US Election · Primaries
How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?
7-955%
10-1223%
4-614%
13-1512%
No price data yet
$5,833 Vol.
<3
$351 Vol.
7%
4-6
$677 Vol.
14%
7-9
$2,902 Vol.
55%
10-12
$680 Vol.
23%
13-15
$599 Vol.
12%
>15
$626 Vol.
3%
Rules
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026, with congressional primaries running from March through September.
This market will resolve according to the number of Democratic House incumbents who do not win their nominating election to move on to the general election as a result of the 2026 midterm primary elections.
An incumbent will be considered not to have won their election if they are not declared the winner of the election they sought, including if they withdraw, suspend, or otherwise leave the race at any…