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2021年12月 加入
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Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
总收益
$1,223,128.03
1天
$6,048.66
7天
$6,092.65
30天
$4,889.64
90天
$7.44万
总成交量
$1.03亿
预测次数
1,036
持仓价值
$23.89万
盈亏走势
历史盈亏走势
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
+$114.84万
LP 奖励
+$7.26万
Maker 返利
+$1,584.77
持仓奖励
+$307.00
Taker 返利
+$257.66
持仓
活动
评论
当前
已平仓
市场
平均 → 当前
成交额
获胜可得
价值
分享
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No 92.5¢
6.1万 份
分享
90.0¢
→
92.5¢
$5.46万
$6.06万
$5.61万
+$1,515.87
(+2.8%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 80.5¢
4.6万 份
分享
44.3¢
→
80.5¢
$2.02万
$4.57万
$3.68万
+$1.65万
(+81.8%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Yes 63.5¢
5.6万 份
分享
37.3¢
→
63.5¢
$2.08万
$5.59万
$3.55万
+$1.47万
(+70.4%)
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 31.7¢
8.6万 份
分享
48.0¢
→
31.7¢
$4.13万
$8.6万
$2.73万
−$1.4万
(-34.0%)
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
No 97.9¢
2.8万 份
分享
90.5¢
→
97.9¢
$2.5万
$2.76万
$2.7万
+$2,009.79
(+8.1%)
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 33.5¢
3.9万 份
分享
48¢
→
33.5¢
$1.88万
$3.91万
$1.31万
−$5,669.54
(-30.2%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 40.8¢
2.5万 份
分享
29.9¢
→
40.8¢
$7,415.63
$2.48万
$1.01万
+$2,689.72
(+36.3%)
Plague pandemic in 2026?
No 98.6¢
8,252.8 份
分享
94.5¢
→
98.6¢
$7,799.89
$8,252.75
$8,133.09
+$333.2
(+4.3%)
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
No 97.3¢
6,145.3 份
分享
94.0¢
→
97.3¢
$5,776.48
$6,145.31
$5,979.39
+$202.91
(+3.5%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
No 9.6¢
5.2万 份
分享
13.4¢
→
9.6¢
$7,052.85
$5.24万
$5,008.77
−$2,044.08
(-29.0%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No 41¢
7,070.9 份
分享
48.2¢
→
41¢
$3,406.9
$7,070.87
$2,899.06
−$507.84
(-14.9%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Yes 14.0¢
1.4万 份
分享
11.5¢
→
14.0¢
$1,567.92
$1.37万
$1,915.02
+$347.1
(+22.1%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Yes 10.5¢
1.5万 份
分享
46.0¢
→
10.5¢
$7,082.84
$1.54万
$1,616.98
−$5,465.86
(-77.2%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?
Yes 10¢
1.5万 份
分享
18.6¢
→
10¢
$2,873.72
$1.55万
$1,547.67
−$1,326.05
(-46.1%)
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 1.7¢
7.8万 份
分享
3.9¢
→
1.7¢
$3,037.89
$7.77万
$1,281.71
−$1,756.18
(-57.8%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Yes 2.3¢
5.4万 份
分享
6.9¢
→
2.3¢
$3,722.87
$5.4万
$1,242.18
−$2,480.69
(-66.6%)
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
No 9.5¢
1.2万 份
分享
12.1¢
→
9.5¢
$1,400.04
$1.16万
$1,102
−$298.04
(-21.3%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
Yes 3.3¢
1.4万 份
分享
19.9¢
→
3.3¢
$2,721
$1.37万
$450.58
−$2,270.42
(-83.4%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Yes 3.2¢
1.1万 份
分享
10.1¢
→
3.2¢
$1,110.76
$1.1万
$352.97
−$757.8
(-68.2%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
Yes 4.1¢
5,178.2 份
分享
12.0¢
→
4.1¢
$621.39
$5,178.22
$212.31
−$409.08
(-65.8%)
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?
Yes 29.5¢
600 份
分享
73.6¢
→
29.5¢
$441.55
$600
$177
−$264.55
(-59.9%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
Yes 4.3¢
3,230 份
分享
21¢
→
4.3¢
$678.3
$3,230
$137.28
−$541.03
(-79.8%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
No 3.9¢
3,511.8 份
分享
2.0¢
→
3.9¢
$71.43
$3,511.79
$135.2
+$63.78
(+89.3%)
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
No 26.6¢
500 份
分享
22¢
→
26.6¢
$110
$500
$132.75
+$22.75
(+20.7%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 3.3¢
2,937.6 份
分享
20.5¢
→
3.3¢
$603.28
$2,937.64
$96.94
−$506.34
(-83.9%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Yes 22¢
394.5 份
分享
27.5¢
→
22¢
$108.31
$394.52
$86.79
−$21.51
(-19.9%)
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.4¢
1.9万 份
分享
1.8¢
→
0.4¢
$340.33
$1.88万
$84.53
−$255.8
(-75.2%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?
No 98.8¢
80 份
分享
75¢
→
98.8¢
$60
$80
$79.04
+$19.04
(+31.7%)
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Yes 1.6¢
4,605.2 份
分享
15.9¢
→
1.6¢
$732.03
$4,605.18
$71.38
−$660.65
(-90.2%)
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Yes 2.2¢
2,869.6 份
分享
11.3¢
→
2.2¢
$325.4
$2,869.63
$63.13
−$262.27
(-80.6%)
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
OpenAI 2.1¢
2,627.6 份
分享
25¢
→
2.1¢
$657.07
$2,627.62
$55.18
−$601.89
(-91.6%)
Will CDU be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?
No 96.7¢
56.1 份
分享
89.9¢
→
96.7¢
$50.41
$56.07
$54.19
+$3.78
(+7.5%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Yes 0.9¢
4,453.7 份
分享
3.7¢
→
0.9¢
$163.21
$4,453.7
$42.31
−$120.9
(-74.1%)
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 0.9¢
3,916.2 份
分享
21.2¢
→
0.9¢
$831.75
$3,916.24
$37.2
−$794.55
(-95.5%)
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Yes 3.6¢
655.4 份
分享
3.2¢
→
3.6¢
$20.81
$655.39
$23.59
+$2.78
(+13.4%)
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
OpenAI 14.0¢
161.2 份
分享
10.1¢
→
14.0¢
$16.28
$161.2
$22.57
+$6.29
(+38.6%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes 0.8¢
2,444.5 份
分享
1.2¢
→
0.8¢
$30.09
$2,444.47
$19.56
−$10.53
(-35.0%)
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?
Yes 2.9¢
548.5 份
分享
1.1¢
→
2.9¢
$6.03
$548.47
$15.91
+$9.87
(+163.6%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
Yes 0.9¢
823.9 份
分享
0.8¢
→
0.9¢
$6.42
$823.92
$7.42
+$0.99
(+15.5%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes 0.1¢
1,946.5 份
分享
0.3¢
→
0.1¢
$5.13
$1,946.52
$1.95
−$3.18
(-62.1%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes 0.1¢
1,861.7 份
分享
0.2¢
→
0.1¢
$3.72
$1,861.74
$1.86
−$1.86
(-50.0%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes 0.1¢
3,040.8 份
分享
0.3¢
→
0.1¢
$8.41
$3,040.83
$1.52
−$6.89
(-81.9%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 0.1¢
807.8 份
分享
5.0¢
→
0.1¢
$40.13
$807.8
$1.21
−$38.92
(-97.0%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes 0.1¢
1,602.3 份
分享
0.2¢
→
0.1¢
$3.2
$1,602.29
$0.8
−$2.4
(-75.0%)
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Yes 0¢
62.4 份
分享
12¢
→
0¢
$7.49
$62.39
输
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
Yes 0¢
4,602.8 份
分享
0.6¢
→
0¢
$28.23
$4,602.8
输
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 0¢
636.9 份
分享
3.2¢
→
0¢
$20.38
$636.94
输
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Yes 0¢
1 份
分享
0.3¢
→
0¢
$0
$1
输
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Yes 0¢
400 份
分享
37.5¢
→
0¢
$150.03
$400.03
输
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 0¢
1,400 份
分享
27.0¢
→
0¢
$377.76
$1,400
输
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31?
Yes 0¢
1,423.6 份
分享
12.9¢
→
0¢
$184.23
$1,423.62
输
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?
Yes 0¢
6,000 份
分享
9.7¢
→
0¢
$580.22
$6,000
输
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
No 0¢
2,000.1 份
分享
11.1¢
→
0¢
$222.01
$2,000.12
输
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 0¢
677.6 份
分享
2.8¢
→
0¢
$18.97
$677.63
输
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
No 0¢
1,200 份
分享
12¢
→
0¢
$144
$1,200
输
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?
No 0¢
5,000 份
分享
12¢
→
0¢
$600
$4,999.96
输
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by August 31?
Yes 0¢
2,632.6 份
分享
0.8¢
→
0¢
$20.8
$2,632.6
输
Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?
Yes 0¢
695.5 份
分享
7.4¢
→
0¢
$51.48
$695.53
输
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
Yes 0¢
690 份
分享
8¢
→
0¢
$55.2
$690
输
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 0¢
5.7万 份
分享
5.3¢
→
0¢
$3,030.79
$5.73万
输
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 0¢
500 份
分享
5.7¢
→
0¢
$28.72
$500
输
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 0¢
687.2 份
分享
40.0¢
→
0¢
$275.11
$687.2
输
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Yes 0¢
1.7万 份
分享
9.1¢
→
0¢
$1,549.99
$1.7万
输
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes 0¢
5,583.5 份
分享
22.3¢
→
0¢
$1,246.71
$5,583.5
输
Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?
Yes 0¢
1.6万 份
分享
0.1¢
→
0¢
$15.43
$1.57万
输
Will AfD win the most seats in 0 German state elections in September 2026?
Yes 0¢
20 份
分享
0.3¢
→
0¢
$0.06
$20
输
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
No 0¢
1,452.8 份
分享
42.3¢
→
0¢
$614.64
$1,452.82
输
Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?
No 0¢
500.8 份
分享
20.6¢
→
0¢
$103.4
$500.78
输
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes 0¢
8.5万 份
分享
5.3¢
→
0¢
$4,534.83
$8.5万
输
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?
Yes 0¢
617.6 份
分享
14.6¢
→
0¢
$90.48
$617.63
输
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Yes 0¢
5,368.5 份
分享
0.7¢
→
0¢
$37.58
$5,368.5
输
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes 0¢
6.7万 份
分享
1.5¢
→
0¢
$995.16
$6.66万
输
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