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ImJustKen
ImJustKen
2022年1月 加入
晒单卡片
日历
复制地址
分享个人资料
Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
总收益
$3,515,782.15
1天
$3.62万
7天
$5.22万
30天
−$4,343.82
90天
−$9.72万
总成交量
$5.01亿
预测次数
9,885
持仓价值
$50.54万
盈亏走势
历史盈亏走势
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
+$227.44万
LP 奖励
+$123.64万
Maker 返利
+$1.51万
持仓奖励
+$3,617.99
Taker 返利
+$1,516.08
费用
−$1.53万
排名概览
综合
#42
共 330.2万 个钱包
成交量
#15
共 330.2万 个钱包
利润
#65
共 330.2万 个钱包
LP 奖励
#1
共 18.9万 个获奖地址
Maker 返利
#539
共 16.1万 个获奖地址
Taker 返利
#1,487
共 7.2万 个获奖地址
持仓奖励
#161
共 35.2万 个获奖地址
已付费用
#2,116
共 153.5万 个付费地址
持仓
活动
评论
当前
已平仓
市场
平均 → 当前
成交额
获胜可得
价值
分享
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
No 81¢
19.5万 份
分享
75.2¢
→
81¢
$14.67万
$19.51万
$15.81万
+$1.14万
(+7.7%)
No one announced as next James Bond?
No 85.7¢
8.3万 份
分享
75.6¢
→
85.7¢
$6.3万
$8.32万
$7.13万
+$8,361.08
(+13.3%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 89.7¢
3.2万 份
分享
5.2¢
→
89.7¢
$1,682.34
$3.24万
$2.91万
+$2.74万
(+1628.9%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
No 95¢
3万 份
分享
92.0¢
→
95¢
$2.73万
$2.97万
$2.82万
+$892.01
(+3.3%)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Yes 84.5¢
1.3万 份
分享
84.5¢
→
84.5¢
$1.11万
$1.31万
$1.11万
+$6.57
(+0.1%)
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes 85¢
1.3万 份
分享
92.2¢
→
85¢
$1.15万
$1.25万
$1.06万
−$896.47
(-7.8%)
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 3.5¢
29.7万 份
分享
3.9¢
→
3.5¢
$1.16万
$29.66万
$1.02万
−$1,412.93
(-12.1%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 8.4¢
11万 份
分享
10.0¢
→
8.4¢
$1.1万
$11万
$9,239.26
−$1,713.33
(-15.6%)
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes 2.8¢
31万 份
分享
12.8¢
→
2.8¢
$3.97万
$31.05万
$8,693.88
−$3.1万
(-78.1%)
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 85.5¢
9,788.6 份
分享
83.0¢
→
85.5¢
$8,123.19
$9,788.59
$8,369.25
+$246.06
(+3.0%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 15.2¢
5.3万 份
分享
9.5¢
→
15.2¢
$5,062.67
$5.33万
$8,073.63
+$3,010.96
(+59.5%)
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes 85.3¢
7,594.5 份
分享
77.6¢
→
85.3¢
$5,896.29
$7,594.51
$6,478.12
+$581.82
(+9.9%)
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.1¢
29.9万 份
分享
1.7¢
→
2.1¢
$5,071.38
$29.94万
$6,287.93
+$1,216.55
(+24.0%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
Yes 40¢
1.5万 份
分享
41.1¢
→
40¢
$6,351.5
$1.55万
$6,186.39
−$165.11
(-2.6%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Yes 9.5¢
5.7万 份
分享
17.4¢
→
9.5¢
$9,840.62
$5.66万
$5,380.26
−$4,460.35
(-45.3%)
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Yes 90.5¢
5,571.9 份
分享
82.4¢
→
90.5¢
$4,593.98
$5,571.89
$5,042.56
+$448.58
(+9.8%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes 3.8¢
11.7万 份
分享
17.1¢
→
3.8¢
$2.01万
$11.74万
$4,401.99
−$1.57万
(-78.1%)
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 83¢
5,280.4 份
分享
68.7¢
→
83¢
$3,629.57
$5,280.43
$4,382.75
+$753.18
(+20.8%)
Stripe IPO before 2027?
No 97.2¢
4,118 份
分享
83.4¢
→
97.2¢
$3,433.43
$4,118.05
$4,002.74
+$569.31
(+16.6%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 81.8¢
4,741.8 份
分享
89.0¢
→
81.8¢
$4,222.72
$4,741.83
$3,878.82
−$343.91
(-8.1%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
Yes 48¢
7,596 份
分享
46.4¢
→
48¢
$3,527.28
$7,595.98
$3,646.07
+$118.79
(+3.4%)
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 40.5¢
8,961.7 份
分享
46.8¢
→
40.5¢
$4,191.91
$8,961.68
$3,629.48
−$562.43
(-13.4%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 8.5¢
4.1万 份
分享
29.8¢
→
8.5¢
$1.22万
$4.08万
$3,468.22
−$8,705.83
(-71.5%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?
Yes 37.5¢
9,063.7 份
分享
57.2¢
→
37.5¢
$5,187.56
$9,063.74
$3,398.9
−$1,788.66
(-34.5%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 15.8¢
2.1万 份
分享
17.5¢
→
15.8¢
$3,743.91
$2.13万
$3,372.93
−$370.98
(-9.9%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
No 50.5¢
6,370.4 份
分享
46.3¢
→
50.5¢
$2,947.74
$6,370.35
$3,217.03
+$269.28
(+9.1%)
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 82¢
3,713.4 份
分享
77¢
→
82¢
$2,859.33
$3,713.42
$3,045
+$185.67
(+6.5%)
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 2.9¢
10.1万 份
分享
2.6¢
→
2.9¢
$2,696.16
$10.14万
$2,991.82
+$295.67
(+11.0%)
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
No 95.5¢
3,109.9 份
分享
86¢
→
95.5¢
$2,674.78
$3,109.9
$2,971.51
+$296.72
(+11.1%)
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No 92¢
3,176.5 份
分享
76.5¢
→
92¢
$2,430.59
$3,176.52
$2,922.39
+$491.81
(+20.2%)
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.5¢
51.5万 份
分享
0.7¢
→
0.5¢
$3,496.28
$51.52万
$2,833.73
−$662.55
(-19.0%)
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4.0¢
7万 份
分享
0.7¢
→
4.0¢
$524.29
$7.01万
$2,767.93
+$2,243.63
(+427.9%)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes 1.8¢
15万 份
分享
6.3¢
→
1.8¢
$9,482.51
$15万
$2,624.99
−$6,857.52
(-72.3%)
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 4.0¢
6.4万 份
分享
1.2¢
→
4.0¢
$753.58
$6.38万
$2,584.02
+$1,830.44
(+242.9%)
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
152.9万 份
分享
0.1¢
→
0.1¢
$1,574.6
$152.86万
$2,292.87
+$718.27
(+45.6%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes 15.3¢
1.5万 份
分享
18.0¢
→
15.3¢
$2,652.45
$1.47万
$2,261.96
−$390.49
(-14.7%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 14.8¢
1.5万 份
分享
11.8¢
→
14.8¢
$1,792.23
$1.51万
$2,245.29
+$453.07
(+25.3%)
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 38.5¢
5,033.4 份
分享
61.8¢
→
38.5¢
$3,108.79
$5,033.36
$1,937.84
−$1,170.94
(-37.7%)
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?
Yes 97.2¢
1,967.7 份
分享
65¢
→
97.2¢
$1,278.98
$1,967.67
$1,911.59
+$632.61
(+49.5%)
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 74.5¢
2,371 份
分享
29.2¢
→
74.5¢
$692.72
$2,370.97
$1,766.37
+$1,073.65
(+155.0%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes 52.5¢
3,311.2 份
分享
37.0¢
→
52.5¢
$1,225.15
$3,311.22
$1,738.39
+$513.24
(+41.9%)
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
No 93¢
1,724.4 份
分享
83.8¢
→
93¢
$1,445.64
$1,724.38
$1,603.67
+$158.03
(+10.9%)
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
No 96.8¢
1,560 份
分享
76.0¢
→
96.8¢
$1,185.6
$1,560
$1,510.08
+$324.48
(+27.4%)
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.1¢
7万 份
分享
0.7¢
→
2.1¢
$524.34
$7.01万
$1,506.71
+$982.37
(+187.4%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 2.5¢
5.7万 份
分享
11¢
→
2.5¢
$6,324.02
$5.75万
$1,437.28
−$4,886.74
(-77.3%)
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
No 90.5¢
1,555 份
分享
82.9¢
→
90.5¢
$1,289.25
$1,555
$1,406.5
+$117.25
(+9.1%)
Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 53.5¢
2,592.1 份
分享
57.6¢
→
53.5¢
$1,493.04
$2,592.1
$1,386.77
−$106.27
(-7.1%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Yes 95.5¢
1,210.9 份
分享
90.7¢
→
95.5¢
$1,098.4
$1,210.94
$1,156.45
+$58.05
(+5.3%)
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
Yes 73.4¢
1,555 份
分享
79.0¢
→
73.4¢
$1,228.46
$1,555.02
$1,141.38
−$87.08
(-7.1%)
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Yes 11.2¢
9,967.4 份
分享
23.8¢
→
11.2¢
$2,369.76
$9,967.43
$1,111.37
−$1,258.39
(-53.1%)
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" make it into the IMDb Top 250?
No 61¢
1,794.7 份
分享
64.9¢
→
61¢
$1,165.56
$1,794.68
$1,094.76
−$70.81
(-6.1%)
Pete Hegseth impeached by December 31, 2026?
No 95.0¢
1,097.6 份
分享
92.3¢
→
95.0¢
$1,012.8
$1,097.6
$1,042.17
+$29.37
(+2.9%)
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 52.5¢
1,954 份
分享
50.2¢
→
52.5¢
$980.94
$1,954
$1,025.85
+$44.91
(+4.6%)
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 17.5¢
5,861 份
分享
14.9¢
→
17.5¢
$872.07
$5,861.04
$1,025.68
+$153.61
(+17.6%)
Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?
No 56.5¢
1,747.9 份
分享
51¢
→
56.5¢
$891.43
$1,747.9
$987.56
+$96.13
(+10.8%)
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
No 97.2¢
1,004.6 份
分享
86.1¢
→
97.2¢
$865.07
$1,004.57
$976.44
+$111.37
(+12.9%)
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
No 95.0¢
921.4 份
分享
72.9¢
→
95.0¢
$671.48
$921.44
$874.9
+$203.42
(+30.3%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes 46.5¢
1,878.6 份
分享
65¢
→
46.5¢
$1,221.12
$1,878.64
$873.57
−$347.55
(-28.5%)
Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 87¢
990.4 份
分享
71.7¢
→
87¢
$710.17
$990.44
$861.69
+$151.52
(+21.3%)
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 1.6¢
5.5万 份
分享
1.3¢
→
1.6¢
$708.5
$5.52万
$854.94
+$146.44
(+20.7%)
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30, 2027?
No 54.5¢
1,557.7 份
分享
51.7¢
→
54.5¢
$805.62
$1,557.74
$848.97
+$43.35
(+5.4%)
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?
No 96.4¢
862.3 份
分享
88.1¢
→
96.4¢
$759.82
$862.28
$831.24
+$71.41
(+9.4%)
Will Jeremy Strong be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 95.5¢
797.9 份
分享
88.5¢
→
95.5¢
$706.14
$797.86
$761.55
+$55.41
(+7.8%)
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
No 95.5¢
766.4 份
分享
77.8¢
→
95.5¢
$596.18
$766.37
$731.88
+$135.7
(+22.8%)
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
Yes 7.0¢
1万 份
分享
10¢
→
7.0¢
$1,032.92
$1.03万
$723.04
−$309.88
(-30.0%)
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?
No 96.5¢
706.6 份
分享
61.2¢
→
96.5¢
$432.19
$706.6
$681.87
+$249.68
(+57.8%)
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.8¢
8.9万 份
分享
0.9¢
→
0.8¢
$769.47
$8.92万
$668.64
−$100.83
(-13.1%)
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?
No 96.7¢
689.5 份
分享
68.9¢
→
96.7¢
$475.1
$689.54
$666.79
+$191.69
(+40.3%)
Will Spain win the UEFA EURO 2028?
No 77.5¢
844.1 份
分享
76¢
→
77.5¢
$641.51
$844.1
$654.17
+$12.66
(+2.0%)
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 45¢
1,444.2 份
分享
39.0¢
→
45¢
$563.46
$1,444.19
$649.89
+$86.43
(+15.3%)
Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 50¢
1,290.7 份
分享
37.7¢
→
50¢
$487.11
$1,290.72
$645.36
+$158.25
(+32.5%)
Will none of these people be impeached by December 31, 2027?
No 79.5¢
803 份
分享
69.4¢
→
79.5¢
$557.23
$802.95
$638.35
+$81.11
(+14.6%)
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
No 81.5¢
768.7 份
分享
72.6¢
→
81.5¢
$558.03
$768.66
$626.46
+$68.43
(+12.3%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
No 84.7¢
730.1 份
分享
72.1¢
→
84.7¢
$526.43
$730.14
$618.07
+$91.63
(+17.4%)
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
No 97.7¢
622.9 份
分享
91¢
→
97.7¢
$566.87
$622.93
$608.6
+$41.74
(+7.4%)
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Yes 8¢
7,500 份
分享
40¢
→
8¢
$2,999.99
$7,499.99
$600
−$2,400
(-80.0%)
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢
8.6万 份
分享
0.7¢
→
0.7¢
$617.1
$8.58万
$557.96
−$59.14
(-9.6%)
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
No 97.0¢
555 份
分享
92¢
→
97.0¢
$510.6
$555
$538.07
+$27.47
(+5.4%)
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes 47¢
1,110.5 份
分享
51.7¢
→
47¢
$574.56
$1,110.51
$521.94
−$52.62
(-9.2%)
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
No 92.5¢
555 份
分享
86¢
→
92.5¢
$477.3
$555
$513.38
+$36.08
(+7.6%)
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
OpenAI 2.1¢
2.2万 份
分享
11.3¢
→
2.1¢
$2,479.24
$2.2万
$462.68
−$2,016.57
(-81.3%)
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
No 28.1¢
1,555 份
分享
93¢
→
28.1¢
$1,446.15
$1,555
$437.73
−$1,008.42
(-69.7%)
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?
No 97.1¢
448.6 份
分享
56.2¢
→
97.1¢
$252.2
$448.62
$435.61
+$183.41
(+72.7%)
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢
9.3万 份
分享
0.8¢
→
0.4¢
$706.29
$9.31万
$418.86
−$287.43
(-40.7%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
No 94.8¢
429.6 份
分享
93¢
→
94.8¢
$399.49
$429.56
$407.22
+$7.73
(+1.9%)
Discord IPO before 2027?
No 93.2¢
427.1 份
分享
20.3¢
→
93.2¢
$86.6
$427.13
$398.09
+$311.48
(+359.7%)
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
Yes 10.5¢
3,747.2 份
分享
19.1¢
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10.5¢
$715.12
$3,747.24
$393.46
−$321.66
(-45.0%)
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes 9¢
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12.8¢
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9¢
$543.26
$4,240.24
$381.62
−$161.64
(-29.8%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes 100.0¢
375.3 份
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21.7¢
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100.0¢
$81.61
$375.28
$375.1
+$293.48
(+359.6%)
Will Adam Hamilton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.4¢
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0.8¢
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0.4¢
$706.29
$9.31万
$372.32
−$333.97
(-47.3%)
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 0.1¢
64.7万 份
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0.1¢
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0.1¢
$646.36
$64.69万
$323.46
−$322.9
(-50.0%)
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Yes 6¢
5,325.3 份
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87¢
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6¢
$4,632.97
$5,325.25
$319.52
−$4,313.45
(-93.1%)
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
No 94.7¢
333 份
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94.7¢
$296.39
$333.02
$315.2
+$18.82
(+6.3%)
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 0.7¢
4.7万 份
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0.7¢
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0.7¢
$351.23
$4.69万
$305.13
−$46.1
(-13.1%)
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
Yes 97.7¢
304.9 份
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23¢
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97.7¢
$70.14
$304.94
$297.93
+$227.79
(+324.8%)
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 0.1¢
19.7万 份
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4.3¢
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0.1¢
$8,428.34
$19.74万
$296.09
−$8,132.25
(-96.5%)
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 1.6¢
1.9万 份
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2.2¢
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1.6¢
$408.74
$1.89万
$292.44
−$116.3
(-28.5%)
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 82.5¢
354.3 份
分享
39.8¢
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82.5¢
$141.12
$354.3
$292.3
+$151.18
(+107.1%)
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
Yes 15.3¢
1,876 份
分享
19.5¢
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15.3¢
$365.33
$1,876.04
$287.97
−$77.36
(-21.2%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?
No 98.8¢
289.7 份
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88.1¢
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98.8¢
$255.11
$289.66
$286.04
+$30.93
(+12.1%)
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