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Polymarket
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总收益
−$847,726.04
1天
−$9,336.96
7天
$3,259.05
30天
$3,533.59
90天
−$23.54万
总成交量
$1.09亿
预测次数
56,234
持仓价值
$7.31万
盈亏走势
历史盈亏走势
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
−$97.63万
LP 奖励
+$1.35万
Maker 返利
+$11.45万
持仓奖励
+$200.76
Taker 返利
+$397.23
持仓
活动
评论
当前
已平仓
市场
平均 → 当前
成交额
获胜可得
价值
分享
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 97.5¢
2.9万 份
分享
71.2¢
→
97.5¢
$2.09万
$2.94万
$2.87万
+$7,744.4
(+37.0%)
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?
No 90.5¢
1万 份
分享
94¢
→
90.5¢
$9,400
$1万
$9,055
−$345
(-3.7%)
Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien
Luca Van Assche 79.5¢
1万 份
分享
55.2¢
→
79.5¢
$5,527.63
$1万
$7,956.89
+$2,429.25
(+43.9%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes 98.5¢
6,646.3 份
分享
4.6¢
→
98.5¢
$305.84
$6,646.33
$6,546.64
+$6,240.79
(+2040.5%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No 98.4¢
3,060.2 份
分享
19.8¢
→
98.4¢
$605.93
$3,060.16
$3,009.67
+$2,403.74
(+396.7%)
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes 86.5¢
2,033.2 份
分享
11¢
→
86.5¢
$223.65
$2,033.15
$1,757.66
+$1,534.01
(+685.9%)
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Yes 100.0¢
1,268.8 份
分享
48.6¢
→
100.0¢
$616.16
$1,268.83
$1,268.2
+$652.04
(+105.8%)
KBO Playoff: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz
KT Wiz 54.5¢
2,093 份
分享
43.2¢
→
54.5¢
$904.52
$2,092.99
$1,140.68
+$236.16
(+26.1%)
M25 Heraklion: Henri Haupt vs Alexandre Aubriot
Alexandre Aubriot 99.5¢
1,104.8 份
分享
76.8¢
→
99.5¢
$848.69
$1,104.82
$1,098.74
+$250.05
(+29.5%)
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
No 95.3¢
822 份
分享
96¢
→
95.3¢
$789.12
$822
$783.37
−$5.75
(-0.7%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
No 75.5¢
1,004.5 份
分享
78.9¢
→
75.5¢
$792.25
$1,004.53
$758.42
−$33.83
(-4.3%)
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?
No 98.3¢
735 份
分享
92¢
→
98.3¢
$676.2
$735
$722.51
+$46.31
(+6.8%)
Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?
No 93.7¢
561.7 份
分享
94¢
→
93.7¢
$527.99
$561.69
$526.02
−$1.97
(-0.4%)
KBO Playoff: Samsung Lions vs. KT Wiz
Samsung Lions 45.5¢
1,118.2 份
分享
74.9¢
→
45.5¢
$837.68
$1,118.23
$508.79
−$328.88
(-39.3%)
M25 Valencia: Samuele Pieri vs Sergio Planella Hernandez
Samuele Pieri 100.0¢
502.6 份
分享
97¢
→
100.0¢
$487.56
$502.64
$502.39
+$14.83
(+3.0%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes 14.0¢
3,072.3 份
分享
17.6¢
→
14.0¢
$540.64
$3,072.29
$428.58
−$112.05
(-20.7%)
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
No 89.8¢
436.1 份
分享
5.9¢
→
89.8¢
$25.63
$436.14
$391.87
+$366.24
(+1429.2%)
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner
Esport Academy Copenhagen 99.6¢
383 份
分享
27¢
→
99.6¢
$103.41
$383
$381.47
+$278.06
(+268.9%)
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
No 21.6¢
1,728.2 份
分享
14.5¢
→
21.6¢
$250.6
$1,728.23
$373.3
+$122.7
(+49.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?
No 99.3¢
365 份
分享
73¢
→
99.3¢
$266.45
$365
$362.26
+$95.81
(+36.0%)
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
Yes 1.1¢
3万 份
分享
5.7¢
→
1.1¢
$1,712.92
$3.02万
$347.14
−$1,365.78
(-79.7%)
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?
Yes 1.3¢
2.4万 份
分享
2.7¢
→
1.3¢
$655.05
$2.44万
$316.98
−$338.07
(-51.6%)
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
No 13.6¢
2,331.4 份
分享
18.7¢
→
13.6¢
$435.61
$2,331.39
$315.9
−$119.71
(-27.5%)
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series Group A
Honvéd 32.5¢
963.1 份
分享
35.4¢
→
32.5¢
$341.15
$963.13
$313.02
−$28.13
(-8.2%)
Will Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
No 96.7¢
315.1 份
分享
70.9¢
→
96.7¢
$223.34
$315.11
$304.55
+$81.22
(+36.4%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
No 88¢
333 份
分享
79¢
→
88¢
$263.07
$333
$293.04
+$29.97
(+11.4%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
No 99.5¢
294.2 份
分享
95¢
→
99.5¢
$279.49
$294.2
$292.58
+$13.09
(+4.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?
No 91.4¢
294 份
分享
43¢
→
91.4¢
$126.42
$294
$268.72
+$142.3
(+112.6%)
Will FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo end in a draw?
No 1.3¢
1.8万 份
分享
6.5¢
→
1.3¢
$1,163.87
$1.78万
$231.14
−$932.73
(-80.1%)
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Thousand (BO1) - MČR Group A
Thousand 26.5¢
848 份
分享
26.0¢
→
26.5¢
$220.32
$848
$224.72
+$4.4
(+2.0%)
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
No 95.6¢
227.3 份
分享
82¢
→
95.6¢
$186.37
$227.28
$217.28
+$30.91
(+16.6%)
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 2.5
Under 47¢
460 份
分享
7.0¢
→
47¢
$32.2
$460
$216.2
+$184
(+571.4%)
Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?
No 85.5¢
243.7 份
分享
83.9¢
→
85.5¢
$204.38
$243.66
$208.33
+$3.95
(+1.9%)
Dota 2: LenS Team vs Daxak Team - Game 1 Winner
Daxak Team 100.0¢
197 份
分享
6.6¢
→
100.0¢
$12.93
$197
$196.9
+$183.97
(+1422.8%)
Counter-Strike: BOJONG vs Younglings (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
Younglings 53.9¢
364 份
分享
36¢
→
53.9¢
$131.04
$364
$196.2
+$65.16
(+49.7%)
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
No 93.5¢
200 份
分享
65.3¢
→
93.5¢
$130.67
$200
$187
+$56.33
(+43.1%)
Counter-Strike: BRUTE SQ vs Inner Circle Prospect (BO3) - United21 Group B
BRUTE SQ 69.5¢
201 份
分享
56.0¢
→
69.5¢
$112.56
$201
$139.7
+$27.14
(+24.1%)
California Immunology Research Bond Proposition
Yes 82¢
168.4 份
分享
72.2¢
→
82¢
$121.54
$168.44
$138.12
+$16.58
(+13.6%)
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 98.3¢
133 份
分享
84¢
→
98.3¢
$111.72
$133
$130.74
+$19.02
(+17.0%)
Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 96.4¢
133 份
分享
82¢
→
96.4¢
$109.06
$133
$128.21
+$19.15
(+17.6%)
Will The Odyssey win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 84.5¢
133 份
分享
86¢
→
84.5¢
$114.38
$133
$112.39
−$2
(-1.7%)
California Clinic Funding Proposition
No 73¢
153 份
分享
83.9¢
→
73¢
$128.32
$153
$111.69
−$16.63
(-13.0%)
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Yes 23.5¢
457.6 份
分享
5¢
→
23.5¢
$22.88
$457.57
$107.76
+$84.88
(+371.0%)
Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 96.3¢
111 份
分享
75¢
→
96.3¢
$83.25
$111
$106.89
+$23.64
(+28.4%)
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
No 93.0¢
111.1 份
分享
91¢
→
93.0¢
$101.11
$111.11
$103.39
+$2.28
(+2.3%)
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 29.0¢
343.2 份
分享
32.9¢
→
29.0¢
$112.87
$343.23
$99.54
−$13.33
(-11.8%)
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Yes 38¢
230 份
分享
21.8¢
→
38¢
$50.1
$230.01
$87.4
+$37.3
(+74.5%)
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
No 83¢
103 份
分享
80¢
→
83¢
$82.4
$103
$85.49
+$3.09
(+3.8%)
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
No 93¢
80 份
分享
79¢
→
93¢
$63.2
$80
$74.4
+$11.2
(+17.7%)
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Inner Circle (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A
Inner Circle 96.5¢
71.4 份
分享
72¢
→
96.5¢
$51.43
$71.43
$68.93
+$17.5
(+34.0%)
Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
No 89.5¢
76.1 份
分享
73.7¢
→
89.5¢
$56.15
$76.14
$68.11
+$11.95
(+21.3%)
California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition
Yes 50.5¢
133 份
分享
82¢
→
50.5¢
$109.06
$133
$67.17
−$41.9
(-38.4%)
Will Dandelion (Ella Langley) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
No 99¢
62.3 份
分享
96¢
→
99¢
$59.82
$62.31
$61.68
+$1.87
(+3.1%)
M15 San Gregorio di Catania: Marcello Serafini vs Matteo Gribaldo
Marcello Serafini 100.0¢
53 份
分享
64¢
→
100.0¢
$33.92
$53
$52.97
+$19.05
(+56.2%)
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
No 92.5¢
53.4 份
分享
84¢
→
92.5¢
$44.89
$53.44
$49.43
+$4.54
(+10.1%)
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
Yes 78.5¢
62.9 份
分享
74¢
→
78.5¢
$46.52
$62.86
$49.35
+$2.83
(+6.1%)
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 63.5¢
74 份
分享
58.3¢
→
63.5¢
$43.14
$74
$46.99
+$3.85
(+8.9%)
Big Bash League, Women: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades
Melbourne Renegades 100.0¢
44.7 份
分享
63¢
→
100.0¢
$28.18
$44.73
$44.71
+$16.53
(+58.7%)
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 12.5¢
301.4 份
分享
21.2¢
→
12.5¢
$63.78
$301.41
$37.68
−$26.11
(-40.9%)
Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes 16¢
233.6 份
分享
24¢
→
16¢
$56.05
$233.55
$37.37
−$18.68
(-33.3%)
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
No 89.2¢
40 份
分享
84¢
→
89.2¢
$33.6
$40
$35.68
+$2.08
(+6.2%)
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?
Yes 14.5¢
238.6 份
分享
61.7¢
→
14.5¢
$147.16
$238.62
$34.6
−$112.56
(-76.5%)
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 23¢
145 份
分享
17.4¢
→
23¢
$25.2
$145
$33.35
+$8.15
(+32.3%)
Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?
No 94.7¢
35.2 份
分享
75¢
→
94.7¢
$26.37
$35.16
$33.3
+$6.93
(+26.3%)
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5
Over 42.5¢
77 份
分享
34¢
→
42.5¢
$26.18
$77
$32.73
+$6.55
(+25.0%)
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
Yes 36.5¢
87 份
分享
16¢
→
36.5¢
$13.92
$87
$31.76
+$17.84
(+128.1%)
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?
Yes 89¢
34.3 份
分享
36¢
→
89¢
$12.34
$34.28
$30.51
+$18.17
(+147.2%)
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?
No 92¢
29.8 份
分享
76¢
→
92¢
$22.68
$29.84
$27.45
+$4.77
(+21.1%)
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
Yes 7.5¢
364 份
分享
13.1¢
→
7.5¢
$47.63
$364
$27.3
−$20.33
(-42.7%)
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 7.5¢
359.8 份
分享
5¢
→
7.5¢
$17.99
$359.83
$26.99
+$9
(+50.0%)
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?
No 22.5¢
116 份
分享
55.0¢
→
22.5¢
$63.8
$116
$26.1
−$37.7
(-59.1%)
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Inner Circle (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A
PuckChamp 3.5¢
728.6 份
分享
20.3¢
→
3.5¢
$147.91
$728.59
$25.5
−$122.4
(-82.8%)
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5
Under 10.4¢
221.7 份
分享
82.2¢
→
10.4¢
$182.3
$221.69
$23.17
−$159.13
(-87.3%)
Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?
No 84.5¢
27 份
分享
80¢
→
84.5¢
$21.61
$27.01
$22.83
+$1.23
(+5.7%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 15.2¢
146 份
分享
14.0¢
→
15.2¢
$20.44
$146
$22.12
+$1.68
(+8.2%)
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 68.5¢
31.6 份
分享
60.6¢
→
68.5¢
$19.16
$31.63
$21.67
+$2.51
(+13.1%)
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
No 51¢
41.8 份
分享
61¢
→
51¢
$25.5
$41.81
$21.32
−$4.18
(-16.4%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 39.9¢
53.5 份
分享
31.0¢
→
39.9¢
$16.59
$53.47
$21.31
+$4.72
(+28.4%)
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?
Yes 17¢
112 份
分享
20¢
→
17¢
$22.4
$112
$19.04
−$3.36
(-15.0%)
Will Ray Gunn win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 96.5¢
18 份
分享
90¢
→
96.5¢
$16.2
$18
$17.36
+$1.16
(+7.2%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No 99.6¢
16.3 份
分享
90¢
→
99.6¢
$14.66
$16.29
$16.22
+$1.56
(+10.6%)
Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 79¢
20 份
分享
65¢
→
79¢
$13
$20
$15.8
+$2.8
(+21.5%)
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?
Yes 6.9¢
217.7 份
分享
36.4¢
→
6.9¢
$79.38
$217.72
$15.02
−$64.36
(-81.1%)
Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
No 13¢
111 份
分享
25¢
→
13¢
$27.75
$111
$14.43
−$13.32
(-48.0%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No 21.5¢
57.6 份
分享
67¢
→
21.5¢
$38.58
$57.58
$12.38
−$26.2
(-67.9%)
Will FC Slovan Liberec win on 2026-10-24?
No 30.5¢
33.8 份
分享
22¢
→
30.5¢
$7.44
$33.81
$10.31
+$2.87
(+38.6%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes 0.1¢
1.9万 份
分享
21.8¢
→
0.1¢
$4,034.55
$1.85万
$9.26
−$4,025.28
(-99.8%)
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 5.3¢
165 份
分享
11¢
→
5.3¢
$18.15
$165
$8.66
−$9.49
(-52.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?
Yes 0.8¢
1,117.3 份
分享
24.1¢
→
0.8¢
$269.77
$1,117.3
$8.38
−$261.39
(-96.9%)
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 2.1¢
375 份
分享
7.0¢
→
2.1¢
$26.25
$375
$8.06
−$18.19
(-69.3%)
Exact Score: Buriram United 0 - 2 Kashima Antlers?
No 90.5¢
7.9 份
分享
81¢
→
90.5¢
$6.39
$7.89
$7.14
+$0.75
(+11.7%)
Will Al Wasl FC win on 2026-10-26?
Yes 12.5¢
55.1 份
分享
5¢
→
12.5¢
$2.76
$55.12
$6.89
+$4.13
(+150.0%)
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
Yes 10.7¢
61.9 份
分享
19.7¢
→
10.7¢
$12.18
$61.9
$6.59
−$5.59
(-45.9%)
Will Jared Polis be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
No 99.1¢
5.9 份
分享
96¢
→
99.1¢
$5.67
$5.91
$5.85
+$0.18
(+3.2%)
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Yes 2.6¢
216 份
分享
3¢
→
2.6¢
$6.48
$216
$5.72
−$0.76
(-11.7%)
Alix Earle on Call Her Daddy by December 31?
No 85¢
6.6 份
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83¢
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85¢
$5.46
$6.58
$5.59
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Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
No 76.5¢
7.3 份
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68¢
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76.5¢
$4.93
$7.25
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2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 0.1¢
1万 份
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31¢
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0.1¢
$3,100
$1万
$5
−$3,095
(-99.8%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Yes 0.1¢
9,795 份
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6¢
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0.1¢
$587.7
$9,795
$4.9
−$582.8
(-99.2%)
Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?
No 44.9¢
10.3 份
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58.0¢
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44.9¢
$5.98
$10.31
$4.63
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