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总收益
$49,075.31
1天
−$1.1万
7天
$2,969.05
30天
$1.79万
90天
$3.4万
总成交量
$1884.53万
预测次数
13,316
持仓价值
$4,070.67
盈亏走势
历史盈亏走势
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
−$9.62万
LP 奖励
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+$6,917.00
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+$1.52
Taker 返利
+$17.75
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分享
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
No 68.5¢
349 份
分享
72¢
→
68.5¢
$251.28
$349
$239.07
−$12.22
(-4.9%)
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
Yes 12.5¢
1,898.4 份
分享
18¢
→
12.5¢
$341.71
$1,898.39
$237.3
−$104.41
(-30.6%)
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
Yes 67.5¢
309.1 份
分享
69¢
→
67.5¢
$213.27
$309.09
$208.64
−$4.64
(-2.2%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No 69¢
243 份
分享
71.0¢
→
69¢
$172.53
$243
$167.67
−$4.86
(-2.8%)
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
Yes 13.5¢
894 份
分享
16¢
→
13.5¢
$143.04
$894
$120.69
−$22.35
(-15.6%)
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?
Yes 45.5¢
234 份
分享
51¢
→
45.5¢
$119.34
$234
$106.47
−$12.87
(-10.8%)
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
No 31.5¢
328 份
分享
32¢
→
31.5¢
$104.96
$328
$103.32
−$1.64
(-1.6%)
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?
No 69.1¢
145.9 份
分享
74.4¢
→
69.1¢
$108.52
$145.86
$100.79
−$7.73
(-7.1%)
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Yes 14.1¢
493.3 份
分享
17.8¢
→
14.1¢
$87.81
$493.3
$69.55
−$18.25
(-20.8%)
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 70¢
95 份
分享
73¢
→
70¢
$69.35
$95
$66.5
−$2.85
(-4.1%)
Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?
Yes 53¢
124.6 份
分享
63¢
→
53¢
$78.49
$124.59
$66.03
−$12.46
(-15.9%)
Will "Iron Boy" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 65.5¢
100 份
分享
71¢
→
65.5¢
$71
$100
$65.5
−$5.5
(-7.7%)
Will Anthropic sell between 5% and 6% of its shares in its IPO?
No 77¢
79 份
分享
85¢
→
77¢
$67.15
$79
$60.83
−$6.32
(-9.4%)
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
Yes 70.5¢
86 份
分享
84¢
→
70.5¢
$72.24
$86
$60.63
−$11.61
(-16.1%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
No 60¢
100 份
分享
64.0¢
→
60¢
$64.01
$100.02
$60.01
−$4
(-6.2%)
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?
Yes 59¢
98.5 份
分享
77¢
→
59¢
$75.84
$98.49
$58.11
−$17.73
(-23.4%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Yes 31¢
178.2 份
分享
30.0¢
→
31¢
$53.46
$178.21
$55.25
+$1.78
(+3.3%)
Will "Obsession" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 83¢
66 份
分享
86¢
→
83¢
$56.76
$66
$54.78
−$1.98
(-3.5%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?
No 73¢
73.7 份
分享
79¢
→
73¢
$58.21
$73.68
$53.79
−$4.42
(-7.6%)
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 39.5¢
136 份
分享
44¢
→
39.5¢
$59.84
$136
$53.72
−$6.12
(-10.2%)
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 84.5¢
58 份
分享
87.2¢
→
84.5¢
$50.58
$58
$49.04
−$1.54
(-3.0%)
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
No 39.5¢
124 份
分享
42¢
→
39.5¢
$52.08
$124
$48.98
−$3.1
(-6.0%)
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?
No 67.5¢
71.1 份
分享
76¢
→
67.5¢
$54.07
$71.14
$48.02
−$6.05
(-11.2%)
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?
No 19¢
245 份
分享
20¢
→
19¢
$49
$245
$46.55
−$2.45
(-5.0%)
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?
No 76.5¢
60 份
分享
82.0¢
→
76.5¢
$49.2
$60
$45.9
−$3.3
(-6.7%)
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
No 82.5¢
54.4 份
分享
82¢
→
82.5¢
$44.64
$54.44
$44.91
+$0.27
(+0.6%)
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?
Yes 67.5¢
66 份
分享
71¢
→
67.5¢
$46.86
$66
$44.55
−$2.31
(-4.9%)
Will Anthropic raise between $75B and $85B in its IPO?
No 69.1¢
64.2 份
分享
73.5¢
→
69.1¢
$47.15
$64.15
$44.33
−$2.82
(-6.0%)
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?
No 88.5¢
50 份
分享
90¢
→
88.5¢
$45
$50
$44.25
−$0.75
(-1.7%)
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 76¢
54 份
分享
78¢
→
76¢
$42.12
$54.01
$41.04
−$1.08
(-2.6%)
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
Yes 29.5¢
137 份
分享
32¢
→
29.5¢
$43.84
$137
$40.42
−$3.43
(-7.8%)
Will "Runway" from The Devil Wears Prada 2 be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 19¢
179 份
分享
33¢
→
19¢
$59.07
$179
$34.01
−$25.06
(-42.4%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes 47¢
72 份
分享
47¢
→
47¢
$33.84
$72
$33.84
+$0
(+0.0%)
Will "Tutu" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 78¢
42.7 份
分享
86¢
→
78¢
$36.68
$42.65
$33.27
−$3.41
(-9.3%)
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released on November 12, 2026?
No 76.7¢
40 份
分享
92.3¢
→
76.7¢
$36.92
$40
$30.68
−$6.24
(-16.9%)
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
No 40¢
75 份
分享
45¢
→
40¢
$33.75
$75
$30
−$3.75
(-11.1%)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 45¢
63 份
分享
49¢
→
45¢
$30.87
$63.01
$28.35
−$2.52
(-8.2%)
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?
Yes 14.5¢
193.5 份
分享
15¢
→
14.5¢
$29.03
$193.5
$28.06
−$0.97
(-3.3%)
Will a player from the ACC win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?
No 51.8¢
54 份
分享
62.1¢
→
51.8¢
$33.53
$54
$27.97
−$5.56
(-16.6%)
Will the Ornn RTX 6000 Index be less than $1.00 on November 30, 2026?
No 56.1¢
49 份
分享
95.4¢
→
56.1¢
$46.75
$49
$27.49
−$19.26
(-41.2%)
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
Yes 7.5¢
356 份
分享
12¢
→
7.5¢
$42.72
$356
$26.7
−$16.02
(-37.5%)
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
No 29.5¢
86 份
分享
17¢
→
29.5¢
$14.62
$86
$25.37
+$10.75
(+73.5%)
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
Yes 60.1¢
40.8 份
分享
64.7¢
→
60.1¢
$26.41
$40.82
$24.51
−$1.9
(-7.2%)
Will South Africa win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group D?
No 33.5¢
69 份
分享
39¢
→
33.5¢
$26.91
$69
$23.12
−$3.8
(-14.1%)
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
No 57.0¢
40 份
分享
66¢
→
57.0¢
$26.4
$40
$22.8
−$3.6
(-13.6%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
No 36.5¢
58.6 份
分享
39.0¢
→
36.5¢
$22.86
$58.62
$21.4
−$1.47
(-6.4%)
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2027?
Yes 11.5¢
170 份
分享
25¢
→
11.5¢
$42.5
$170
$19.55
−$22.95
(-54.0%)
Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Yes 13.5¢
142 份
分享
23¢
→
13.5¢
$32.66
$142.01
$19.17
−$13.49
(-41.3%)
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from November 6 to November 13, 2026?
No 85.5¢
22 份
分享
88¢
→
85.5¢
$19.36
$22
$18.81
−$0.55
(-2.8%)
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Yes 3.9¢
475.7 份
分享
5.2¢
→
3.9¢
$24.74
$475.75
$18.32
−$6.42
(-26.0%)
Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?
Yes 75.5¢
23 份
分享
76¢
→
75.5¢
$17.48
$23
$17.37
−$0.12
(-0.7%)
Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 11¢
157 份
分享
21¢
→
11¢
$32.97
$157
$17.27
−$15.7
(-47.6%)
Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Nasourdine Imavov next?
No 86.2¢
20 份
分享
90.4¢
→
86.2¢
$18.08
$20
$17.23
−$0.85
(-4.7%)
Rain during the Brazilian Grand Prix?
No 34¢
50 份
分享
50¢
→
34¢
$25
$50
$17
−$8
(-32.0%)
Will PSOE win the most seats in Cáceres in the 2026 Spanish general election?
No 70¢
24 份
分享
75¢
→
70¢
$18
$24
$16.8
−$1.2
(-6.7%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
No 52¢
31.6 份
分享
62.0¢
→
52¢
$19.62
$31.65
$16.46
−$3.16
(-16.1%)
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?
Yes 25.5¢
63.4 份
分享
33.0¢
→
25.5¢
$20.92
$63.39
$16.17
−$4.75
(-22.7%)
Will the Atlanta Falcons have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?
Yes 47¢
33.9 份
分享
66¢
→
47¢
$22.37
$33.9
$15.93
−$6.44
(-28.8%)
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?
Yes 17.5¢
88.9 份
分享
19¢
→
17.5¢
$16.89
$88.89
$15.56
−$1.33
(-7.9%)
Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
Yes 65.5¢
22 份
分享
69¢
→
65.5¢
$15.18
$22
$14.41
−$0.77
(-5.1%)
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of January 2027?
No 70.5¢
20 份
分享
87¢
→
70.5¢
$17.4
$20
$14.1
−$3.3
(-19.0%)
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1520 by June 30, 2027?
No 25.5¢
54 份
分享
27¢
→
25.5¢
$14.58
$54
$13.77
−$0.81
(-5.6%)
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
No 90.0¢
14.7 份
分享
91.3¢
→
90.0¢
$13.44
$14.72
$13.24
−$0.2
(-1.5%)
Will AutoZone Q1 domestic same store sales growth be between 0.5% and 1.5%?
No 63.5¢
20 份
分享
72¢
→
63.5¢
$14.4
$20
$12.7
−$1.7
(-11.8%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?
Yes 5.9¢
208.6 份
分享
10¢
→
5.9¢
$20.86
$208.62
$12.2
−$8.66
(-41.5%)
Will PP win the most seats in Ciudad Real in the 2026 Spanish general election?
No 6.5¢
184 份
分享
16¢
→
6.5¢
$29.44
$184
$11.96
−$17.48
(-59.4%)
Will Buffalo Sabres be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?
Yes 5.1¢
228.6 份
分享
8.4¢
→
5.1¢
$19.2
$228.58
$11.66
−$7.54
(-39.3%)
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
Yes 28.5¢
40.9 份
分享
33¢
→
28.5¢
$13.5
$40.9
$11.66
−$1.84
(-13.6%)
Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
No 78.5¢
14.8 份
分享
79¢
→
78.5¢
$11.65
$14.75
$11.58
−$0.07
(-0.6%)
Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit 5% by December 31?
No 57.0¢
20 份
分享
63¢
→
57.0¢
$12.6
$20
$11.4
−$1.2
(-9.5%)
Will the Republicans win Ohio in the 2028 Presidential Election?
Yes 70¢
16.2 份
分享
72¢
→
70¢
$11.68
$16.22
$11.35
−$0.32
(-2.8%)
Will the Republicans win Texas in the 2028 Presidential Election?
Yes 75.5¢
15 份
分享
86¢
→
75.5¢
$12.9
$15
$11.33
−$1.58
(-12.2%)
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by December 31, 2027?
No 48.5¢
23 份
分享
69.0¢
→
48.5¢
$15.87
$23
$11.16
−$4.72
(-29.7%)
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?
No 55.5¢
20 份
分享
68¢
→
55.5¢
$13.6
$20
$11.1
−$2.5
(-18.4%)
Will "Water Girl" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 73.5¢
14 份
分享
80¢
→
73.5¢
$11.2
$14
$10.29
−$0.91
(-8.1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 20%-25%?
No 48.5¢
21 份
分享
69¢
→
48.5¢
$14.49
$21
$10.19
−$4.31
(-29.7%)
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of 2026?
No 43.2¢
22 份
分享
54.6¢
→
43.2¢
$12.01
$22
$9.5
−$2.51
(-20.9%)
Will Malaysia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision Asia 2026 Grand Final?
Yes 46.5¢
20 份
分享
54¢
→
46.5¢
$10.8
$20
$9.3
−$1.5
(-13.9%)
Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Yes 48¢
19 份
分享
28.0¢
→
48¢
$5.31
$18.95
$9.1
+$3.79
(+71.4%)
Will PSOE receive between 26% and 28% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?
Yes 22.5¢
40 份
分享
35.5¢
→
22.5¢
$14.2
$40
$9
−$5.2
(-36.6%)
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?
Yes 22.5¢
39.1 份
分享
14.3¢
→
22.5¢
$5.59
$39.1
$8.8
+$3.21
(+57.5%)
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 75% by December 31?
Yes 17.5¢
49.6 份
分享
21¢
→
17.5¢
$10.42
$49.6
$8.68
−$1.74
(-16.7%)
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Yes 8.5¢
97.7 份
分享
14.0¢
→
8.5¢
$13.68
$97.7
$8.3
−$5.37
(-39.3%)
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.75B by November 30?
Yes 40¢
20.7 份
分享
44¢
→
40¢
$9.12
$20.72
$8.29
−$0.83
(-9.1%)
Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?
No 59¢
14 份
分享
68¢
→
59¢
$9.52
$14
$8.26
−$1.26
(-13.2%)
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the June meeting?
Yes 40.5¢
20 份
分享
48¢
→
40.5¢
$9.6
$20
$8.1
−$1.5
(-15.6%)
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the March interest rate announcement?
Yes 39¢
20 份
分享
53¢
→
39¢
$10.6
$20
$7.8
−$2.8
(-26.4%)
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?
Yes 7.8¢
100 份
分享
11.1¢
→
7.8¢
$11.11
$100
$7.75
−$3.36
(-30.3%)
Vance's Republican nomination odds dip to 25% by December 31?
Yes 39.5¢
19.6 份
分享
43¢
→
39.5¢
$8.42
$19.59
$7.74
−$0.69
(-8.1%)
Will Chris Godwin have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
No 82.8¢
9.3 份
分享
94.4¢
→
82.8¢
$8.8
$9.32
$7.71
−$1.09
(-12.3%)
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?
No 6.5¢
113.7 份
分享
9¢
→
6.5¢
$10.24
$113.73
$7.39
−$2.84
(-27.8%)
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Yes 59.5¢
12.2 份
分享
72¢
→
59.5¢
$8.82
$12.24
$7.28
−$1.53
(-17.4%)
Will Bayer Leverkusen finish first in UEL league phase?
Yes 13.5¢
53.1 份
分享
2.4¢
→
13.5¢
$1.26
$53.11
$7.17
+$5.91
(+467.0%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 30%-35%?
Yes 15.9¢
45 份
分享
29.3¢
→
15.9¢
$13.19
$45
$7.16
−$6.03
(-45.7%)
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
No 7.3¢
95.7 份
分享
11.9¢
→
7.3¢
$11.38
$95.66
$7.03
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(-38.2%)
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?
No 63.5¢
11 份
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69¢
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63.5¢
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$11
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Will Folarin Balogun (Monaco) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season?
Yes 1.1¢
632 份
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1.1¢
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Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 77.5¢
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Will The Black Ball win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 27¢
23 份
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27¢
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Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the February meeting?
No 31¢
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31¢
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