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
No 95.6¢
2,516.9 份
分享
96.5¢
→
95.6¢
$2,427.86
$2,516.92
$2,406.17
−$21.68
(-0.9%)
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
No 64.5¢
3,460.4 份
分享
60.8¢
→
64.5¢
$2,104.26
$3,460.39
$2,231.95
+$127.69
(+6.1%)
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Yes 100.0¢
2,225.8 份
分享
99.4¢
→
100.0¢
$2,211.77
$2,225.82
$2,224.71
+$12.93
(+0.6%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 97.9¢
2,222 份
分享
96.2¢
→
97.9¢
$2,137.57
$2,222.01
$2,174.24
+$36.67
(+1.7%)
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
No 82.5¢
2,617.7 份
分享
81.3¢
→
82.5¢
$2,129.02
$2,617.68
$2,159.59
+$30.57
(+1.4%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
Yes 21.5¢
9,999.4 份
分享
25.9¢
→
21.5¢
$2,593.81
$9,999.44
$2,149.88
−$443.94
(-17.1%)
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No 97.2¢
2,000 份
分享
95.6¢
→
97.2¢
$1,911.62
$2,000.02
$1,943.02
+$31.4
(+1.6%)
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
No 98.3¢
1,956 份
分享
96.1¢
→
98.3¢
$1,879.74
$1,956.02
$1,921.79
+$42.05
(+2.2%)
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No 92.5¢
1,925.4 份
分享
90¢
→
92.5¢
$1,733
$1,925.44
$1,781.04
+$48.03
(+2.8%)
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney by November 30?
Yes 93.7¢
1,873.8 份
分享
95.9¢
→
93.7¢
$1,796.18
$1,873.79
$1,754.8
−$41.38
(-2.3%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?
Yes 22.5¢
7,344.4 份
分享
23¢
→
22.5¢
$1,689.33
$7,344.37
$1,652.48
−$36.85
(-2.2%)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
No 98.4¢
1,672.3 份
分享
97.2¢
→
98.4¢
$1,625.49
$1,672.31
$1,644.72
+$19.23
(+1.2%)
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 56.5¢
2,901.8 份
分享
79.0¢
→
56.5¢
$2,292.4
$2,901.81
$1,639.52
−$652.88
(-28.5%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Yes 69.5¢
2,076.6 份
分享
63.4¢
→
69.5¢
$1,316.64
$2,076.58
$1,443.22
+$126.59
(+9.6%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Yes 62.5¢
2,221.6 份
分享
60.1¢
→
62.5¢
$1,336.08
$2,221.59
$1,388.49
+$52.42
(+3.9%)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Yes 92.5¢
1,500 份
分享
83.2¢
→
92.5¢
$1,247.98
$1,500
$1,387.5
+$139.52
(+11.2%)
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?
Yes 68¢
2,000 份
分享
66.9¢
→
68¢
$1,337.65
$1,999.99
$1,359.99
+$22.34
(+1.7%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 8.8¢
1.5万 份
分享
8.1¢
→
8.8¢
$1,239.57
$1.53万
$1,336.86
+$97.29
(+7.8%)
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No 70.3¢
1,800 份
分享
64.2¢
→
70.3¢
$1,155.59
$1,799.99
$1,265.39
+$109.8
(+9.5%)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
Yes 89.5¢
1,409.8 份
分享
69.7¢
→
89.5¢
$982.35
$1,409.78
$1,261.75
+$279.4
(+28.4%)
Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in November 2026?
No 99.9¢
1,211 份
分享
99.7¢
→
99.9¢
$1,207.92
$1,211
$1,209.18
+$1.27
(+0.1%)
Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 95.5¢
1,228 份
分享
93.4¢
→
95.5¢
$1,146.99
$1,228.02
$1,172.76
+$25.77
(+2.2%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?
Yes 22.5¢
5,168.5 份
分享
22.8¢
→
22.5¢
$1,176.59
$5,168.54
$1,162.92
−$13.67
(-1.2%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
No 92.5¢
1,252.8 份
分享
79.8¢
→
92.5¢
$999.32
$1,252.8
$1,158.84
+$159.52
(+16.0%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 9.2¢
1.2万 份
分享
14.1¢
→
9.2¢
$1,735.7
$1.23万
$1,123.8
−$611.9
(-35.3%)
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?
No 89¢
1,238.7 份
分享
67.9¢
→
89¢
$841.33
$1,238.72
$1,102.46
+$261.13
(+31.0%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?
Yes 52.5¢
2,048 份
分享
50.5¢
→
52.5¢
$1,034.61
$2,048
$1,075.2
+$40.59
(+3.9%)
Trump out as President before 2027?
No 96.5¢
1,108.4 份
分享
96.1¢
→
96.5¢
$1,065.21
$1,108.44
$1,069.09
+$3.88
(+0.4%)
NATO dissolves before 2027?
No 98.6¢
1,063.9 份
分享
93.0¢
→
98.6¢
$989.35
$1,063.85
$1,048.42
+$59.08
(+6.0%)
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
No 96.9¢
1,033.5 份
分享
95.0¢
→
96.9¢
$981.96
$1,033.52
$1,001.48
+$19.52
(+2.0%)
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Yes 15.5¢
6,393 份
分享
25.4¢
→
15.5¢
$1,626.22
$6,392.99
$990.91
−$635.3
(-39.1%)
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?
No 98.0¢
1,000 份
分享
90¢
→
98.0¢
$900
$1,000
$979.5
+$79.5
(+8.8%)
Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?
No 97.1¢
1,000 份
分享
93¢
→
97.1¢
$930
$1,000
$971
+$41
(+4.4%)
Will the Bitcoin halving occur by June 30, 2028?
Yes 93.5¢
1,029 份
分享
93.6¢
→
93.5¢
$962.77
$1,029.03
$962.14
−$0.63
(-0.1%)
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 3.1¢
3万 份
分享
3.7¢
→
3.1¢
$1,130.83
$3.05万
$960.32
−$170.51
(-15.1%)
GTA VI released by November 30?
Yes 98.8¢
970.4 份
分享
94.2¢
→
98.8¢
$914.44
$970.43
$958.3
+$43.86
(+4.8%)
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
No 93.5¢
1,000 份
分享
90.2¢
→
93.5¢
$902.14
$1,000.01
$935.01
+$32.87
(+3.6%)
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
No 91.5¢
1,000 份
分享
90¢
→
91.5¢
$900
$1,000
$915
+$15
(+1.7%)
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?
No 95.3¢
955.3 份
分享
92.5¢
→
95.3¢
$883.99
$955.27
$909.9
+$25.91
(+2.9%)
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
Yes 18¢
5,000 份
分享
14.0¢
→
18¢
$700
$5,000
$900
+$200
(+28.6%)
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
No 95¢
895.5 份
分享
91.0¢
→
95¢
$814.9
$895.5
$850.73
+$35.82
(+4.4%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 98.5¢
800 份
分享
36.2¢
→
98.5¢
$289.6
$800
$787.6
+$498
(+172.0%)
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No 91¢
848.7 份
分享
68.7¢
→
91¢
$583.44
$848.68
$772.3
+$188.86
(+32.4%)
Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?
No 93¢
825 份
分享
92.2¢
→
93¢
$760.51
$825.01
$767.26
+$6.75
(+0.9%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?
No 72.5¢
1,055 份
分享
78.3¢
→
72.5¢
$825.9
$1,055
$764.87
−$61.02
(-7.4%)
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
No 97.2¢
777 份
分享
98.0¢
→
97.2¢
$761.44
$777
$754.86
−$6.58
(-0.9%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Yes 93.6¢
800 份
分享
85.5¢
→
93.6¢
$684.01
$800.02
$748.81
+$64.8
(+9.5%)
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 94.5¢
791.7 份
分享
91.4¢
→
94.5¢
$723.82
$791.7
$748.55
+$24.74
(+3.4%)
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
No 98.2¢
755 份
分享
96.2¢
→
98.2¢
$726.04
$754.97
$741
+$14.96
(+2.1%)
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
No 95.0¢
764.2 份
分享
95.1¢
→
95.0¢
$726.85
$764.21
$726.38
−$0.47
(-0.1%)
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
No 94.3¢
724.9 份
分享
82.3¢
→
94.3¢
$596.67
$724.92
$683.96
+$87.29
(+14.6%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 20.5¢
3,333 份
分享
19¢
→
20.5¢
$633.27
$3,333
$683.27
+$50
(+7.9%)
Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027?
No 91¢
739.5 份
分享
79.6¢
→
91¢
$588.61
$739.5
$672.95
+$84.34
(+14.3%)
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
No 99.0¢
676.9 份
分享
95.1¢
→
99.0¢
$643.54
$676.87
$669.76
+$26.22
(+4.1%)
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
Yes 70.5¢
900 份
分享
64.0¢
→
70.5¢
$576
$900
$634.5
+$58.5
(+10.2%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?
Yes 8.5¢
7,314.6 份
分享
10.4¢
→
8.5¢
$763.92
$7,314.57
$621.74
−$142.18
(-18.6%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 8.5¢
7,288.3 份
分享
33.8¢
→
8.5¢
$2,462.14
$7,288.29
$619.5
−$1,842.64
(-74.8%)
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2.9¢
2万 份
分享
2.7¢
→
2.9¢
$560.77
$2.04万
$603.08
+$42.32
(+7.5%)
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?
No 97.4¢
615.6 份
分享
97.8¢
→
97.4¢
$602.09
$615.57
$599.57
−$2.52
(-0.4%)
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un by November 30?
No 91¢
644.3 份
分享
87.6¢
→
91¢
$564.5
$644.26
$586.27
+$21.77
(+3.9%)
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Yes 5.5¢
9,999.6 份
分享
49.6¢
→
5.5¢
$4,957.39
$9,999.61
$549.98
−$4,407.41
(-88.9%)
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
No 98.9¢
549.6 份
分享
93.2¢
→
98.9¢
$512.52
$549.65
$543.32
+$30.81
(+6.0%)
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
Yes 27¢
1,977 份
分享
29.7¢
→
27¢
$587.94
$1,976.99
$533.79
−$54.15
(-9.2%)
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
No 97.8¢
527.2 份
分享
95.0¢
→
97.8¢
$500.8
$527.21
$515.34
+$14.54
(+2.9%)
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?
Yes 89¢
572.7 份
分享
77.2¢
→
89¢
$441.97
$572.74
$509.74
+$67.77
(+15.3%)
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?
No 84.5¢
600.1 份
分享
65.8¢
→
84.5¢
$394.97
$600.08
$507.07
+$112.1
(+28.4%)
Will Ilhan Omar be deported by June 30, 2027
No 93¢
538.9 份
分享
91.5¢
→
93¢
$493.28
$538.95
$501.22
+$7.95
(+1.6%)
Will Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes 32¢
1,555.9 份
分享
43.7¢
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32¢
$679.88
$1,555.88
$497.88
−$182
(-26.8%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Yes 83.5¢
595.8 份
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62.5¢
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83.5¢
$372.24
$595.81
$497.5
+$125.27
(+33.7%)
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Yes 89¢
555 份
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84.0¢
→
89¢
$466.2
$555.01
$493.96
+$27.75
(+6.0%)
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?
Yes 89¢
555 份
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86.7¢
→
89¢
$481.25
$555
$493.95
+$12.7
(+2.6%)
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes 33.5¢
1,458.6 份
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46.4¢
→
33.5¢
$676.67
$1,458.61
$488.64
−$188.03
(-27.8%)
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
No 97.1¢
449.6 份
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57.0¢
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97.1¢
$256.28
$449.61
$436.57
+$180.29
(+70.4%)
Will Excelsior be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie?
No 86.1¢
494.9 份
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90.5¢
→
86.1¢
$447.9
$494.91
$425.87
−$22.03
(-4.9%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 6.0¢
6,788.3 份
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1.4¢
→
6.0¢
$95.04
$6,788.34
$410.69
+$315.66
(+332.1%)
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes 33¢
1,243.8 份
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48.1¢
→
33¢
$598.48
$1,243.85
$410.47
−$188.01
(-31.4%)
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Yes 98.6¢
415.4 份
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78.7¢
→
98.6¢
$327.02
$415.37
$409.34
+$82.32
(+25.2%)
Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028?
No 97.8¢
415.3 份
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95.3¢
→
97.8¢
$396
$415.28
$405.94
+$9.94
(+2.5%)
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?
Yes 53.5¢
738.6 份
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50.8¢
→
53.5¢
$375.18
$738.61
$395.15
+$19.97
(+5.3%)
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