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Polymarket
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总收益
$307,709.50
1天
−$8.66
7天
$6,694.43
30天
$1.49万
90天
$4.3万
总成交量
$2.63亿
预测次数
11,644
持仓价值
$2.29万
盈亏走势
历史盈亏走势
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
+$13.63万
LP 奖励
+$18.79万
Maker 返利
+$3,618.89
持仓奖励
+$405.52
Taker 返利
+$1,391.25
费用
−$2.19万
排名概览
综合
#720
共 330.2万 个钱包
成交量
#47
共 330.2万 个钱包
利润
#1,799
共 330.2万 个钱包
LP 奖励
#25
共 18.9万 个获奖地址
Maker 返利
#1,876
共 16.1万 个获奖地址
Taker 返利
#1,580
共 7.2万 个获奖地址
持仓奖励
#1,041
共 35.2万 个获奖地址
已付费用
#1,416
共 153.5万 个付费地址
持仓
活动
评论
当前
已平仓
市场
平均 → 当前
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获胜可得
价值
分享
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?
Yes 6.5¢
4.9万 份
分享
7.5¢
→
6.5¢
$3,707.91
$4.91万
$3,189
−$518.91
(-14.0%)
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?
Yes 10.5¢
1.5万 份
分享
13.3¢
→
10.5¢
$2,019.28
$1.51万
$1,588.75
−$430.53
(-21.3%)
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
Yes 13.6¢
1.1万 份
分享
23.5¢
→
13.6¢
$2,469.1
$1.05万
$1,428.52
−$1,040.58
(-42.1%)
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
No 42.5¢
2,423.5 份
分享
52.5¢
→
42.5¢
$1,273.67
$2,423.49
$1,029.98
−$243.69
(-19.1%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 68.8¢
1,360 份
分享
70.4¢
→
68.8¢
$957.84
$1,359.98
$934.99
−$22.85
(-2.4%)
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?
No 84.5¢
700 份
分享
56.0¢
→
84.5¢
$391.9
$700
$591.5
+$199.6
(+50.9%)
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
Yes 12.5¢
3,982.7 份
分享
14.0¢
→
12.5¢
$555.72
$3,982.74
$497.84
−$57.88
(-10.4%)
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?
Yes 10.5¢
4,646.3 份
分享
13.1¢
→
10.5¢
$606.49
$4,646.35
$487.87
−$118.63
(-19.6%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of December 2026?
Yes 64¢
736.3 份
分享
37.2¢
→
64¢
$274.1
$736.28
$471.22
+$197.12
(+71.9%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of December 2026?
Yes 42.5¢
1,092.6 份
分享
25.8¢
→
42.5¢
$282.08
$1,092.62
$464.36
+$182.28
(+64.6%)
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
Yes 16.5¢
2,745.2 份
分享
18.0¢
→
16.5¢
$494.13
$2,745.18
$452.95
−$41.17
(-8.3%)
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?
No 40¢
1,083 份
分享
48.3¢
→
40¢
$523.5
$1,083.04
$433.22
−$90.28
(-17.2%)
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes 1.8¢
2.3万 份
分享
2.7¢
→
1.8¢
$618.64
$2.29万
$401.09
−$217.55
(-35.2%)
Will Joseph Woll record 4+ shutouts?
No 56.5¢
649 份
分享
76¢
→
56.5¢
$493.26
$649
$366.69
−$126.58
(-25.7%)
Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds dip to 10% by December 31?
No 81.5¢
448.6 份
分享
78.1¢
→
81.5¢
$350.29
$448.55
$365.57
+$15.28
(+4.4%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?
Yes 5.5¢
6,630.6 份
分享
9.3¢
→
5.5¢
$619.09
$6,630.6
$364.68
−$254.4
(-41.1%)
DeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit 8% by December 31?
Yes 98.4¢
368.8 份
分享
84.5¢
→
98.4¢
$311.86
$368.82
$362.92
+$51.06
(+16.4%)
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Yes 8.5¢
4,000 份
分享
10.7¢
→
8.5¢
$429.98
$4,000
$340
−$89.98
(-20.9%)
Will Charlie Worsham (guitar) win Musician of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
No 67.5¢
415.1 份
分享
63.1¢
→
67.5¢
$261.8
$415.1
$280.19
+$18.39
(+7.0%)
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Yes 10.5¢
2,109.3 份
分享
10¢
→
10.5¢
$210.93
$2,109.35
$221.48
+$10.55
(+5.0%)
Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit 5% by December 31?
No 66¢
330 份
分享
58.3¢
→
66¢
$192.3
$330
$217.8
+$25.5
(+13.3%)
Will Riot Games Win the 2026 Esports Tournament Organiser of the Year Award?
No 83.5¢
240 份
分享
69¢
→
83.5¢
$165.6
$240
$200.4
+$34.8
(+21.0%)
Will Cody Johnson win Male Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
Yes 57.0¢
344.3 份
分享
37.6¢
→
57.0¢
$129.44
$344.3
$196.25
+$66.81
(+51.6%)
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Yes 12.5¢
1,526.7 份
分享
10.8¢
→
12.5¢
$165.45
$1,526.73
$190.84
+$25.4
(+15.3%)
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%?
Yes 17.6¢
1,072.3 份
分享
15.2¢
→
17.6¢
$163.3
$1,072.32
$188.73
+$25.43
(+15.6%)
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026?
Yes 0.6¢
3.1万 份
分享
9.2¢
→
0.6¢
$2,862.95
$3.12万
$187.11
−$2,675.84
(-93.5%)
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
No 49¢
371.5 份
分享
58.9¢
→
49¢
$218.8
$371.5
$182.04
−$36.76
(-16.8%)
Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
No 89.5¢
198 份
分享
82.5¢
→
89.5¢
$163.31
$198.03
$177.24
+$13.92
(+8.5%)
US imports Russian diesel by January 31?
Yes 24¢
704 份
分享
50.6¢
→
24¢
$356.11
$704
$168.96
−$187.15
(-52.6%)
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?
Yes 21.5¢
765.7 份
分享
22¢
→
21.5¢
$168.46
$765.73
$164.63
−$3.83
(-2.3%)
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?
Yes 9.5¢
1,686.8 份
分享
12.5¢
→
9.5¢
$211.52
$1,686.79
$160.24
−$51.27
(-24.2%)
Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2027?
Yes 8.5¢
1,865.3 份
分享
8.2¢
→
8.5¢
$153.19
$1,865.32
$158.55
+$5.36
(+3.5%)
Will You Can See Everything win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 78.3¢
200 份
分享
80¢
→
78.3¢
$160
$200
$156.7
−$3.3
(-2.1%)
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Yes 25.6¢
599 份
分享
20.8¢
→
25.6¢
$124.94
$599
$153.34
+$28.4
(+22.7%)
Will “I Can't Love You Anymore” by Ella Langley and Morgan Wallen win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
No 60.5¢
247.3 份
分享
55.4¢
→
60.5¢
$137.04
$247.31
$149.62
+$12.59
(+9.2%)
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by November 30, 2026?
No 65¢
228 份
分享
46.3¢
→
65¢
$105.52
$228
$148.2
+$42.68
(+40.5%)
Will “Gary” by Stephen Wilson Jr. win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
No 74¢
200 份
分享
77¢
→
74¢
$154
$200
$148
−$6
(-3.9%)
Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31?
No 47.3¢
305.1 份
分享
49.4¢
→
47.3¢
$150.8
$305.13
$144.17
−$6.62
(-4.4%)
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30?
Yes 60.5¢
228 份
分享
58.0¢
→
60.5¢
$132.24
$228
$137.94
+$5.7
(+4.3%)
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?
Yes 22.5¢
600.1 份
分享
21.9¢
→
22.5¢
$131.69
$600.08
$135.02
+$3.33
(+2.5%)
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?
Yes 22.5¢
586.6 份
分享
22.7¢
→
22.5¢
$133.09
$586.6
$131.99
−$1.11
(-0.8%)
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist in the US for 2026?
Yes 9.3¢
1,423.9 份
分享
12.0¢
→
9.3¢
$170.63
$1,423.87
$131.71
−$38.93
(-22.8%)
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?
No 26.5¢
494.4 份
分享
33.4¢
→
26.5¢
$165.05
$494.36
$131.01
−$34.05
(-20.6%)
DeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit 6% by December 31?
Yes 99.1¢
128.4 份
分享
93.5¢
→
99.1¢
$119.98
$128.38
$127.16
+$7.18
(+6.0%)
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,165,000 on December 31?
No 98.0¢
121.4 份
分享
82.0¢
→
98.0¢
$99.56
$121.4
$118.91
+$19.35
(+19.4%)
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%?
No 69.0¢
163.6 份
分享
70.5¢
→
69.0¢
$115.37
$163.57
$112.95
−$2.42
(-2.1%)
Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?
Yes 11.5¢
941.8 份
分享
10.9¢
→
11.5¢
$103.11
$941.81
$108.31
+$5.19
(+5.0%)
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 75% by December 31?
No 75¢
140 份
分享
81.2¢
→
75¢
$113.74
$139.99
$104.99
−$8.75
(-7.7%)
Will The Odyssey win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 30¢
338 份
分享
26.9¢
→
30¢
$90.74
$337.95
$101.39
+$10.65
(+11.7%)
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
Yes 10.6¢
944.9 份
分享
5.7¢
→
10.6¢
$53.67
$944.89
$100.16
+$46.49
(+86.6%)
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Yes 11.5¢
847.9 份
分享
10.8¢
→
11.5¢
$91.81
$847.91
$97.51
+$5.7
(+6.2%)
Ossoff's Democratic nomination odds dip to 12% by December 31?
Yes 23.5¢
400 份
分享
22.0¢
→
23.5¢
$88
$400
$94
+$6
(+6.8%)
Will Mark Stone record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?
Yes 55.6¢
163.9 份
分享
7.7¢
→
55.6¢
$12.65
$163.89
$91.12
+$78.48
(+620.6%)
Will Anton Forsberg record 4+ shutouts?
Yes 25¢
361.5 份
分享
16.4¢
→
25¢
$59.3
$361.53
$90.38
+$31.08
(+52.4%)
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $503,000 and $507,000 on December 31?
Yes 27.7¢
310.1 份
分享
10.7¢
→
27.7¢
$33.19
$310.08
$85.89
+$52.7
(+158.8%)
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?
No 35.4¢
230.8 份
分享
23.0¢
→
35.4¢
$53.12
$230.8
$81.7
+$28.58
(+53.8%)
Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027?
Yes 8.5¢
948.4 份
分享
10.2¢
→
8.5¢
$96.48
$948.38
$80.61
−$15.87
(-16.4%)
Will Flop launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Yes 72¢
107.9 份
分享
68.4¢
→
72¢
$73.81
$107.89
$77.68
+$3.87
(+5.2%)
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 35.5¢
218.4 份
分享
25.1¢
→
35.5¢
$54.77
$218.4
$77.53
+$22.77
(+41.6%)
Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit 6% by December 31?
Yes 37.5¢
204.6 份
分享
10.2¢
→
37.5¢
$20.96
$204.6
$76.73
+$55.77
(+266.1%)
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
Yes 1.2¢
6,339.9 份
分享
6.6¢
→
1.2¢
$416.02
$6,339.87
$76.08
−$339.94
(-81.7%)
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31?
Yes 69¢
110 份
分享
71.3¢
→
69¢
$78.39
$110
$75.9
−$2.49
(-3.2%)
Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit 8% by December 31?
Yes 13.5¢
560.7 份
分享
13.3¢
→
13.5¢
$74.67
$560.7
$75.69
+$1.02
(+1.4%)
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.6% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?
Yes 7.1¢
1,065.1 份
分享
19.3¢
→
7.1¢
$205.08
$1,065.07
$75.62
−$129.46
(-63.1%)
Will Agapito win Best Live Action Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 79.5¢
93.6 份
分享
68.7¢
→
79.5¢
$64.29
$93.64
$74.44
+$10.15
(+15.8%)
Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?
No 56.1¢
131.7 份
分享
45.4¢
→
56.1¢
$59.83
$131.72
$73.9
+$14.06
(+23.5%)
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?
Yes 12.5¢
567 份
分享
14.8¢
→
12.5¢
$83.94
$566.96
$70.87
−$13.07
(-15.6%)
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 14.0¢
503.9 份
分享
23.9¢
→
14.0¢
$120.41
$503.85
$70.54
−$49.87
(-41.4%)
Will Anthropic raise between $95B and $105B in its IPO?
Yes 27.3¢
256 份
分享
28.1¢
→
27.3¢
$71.92
$256
$69.76
−$2.16
(-3.0%)
Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2028?
Yes 11.5¢
594.3 份
分享
11.1¢
→
11.5¢
$66.02
$594.32
$68.35
+$2.32
(+3.5%)
Will four or more people dissent the January Fed decision?
Yes 5.9¢
1,132.5 份
分享
10.1¢
→
5.9¢
$113.84
$1,132.47
$67.38
−$46.46
(-40.8%)
Shapiro's Democratic nomination odds hit 10% by December 31?
Yes 11¢
584.5 份
分享
12.0¢
→
11¢
$70.34
$584.54
$64.3
−$6.04
(-8.6%)
Will two people dissent the December Fed decision?
Yes 12¢
520 份
分享
23.4¢
→
12¢
$121.7
$520
$62.4
−$59.3
(-48.7%)
Will one person dissent the January Fed decision?
Yes 22.5¢
274 份
分享
15.8¢
→
22.5¢
$43.17
$274
$61.65
+$18.48
(+42.8%)
Will Payward announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Yes 9.5¢
620.5 份
分享
14.0¢
→
9.5¢
$86.87
$620.53
$58.95
−$27.92
(-32.1%)
Democratic 2028 presidential odds hit 80% by March 31?
Yes 7.5¢
768.4 份
分享
6.0¢
→
7.5¢
$46.02
$768.38
$57.63
+$11.61
(+25.2%)
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028?
Yes 13¢
443.1 份
分享
11.8¢
→
13¢
$52.12
$443.07
$57.6
+$5.48
(+10.5%)
Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2028?
Yes 17¢
334 份
分享
13.2¢
→
17¢
$44.01
$334
$56.78
+$12.77
(+29.0%)
Carlson's Republican nomination odds dip to 2% by December 31?
Yes 51.5¢
105.8 份
分享
48.0¢
→
51.5¢
$50.77
$105.77
$54.47
+$3.7
(+7.3%)
Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 55% by December 31?
Yes 7.0¢
742.9 份
分享
6.6¢
→
7.0¢
$48.84
$742.89
$52
+$3.16
(+6.5%)
Will the ECB announce no change at the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 12¢
425.7 份
分享
19.8¢
→
12¢
$84.49
$425.75
$51.09
−$33.4
(-39.5%)
Will Ella Langley win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
No 14.0¢
359.9 份
分享
48.6¢
→
14.0¢
$174.93
$359.85
$50.38
−$124.55
(-71.2%)
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2028?
Yes 15.5¢
319.2 份
分享
11.3¢
→
15.5¢
$36.05
$319.17
$49.47
+$13.42
(+37.2%)
Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Yes 12¢
379.3 份
分享
13.6¢
→
12¢
$51.52
$379.31
$45.52
−$6
(-11.6%)
Will Justin Bieber appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Yes 9.5¢
476.9 份
分享
10¢
→
9.5¢
$47.69
$476.88
$45.3
−$2.38
(-5.0%)
Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027?
Yes 28.5¢
154.2 份
分享
22.8¢
→
28.5¢
$35.18
$154.15
$43.93
+$8.75
(+24.9%)
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
No 50.5¢
84.7 份
分享
35.0¢
→
50.5¢
$29.69
$84.72
$42.78
+$13.1
(+44.1%)
Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2028?
No 83¢
50 份
分享
82¢
→
83¢
$41.02
$50.02
$41.52
+$0.5
(+1.2%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of November 2026?
No 28.0¢
146.5 份
分享
46.5¢
→
28.0¢
$68.06
$146.45
$41.01
−$27.05
(-39.8%)
Will “Dandelion” by Ella Langley win Album of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?
No 11.5¢
354.4 份
分享
46.2¢
→
11.5¢
$163.88
$354.37
$40.75
−$123.13
(-75.1%)
Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?
Yes 5.2¢
783.3 份
分享
13.0¢
→
5.2¢
$102.21
$783.34
$40.73
−$61.48
(-60.1%)
Will The Tuners win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 33.5¢
121 份
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20.5¢
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33.5¢
$24.77
$120.96
$40.52
+$15.75
(+63.6%)
Will Jesper Wallstedt record 4+ shutouts?
Yes 64¢
60 份
分享
45.3¢
→
64¢
$27.17
$60
$38.4
+$11.23
(+41.3%)
AOC's Democratic nomination odds hit 20% by December 31?
No 66.5¢
55.1 份
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59.3¢
→
66.5¢
$32.68
$55.15
$36.67
+$3.99
(+12.2%)
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
Yes 1.6¢
2,355.9 份
分享
4.7¢
→
1.6¢
$110.29
$2,355.92
$36.52
−$73.77
(-66.9%)
Democratic 2028 presidential odds dip to 55% by March 31?
Yes 13¢
280 份
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18¢
→
13¢
$50.4
$280
$36.4
−$14
(-27.8%)
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of December 2026?
Yes 5.3¢
649 份
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13.4¢
→
5.3¢
$87.2
$648.99
$34.72
−$52.48
(-60.2%)
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?
No 13¢
260.3 份
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32.3¢
→
13¢
$83.98
$260.32
$33.84
−$50.14
(-59.7%)
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $397,000 and $407,000 on December 31?
Yes 16.4¢
195.3 份
分享
14.5¢
→
16.4¢
$28.34
$195.35
$32.04
+$3.7
(+13.0%)
Will DJI be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Yes 10.5¢
297.7 份
分享
11.2¢
→
10.5¢
$33.48
$297.67
$31.26
−$2.23
(-6.7%)
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