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2024年9月 加入
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分享个人资料
Polymarket
在 Polymarket 查看
总收益
−$117,461.43
1天
−$17.41万
7天
−$22.13万
30天
−$34.83万
90天
−$23.19万
总成交量
$6.1亿
预测次数
160,877
持仓价值
$42.22万
盈亏走势
历史盈亏走势
1天
1周
1月
今年
全部
交易
−$23.16万
LP 奖励
+$7.77万
Maker 返利
+$10.64万
持仓奖励
+$724.14
Taker 返利
+$5.92万
费用
−$12.98万
排名概览
综合
#1,601
共 330.2万 个钱包
成交量
#8
共 330.2万 个钱包
利润
#3,247,906
共 330.2万 个钱包
LP 奖励
#74
共 18.9万 个获奖地址
Maker 返利
#45
共 16.1万 个获奖地址
Taker 返利
#104
共 7.2万 个获奖地址
持仓奖励
#702
共 35.2万 个获奖地址
已付费用
#224
共 153.5万 个付费地址
持仓
活动
评论
当前
已平仓
市场
平均 → 当前
成交额
获胜可得
价值
分享
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Yes 95.9¢
1.5万 份
分享
37.8¢
→
95.9¢
$5,654.52
$1.49万
$1.43万
+$8,679.53
(+153.5%)
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?
No 89.5¢
8,744.9 份
分享
90.6¢
→
89.5¢
$7,925.52
$8,744.87
$7,831.04
−$94.49
(-1.2%)
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No 98.7¢
7,491.9 份
分享
48.3¢
→
98.7¢
$3,619.65
$7,491.94
$7,394.55
+$3,774.9
(+104.3%)
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?
Yes 54.5¢
1.1万 份
分享
50.0¢
→
54.5¢
$5,709.01
$1.14万
$6,215.38
+$506.36
(+8.9%)
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
No 78.5¢
7,794.9 份
分享
81.0¢
→
78.5¢
$6,310.98
$7,794.9
$6,119
−$191.99
(-3.0%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?
Yes 99.5¢
5,774.9 份
分享
81.9¢
→
99.5¢
$4,730.98
$5,774.91
$5,743.15
+$1,012.17
(+21.4%)
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
No 57.0¢
9,857.9 份
分享
63.8¢
→
57.0¢
$6,291.86
$9,857.94
$5,619.02
−$672.84
(-10.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?
Yes 93.8¢
3,904 份
分享
62.6¢
→
93.8¢
$2,445.67
$3,904.04
$3,661.99
+$1,216.31
(+49.7%)
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?
No 90.6¢
3,974.4 份
分享
90.7¢
→
90.6¢
$3,604.15
$3,974.37
$3,602.76
−$1.39
(-0.0%)
Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?
No 99.4¢
3,458.6 份
分享
91.9¢
→
99.4¢
$3,178.3
$3,458.59
$3,436.11
+$257.81
(+8.1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%?
No 98.0¢
3,409.4 份
分享
94.5¢
→
98.0¢
$3,221.75
$3,409.36
$3,339.47
+$117.73
(+3.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?
Yes 99.9¢
3,262.3 份
分享
89.8¢
→
99.9¢
$2,928.85
$3,262.29
$3,257.39
+$328.54
(+11.2%)
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?
Yes 98.9¢
3,170.1 份
分享
62.2¢
→
98.9¢
$1,970.34
$3,170.06
$3,135.19
+$1,164.85
(+59.1%)
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
Yes 24.5¢
1.3万 份
分享
17.3¢
→
24.5¢
$2,204.74
$1.27万
$3,121.78
+$917.04
(+41.6%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?
No 99.3¢
2,906.2 份
分享
73.4¢
→
99.3¢
$2,132.31
$2,906.2
$2,884.4
+$752.09
(+35.3%)
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
No 70.3¢
4,069 份
分享
65.1¢
→
70.3¢
$2,651.39
$4,069.05
$2,860.54
+$209.15
(+7.9%)
Barrow AFC vs. Forest Green Rovers FC: O/U 0.5
Over 89.0¢
3,100 份
分享
97.8¢
→
89.0¢
$3,031.8
$3,100
$2,760.55
−$271.25
(-8.9%)
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
No 88.1¢
2,964.9 份
分享
93.8¢
→
88.1¢
$2,781.53
$2,964.91
$2,613.57
−$167.96
(-6.0%)
Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary?
No 95.0¢
2,561.2 份
分享
97.8¢
→
95.0¢
$2,505.78
$2,561.23
$2,434.45
−$71.34
(-2.8%)
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No 99.6¢
2,380 份
分享
99.5¢
→
99.6¢
$2,368
$2,380
$2,369.29
+$1.29
(+0.1%)
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?
No 94.2¢
2,278.2 份
分享
60.5¢
→
94.2¢
$1,378.26
$2,278.22
$2,144.95
+$766.69
(+55.6%)
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?
Yes 88.3¢
2,418.9 份
分享
88.5¢
→
88.3¢
$2,139.91
$2,418.9
$2,135.89
−$4.02
(-0.2%)
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
No 96¢
2,211.5 份
分享
95.2¢
→
96¢
$2,104.77
$2,211.54
$2,123.08
+$18.31
(+0.9%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?
Yes 87.5¢
2,374.9 份
分享
31.9¢
→
87.5¢
$758.59
$2,374.86
$2,078.01
+$1,319.41
(+173.9%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No 98.8¢
2,052.9 份
分享
98.6¢
→
98.8¢
$2,023.56
$2,052.85
$2,027.19
+$3.63
(+0.2%)
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Yes 22.5¢
8,624.7 份
分享
21.0¢
→
22.5¢
$1,808.8
$8,624.72
$1,940.56
+$131.76
(+7.3%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes 19.4¢
9,724.3 份
分享
21.9¢
→
19.4¢
$2,126.52
$9,724.28
$1,881.65
−$244.88
(-11.5%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes 15.7¢
1.2万 份
分享
21.2¢
→
15.7¢
$2,479.17
$1.17万
$1,836.21
−$642.96
(-25.9%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 27.6¢
6,622.1 份
分享
21.0¢
→
27.6¢
$1,389.99
$6,622.08
$1,827.69
+$437.7
(+31.5%)
Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?
Yes 99¢
1,822.3 份
分享
76.2¢
→
99¢
$1,388.91
$1,822.32
$1,804.1
+$415.19
(+29.9%)
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
No 97.6¢
1,704.1 份
分享
96.3¢
→
97.6¢
$1,641.11
$1,704.05
$1,663.15
+$22.04
(+1.3%)
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No 15.9¢
1万 份
分享
19.7¢
→
15.9¢
$2,053.02
$1.04万
$1,657.57
−$395.46
(-19.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?
Yes 99.1¢
1,672.3 份
分享
63.6¢
→
99.1¢
$1,063.27
$1,672.26
$1,656.37
+$593.11
(+55.8%)
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
Yes 23¢
7,036.7 份
分享
18.5¢
→
23¢
$1,299.74
$7,036.66
$1,618.43
+$318.69
(+24.5%)
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Yes 10.5¢
1.5万 份
分享
23.3¢
→
10.5¢
$3,545.72
$1.52万
$1,598.46
−$1,947.26
(-54.9%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?
Yes 23.6¢
6,338 份
分享
32.4¢
→
23.6¢
$2,051.89
$6,338.04
$1,495.78
−$556.11
(-27.1%)
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes 8.4¢
1.8万 份
分享
8.1¢
→
8.4¢
$1,431.43
$1.76万
$1,480.02
+$48.59
(+3.4%)
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?
Yes 83¢
1,763.8 份
分享
83.6¢
→
83¢
$1,475.37
$1,763.84
$1,463.99
−$11.39
(-0.8%)
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Yes 98.7¢
1,464.6 份
分享
66.6¢
→
98.7¢
$974.98
$1,464.59
$1,445.55
+$470.56
(+48.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?
No 99.6¢
1,439.6 份
分享
79.3¢
→
99.6¢
$1,141.88
$1,439.62
$1,433.14
+$291.26
(+25.5%)
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
No 32.5¢
4,390.4 份
分享
22.7¢
→
32.5¢
$997.55
$4,390.42
$1,426.89
+$429.33
(+43.0%)
Spread: CD Tenerife (-1.5)
FC Andorra 54.5¢
2,500 份
分享
98.3¢
→
54.5¢
$2,457.5
$2,500
$1,363.75
−$1,093.75
(-44.5%)
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to Score
Yes 77.6¢
1,720.7 份
分享
98¢
→
77.6¢
$1,686.25
$1,720.66
$1,336.09
−$350.15
(-20.8%)
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
No 51.5¢
2,350 份
分享
52.0¢
→
51.5¢
$1,222
$2,350
$1,210.25
−$11.75
(-1.0%)
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
No 97.9¢
1,183.3 份
分享
97.6¢
→
97.9¢
$1,154.95
$1,183.29
$1,158.44
+$3.49
(+0.3%)
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
No 14.8¢
7,774.5 份
分享
14.3¢
→
14.8¢
$1,112.53
$7,774.46
$1,154.51
+$41.97
(+3.8%)
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?
Yes 19.5¢
5,829.7 份
分享
7.2¢
→
19.5¢
$419.96
$5,829.69
$1,136.79
+$716.83
(+170.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?
Yes 99.6¢
1,140 份
分享
83.2¢
→
99.6¢
$948.77
$1,139.98
$1,134.85
+$186.09
(+19.6%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?
Yes 93.3¢
1,203.4 份
分享
81.5¢
→
93.3¢
$981.14
$1,203.43
$1,123.4
+$142.26
(+14.5%)
StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch?
No 97.0¢
1,123.2 份
分享
62.4¢
→
97.0¢
$701.31
$1,123.22
$1,090.09
+$388.77
(+55.4%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat?
No 99.8¢
1,085 份
分享
88.9¢
→
99.8¢
$964.53
$1,085
$1,082.83
+$118.3
(+12.3%)
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?
Yes 19.5¢
5,527.8 份
分享
19.8¢
→
19.5¢
$1,092.24
$5,527.81
$1,077.92
−$14.32
(-1.3%)
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Yes 76.5¢
1,388.6 份
分享
69.6¢
→
76.5¢
$966.99
$1,388.57
$1,062.26
+$95.27
(+9.9%)
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
No 97.5¢
1,086.8 份
分享
97.9¢
→
97.5¢
$1,063.91
$1,086.77
$1,060.14
−$3.76
(-0.4%)
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
No 30.5¢
3,452.9 份
分享
37.2¢
→
30.5¢
$1,283.82
$3,452.93
$1,053.14
−$230.68
(-18.0%)
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
No 97.5¢
1,045.1 份
分享
89.2¢
→
97.5¢
$932.3
$1,045.12
$1,019.51
+$87.21
(+9.4%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
No 100.0¢
1,000 份
分享
99.6¢
→
100.0¢
$996
$1,000
$999.5
+$3.5
(+0.4%)
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
Yes 58.5¢
1,705.6 份
分享
58.0¢
→
58.5¢
$989.59
$1,705.57
$997.76
+$8.17
(+0.8%)
Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election?
No 75.8¢
1,306.4 份
分享
74.2¢
→
75.8¢
$969.29
$1,306.36
$990.88
+$21.59
(+2.2%)
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
No 90.5¢
1,052 份
分享
76.9¢
→
90.5¢
$809.01
$1,052.01
$952.07
+$143.06
(+17.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-02 House seat?
Yes 64¢
1,477.7 份
分享
64.8¢
→
64¢
$958.11
$1,477.72
$945.74
−$12.36
(-1.3%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Yes 20.5¢
4,610.4 份
分享
20.6¢
→
20.5¢
$948.77
$4,610.36
$945.12
−$3.65
(-0.4%)
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
Yes 92.5¢
1,009.6 份
分享
55.2¢
→
92.5¢
$557.7
$1,009.64
$933.92
+$376.22
(+67.5%)
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?
No 99.4¢
920.2 份
分享
94.1¢
→
99.4¢
$865.54
$920.15
$914.63
+$49.09
(+5.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?
Yes 97.0¢
894.1 份
分享
66.9¢
→
97.0¢
$597.97
$894.07
$867.69
+$269.73
(+45.1%)
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No 2.5¢
3.5万 份
分享
5.4¢
→
2.5¢
$1,856.36
$3.46万
$864.17
−$992.19
(-53.4%)
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
No 75.6¢
1,140.2 份
分享
81.3¢
→
75.6¢
$926.88
$1,140.23
$862.59
−$64.3
(-6.9%)
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?
No 76.3¢
1,105.7 份
分享
78.2¢
→
76.3¢
$864.48
$1,105.73
$844.22
−$20.25
(-2.3%)
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
No 98.4¢
837.8 份
分享
75.1¢
→
98.4¢
$629.02
$837.77
$824.36
+$195.35
(+31.1%)
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?
No 89.5¢
914 份
分享
78.3¢
→
89.5¢
$715.8
$913.96
$818
+$102.2
(+14.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-03 House seat?
Yes 99.3¢
789.3 份
分享
88.8¢
→
99.3¢
$700.68
$789.29
$783.76
+$83.08
(+11.9%)
Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
No 100.0¢
780.8 份
分享
99.2¢
→
100.0¢
$774.33
$780.81
$780.42
+$6.09
(+0.8%)
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
No 92.5¢
818.5 份
分享
92.1¢
→
92.5¢
$753.77
$818.51
$757.12
+$3.35
(+0.4%)
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
No 97.7¢
768 份
分享
87.6¢
→
97.7¢
$672.81
$768
$749.95
+$77.14
(+11.5%)
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No 99.1¢
739.3 份
分享
99.2¢
→
99.1¢
$733.41
$739.32
$732.3
−$1.11
(-0.2%)
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes 2.1¢
3.5万 份
分享
0.8¢
→
2.1¢
$264.99
$3.48万
$731.15
+$466.16
(+175.9%)
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?
Yes 72.5¢
1,007.8 份
分享
40.0¢
→
72.5¢
$402.93
$1,007.77
$730.63
+$327.7
(+81.3%)
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat?
Yes 99.1¢
728.8 份
分享
91.4¢
→
99.1¢
$666.19
$728.78
$721.85
+$55.67
(+8.4%)
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
Yes 98.7¢
730 份
分享
93.0¢
→
98.7¢
$678.7
$730
$720.15
+$41.45
(+6.1%)
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
No 87.5¢
798.5 份
分享
80.7¢
→
87.5¢
$644.06
$798.52
$698.71
+$54.65
(+8.5%)
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
No 97.9¢
708.8 份
分享
97.3¢
→
97.9¢
$689.71
$708.78
$693.54
+$3.83
(+0.6%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
No 21.5¢
3,199.3 份
分享
25.1¢
→
21.5¢
$804.19
$3,199.27
$687.84
−$116.34
(-14.5%)
Will Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
Yes 14.5¢
4,652.1 份
分享
2.6¢
→
14.5¢
$120.22
$4,652.09
$674.55
+$554.33
(+461.1%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
Yes 88¢
760 份
分享
72.5¢
→
88¢
$550.65
$760
$668.8
+$118.15
(+21.5%)
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?
No 95.8¢
642 份
分享
63.0¢
→
95.8¢
$404.55
$642.01
$614.73
+$210.18
(+52.0%)
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?
No 85.4¢
711.6 份
分享
85.4¢
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85.4¢
$607.52
$711.55
$607.31
−$0.21
(-0.0%)
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?
Yes 93.5¢
634.9 份
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71.9¢
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93.5¢
$456.39
$634.94
$593.67
+$137.28
(+30.1%)
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?
No 100.0¢
590.5 份
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97.9¢
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100.0¢
$578.1
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$590.21
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Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Yes 60.9¢
967.7 份
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3.6¢
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60.9¢
$34.56
$967.73
$588.86
+$554.3
(+1603.8%)
Buriram United vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 0.5
Over 36.5¢
1,609.2 份
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47.2¢
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36.5¢
$759.97
$1,609.2
$587.36
−$172.61
(-22.7%)
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?
No 100.0¢
582.5 份
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81.8¢
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100.0¢
$476.71
$582.45
$582.16
+$105.45
(+22.1%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No 69¢
833.7 份
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71.9¢
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69¢
$599.21
$833.68
$575.24
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(-4.0%)
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Yes 94.7¢
593.9 份
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91.0¢
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94.7¢
$540.42
$593.87
$562.1
+$21.68
(+4.0%)
Spread: FK Radnicki Nis (-2.5)
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo 50.5¢
1,094.7 份
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63.6¢
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50.5¢
$696.24
$1,094.75
$552.85
−$143.39
(-20.6%)
Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
Yes 7.1¢
7,664.3 份
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3.3¢
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7.1¢
$249.71
$7,664.27
$548
+$298.29
(+119.5%)
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
No 99.6¢
549.2 份
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99.5¢
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99.6¢
$546.48
$549.15
$546.68
+$0.2
(+0.0%)
Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?
No 97.5¢
557.8 份
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70.7¢
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97.5¢
$394.32
$557.75
$543.81
+$149.48
(+37.9%)
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
No 96.7¢
556.5 份
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97.8¢
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96.7¢
$544.13
$556.54
$537.89
−$6.23
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Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?
Yes 96.5¢
554.2 份
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72.0¢
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96.5¢
$398.95
$554.21
$534.81
+$135.87
(+34.1%)
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?
No 99.7¢
530.1 份
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87.5¢
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99.7¢
$463.94
$530.09
$528.5
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