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2025年1月 加入
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Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
总收益
$1,609,260.38
1天
$3.16万
7天
$4.3万
30天
$5.56万
90天
$84.87万
总成交量
$5.3亿
预测次数
50,836
持仓价值
$62.02万
盈亏走势
历史盈亏走势
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
+$35.33万
LP 奖励
+$119万
Maker 返利
+$8.34万
持仓奖励
+$1.08万
Taker 返利
+$2,193.10
费用
−$3.04万
排名概览
综合
#106
共 330.2万 个钱包
成交量
#11
共 330.2万 个钱包
利润
#669
共 330.2万 个钱包
LP 奖励
#2
共 18.9万 个获奖地址
Maker 返利
#65
共 16.1万 个获奖地址
Taker 返利
#1,176
共 7.2万 个获奖地址
持仓奖励
#41
共 35.2万 个获奖地址
已付费用
#1,019
共 153.5万 个付费地址
持仓
活动
评论
当前
已平仓
市场
平均 → 当前
成交额
获胜可得
价值
分享
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 84.9¢
20万 份
分享
50¢
→
84.9¢
$10万
$20万
$16.97万
+$6.97万
(+69.7%)
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
No 83¢
5.2万 份
分享
82.3¢
→
83¢
$4.26万
$5.18万
$4.3万
+$332.35
(+0.8%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 15.2¢
20万 份
分享
50.0¢
→
15.2¢
$10万
$20万
$3.03万
−$6.97万
(-69.7%)
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
No 93.5¢
2.6万 份
分享
83.1¢
→
93.5¢
$2.17万
$2.61万
$2.44万
+$2,706.86
(+12.5%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
No 89.2¢
2.6万 份
分享
81.8¢
→
89.2¢
$2.11万
$2.58万
$2.3万
+$1,898.6
(+9.0%)
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
No 92¢
2.5万 份
分享
61.2¢
→
92¢
$1.5万
$2.46万
$2.26万
+$7,577.11
(+50.4%)
Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?
Yes 88¢
1.7万 份
分享
87.6¢
→
88¢
$1.48万
$1.68万
$1.48万
+$63.14
(+0.4%)
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
Yes 84.5¢
1.4万 份
分享
52.8¢
→
84.5¢
$7,395.04
$1.4万
$1.18万
+$4,441.96
(+60.1%)
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
No 87¢
1.3万 份
分享
87.6¢
→
87¢
$1.17万
$1.34万
$1.16万
−$80.98
(-0.7%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.5% before 2027?
No 87.4¢
1.2万 份
分享
92.2¢
→
87.4¢
$1.14万
$1.24万
$1.08万
−$596.18
(-5.2%)
Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election?
Yes 74¢
1万 份
分享
77.5¢
→
74¢
$7,800.5
$1.01万
$7,444.78
−$355.72
(-4.6%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
No 86¢
8,567.1 份
分享
82.1¢
→
86¢
$7,033.85
$8,567.1
$7,367.7
+$333.85
(+4.7%)
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 84.5¢
8,467.6 份
分享
87.7¢
→
84.5¢
$7,426.32
$8,467.64
$7,155.15
−$271.17
(-3.7%)
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes 100.0¢
7,145.2 份
分享
97.2¢
→
100.0¢
$6,942.19
$7,145.2
$7,141.63
+$199.44
(+2.9%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
No 93.5¢
7,555 份
分享
93.4¢
→
93.5¢
$7,057.06
$7,555.01
$7,063.93
+$6.88
(+0.1%)
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Yes 100.0¢
7,000 份
分享
97.1¢
→
100.0¢
$6,794.33
$7,000
$6,996.5
+$202.17
(+3.0%)
Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the next Tainan Mayor election?
No 95.8¢
6,974.1 份
分享
91.8¢
→
95.8¢
$6,406.33
$6,974.1
$6,681.18
+$274.86
(+4.3%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?
Yes 100.0¢
6,440 份
分享
99.2¢
→
100.0¢
$6,387.46
$6,440
$6,436.78
+$49.32
(+0.8%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?
No 87.5¢
6,631.6 份
分享
83.3¢
→
87.5¢
$5,526.54
$6,631.57
$5,802.62
+$276.08
(+5.0%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
Yes 99.8¢
5,737.5 份
分享
97.7¢
→
99.8¢
$5,603.17
$5,737.5
$5,726.03
+$122.86
(+2.2%)
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
Yes 77.5¢
7,076.1 份
分享
87.1¢
→
77.5¢
$6,160.82
$7,076.12
$5,483.99
−$676.83
(-11.0%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?
No 81¢
5,945.3 份
分享
89.7¢
→
81¢
$5,335.21
$5,945.31
$4,815.7
−$519.51
(-9.7%)
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 86.5¢
5,451.8 份
分享
86.7¢
→
86.5¢
$4,728.25
$5,451.85
$4,715.85
−$12.4
(-0.3%)
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 86.5¢
5,181 份
分享
90.3¢
→
86.5¢
$4,681.02
$5,180.97
$4,481.54
−$199.48
(-4.3%)
Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?
Yes 93.5¢
4,788.5 份
分享
90.3¢
→
93.5¢
$4,325.17
$4,788.52
$4,477.27
+$152.1
(+3.5%)
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 84.1¢
4,848.2 份
分享
86.1¢
→
84.1¢
$4,175.72
$4,848.17
$4,077.31
−$98.41
(-2.4%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes 90.0¢
4,500.1 份
分享
91.4¢
→
90.0¢
$4,112.86
$4,500.08
$4,052.32
−$60.54
(-1.5%)
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 81.5¢
4,920.6 份
分享
88.3¢
→
81.5¢
$4,346.34
$4,920.61
$4,010.3
−$336.04
(-7.7%)
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No 96.7¢
4,000 份
分享
97.0¢
→
96.7¢
$3,880
$4,000
$3,866
−$14
(-0.4%)
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
No 87¢
4,261.9 份
分享
81.1¢
→
87¢
$3,455.35
$4,261.91
$3,707.86
+$252.51
(+7.3%)
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Yes 98.7¢
3,458.2 份
分享
75.1¢
→
98.7¢
$2,596.31
$3,458.2
$3,413.24
+$816.94
(+31.5%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No 84.1¢
3,538.8 份
分享
87.2¢
→
84.1¢
$3,086.99
$3,538.76
$2,976.1
−$110.89
(-3.6%)
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Yes 98.9¢
3,010.5 份
分享
68.0¢
→
98.9¢
$2,048.65
$3,010.48
$2,975.86
+$927.21
(+45.3%)
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Yes 38.5¢
7,612.8 份
分享
70.9¢
→
38.5¢
$5,398.66
$7,612.82
$2,930.94
−$2,467.72
(-45.7%)
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?
No 75.5¢
3,592.8 份
分享
83.3¢
→
75.5¢
$2,992.48
$3,592.76
$2,712.53
−$279.95
(-9.4%)
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
No 82¢
3,093.9 份
分享
85.0¢
→
82¢
$2,628.51
$3,093.87
$2,536.98
−$91.53
(-3.5%)
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 86.5¢
2,666.8 份
分享
88.8¢
→
86.5¢
$2,367.42
$2,666.77
$2,306.76
−$60.66
(-2.6%)
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?
No 94.5¢
2,352.7 份
分享
79.3¢
→
94.5¢
$1,865.76
$2,352.66
$2,223.26
+$357.51
(+19.2%)
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?
No 74.5¢
2,980 份
分享
79.8¢
→
74.5¢
$2,379.03
$2,980
$2,220.1
−$158.93
(-6.7%)
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
Yes 88.5¢
2,503.4 份
分享
89.8¢
→
88.5¢
$2,248.22
$2,503.39
$2,215.5
−$32.72
(-1.5%)
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
No 86.5¢
2,468 份
分享
91.8¢
→
86.5¢
$2,265.24
$2,468
$2,134.82
−$130.42
(-5.8%)
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?
No 83.5¢
2,500 份
分享
77.0¢
→
83.5¢
$1,924.94
$2,499.95
$2,087.46
+$162.52
(+8.4%)
Will Chang Chi-kai win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?
No 83¢
2,465 份
分享
80.8¢
→
83¢
$1,991.31
$2,465
$2,045.95
+$54.64
(+2.7%)
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027?
No 94.5¢
2,153.6 份
分享
83.4¢
→
94.5¢
$1,795.23
$2,153.64
$2,035.19
+$239.96
(+13.4%)
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
Yes 14.9¢
1.3万 份
分享
4.8¢
→
14.9¢
$642.24
$1.34万
$2,003.92
+$1,361.69
(+212.0%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 85¢
2,283.7 份
分享
86.3¢
→
85¢
$1,971.92
$2,283.67
$1,941.12
−$30.8
(-1.6%)
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 96.8¢
1,999 份
分享
94.4¢
→
96.8¢
$1,887.88
$1,998.97
$1,935
+$47.13
(+2.5%)
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?
No 95.7¢
1,999.9 份
分享
95.6¢
→
95.7¢
$1,912.93
$1,999.93
$1,913.93
+$1
(+0.1%)
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 71.5¢
2,673.5 份
分享
79.2¢
→
71.5¢
$2,116.97
$2,673.52
$1,911.56
−$205.41
(-9.7%)
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 94.5¢
2,000 份
分享
94.1¢
→
94.5¢
$1,882
$2,000
$1,891
+$9
(+0.5%)
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?
No 94.5¢
1,898.2 份
分享
86.5¢
→
94.5¢
$1,641.27
$1,898.22
$1,793.82
+$152.55
(+9.3%)
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?
No 84¢
2,131.4 份
分享
86.0¢
→
84¢
$1,832.39
$2,131.39
$1,790.37
−$42.03
(-2.3%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?
No 80¢
2,200 份
分享
88.9¢
→
80¢
$1,955.9
$2,200
$1,760
−$195.9
(-10.0%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes 39.2¢
4,012.6 份
分享
64.3¢
→
39.2¢
$2,580.2
$4,012.62
$1,572.95
−$1,007.26
(-39.0%)
Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 89.5¢
1,637.3 份
分享
90.1¢
→
89.5¢
$1,475.23
$1,637.3
$1,465.38
−$9.85
(-0.7%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2027 meeting?
Yes 47.5¢
3,048.4 份
分享
44.5¢
→
47.5¢
$1,357.69
$3,048.41
$1,447.99
+$90.31
(+6.7%)
Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election?
No 69¢
1,999.9 份
分享
76.5¢
→
69¢
$1,529.95
$1,999.94
$1,379.96
−$149.99
(-9.8%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
No 90.5¢
1,502.4 份
分享
86.8¢
→
90.5¢
$1,304.48
$1,502.36
$1,359.64
+$55.15
(+4.2%)
Will Chuang Ching-cheng win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?
No 87.7¢
1,541.7 份
分享
89.0¢
→
87.7¢
$1,372.26
$1,541.66
$1,352.04
−$20.22
(-1.5%)
Will Chang Chia-chun win the next Yunlin County Magistrate election?
Yes 84¢
1,600 份
分享
89.6¢
→
84¢
$1,432.99
$1,600
$1,344
−$88.99
(-6.2%)
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?
No 85.5¢
1,543 份
分享
90.1¢
→
85.5¢
$1,389.9
$1,542.97
$1,319.24
−$70.66
(-5.1%)
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?
No 65¢
2,000 份
分享
79.5¢
→
65¢
$1,589.99
$1,999.99
$1,300
−$290
(-18.2%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes 59¢
2,134.3 份
分享
83.1¢
→
59¢
$1,773.79
$2,134.31
$1,259.24
−$514.55
(-29.0%)
Will Elmedin Konaković be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
No 87.5¢
1,359.6 份
分享
91.5¢
→
87.5¢
$1,244.06
$1,359.62
$1,189.67
−$54.38
(-4.4%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes 57.5¢
2,056.5 份
分享
50.5¢
→
57.5¢
$1,037.75
$2,056.53
$1,182.5
+$144.75
(+13.9%)
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 31.3¢
3,761.9 份
分享
50.0¢
→
31.3¢
$1,880.97
$3,761.94
$1,175.61
−$705.36
(-37.5%)
Will Chen Ying win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?
No 74.9¢
1,500 份
分享
86.1¢
→
74.9¢
$1,292
$1,500
$1,123.5
−$168.5
(-13.0%)
Will Wu Hsiu-hua win the next Taitung County Magistrate election?
Yes 69.5¢
1,592.1 份
分享
82.9¢
→
69.5¢
$1,320.37
$1,592.08
$1,106.49
−$213.88
(-16.2%)
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 80¢
1,325.7 份
分享
80.9¢
→
80¢
$1,072.01
$1,325.74
$1,060.59
−$11.41
(-1.1%)
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
No 85.0¢
1,220.2 份
分享
88.6¢
→
85.0¢
$1,081.69
$1,220.18
$1,037.76
−$43.93
(-4.1%)
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31?
No 82¢
1,241 份
分享
89.7¢
→
82¢
$1,112.74
$1,240.98
$1,017.6
−$95.14
(-8.5%)
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
No 89¢
1,139.3 份
分享
89¢
→
89¢
$1,014.01
$1,139.34
$1,014.01
+$0
(+0.0%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2027 meeting?
Yes 47.5¢
2,121.6 份
分享
45.7¢
→
47.5¢
$969.12
$2,121.55
$1,007.74
+$38.62
(+4.0%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
No 75.5¢
1,330.7 份
分享
73.0¢
→
75.5¢
$972
$1,330.73
$1,004.7
+$32.7
(+3.4%)
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
No 99.9¢
1,000 份
分享
98.3¢
→
99.9¢
$983.01
$1,000.01
$998.51
+$15.51
(+1.6%)
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
No 45.5¢
2,159 份
分享
65.6¢
→
45.5¢
$1,416.71
$2,158.97
$982.33
−$434.38
(-30.7%)
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
No 78.5¢
1,225.4 份
分享
77.9¢
→
78.5¢
$954.37
$1,225.41
$961.95
+$7.58
(+0.8%)
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?
No 86¢
1,101.5 份
分享
84.4¢
→
86¢
$930.16
$1,101.5
$947.29
+$17.13
(+1.8%)
Will Drake appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
No 92.5¢
1,000 份
分享
93.5¢
→
92.5¢
$935
$1,000
$925
−$10
(-1.1%)
Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?
No 92.5¢
1,000 份
分享
93.5¢
→
92.5¢
$934.99
$999.99
$924.99
−$10
(-1.1%)
Will Luke Combs appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
No 91.5¢
1,000 份
分享
91.5¢
→
91.5¢
$915
$1,000
$915
+$0
(+0.0%)
Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election?
No 75.8¢
1,200 份
分享
78.6¢
→
75.8¢
$943
$1,200
$910.2
−$32.8
(-3.5%)
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?
No 97.0¢
937.8 份
分享
98¢
→
97.0¢
$919.14
$937.81
$910.14
−$9
(-1.0%)
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
Yes 45.5¢
2,000 份
分享
53.5¢
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45.5¢
$1,070
$1,999.99
$910
−$160
(-15.0%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
Yes 98.7¢
905.7 份
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93.0¢
→
98.7¢
$842.74
$905.69
$893.46
+$50.72
(+6.0%)
Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election?
Yes 68.5¢
1,300 份
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69.6¢
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68.5¢
$905.31
$1,299.99
$890.49
−$14.81
(-1.6%)
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
No 73¢
1,200 份
分享
72.3¢
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73¢
$867.61
$1,200
$876
+$8.39
(+1.0%)
Israeli Knesset election annulled?
No 97.0¢
889.4 份
分享
96.9¢
→
97.0¢
$861.96
$889.43
$862.3
+$0.35
(+0.0%)
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Yes 85.4¢
1,000 份
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85.1¢
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85.4¢
$851.02
$1,000.03
$853.52
+$2.5
(+0.3%)
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
No 84.7¢
1,000 份
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85.4¢
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84.7¢
$854.01
$1,000.01
$846.51
−$7.5
(-0.9%)
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes 82.4¢
1,000 份
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67.9¢
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82.4¢
$679.49
$999.99
$823.99
+$144.5
(+21.3%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
Yes 67¢
1,200 份
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69.5¢
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67¢
$833.99
$1,200
$804
−$30
(-3.6%)
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Yes 40.0¢
2,000 份
分享
45.7¢
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40.0¢
$914
$2,000.01
$799
−$115
(-12.6%)
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No 84¢
949.5 份
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85.9¢
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84¢
$815.64
$949.47
$797.55
−$18.09
(-2.2%)
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?
No 79¢
1,000 份
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87.5¢
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79¢
$875
$1,000
$790
−$85
(-9.7%)
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
No 78¢
1,000 份
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75.5¢
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78¢
$755
$1,000
$780
+$25
(+3.3%)
Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
No 86.5¢
896.1 份
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86.7¢
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86.5¢
$776.61
$896.09
$775.12
−$1.49
(-0.2%)
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?
No 76.5¢
1,000 份
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78.5¢
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76.5¢
$785
$1,000
$765
−$20
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Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
No 92.7¢
800 份
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93.2¢
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92.7¢
$746
$800
$741.6
−$4.4
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Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?
No 91.3¢
801.2 份
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81.8¢
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91.3¢
$655.41
$801.25
$731.94
+$76.52
(+11.7%)
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