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总收益
$2,560,115.77
1天
$5.76万
7天
$5.84万
30天
$4.48万
90天
−$9.34万
总成交量
$1.01亿
预测次数
1,006
持仓价值
$116.72万
盈亏走势
历史盈亏走势
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
+$249.64万
LP 奖励
+$6.36万
Maker 返利
+$135.95
持仓奖励
+$1.12
持仓
活动
评论
当前
已平仓
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价值
分享
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No 96.4¢
50.1万 份
分享
84.3¢
→
96.4¢
$42.26万
$50.11万
$48.28万
+$6.02万
(+14.2%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 86.5¢
37万 份
分享
73.6¢
→
86.5¢
$27.27万
$37.05万
$32.05万
+$4.78万
(+17.5%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No 98.0¢
16.3万 份
分享
85.5¢
→
98.0¢
$13.89万
$16.25万
$15.92万
+$2.03万
(+14.6%)
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
No 94¢
4.1万 份
分享
84.0¢
→
94¢
$3.42万
$4.07万
$3.82万
+$4,052.01
(+11.9%)
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 89.7¢
3.4万 份
分享
51.2¢
→
89.7¢
$1.72万
$3.36万
$3.01万
+$1.29万
(+75.2%)
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes 85¢
2.8万 份
分享
66.2¢
→
85¢
$1.83万
$2.76万
$2.35万
+$5,191.49
(+28.4%)
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
No 98.3¢
1.6万 份
分享
75.2¢
→
98.3¢
$1.22万
$1.62万
$1.6万
+$3,756.08
(+30.8%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
No 97.2¢
1.2万 份
分享
83.1¢
→
97.2¢
$9,821.12
$1.18万
$1.15万
+$1,654.88
(+16.9%)
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
No 88¢
1.2万 份
分享
51.4¢
→
88¢
$6,428.1
$1.25万
$1.1万
+$4,567.83
(+71.1%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes 88.8¢
1.1万 份
分享
75.4¢
→
88.8¢
$8,471.19
$1.12万
$9,979.54
+$1,508.35
(+17.8%)
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 48.1¢
2万 份
分享
57.0¢
→
48.1¢
$1.13万
$1.98万
$9,536.34
−$1,751.99
(-15.5%)
Iran leadership change by December 31?
No 90.5¢
5,565.8 份
分享
85.0¢
→
90.5¢
$4,730.88
$5,565.75
$5,037.01
+$306.12
(+6.5%)
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
No 96.3¢
5,044.1 份
分享
89.1¢
→
96.3¢
$4,493.35
$5,044.08
$4,854.92
+$361.57
(+8.0%)
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
No 96.0¢
4,979.1 份
分享
83.9¢
→
96.0¢
$4,178.96
$4,979.13
$4,782.45
+$603.5
(+14.4%)
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
No 94.5¢
4,444.3 份
分享
77.9¢
→
94.5¢
$3,461.41
$4,444.28
$4,199.85
+$738.44
(+21.3%)
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
No 91.1¢
4,602.4 份
分享
87.9¢
→
91.1¢
$4,048.11
$4,602.45
$4,195.13
+$147.02
(+3.6%)
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes 11.5¢
3.6万 份
分享
30.5¢
→
11.5¢
$1.1万
$3.61万
$4,148.36
−$6,871.67
(-62.4%)
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
No 96.4¢
3,760 份
分享
81.5¢
→
96.4¢
$3,066.48
$3,760.04
$3,624.68
+$558.2
(+18.2%)
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
No 94¢
3,462.7 份
分享
89.8¢
→
94¢
$3,110.94
$3,462.66
$3,254.9
+$143.97
(+4.6%)
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
No 96.6¢
3,080.4 份
分享
81.1¢
→
96.6¢
$2,499.36
$3,080.38
$2,975.65
+$476.29
(+19.1%)
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
Yes 43¢
4,926.7 份
分享
60.1¢
→
43¢
$2,959.99
$4,926.71
$2,118.48
−$841.51
(-28.4%)
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
No 92¢
2,299.6 份
分享
85.2¢
→
92¢
$1,959.3
$2,299.61
$2,115.64
+$156.34
(+8.0%)
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Yes 8.2¢
2.3万 份
分享
26.3¢
→
8.2¢
$5,927.91
$2.25万
$1,846.32
−$4,081.6
(-68.9%)
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
No 96.7¢
1,809.3 份
分享
88.6¢
→
96.7¢
$1,602.59
$1,809.28
$1,748.67
+$146.08
(+9.1%)
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No 97.2¢
1,785.4 份
分享
96.0¢
→
97.2¢
$1,713.4
$1,785.37
$1,734.49
+$21.09
(+1.2%)
Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027?
No 71.5¢
2,132.7 份
分享
54.8¢
→
71.5¢
$1,169.34
$2,132.71
$1,524.89
+$355.55
(+30.4%)
Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?
Yes 55.5¢
2,559.1 份
分享
50.5¢
→
55.5¢
$1,291.66
$2,559.11
$1,420.31
+$128.65
(+10.0%)
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?
Yes 7.0¢
1.8万 份
分享
43.3¢
→
7.0¢
$7,787.79
$1.8万
$1,258.44
−$6,529.34
(-83.8%)
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 3.9¢
2.6万 份
分享
4.1¢
→
3.9¢
$1,096.63
$2.65万
$1,019.18
−$77.46
(-7.1%)
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?
No 97.4¢
922.6 份
分享
94.6¢
→
97.4¢
$873.06
$922.58
$898.59
+$25.53
(+2.9%)
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Yes 5.5¢
9,763.7 份
分享
57.6¢
→
5.5¢
$5,622.96
$9,763.73
$537.01
−$5,085.96
(-90.4%)
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
No 96.4¢
451.9 份
分享
82¢
→
96.4¢
$370.54
$451.88
$435.61
+$65.07
(+17.6%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by March 31, 2027?
No 86.5¢
382.6 份
分享
82.8¢
→
86.5¢
$316.86
$382.6
$330.95
+$14.09
(+4.4%)
Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?
No 59.5¢
537.3 份
分享
52.3¢
→
59.5¢
$280.76
$537.25
$319.66
+$38.91
(+13.9%)
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Yes 13.5¢
1,813.1 份
分享
27.9¢
→
13.5¢
$506.58
$1,813.05
$244.76
−$261.82
(-51.7%)
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
Yes 5.5¢
2,984.4 份
分享
59.1¢
→
5.5¢
$1,762.51
$2,984.36
$164.14
−$1,598.37
(-90.7%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2027?
No 79.5¢
113 份
分享
74.5¢
→
79.5¢
$84.18
$112.99
$89.83
+$5.64
(+6.7%)
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes 8.5¢
821 份
分享
36¢
→
8.5¢
$295.56
$820.99
$69.78
−$225.77
(-76.4%)
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027?
No 63.5¢
61 份
分享
53.7¢
→
63.5¢
$32.74
$61
$38.74
+$6
(+18.3%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
Yes 0¢
2.3万 份
分享
36.2¢
→
0¢
$8,261.66
$2.28万
输
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Yes 0¢
261.3 份
分享
4.3¢
→
0¢
$11.11
$261.34
输
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?
Yes 0¢
6,974.4 份
分享
2.1¢
→
0¢
$144.7
$6,974.37
输
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Yes 0¢
1.4万 份
分享
37.1¢
→
0¢
$5,028.23
$1.36万
输
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
Yes 0¢
3,782.6 份
分享
38.8¢
→
0¢
$1,468.73
$3,782.62
输
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
Yes 0¢
3,278.8 份
分享
53.2¢
→
0¢
$1,745.13
$3,278.8
输
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Yes 0¢
1.8万 份
分享
24.5¢
→
0¢
$4,459.57
$1.82万
输
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?
Yes 0¢
7,008.4 份
分享
6.5¢
→
0¢
$454.77
$7,008.36
输
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Yes 0¢
3,333 份
分享
11¢
→
0¢
$366.63
$3,333
输
Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?
Yes 0¢
8,454.2 份
分享
22.5¢
→
0¢
$1,905.22
$8,454.19
输
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
Yes 0¢
5.4万 份
分享
39.4¢
→
0¢
$2.13万
$5.41万
输
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Yes 0¢
225 份
分享
11¢
→
0¢
$24.75
$225.03
输
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
No 0¢
2,168.5 份
分享
55.9¢
→
0¢
$1,213.07
$2,168.47
输
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