World · Global Elections
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Lula da Silva 5-10%35%
Lula da Silva 10-15%35%
Lula da Silva <5%14%
Lula da Silva 15%+11%
No price data yet
$303,297 Vol.Oct 4, 2026
Lula da Silva 5-10%
$15,018 Vol.
35%
Lula da Silva 10-15%
$21,186 Vol.
35%
Lula da Silva <5%
$17,577 Vol.
14%
Lula da Silva 15%+
$11,051 Vol.
11%
Flávio Bolsonaro <5%
$9,159 Vol.
5%
Flávio Bolsonaro 10%+
$4,292 Vol.
2%
Renan Santos Victory
$210,023 Vol.
2%
Other
$4,245 Vol.
2%
Ratinho Júnior Victory
$3,457 Vol.
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas Victory
$2,897 Vol.
<1%
Flávio Bolsonaro 5-10%
$4,393 Vol.
<1%
Rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of…