4100%
5+0%
30%
10%
No price data yet
$762,261 Vol.Dec 31, 2024
1
$73,966 Vol.
No
2
$57,262 Vol.
No
3
$82,058 Vol.
No
4
$262,564 Vol.
Yes
5+
$286,410 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if exactly four SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2024 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be…