democrats · Midterms

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%28%

Democrats 10-12%24%

Democrats 6-8%17%

Democrats 4-6%11%

No price data yet
$116,974 Vol.Nov 3, 2026

Democrats 16%+

$2,547 Vol.

<1%

Democrats 14-16%

$2,250 Vol.

1%

Republicans 6%+

$3,507 Vol.

1%

Democrats 0-2%

$13,474 Vol.

2%

Republicans 0-2%

$5,056 Vol.

3%

Democrats 2-4%

$13,719 Vol.

7%

Republicans 2-4%

$29,476 Vol.

4%

Democrats 4-6%

$5,188 Vol.

11%

Republicans 4-6%

$2,859 Vol.

1%

Democrats 6-8%

$13,804 Vol.

17%

Democrats 8-10%

$13,806 Vol.

28%

Democrats 10-12%

$7,191 Vol.

24%

Democrats 12-14%

$4,096 Vol.

7%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the popular vote margin of victory between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives midterm elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026. For the purpose of this market, the “popular vote margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentage of valid votes cast for all Democratic Party House candidates and the percentage of valid votes cast for all Republican Party House candidates in this election. The percentage of the valid votes cast for…
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory