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HerrieDavis
HerrieDavis
2026年2月 加入
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分享个人资料
Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
总收益
$471,208.95
1天
−$5,385.28
7天
$7,498.72
30天
−$2.97万
90天
$8.4万
总成交量
$3559.53万
预测次数
9,889
持仓价值
$20.27万
盈亏走势
历史盈亏走势
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
+$32.68万
LP 奖励
+$12.2万
Maker 返利
+$2.23万
持仓奖励
+$317.87
费用
−$139.57
排名概览
综合
#442
共 330.2万 个钱包
成交量
#760
共 330.2万 个钱包
利润
#585
共 330.2万 个钱包
LP 奖励
#40
共 18.9万 个获奖地址
Maker 返利
#341
共 16.1万 个获奖地址
持仓奖励
#1,221
共 35.2万 个获奖地址
已付费用
#99,095
共 153.5万 个付费地址
持仓
活动
评论
当前
已平仓
市场
平均 → 当前
成交额
获胜可得
价值
分享
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 92.5¢
1万 份
分享
91.2¢
→
92.5¢
$9,164.2
$1.01万
$9,291.63
+$127.43
(+1.4%)
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No 91.5¢
9,449 份
分享
52.6¢
→
91.5¢
$4,972.74
$9,449
$8,645.84
+$3,673.1
(+73.9%)
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No 96.3¢
8,660.3 份
分享
50.7¢
→
96.3¢
$4,392.15
$8,660.33
$8,335.57
+$3,943.42
(+89.8%)
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
No 100.0¢
7,921.5 份
分享
95.6¢
→
100.0¢
$7,572.98
$7,921.53
$7,917.57
+$344.59
(+4.6%)
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
No 97.1¢
7,583 份
分享
93.3¢
→
97.1¢
$7,076.92
$7,583.03
$7,363.12
+$286.21
(+4.0%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 61.6¢
9,977.6 份
分享
24.7¢
→
61.6¢
$2,467.2
$9,977.57
$6,141.19
+$3,673.99
(+148.9%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 96.8¢
5,053.8 份
分享
90.0¢
→
96.8¢
$4,550.54
$5,053.81
$4,892.09
+$341.55
(+7.5%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No 100.0¢
4,854.2 份
分享
97.6¢
→
100.0¢
$4,735.8
$4,854.23
$4,851.8
+$116.01
(+2.4%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 59¢
6,835.4 份
分享
65.5¢
→
59¢
$4,474.99
$6,835.41
$4,032.89
−$442.09
(-9.9%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
No 91.5¢
4,150 份
分享
69.8¢
→
91.5¢
$2,894.96
$4,149.96
$3,797.21
+$902.25
(+31.2%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 31.4¢
1万 份
分享
41.0¢
→
31.4¢
$4,203.56
$1.02万
$3,210.37
−$993.19
(-23.6%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
No 90.5¢
3,478.5 份
分享
81¢
→
90.5¢
$2,817.59
$3,478.5
$3,148.04
+$330.46
(+11.7%)
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
No 82.0¢
3,519.5 份
分享
75.9¢
→
82.0¢
$2,670.15
$3,519.5
$2,887.75
+$217.6
(+8.1%)
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 31.7¢
8,994.3 份
分享
47.8¢
→
31.7¢
$4,295.35
$8,994.26
$2,851.18
−$1,444.17
(-33.6%)
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
No 93¢
2,913.2 份
分享
39.7¢
→
93¢
$1,155.41
$2,913.16
$2,709.24
+$1,553.83
(+134.5%)
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
No 95.5¢
2,808.6 份
分享
86.1¢
→
95.5¢
$2,418.16
$2,808.57
$2,682.18
+$264.02
(+10.9%)
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
No 70.3¢
3,476.5 份
分享
76.8¢
→
70.3¢
$2,671.75
$3,476.54
$2,445.74
−$226.01
(-8.5%)
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes 100.0¢
2,430.1 份
分享
61.5¢
→
100.0¢
$1,494.32
$2,430.15
$2,428.93
+$934.61
(+62.5%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 40.8¢
5,762 份
分享
21.6¢
→
40.8¢
$1,244.09
$5,761.98
$2,350.89
+$1,106.79
(+89.0%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Yes 99.8¢
2,259.3 份
分享
91.6¢
→
99.8¢
$2,070.64
$2,259.28
$2,254.76
+$184.12
(+8.9%)
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
No 100.0¢
2,174.2 份
分享
90.6¢
→
100.0¢
$1,969.65
$2,174.23
$2,173.14
+$203.49
(+10.3%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 87.0¢
2,444.2 份
分享
76.5¢
→
87.0¢
$1,870.46
$2,444.2
$2,125.23
+$254.77
(+13.6%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No 94¢
2,114.3 份
分享
94.2¢
→
94¢
$1,991.71
$2,114.35
$1,987.49
−$4.23
(-0.2%)
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
No 96.7¢
1,963.7 份
分享
84.0¢
→
96.7¢
$1,649.49
$1,963.68
$1,898.88
+$249.39
(+15.1%)
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Yes 55.1¢
3,409.7 份
分享
13.7¢
→
55.1¢
$467.52
$3,409.73
$1,878.76
+$1,411.24
(+301.9%)
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No 98.4¢
1,899.2 份
分享
93.7¢
→
98.4¢
$1,779.58
$1,899.23
$1,867.89
+$88.32
(+5.0%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No 60.8¢
3,001.6 份
分享
60.8¢
→
60.8¢
$1,826.18
$3,001.64
$1,823.5
−$2.68
(-0.1%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 89.7¢
1,840.7 份
分享
61.8¢
→
89.7¢
$1,137.33
$1,840.71
$1,651.12
+$513.79
(+45.2%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
No 95.5¢
1,728.5 份
分享
85.7¢
→
95.5¢
$1,480.79
$1,728.5
$1,650.72
+$169.93
(+11.5%)
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 15¢
1万 份
分享
14.8¢
→
15¢
$1,511.34
$1.02万
$1,525.68
+$14.34
(+0.9%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?
No 60¢
2,448.7 份
分享
62.6¢
→
60¢
$1,534.1
$2,448.65
$1,469.19
−$64.91
(-4.2%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
No 88.1¢
1,628.9 份
分享
87.2¢
→
88.1¢
$1,421.12
$1,628.89
$1,435.05
+$13.93
(+1.0%)
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 85.2¢
1,628.7 份
分享
80.3¢
→
85.2¢
$1,307.67
$1,628.65
$1,386.8
+$79.13
(+6.1%)
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Yes 66¢
2,070.6 份
分享
57.2¢
→
66¢
$1,184.83
$2,070.64
$1,366.62
+$181.79
(+15.3%)
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
Yes 19¢
6,946.1 份
分享
32.7¢
→
19¢
$2,274.63
$6,946.11
$1,319.76
−$954.87
(-42.0%)
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?
No 94.9¢
1,320.9 份
分享
84.6¢
→
94.9¢
$1,117.06
$1,320.92
$1,253.55
+$136.5
(+12.2%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
No 95¢
1,272.4 份
分享
84.5¢
→
95¢
$1,075.08
$1,272.41
$1,208.79
+$133.71
(+12.4%)
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
No 97.3¢
1,237.5 份
分享
80.6¢
→
97.3¢
$997.99
$1,237.5
$1,203.47
+$205.48
(+20.6%)
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Yes 13¢
8,842.5 份
分享
5.6¢
→
13¢
$492.35
$8,842.54
$1,149.53
+$657.18
(+133.5%)
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?
Yes 23.5¢
4,806.3 份
分享
24.8¢
→
23.5¢
$1,191.16
$4,806.33
$1,129.49
−$61.67
(-5.2%)
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
Yes 30.5¢
3,403 份
分享
17.0¢
→
30.5¢
$578.91
$3,403
$1,037.92
+$459
(+79.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?
No 89.1¢
1,147.7 份
分享
89.6¢
→
89.1¢
$1,027.93
$1,147.68
$1,023.16
−$4.77
(-0.5%)
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 30.5¢
3,290.4 份
分享
29.8¢
→
30.5¢
$982.19
$3,290.38
$1,003.57
+$21.37
(+2.2%)
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Yes 71.9¢
1,384.4 份
分享
75.2¢
→
71.9¢
$1,041.27
$1,384.43
$994.71
−$46.56
(-4.5%)
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
No 97.9¢
1,014.8 份
分享
79.9¢
→
97.9¢
$810.72
$1,014.75
$993.44
+$182.72
(+22.5%)
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Yes 20.1¢
4,930.5 份
分享
12.3¢
→
20.1¢
$605.67
$4,930.54
$988.57
+$382.9
(+63.2%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Yes 63.5¢
1,513.3 份
分享
47.9¢
→
63.5¢
$724.98
$1,513.31
$960.95
+$235.97
(+32.5%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 86¢
1,076.9 份
分享
79.9¢
→
86¢
$860.51
$1,076.91
$926.14
+$65.63
(+7.6%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
No 84.5¢
1,093.2 份
分享
64.3¢
→
84.5¢
$703.05
$1,093.24
$923.79
+$220.74
(+31.4%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
Yes 63.5¢
1,450 份
分享
60.7¢
→
63.5¢
$879.77
$1,449.96
$920.72
+$40.96
(+4.7%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 89.5¢
1,010.2 份
分享
82.4¢
→
89.5¢
$832.15
$1,010.21
$904.14
+$71.99
(+8.7%)
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?
No 99.2¢
900 份
分享
90.2¢
→
99.2¢
$811.58
$900
$892.35
+$80.78
(+10.0%)
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Yes 71.9¢
1,237.7 份
分享
21.0¢
→
71.9¢
$260.25
$1,237.73
$889.31
+$629.06
(+241.7%)
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
No 95.3¢
932.3 份
分享
87.9¢
→
95.3¢
$819.98
$932.32
$888.96
+$68.98
(+8.4%)
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No 97.3¢
900.4 份
分享
93.4¢
→
97.3¢
$840.84
$900.44
$876.13
+$35.3
(+4.2%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 15.3¢
5,630 份
分享
10.1¢
→
15.3¢
$568.48
$5,630.01
$858.58
+$290.09
(+51.0%)
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Yes 99.9¢
850.1 份
分享
63.7¢
→
99.9¢
$541.41
$850.12
$849.27
+$307.86
(+56.9%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 40.0¢
2,032.4 份
分享
20.1¢
→
40.0¢
$408.46
$2,032.35
$811.92
+$403.46
(+98.8%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 96.8¢
834.9 份
分享
71¢
→
96.8¢
$592.76
$834.87
$807.74
+$214.98
(+36.3%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 28.6¢
2,765.4 份
分享
3.2¢
→
28.6¢
$87.42
$2,765.36
$792.28
+$704.86
(+806.3%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
No 77.5¢
998.3 份
分享
74.0¢
→
77.5¢
$738.74
$998.3
$773.68
+$34.94
(+4.7%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?
No 94.5¢
802.9 份
分享
84.9¢
→
94.5¢
$681.49
$802.89
$758.73
+$77.25
(+11.3%)
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
No 97.4¢
755.9 份
分享
81.2¢
→
97.4¢
$614.05
$755.94
$736.29
+$122.24
(+19.9%)
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?
No 81¢
866.7 份
分享
52.5¢
→
81¢
$455.43
$866.65
$701.99
+$246.56
(+54.1%)
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
No 74.5¢
906.4 份
分享
78¢
→
74.5¢
$706.99
$906.4
$675.27
−$31.72
(-4.5%)
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
No 97.3¢
685.2 份
分享
87.2¢
→
97.3¢
$597.42
$685.22
$666.72
+$69.3
(+11.6%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?
Yes 59.5¢
1,112.5 份
分享
67¢
→
59.5¢
$745.35
$1,112.47
$661.92
−$83.44
(-11.2%)
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 66.5¢
984 份
分享
50.4¢
→
66.5¢
$496.44
$984.05
$654.39
+$157.95
(+31.8%)
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?
No 94.5¢
689.3 份
分享
88¢
→
94.5¢
$606.59
$689.31
$651.4
+$44.81
(+7.4%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes 16.3¢
3,978.8 份
分享
33.4¢
→
16.3¢
$1,327.24
$3,978.84
$646.56
−$680.68
(-51.3%)
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No 84.5¢
758.5 份
分享
71¢
→
84.5¢
$538.54
$758.5
$640.93
+$102.4
(+19.0%)
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
No 84.5¢
724.7 份
分享
71.0¢
→
84.5¢
$514.24
$724.65
$612.33
+$98.09
(+19.1%)
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 14.3¢
4,248.7 份
分享
0.8¢
→
14.3¢
$33.19
$4,248.73
$609.69
+$576.5
(+1736.9%)
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
No 16.1¢
3,654.2 份
分享
23.2¢
→
16.1¢
$846.73
$3,654.23
$588.33
−$258.4
(-30.5%)
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?
Yes 26.5¢
2,176.6 份
分享
19.8¢
→
26.5¢
$431.95
$2,176.55
$576.79
+$144.84
(+33.5%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 8.4¢
6,739.6 份
分享
4.8¢
→
8.4¢
$323.34
$6,739.56
$566.12
+$242.78
(+75.1%)
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 97.9¢
575.5 份
分享
74.5¢
→
97.9¢
$428.8
$575.46
$563.08
+$134.28
(+31.3%)
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
No 85.8¢
655.9 份
分享
74.7¢
→
85.8¢
$490.08
$655.85
$562.39
+$72.31
(+14.8%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No 98.3¢
545 份
分享
94.1¢
→
98.3¢
$512.8
$544.95
$535.41
+$22.62
(+4.4%)
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No 79¢
662.9 份
分享
75¢
→
79¢
$497.15
$662.87
$523.67
+$26.51
(+5.3%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes 53.5¢
974 份
分享
41.9¢
→
53.5¢
$407.7
$973.97
$521.08
+$113.38
(+27.8%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
No 97.2¢
519.5 份
分享
88.0¢
→
97.2¢
$457.14
$519.48
$504.68
+$47.53
(+10.4%)
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No 97.5¢
515.3 份
分享
89.9¢
→
97.5¢
$463.42
$515.32
$502.69
+$39.28
(+8.5%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 19.3¢
2,517.3 份
分享
17.5¢
→
19.3¢
$440.61
$2,517.3
$485.84
+$45.23
(+10.3%)
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2026?
No 92.5¢
521.4 份
分享
85.0¢
→
92.5¢
$443.22
$521.44
$482.33
+$39.11
(+8.8%)
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?
No 96.8¢
488.3 份
分享
89¢
→
96.8¢
$434.56
$488.27
$472.65
+$38.09
(+8.8%)
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Yes 89¢
526.3 份
分享
52.9¢
→
89¢
$278.51
$526.34
$468.44
+$189.94
(+68.2%)
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
Yes 12.9¢
3,477.7 份
分享
4.7¢
→
12.9¢
$162.99
$3,477.66
$448.62
+$285.63
(+175.2%)
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?
No 98.3¢
448.2 份
分享
95¢
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98.3¢
$425.82
$448.23
$440.61
+$14.79
(+3.5%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
No 89.2¢
460.5 份
分享
80.9¢
→
89.2¢
$372.62
$460.52
$410.78
+$38.16
(+10.2%)
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Yes 72.5¢
537.1 份
分享
53.6¢
→
72.5¢
$287.9
$537.14
$389.43
+$101.53
(+35.3%)
US recession by end of 2026?
No 94.5¢
411.8 份
分享
83.1¢
→
94.5¢
$342.2
$411.76
$389.11
+$46.91
(+13.7%)
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo
No 96.6¢
398 份
分享
89.0¢
→
96.6¢
$354.25
$398.03
$384.5
+$30.25
(+8.5%)
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
Yes 89.5¢
429.2 份
分享
79.0¢
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89.5¢
$339.07
$429.21
$384.14
+$45.07
(+13.3%)
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?
Yes 14.0¢
2,725.5 份
分享
9.2¢
→
14.0¢
$250.67
$2,725.52
$381.57
+$130.91
(+52.2%)
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
Yes 7.5¢
5,067.2 份
分享
23.9¢
→
7.5¢
$1,213.16
$5,067.18
$380.04
−$833.12
(-68.7%)
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?
Yes 94.0¢
400 份
分享
7.6¢
→
94.0¢
$30.43
$399.97
$376.17
+$345.75
(+1136.4%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
No 91.8¢
406.9 份
分享
78.1¢
→
91.8¢
$317.63
$406.88
$373.31
+$55.69
(+17.5%)
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?
No 80.5¢
453.6 份
分享
72¢
→
80.5¢
$326.58
$453.59
$365.14
+$38.56
(+11.8%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?
Yes 34.5¢
1,047.2 份
分享
39.2¢
→
34.5¢
$410.25
$1,047.21
$361.29
−$48.96
(-11.9%)
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