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Polymarket
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总收益
−$4,747,990.43
1天
−$33.77万
7天
−$35.94万
30天
$9.1万
90天
$56.12万
总成交量
$1.29亿
预测次数
1,449
持仓价值
$74.42万
盈亏走势
历史盈亏走势
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
−$485.9万
LP 奖励
+$9.5万
Maker 返利
+$2.03万
持仓奖励
+$1,072.35
Taker 返利
+$240.03
费用
−$5,601.24
排名概览
综合
#3,301,659
共 330.2万 个钱包
成交量
#154
共 330.2万 个钱包
利润
#3,249,529
共 330.2万 个钱包
LP 奖励
#56
共 18.9万 个获奖地址
Maker 返利
#402
共 16.1万 个获奖地址
Taker 返利
#5,622
共 7.2万 个获奖地址
持仓奖励
#503
共 35.2万 个获奖地址
已付费用
#5,832
共 153.5万 个付费地址
持仓
活动
评论
当前
已平仓
市场
平均 → 当前
成交额
获胜可得
价值
分享
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes 100.0¢
27.5万 份
分享
84.1¢
→
100.0¢
$23.1万
$27.47万
$27.45万
+$4.35万
(+18.8%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 98.3¢
4.2万 份
分享
93.1¢
→
98.3¢
$3.9万
$4.19万
$4.12万
+$2,185.52
(+5.6%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
No 91.5¢
4.4万 份
分享
75.9¢
→
91.5¢
$3.37万
$4.43万
$4.06万
+$6,908.26
(+20.5%)
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
No 80.5¢
4万 份
分享
50.8¢
→
80.5¢
$2.05万
$4.03万
$3.25万
+$1.2万
(+58.4%)
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No 91¢
3.2万 份
分享
61.5¢
→
91¢
$1.97万
$3.2万
$2.91万
+$9,444.35
(+48.0%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No 98.6¢
2.9万 份
分享
93.7¢
→
98.6¢
$2.74万
$2.92万
$2.88万
+$1,412.63
(+5.2%)
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?
No 92¢
2.7万 份
分享
88.1¢
→
92¢
$2.37万
$2.69万
$2.47万
+$1,037.31
(+4.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?
No 90.4¢
2.2万 份
分享
76.8¢
→
90.4¢
$1.7万
$2.22万
$2万
+$3,006.44
(+17.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?
Yes 89.3¢
2.1万 份
分享
74.7¢
→
89.3¢
$1.57万
$2.1万
$1.88万
+$3,073.26
(+19.6%)
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?
No 99.6¢
1.8万 份
分享
82.9¢
→
99.6¢
$1.47万
$1.78万
$1.77万
+$2,964.69
(+20.1%)
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?
No 99.6¢
1.8万 份
分享
76.2¢
→
99.6¢
$1.34万
$1.75万
$1.75万
+$4,091.27
(+30.6%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No 64.5¢
1.9万 份
分享
38.0¢
→
64.5¢
$7,284.21
$1.91万
$1.23万
+$5,064.54
(+69.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?
Yes 98¢
9,983.5 份
分享
62.7¢
→
98¢
$6,264.91
$9,983.53
$9,783.86
+$3,518.95
(+56.2%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 57.5¢
1.6万 份
分享
28.4¢
→
57.5¢
$4,622.39
$1.63万
$9,345.33
+$4,722.93
(+102.2%)
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 68.9¢
1.4万 份
分享
83.7¢
→
68.9¢
$1.13万
$1.35万
$9,304.1
−$1,998.87
(-17.7%)
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
No 98.5¢
9,429.6 份
分享
29.2¢
→
98.5¢
$2,754.64
$9,429.59
$9,283.43
+$6,528.79
(+237.0%)
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?
No 99.4¢
8,005.1 份
分享
68.2¢
→
99.4¢
$5,461.46
$8,005.05
$7,957.02
+$2,495.56
(+45.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?
Yes 99.1¢
6,138.6 份
分享
36.7¢
→
99.1¢
$2,251.44
$6,138.56
$6,080.24
+$3,828.8
(+170.1%)
No one announced as next James Bond?
Yes 14.9¢
4万 份
分享
23.2¢
→
14.9¢
$9,284.1
$4万
$5,954.09
−$3,330.01
(-35.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?
Yes 93.5¢
5,986.5 份
分享
82.1¢
→
93.5¢
$4,915.26
$5,986.53
$5,597.41
+$682.14
(+13.9%)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
No 15.4¢
3.5万 份
分享
69.1¢
→
15.4¢
$2.43万
$3.51万
$5,426.12
−$1.88万
(-77.6%)
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
No 74.7¢
6,916 份
分享
83¢
→
74.7¢
$5,740.26
$6,915.98
$5,166.24
−$574.03
(-10.0%)
Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?
Yes 99¢
4,986 份
分享
83.0¢
→
99¢
$4,137.86
$4,985.99
$4,936.13
+$798.27
(+19.3%)
Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?
Yes 100.0¢
4,459.5 份
分享
58.9¢
→
100.0¢
$2,624.54
$4,459.5
$4,457.27
+$1,832.73
(+69.8%)
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?
Yes 100.0¢
4,249.1 份
分享
83¢
→
100.0¢
$3,526.75
$4,249.1
$4,246.98
+$720.22
(+20.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?
No 89.5¢
4,309.7 份
分享
62.4¢
→
89.5¢
$2,687.65
$4,309.71
$3,859.35
+$1,171.7
(+43.6%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No 60.8¢
5,759.2 份
分享
35.3¢
→
60.8¢
$2,032.19
$5,759.19
$3,498.71
+$1,466.51
(+72.2%)
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
No 16.3¢
1.9万 份
分享
87¢
→
16.3¢
$1.67万
$1.92万
$3,113.01
−$1.36万
(-81.3%)
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
No 91.5¢
3,183 份
分享
83¢
→
91.5¢
$2,641.88
$3,182.99
$2,912.43
+$270.55
(+10.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?
Yes 90.1¢
3,213.9 份
分享
52.9¢
→
90.1¢
$1,700.75
$3,213.92
$2,897.35
+$1,196.6
(+70.4%)
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
No 81.5¢
3,549.2 份
分享
56.7¢
→
81.5¢
$2,011.4
$3,549.18
$2,892.58
+$881.18
(+43.8%)
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
No 52.5¢
5,311.6 份
分享
34.6¢
→
52.5¢
$1,840.7
$5,311.59
$2,788.58
+$947.89
(+51.5%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Yes 6¢
4.4万 份
分享
19.3¢
→
6¢
$8,484.39
$4.4万
$2,637.27
−$5,847.13
(-68.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?
Yes 96.5¢
2,710 份
分享
84¢
→
96.5¢
$2,276.39
$2,709.99
$2,615.14
+$338.75
(+14.9%)
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?
No 47¢
5,544 份
分享
47¢
→
47¢
$2,605.67
$5,543.98
$2,605.67
+$0
(+0.0%)
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 66¢
3,910.9 份
分享
56.2¢
→
66¢
$2,197.26
$3,910.87
$2,581.17
+$383.91
(+17.5%)
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
No 87¢
2,856.7 份
分享
83¢
→
87¢
$2,371.04
$2,856.67
$2,485.3
+$114.27
(+4.8%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?
No 93.3¢
2,567.5 份
分享
79.4¢
→
93.3¢
$2,039.84
$2,567.47
$2,395.45
+$355.61
(+17.4%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes 16¢
1.5万 份
分享
86¢
→
16¢
$1.27万
$1.48万
$2,360.61
−$1.03万
(-81.4%)
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?
No 80.5¢
2,901.7 份
分享
55.9¢
→
80.5¢
$1,622.03
$2,901.67
$2,335.84
+$713.81
(+44.0%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No 69¢
3,381.7 份
分享
55.9¢
→
69¢
$1,888.82
$3,381.72
$2,333.39
+$444.57
(+23.5%)
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?
No 100.0¢
2,302.5 份
分享
46¢
→
100.0¢
$1,059.13
$2,302.46
$2,301.31
+$1,242.18
(+117.3%)
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No 70.3¢
3,191.1 份
分享
63.3¢
→
70.3¢
$2,019.96
$3,191.09
$2,243.33
+$223.38
(+11.1%)
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No 99.9¢
2,229.2 份
分享
85¢
→
99.9¢
$1,894.79
$2,229.17
$2,225.82
+$331.03
(+17.5%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
Yes 98.7¢
2,161 份
分享
83¢
→
98.7¢
$1,793.61
$2,160.97
$2,131.8
+$338.19
(+18.9%)
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
No 43¢
4,869.6 份
分享
55.0¢
→
43¢
$2,678.29
$4,869.62
$2,093.93
−$584.35
(-21.8%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 20.5¢
1万 份
分享
30.9¢
→
20.5¢
$3,156.89
$1.02万
$2,091.47
−$1,065.42
(-33.7%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be between 900,000 and 975,000?
Yes 44¢
4,690.1 份
分享
57.3¢
→
44¢
$2,685.67
$4,690.15
$2,063.66
−$622.01
(-23.2%)
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Yes 75¢
2,491.4 份
分享
83¢
→
75¢
$2,067.9
$2,491.45
$1,868.59
−$199.32
(-9.6%)
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
No 84.6¢
2,183.3 份
分享
55.7¢
→
84.6¢
$1,215.52
$2,183.32
$1,847.09
+$631.57
(+52.0%)
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
No 88.5¢
2,007.1 份
分享
60.5¢
→
88.5¢
$1,214.73
$2,007.07
$1,776.26
+$561.53
(+46.2%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
No 9.6¢
1.8万 份
分享
16.7¢
→
9.6¢
$3,084.63
$1.85万
$1,766.26
−$1,318.37
(-42.7%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?
Yes 96.9¢
1,789.4 份
分享
86¢
→
96.9¢
$1,538.93
$1,789.45
$1,733.98
+$195.05
(+12.7%)
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes 64.5¢
2,457.6 份
分享
87¢
→
64.5¢
$2,138.14
$2,457.63
$1,585.17
−$552.97
(-25.9%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
Yes 51.5¢
3,037 份
分享
46.9¢
→
51.5¢
$1,424.27
$3,036.99
$1,564.05
+$139.77
(+9.8%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?
No 99.3¢
1,509.8 份
分享
74.3¢
→
99.3¢
$1,121.77
$1,509.77
$1,498.45
+$376.67
(+33.6%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?
No 92¢
1,595.6 份
分享
13¢
→
92¢
$207.42
$1,595.56
$1,467.92
+$1,260.49
(+607.7%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
No 28.7¢
4,834.5 份
分享
56.2¢
→
28.7¢
$2,718.48
$4,834.53
$1,389.93
−$1,328.55
(-48.9%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%?
No 100.0¢
1,380.2 份
分享
83.0¢
→
100.0¢
$1,145.54
$1,380.17
$1,379.48
+$233.94
(+20.4%)
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
No 28.1¢
3,773.4 份
分享
19.8¢
→
28.1¢
$748.44
$3,773.45
$1,062.23
+$313.78
(+41.9%)
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
No 86.3¢
1,018.2 份
分享
73¢
→
86.3¢
$743.31
$1,018.24
$878.23
+$134.92
(+18.2%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NE-03 House election by 40%-45%?
No 77.5¢
980.8 份
分享
74¢
→
77.5¢
$725.78
$980.78
$760.11
+$34.33
(+4.7%)
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
No 40.0¢
1,867.8 份
分享
81.4¢
→
40.0¢
$1,521.15
$1,867.78
$746.18
−$774.97
(-50.9%)
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
No 12¢
5,767.5 份
分享
20.9¢
→
12¢
$1,207.21
$5,767.45
$692.09
−$515.12
(-42.7%)
Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?
No 96.5¢
698.6 份
分享
77.0¢
→
96.5¢
$537.9
$698.57
$674.47
+$136.57
(+25.4%)
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
No 9.5¢
6,483.1 份
分享
16.3¢
→
9.5¢
$1,053.51
$6,483.14
$615.9
−$437.61
(-41.5%)
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?
No 99.2¢
572.5 份
分享
89.3¢
→
99.2¢
$511.02
$572.5
$567.92
+$56.9
(+11.1%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?
No 98.1¢
545 份
分享
72.2¢
→
98.1¢
$393.25
$545.04
$534.68
+$141.43
(+36.0%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes 37.5¢
1,369.1 份
分享
40.5¢
→
37.5¢
$553.94
$1,369.08
$513.4
−$40.54
(-7.3%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?
No 100.0¢
500.8 份
分享
94¢
→
100.0¢
$470.78
$500.83
$500.58
+$29.8
(+6.3%)
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?
Yes 26.5¢
1,807.8 份
分享
27¢
→
26.5¢
$488.1
$1,807.78
$479.06
−$9.04
(-1.9%)
Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?
No 17¢
2,759.9 份
分享
18.9¢
→
17¢
$520.36
$2,759.86
$469.18
−$51.19
(-9.8%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
No 77¢
570 份
分享
72¢
→
77¢
$410.39
$569.99
$438.89
+$28.5
(+6.9%)
Will Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?
No 19¢
2,183.7 份
分享
22¢
→
19¢
$480.41
$2,183.69
$414.9
−$65.51
(-13.6%)
Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?
No 99.4¢
403.8 份
分享
91¢
→
99.4¢
$367.42
$403.76
$401.34
+$33.92
(+9.2%)
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
No 1.1¢
3.2万 份
分享
32.0¢
→
1.1¢
$1.04万
$3.23万
$355.69
−$1万
(-96.6%)
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IN-08 House election by 25%-30%?
Yes 44¢
802.4 份
分享
29.0¢
→
44¢
$232.84
$802.4
$353.06
+$120.22
(+51.6%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No 47.5¢
679.6 份
分享
51.9¢
→
47.5¢
$352.88
$679.59
$322.81
−$30.08
(-8.5%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Yes 5¢
6,333.9 份
分享
6.3¢
→
5¢
$402.04
$6,333.9
$316.7
−$85.34
(-21.2%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?
Yes 94.4¢
323 份
分享
65¢
→
94.4¢
$209.95
$323
$304.91
+$94.96
(+45.2%)
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?
Yes 96.4¢
309.2 份
分享
50¢
→
96.4¢
$154.59
$309.18
$298.05
+$143.46
(+92.8%)
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Yes 26.5¢
980.8 份
分享
35.1¢
→
26.5¢
$344.01
$980.75
$259.9
−$84.11
(-24.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?
Yes 4.0¢
6,465 份
分享
70.3¢
→
4.0¢
$4,544.93
$6,464.95
$255.37
−$4,289.57
(-94.4%)
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
No 46¢
544 份
分享
36¢
→
46¢
$195.83
$543.96
$250.22
+$54.4
(+27.8%)
Will Anders Öberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Norrbotten?
No 3.3¢
7,534 份
分享
6¢
→
3.3¢
$452.04
$7,533.98
$248.62
−$203.42
(-45.0%)
Will Democrats win exactly 0 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 14.4¢
1,688.2 份
分享
11.1¢
→
14.4¢
$187.38
$1,688.15
$243.09
+$55.71
(+29.7%)
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes 19.5¢
1,224.6 份
分享
22¢
→
19.5¢
$269.41
$1,224.58
$238.79
−$30.61
(-11.4%)
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
No 79¢
290.4 份
分享
78¢
→
79¢
$226.49
$290.38
$229.4
+$2.9
(+1.3%)
Will Connie Chan win the CA-11 House seat?
Yes 2.7¢
8,496.2 份
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40¢
→
2.7¢
$3,398.47
$8,496.17
$229.4
−$3,169.07
(-93.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
Yes 76.5¢
291.4 份
分享
29.7¢
→
76.5¢
$86.54
$291.38
$222.91
+$136.36
(+157.6%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?
Yes 18.6¢
1,154.4 份
分享
59.7¢
→
18.6¢
$688.77
$1,154.39
$215.29
−$473.47
(-68.7%)
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No 29.5¢
713.5 份
分享
31¢
→
29.5¢
$221.17
$713.46
$210.47
−$10.7
(-4.8%)
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
Yes 38.5¢
541.2 份
分享
50¢
→
38.5¢
$270.61
$541.22
$208.37
−$62.24
(-23.0%)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
No 10.5¢
1,974 份
分享
46.9¢
→
10.5¢
$924.86
$1,973.96
$207.27
−$717.59
(-77.6%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Yes 67¢
306 份
分享
48.6¢
→
67¢
$148.86
$306.04
$205.05
+$56.19
(+37.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?
No 100.0¢
202.1 份
分享
77¢
→
100.0¢
$155.65
$202.14
$202.04
+$46.39
(+29.8%)
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
Yes 0.9¢
2.1万 份
分享
23.4¢
→
0.9¢
$5,032.39
$2.15万
$193.29
−$4,839.09
(-96.2%)
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
No 56.5¢
336.4 份
分享
27¢
→
56.5¢
$90.82
$336.37
$190.05
+$99.23
(+109.3%)
Will Peter Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västerbotten?
Yes 94.9¢
200 份
分享
90¢
→
94.9¢
$180
$200
$189.8
+$9.8
(+5.4%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?
No 3.3¢
5,602.4 份
分享
70.0¢
→
3.3¢
$3,920.87
$5,602.45
$184.88
−$3,735.99
(-95.3%)
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