September meeting
$927,036 Vol.
Yes
October meeting
$240,855 Vol.
Yes
December meeting
$346,266 Vol.
Yes
July meeting
$59,119 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between July 15 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2025, currently scheduled for December 9–10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no September meeting takes place by December 17 2025, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut is announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the…